Esempio n. 1
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def setup_titanic():
    # Build a model of the titanic disaster
    global titanic_network, passenger, gender, tclass

    # Passengers on the Titanic either survive or perish
    passenger = DiscreteDistribution({'survive': 0.6, 'perish': 0.4})

    # Gender, given survival data
    gender = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [['survive', 'male', 0.0], ['survive', 'female', 1.0],
         ['perish', 'male', 1.0], ['perish', 'female', 0.0]], [passenger])

    # Class of travel, given survival data
    tclass = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [['survive', 'first', 0.0], ['survive', 'second', 1.0],
         ['survive', 'third', 0.0], ['perish', 'first', 1.0],
         ['perish', 'second', 0.0], ['perish', 'third', 0.0]], [passenger])

    # State objects hold both the distribution, and a high level name.
    s1 = State(passenger, name="passenger")
    s2 = State(gender, name="gender")
    s3 = State(tclass, name="class")

    # Create the Bayesian network object with a useful name
    titanic_network = BayesianNetwork("Titanic Disaster")

    # Add the three nodes to the network
    titanic_network.add_nodes(s1, s2, s3)

    # Add transitions which represent conditional dependencies, where the
    # second node is conditionally dependent on the first node (Monty is
    # dependent on both guest and prize)
    titanic_network.add_edge(s1, s2)
    titanic_network.add_edge(s1, s3)
    titanic_network.bake()
Esempio n. 2
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def test_cpd_sampling():
	d1 = DiscreteDistribution({"A": 0.1, "B": 0.9})
	d2 = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
		[["A", "A", 0.1], ["A", "B", 0.9], ["B", "A", 0.7], ["B", "B", 0.3]],
		[d1])

	# P(A) = 0.1*0.1 + 0.9*0.7 = 0.64
	# P(B) = 0.1*0.9 + 0.9*0.3 = 0.36
	true = [0.64, 0.36]
	est = numpy.bincount([0 if d2.sample() == "A" else 1 for i in range(1000)]) / 1000.0
	assert_almost_equal(est[0], true[0], 1)
	assert_almost_equal(est[1], true[1], 1)

	# when A is observed, it reduces to [0.1, 0.9]
	true1 = [0.1, 0.9]
	par_val = {}
	par_val[d1] = "A"
	est = numpy.bincount(
		[0 if d2.sample(parent_values=par_val) == "A" else 1 for i in range(1000)]
		) / 1000.0
	assert_almost_equal(est[0], true1[0], 1)
	assert_almost_equal(est[1], true1[1], 1)

	true2= [0.7, 0.3]
	par_val = {}
	par_val[d1] = "B"
	est = numpy.bincount(
		[0 if d2.sample(parent_values=par_val) == "A" else 1 for i in range(1000)]
		) / 1000.0
	assert_almost_equal(est[0], true2[0], 1)
	assert_almost_equal(est[1], true2[1], 1)
    def get_bayesnet(self):
        door_lock = DiscreteDistribution({'d1': 0.7, 'd2': 0.3})

        clock_alarm = DiscreteDistribution( { 'a1' : 0.8, 'a2' : 0.2} )

        light = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
            [[ 'd1', 'a1', 'l1', 0.96 ],
             ['d1', 'a1', 'l2', 0.04 ],
             [ 'd1', 'a2', 'l1', 0.89 ],
             [ 'd1', 'a2', 'l2', 0.11 ],
             [ 'd2', 'a1', 'l1', 0.96 ],
             [ 'd2', 'a1', 'l2', 0.04 ],
             [ 'd2', 'a2', 'l1', 0.89 ],
             [ 'd2', 'a2', 'l2', 0.11 ]], [door_lock, clock_alarm])



        coffee_maker = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
            [[ 'a1', 'c1', 0.92 ],
             [ 'a1', 'c2', 0.08 ],
             [ 'a2', 'c1', 0.03 ],
             [ 'a2', 'c2', 0.97 ]], [clock_alarm] )

        s_door_lock = State(door_lock, name="door_lock")
        s_clock_alarm = State(clock_alarm, name="clock_alarm")
        s_light = State(light, name="light")
        s_coffee_maker = State(coffee_maker, name="coffee_maker")
        network = BayesianNetwork("User_pref")
        network.add_nodes(s_door_lock, s_clock_alarm, s_light, s_coffee_maker)

        network.add_edge(s_door_lock,s_light)
        network.add_edge(s_clock_alarm,s_coffee_maker)
        network.add_edge(s_clock_alarm,s_light)
        network.bake()
        return network
def test_cpd_sampling():
    d1 = DiscreteDistribution({"A": 0.1, "B": 0.9})
    d2 = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [["A", "A", 0.1], ["A", "B", 0.9], ["B", "A", 0.7], ["B", "B", 0.3]],
        [d1])

    # P(A) = 0.1*0.1 + 0.9*0.7 = 0.64
    # P(B) = 0.1*0.9 + 0.9*0.3 = 0.36
    true = [0.64, 0.36]
    est = numpy.bincount([0 if d2.sample() == "A" else 1
                          for i in range(1000)]) / 1000.0
    assert_almost_equal(est[0], true[0], 1)
    assert_almost_equal(est[1], true[1], 1)

    # when A is observed, it reduces to [0.1, 0.9]
    true1 = [0.1, 0.9]
    par_val = {}
    par_val[d1] = "A"
    est = numpy.bincount([
        0 if d2.sample(parent_values=par_val) == "A" else 1
        for i in range(1000)
    ]) / 1000.0
    assert_almost_equal(est[0], true1[0], 1)
    assert_almost_equal(est[1], true1[1], 1)

    true2 = [0.7, 0.3]
    par_val = {}
    par_val[d1] = "B"
    est = numpy.bincount([
        0 if d2.sample(parent_values=par_val) == "A" else 1
        for i in range(1000)
    ]) / 1000.0
    assert_almost_equal(est[0], true2[0], 1)
    assert_almost_equal(est[1], true2[1], 1)
Esempio n. 5
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def test_conditional():
	phditis = DiscreteDistribution({True: 0.01, False: 0.99})
	test_result = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
		[[True,  True,  0.95],
		 [True,  False, 0.05],
		 [False, True,  0.05],
		 [False, False, 0.95]], [phditis])

	assert discrete_equality(test_result.marginal(),
							 DiscreteDistribution({False: 0.941, True: 0.059}))
Esempio n. 6
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def test_conditional():
	phditis = DiscreteDistribution({True: 0.01, False: 0.99})
	test_result = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
		[[True,  True,  0.95],
		 [True,  False, 0.05],
		 [False, True,  0.05],
		 [False, False, 0.95]], [phditis])

	assert discrete_equality(test_result.marginal(),
							 DiscreteDistribution({False: 0.941, True: 0.059}))
def test_distributions_cpt_random_sample():
	d1 = DiscreteDistribution({"A": 0.1, "B": 0.9})
	d = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
		[["A", "A", 0.1], ["A", "B", 0.9], ["B", "A", 0.7], ["B", "B", 0.3]],
		[d1])

	x = numpy.array(['B', 'A', 'B', 'B', 'A', 'B', 'A', 'A', 'B', 'A', 'A', 
		'B', 'A', 'A', 'A', 'A', 'A', 'A', 'A', 'A'])

	assert_array_equal(d.sample(n=20, random_state=5), x)
	assert_raises(AssertionError, assert_array_equal, d.sample(n=10), x)
Esempio n. 8
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    def __init__(self):
        Pollution = DiscreteDistribution({'F': 0.9, 'T': 0.1})
        Smoker = DiscreteDistribution({'T': 0.3, 'F': 0.7})
        print(Smoker)
        Cancer = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
            ['T', 'T', 'T', 0.05],
            ['T', 'T', 'F', 0.95],
            ['T', 'F', 'T', 0.02],
            ['T', 'F', 'F', 0.98],
            ['F', 'T', 'T', 0.03],
            ['F', 'T', 'F', 0.97],
            ['F', 'F', 'T', 0.001],
            ['F', 'F', 'F', 0.999],
        ], [Pollution, Smoker])
        print(Cancer)
        XRay = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
            ['T', 'T', 0.9],
            ['T', 'F', 0.1],
            ['F', 'T', 0.2],
            ['F', 'F', 0.8],
        ], [Cancer])
        Dyspnoea = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
            ['T', 'T', 0.65],
            ['T', 'F', 0.35],
            ['F', 'T', 0.3],
            ['F', 'F', 0.7],
        ], [Cancer])
        s1 = Node(Pollution, name="Pollution")
        s2 = Node(Smoker, name="Smoker")
        s3 = Node(Cancer, name="Cancer")
        s4 = Node(XRay, name="XRay")
        s5 = Node(Dyspnoea, name="Dyspnoea")

        model = BayesianNetwork("Lung Cancer")
        model.add_states(s1, s2, s3, s4, s5)
        model.add_edge(s1, s3)
        model.add_edge(s2, s3)
        model.add_edge(s3, s4)
        model.add_edge(s3, s5)
        model.bake()
        self.model = model

        meta = []
        name_mapper = ["Pollution", "Smoker", "Cancer", "XRay", "Dyspnoea"]
        for i in range(self.model.node_count()):
            meta.append({
                "name": name_mapper[i],
                "type": "categorical",
                "size": 2,
                "i2s": ['T', 'F']
            })
        self.meta = meta
Esempio n. 9
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    def __init__(self):
        A = DiscreteDistribution({'1': 1. / 3, '2': 1. / 3, '3': 1. / 3})
        B = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
            ['1', '1', 0.5],
            ['1', '2', 0.5],
            ['1', '3', 0],
            ['2', '1', 0],
            ['2', '2', 0.5],
            ['2', '3', 0.5],
            ['3', '1', 0.5],
            ['3', '2', 0],
            ['3', '3', 0.5],
        ], [A])
        C = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
            ['1', '4', 0.5],
            ['1', '5', 0.5],
            ['1', '6', 0],
            ['2', '4', 0],
            ['2', '5', 0.5],
            ['2', '6', 0.5],
            ['3', '4', 0.5],
            ['3', '5', 0],
            ['3', '6', 0.5],
        ], [A])

        s1 = Node(A, name="A")
        s2 = Node(B, name="B")
        s3 = Node(C, name="C")

        model = BayesianNetwork("tree")
        model.add_states(s1, s2, s3)
        model.add_edge(s1, s2)
        model.add_edge(s1, s3)
        model.bake()
        self.model = model

        meta = []
        for i in range(self.model.node_count() - 1):
            meta.append({
                "name": chr(ord('A') + i),
                "type": "categorical",
                "size": 3,
                "i2s": ['1', '2', '3']
            })
        meta.append({
            "name": "C",
            "type": "categorical",
            "size": 3,
            "i2s": ['4', '5', '6']
        })
        self.meta = meta
Esempio n. 10
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def test_io_fit():
    d1 = DiscreteDistribution({True: 0.6, False: 0.4})
    d2 = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
        [True, 'A', 0.2],
        [True, 'B', 0.8],
        [False, 'A', 0.3],
        [False, 'B', 0.7]], [d1])
    d3 = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
        ['A', 0, 0.3],
        ['A', 1, 0.7],
        ['B', 0, 0.8],
        ['B', 1, 0.2]], [d2])

    n1 = Node(d1)
    n2 = Node(d2)
    n3 = Node(d3)

    model1 = BayesianNetwork()
    model1.add_nodes(n1, n2, n3)
    model1.add_edge(n1, n2)
    model1.add_edge(n2, n3)
    model1.bake()
    model1.fit(X, weights=weights)

    d1 = DiscreteDistribution({True: 0.2, False: 0.8})
    d2 = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
        [True, 'A', 0.7],
        [True, 'B', 0.2],
        [False, 'A', 0.4],
        [False, 'B', 0.6]], [d1])
    d3 = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
        ['A', 0, 0.9],
        ['A', 1, 0.1],
        ['B', 0, 0.0],
        ['B', 1, 1.0]], [d2])

    n1 = Node(d1)
    n2 = Node(d2)
    n3 = Node(d3)

    model2 = BayesianNetwork()
    model2.add_nodes(n1, n2, n3)
    model2.add_edge(n1, n2)
    model2.add_edge(n2, n3)
    model2.bake()
    model2.fit(data_generator)

    logp1 = model1.log_probability(X)
    logp2 = model2.log_probability(X)

    assert_array_almost_equal(logp1, logp2)
Esempio n. 11
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def setup_monty():
    # Build a model of the Monty Hall Problem
    global monty_network, monty_index, prize_index, guest_index

    random.seed(0)

    # Friends emissions are completely random
    guest = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})

    # The actual prize is independent of the other distributions
    prize = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})
    # Monty is dependent on both the guest and the prize.
    monty = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [['A', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
         ['A', 'A', 'B', 0.5],
         ['A', 'A', 'C', 0.5],
         ['A', 'B', 'A', 0.0],
         ['A', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
         ['A', 'B', 'C', 1.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'A', 0.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'B', 1.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'B', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'C', 1.0],
         ['B', 'B', 'A', 0.5],
         ['B', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
         ['B', 'B', 'C', 0.5],
         ['B', 'C', 'A', 1.0],
         ['B', 'C', 'B', 0.0],
         ['B', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'B', 1.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'A', 1.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'C', 'A', 0.5],
         ['C', 'C', 'B', 0.5],
         ['C', 'C', 'C', 0.0]], [guest, prize])

    # Make the states
    s1 = State(guest, name="guest")
    s2 = State(prize, name="prize")
    s3 = State(monty, name="monty")

    # Make the bayes net, add the states, and the conditional dependencies.
    monty_network = BayesianNetwork("test")
    monty_network.add_nodes(s1, s2, s3)
    monty_network.add_edge(s1, s3)
    monty_network.add_edge(s2, s3)
    monty_network.bake()

    monty_index = monty_network.states.index(s3)
    prize_index = monty_network.states.index(s2)
    guest_index = monty_network.states.index(s1)
Esempio n. 12
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def create_con_prob_table(num_prereqs, num_grades, states):

    # Creates the cartesian product of the grades as a DataFrame
    df_events = create_cartesian_table(num_grades, num_prereqs + 1)

    # Adds a column of probabilities as floats to the DataFrame
    df_events[len(df_events.columns)] = 1 / num_grades

    return ConditionalProbabilityTable(df_events.values.tolist(),
                                       get_disc_dist_list(states))
Esempio n. 13
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    def __init__(self):
        Rain = DiscreteDistribution({'T': 0.2, 'F': 0.8})
        Sprinkler = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
            ['F', 'T', 0.4],
            ['F', 'F', 0.6],
            ['T', 'T', 0.1],
            ['T', 'F', 0.9],
        ], [Rain])
        Wet = ConditionalProbabilityTable([
            ['F', 'F', 'T', 0.01],
            ['F', 'F', 'F', 0.99],
            ['F', 'T', 'T', 0.8],
            ['F', 'T', 'F', 0.2],
            ['T', 'F', 'T', 0.9],
            ['T', 'F', 'F', 0.1],
            ['T', 'T', 'T', 0.99],
            ['T', 'T', 'F', 0.01],
        ], [Sprinkler, Rain])

        s1 = Node(Rain, name="Rain")
        s2 = Node(Sprinkler, name="Sprinkler")
        s3 = Node(Wet, name="Wet")

        model = BayesianNetwork("Simple fully connected")
        model.add_states(s1, s2, s3)
        model.add_edge(s1, s2)
        model.add_edge(s1, s3)
        model.add_edge(s2, s3)
        model.bake()
        self.model = model

        meta = []
        for i in range(self.model.node_count()):
            meta.append({
                "name": None,
                "type": "categorical",
                "size": 2,
                "i2s": ['T', 'F']
            })
        meta[0]['name'] = 'Rain'
        meta[1]['name'] = 'Sprinkler'
        meta[2]['name'] = 'Wet'
        self.meta = meta
Esempio n. 14
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def build_cpts(dfs):
    cpts = dict()  # maps the name of the node to its cpt
    for node, df in dfs:
        _, parents, values = get_metadata_of(node)
        if not any(parents):
            # if we have only two columns, DiscreteDistribution
            cpts[node] = DiscreteDistribution(dict(df.values))
        else:
            cpts[node] = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
                df.values, [cpts[parent] for parent in parents])

    return cpts
Esempio n. 15
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 def export_probabilities(self, parents=None):
     if self.get_is_conditional():
         probs = []
         for item in self._items:
             probs.append(item.export_probabilities())
         out = ConditionalProbabilityTable(probs, parents)
     else:
         probs = {}
         for item in self._items:
             probs[item.get_outcome()] = item.get_probability()
         out = DiscreteDistribution(probs)
     return out
Esempio n. 16
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def setup_cpt():
    guest = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})
    prize = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})

    global monty
    monty = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [['A', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'A', 'B', 0.5], ['A', 'A', 'C', 0.5],
         ['A', 'B', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['A', 'B', 'C', 1.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'C', 'B', 1.0], ['A', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['B', 'A', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'A', 'C', 1.0],
         ['B', 'B', 'A', 0.5], ['B', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'B', 'C', 0.5],
         ['B', 'C', 'A', 1.0], ['B', 'C', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['C', 'A', 'B', 1.0], ['C', 'A', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'A', 1.0], ['C', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['C', 'B', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'C', 'A', 0.5], ['C', 'C', 'B', 0.5], ['C', 'C', 'C', 0.0]],
        [guest, prize])

    global X
    X = [['A', 'A', 'C'], ['A', 'A', 'B'], ['A', 'A', 'C'], ['A', 'A', 'B'],
         ['A', 'A', 'A'], ['A', 'B', 'A'], ['A', 'B', 'A'], ['A', 'B', 'B'],
         ['A', 'B', 'C'], ['A', 'C', 'A'], ['A', 'C', 'C'], ['A', 'C', 'C'],
         ['A', 'C', 'C'], ['A', 'C', 'B'], ['B', 'A', 'A'], ['B', 'A', 'B'],
         ['B', 'A', 'B'], ['B', 'A', 'B'], ['B', 'B', 'B'], ['B', 'B', 'C'],
         ['B', 'C', 'A'], ['B', 'C', 'B'], ['B', 'C', 'A'], ['B', 'C', 'B'],
         ['C', 'A', 'B'], ['C', 'B', 'B'], ['C', 'B', 'C'], ['C', 'C', 'A'],
         ['C', 'C', 'C'], ['C', 'C', 'C'], ['C', 'C', 'C']]

    global X_nan
    X_nan = [['nan', 'A', 'C'], ['A', 'A', 'nan'], ['A', 'nan', 'C'],
             ['A', 'A', 'B'], ['A', 'A', 'A'], ['A', 'B', 'nan'],
             ['A', 'B', 'A'], ['A', 'B', 'nan'], ['A', 'B', 'C'],
             ['A', 'C', 'A'], ['A', 'nan', 'C'], ['A', 'C', 'C'],
             ['A', 'C', 'C'], ['A', 'C', 'B'], ['B', 'nan', 'A'],
             ['B', 'A', 'B'], ['nan', 'A', 'B'], ['B', 'A', 'B'],
             ['B', 'B', 'B'], ['B', 'B', 'C'], ['B', 'C', 'A'],
             ['nan', 'C', 'B'], ['B', 'C', 'A'], ['nan', 'C', 'B'],
             ['C', 'A', 'B'], ['C', 'B', 'B'], ['C', 'nan', 'C'],
             ['C', 'nan', 'A'], ['C', 'nan', 'C'], ['C', 'C', 'C'],
             ['C', 'C', 'C']]
Esempio n. 17
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 def __get_bayesian_network_model(
     self,
     symptom_distributions: List,
     symptom_states: List,
     file_name: str,
     disease_name: str,
 ):
     disease_conditional_distribution = list()
     for (s1, s2, s3, s4, s5, d, p) in get_from_csv(file_name):
         disease_conditional_distribution.append(
             [s1, s2, s3, s4, s5, d, float(p)])
     disease_distribution = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
         disease_conditional_distribution,
         symptom_distributions,
     )
     disease = Node(disease_distribution, name=disease_name)
     model = BayesianNetwork(disease_name)
     model.add_state(disease)
     for symptom_state in symptom_states:
         model.add_state(symptom_state)
         model.add_edge(symptom_state, disease)
     model.bake()
     return model
 def worker(node: Type[BaseNode]) -> DiscreteParams:
     parents = node.disc_parents + node.cont_parents
     if not parents:
         dist = DiscreteDistribution.from_samples(
             data[node.name].values)
         cprob = list(dict(sorted(dist.items())).values())
         vals = sorted(
             [str(x) for x in list(dist.parameters[0].keys())])
     else:
         dist = DiscreteDistribution.from_samples(
             data[node.name].values)
         vals = sorted(
             [str(x) for x in list(dist.parameters[0].keys())])
         dist = ConditionalProbabilityTable.from_samples(
             data[parents + [node.name]].values)
         params = dist.parameters[0]
         cprob = dict()
         for i in range(0, len(params), len(vals)):
             probs = []
             for j in range(i, (i + len(vals))):
                 probs.append(params[j][-1])
             combination = [str(x) for x in params[i][0:len(parents)]]
             cprob[str(combination)] = probs
     return {"cprob": cprob, 'vals': vals}
from pomegranate import DiscreteDistribution
from pomegranate import ConditionalProbabilityTable
from pomegranate import BayesianNetwork
from pomegranate import Node

guest = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})
prize = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})
monty = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    [['A', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'A', 'B', 0.5], ['A', 'A', 'C', 0.5],
     ['A', 'B', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['A', 'B', 'C', 1.0],
     ['A', 'C', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'C', 'B', 1.0], ['A', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
     ['B', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['B', 'A', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'A', 'C', 1.0],
     ['B', 'B', 'A', 0.5], ['B', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'B', 'C', 0.5],
     ['B', 'C', 'A', 1.0], ['B', 'C', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
     ['C', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['C', 'A', 'B', 1.0], ['C', 'A', 'C', 0.0],
     ['C', 'B', 'A', 1.0], ['C', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['C', 'B', 'C', 0.0],
     ['C', 'C', 'A', 0.5], ['C', 'C', 'B', 0.5], ['C', 'C', 'C', 0.0]],
    [guest, prize])

s1 = Node(guest, name="guest")
s2 = Node(prize, name="prize")
s3 = Node(monty, name="monty")

model = BayesianNetwork("Monty Hall Problem")
model.add_states(s1, s2, s3)
model.add_edge(s1, s3)
model.add_edge(s2, s3)
model.bake()
Esempio n. 20
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    def __init__(self, filename):
        with open(filename) as f:
            bif = f.read()
        vars = re.findall(r"variable[^\{]+{[^\}]+}", bif)
        probs = re.findall(r"probability[^\{]+{[^\}]+}", bif)

        var_nodes = {}
        var_index_to_name = []
        edges = []

        self.meta = []
        todo = set()
        for v, p in zip(vars, probs):
            m = re.search(r"variable\s+([^\{\s]+)\s+", v)
            v_name = m.group(1)
            m = re.search(r"type\s+discrete\s+\[\s*(\d+)\s*\]\s*\{([^\}]+)\}",
                          v)
            v_opts_n = int(m.group(1))
            v_opts = m.group(2).replace(',', ' ').split()

            assert v_opts_n == len(v_opts)
            # print(v_name, v_opts_n, v_opts)

            m = re.search(r"probability\s*\(([^)]+)\)", p)
            cond = m.group(1).replace('|', ' ').replace(',', ' ').split()
            assert cond[0] == v_name
            # print(cond)

            self.meta.append({
                "name": v_name,
                "type": "categorical",
                "size": v_opts_n,
                "i2s": v_opts
            })
            if len(cond) == 1:
                m = re.search(r"table([e\-\d\.\s,]*);", p)
                margin_p = m.group(1).replace(',', ' ').split()
                margin_p = [float(x) for x in margin_p]
                assert abs(sum(margin_p) - 1) < 1e-6
                assert len(margin_p) == v_opts_n
                margin_p = dict(zip(v_opts, margin_p))

                var_index_to_name.append(v_name)
                tmp = DiscreteDistribution(margin_p)
                # print(tmp)
                var_nodes[v_name] = tmp
            else:
                m_iter = re.finditer(r"\(([^)]*)\)([\s\d\.,\-e]+);", p)
                cond_p_table = []
                for m in m_iter:
                    cond_values = m.group(1).replace(',', ' ').split()
                    cond_p = m.group(2).replace(',', ' ').split()
                    cond_p = [float(x) for x in cond_p]
                    assert len(cond_values) == len(cond) - 1
                    assert len(cond_p) == v_opts_n
                    assert abs(sum(cond_p) - 1) < 1e-6

                    for opt, opt_p in zip(v_opts, cond_p):
                        cond_p_table.append(cond_values + [opt, opt_p])
                var_index_to_name.append(v_name)

                tmp = (cond_p_table, cond)
                # print(tmp)
                var_nodes[v_name] = tmp
                for x in cond[1:]:
                    edges.append((x, v_name))
                todo.add(v_name)

        while len(todo) > 0:
            # print(todo)
            for v_name in todo:
                # print(v_name, type(var_nodes[v_name]))
                cond_p_table, cond = var_nodes[v_name]
                flag = True
                for y in cond[1:]:
                    if y in todo:
                        flag = False
                        break
                if flag:
                    cond_t = [var_nodes[x] for x in cond[1:]]
                    var_nodes[v_name] = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
                        cond_p_table, cond_t)
                    todo.remove(v_name)
                    break

        for x in var_index_to_name:
            var_nodes[x] = Node(var_nodes[x], name=x)

        var_nodes_list = [var_nodes[x] for x in var_index_to_name]
        # print(var_nodes_list)
        model = BayesianNetwork("tmp")
        model.add_states(*var_nodes_list)

        for edge in edges:
            model.add_edge(var_nodes[edge[0]], var_nodes[edge[1]])
        model.bake()
        # print(model.to_json())
        self.model = model
Esempio n. 21
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    def get_BN(self, DAG, child_parent):

        #1. get DAG structure as an arguments
        ################################################
        node_without_parents = [
            e for e in self.nodes if e not in child_parent.keys()
        ]

        # 2 Build BN probability model
        # 2.1 get probabilityDist or conditional prob table
        # bais the prob to task_dict choices
        node_prob_dict = self.get_nodes_prob_dist(node_without_parents,
                                                  child_parent)
        self.npd = node_prob_dict
        # 2.2 Create nodes linked to its parent, parent should be processed first.
        # all node state saved to be added to the BN later
        nodes_state = {}
        # all node dist or CPT saved to link child to parents when building child CPT
        nodes_dist = {}

        # start with root nodes (don't have parents then link child to them)
        # list the list to copy it, otherwise it will point to the self.nodes
        remaining_nodes_list = list(self.nodes)

        for node in node_without_parents:
            prob_dist = node_prob_dict[node]
            # print("Parent", node, prob_dist)
            node_dist = DiscreteDistribution(prob_dist)
            nodes_dist[node] = node_dist
            nodes_state[node] = State(node_dist, name=node)
            # remove from nodes_list
            remaining_nodes_list.remove(node)

        # rest of the node should have parents
        while len(remaining_nodes_list) > 0:
            for node, parent_lst in child_parent.items():
                # if node's parents already created then it can be created now
                if set(parent_lst).issubset(nodes_state.keys()) and \
                    node in remaining_nodes_list:
                    # print("parent child", parent_lst, node, node_prob_dict[node])
                    node_dist = ConditionalProbabilityTable(node_prob_dict[node], \
                                    [nodes_dist[i] for i in parent_lst])

                    nodes_dist[node] = node_dist
                    nodes_state[node] = State(node_dist, name=node)
                    # remove from the node_list
                    remaining_nodes_list.remove(node)

        # 3 Create BN and add the nodes_state
        self.network = BayesianNetwork("User_pref")
        for node, state in nodes_state.items():
            self.network.add_node(state)
            #print("node ", node, " is added!")
            self.BN_node_orders.append(node)

        # 4 Link nodes with edges using nodes_state and DAG.edge
        for a, bs in DAG.edge.items():
            for b in bs.keys():
                self.network.add_edge(nodes_state[a], nodes_state[b])
                # print("Netwoerk:", a, b)
        #       print("Network has ", self.network.node_count() , " nodes and ", self.network.edge_count(), " edges")
        return self.network
Esempio n. 22
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def test_monty():
	guest = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})

	# The actual prize is independent of the other distributions
	prize = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})

	# Monty is dependent on both the guest and the prize.
	monty = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
		[['A', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
		 ['A', 'A', 'B', 0.5],
		 ['A', 'A', 'C', 0.5],
		 ['A', 'B', 'A', 0.0],
		 ['A', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
		 ['A', 'B', 'C', 1.0],
		 ['A', 'C', 'A', 0.0],
		 ['A', 'C', 'B', 1.0],
		 ['A', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
		 ['B', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
		 ['B', 'A', 'B', 0.0],
		 ['B', 'A', 'C', 1.0],
		 ['B', 'B', 'A', 0.5],
		 ['B', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
		 ['B', 'B', 'C', 0.5],
		 ['B', 'C', 'A', 1.0],
		 ['B', 'C', 'B', 0.0],
		 ['B', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
		 ['C', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
		 ['C', 'A', 'B', 1.0],
		 ['C', 'A', 'C', 0.0],
		 ['C', 'B', 'A', 1.0],
		 ['C', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
		 ['C', 'B', 'C', 0.0],
		 ['C', 'C', 'A', 0.5],
		 ['C', 'C', 'B', 0.5],
		 ['C', 'C', 'C', 0.0]], [guest, prize])

	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'B', 'C')), 0.)
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'B', 'A')), 0.)
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'C', 'C')), float("-inf"))
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'A')), float("-inf"))
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('B', 'A', 'C')), 0.)
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'A', 'B')), 0.)

	data = [['A', 'A', 'C'],
			['A', 'A', 'C'],
			['A', 'A', 'B'],
			['A', 'A', 'A'],
			['A', 'A', 'C'],
			['B', 'B', 'B'],
			['B', 'B', 'C'],
			['C', 'C', 'A'],
			['C', 'C', 'C'],
			['C', 'C', 'C'],
			['C', 'C', 'C'],
			['C', 'B', 'A']]

	monty.fit(data, weights=[1, 1, 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 7, 1, 1, 1, 1])

	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'A')),
				 monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'C')))
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'A')),
				 monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'B')))
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('B', 'A', 'A')),
				 monty.log_probability(('B', 'A', 'C')))
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('B', 'B', 'A')), float("-inf"))
	assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'C', 'B')), float("-inf"))
Esempio n. 23
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#     ["T", "F", 0.45863],
#     ["F", "T", 1 - 0.845],
#     ["F", "F", 1 - 0.45863],
# ]
coughing_allergy_lung_cancer = [
    ["T", "F", "F", 0.13],
    ["T", "T", "F", 0.64],
    ["T", "F", "T", 0.76],
    ["T", "T", "T", 0.99],
    ["F", "F", "F", 1 - 0.13],
    ["F", "T", "F", 1 - 0.64],
    ["F", "F", "T", 1 - 0.76],
    ["F", "T", "T", 1 - 0.99],
]

Attention_Disorder = ConditionalProbabilityTable(table=attention_genetics, parents=[Genetics])
Smoking = ConditionalProbabilityTable(table=smoking_peer_pressure_anxiety,
                                                            parents=[Peer_Pressure, Anxiety])
Lung_cancer = ConditionalProbabilityTable(table=lung_cancer_genetics_smoking,
                                                           parents=[Genetics, Smoking])
Coughing = ConditionalProbabilityTable(table=coughing_allergy_lung_cancer,
                                                           parents=[Allergy, Lung_cancer])
Yellow_Fingers = ConditionalProbabilityTable(table=yellow_fingers_smoking,
                                                             parents=[Smoking])
Fatigue = ConditionalProbabilityTable(table=fatigue_lung_cancer_coughing, parents=[Lung_cancer,Coughing])
Car_Accident = ConditionalProbabilityTable(table=car_accident_attention_fatigue,
                                                             parents=[Attention_Disorder, Fatigue])

states = {}
states['Anxiety'] = State(Anxiety, name="Anxiety")
states['Peer_Pressure'] = State(Peer_Pressure, name="Peer_Pressure")
Esempio n. 24
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from pomegranate import DiscreteDistribution
from pomegranate import ConditionalProbabilityTable
from pomegranate import BayesianNetwork
from pomegranate import Node

# Rain node has no parents
rain = Node(DiscreteDistribution({
    "none": 0.7,
    "light": 0.2,
    "heavy": 0.1
}),
            name="rain")

# Track maintenance node is coditional on rain
maintenance = Node(ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    [["none", "yes", 0.4], ["none", "no", 0.6], ["light", "yes", 0.2],
     ["light", "no", 0.8], ["heavy", "yes", 0.1], ["heavy", "no", 0.9]],
    [rain.distribution]),
                   name="maintenance")

# Train Node is conditional on rain, and maintenance
train = Node(ConditionalProbabilityTable([
    ["none", "yes", "on time", 0.8],
    ["none", "yes", "delayed", 0.2],
    ["none", "no", "on time", 0.9],
    ["none", "no", "delayed", 0.1],
    ["light", "yes", "on time", 0.6],
    ["light", "yes", "delayed", 0.4],
    ["light", "no", "on time", 0.7],
    ["light", "no", "delayed", 0.3],
    ["heavy", "yes", "on time", 0.4],
    ["heavy", "yes", "delayed", 0.6],
Esempio n. 25
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def setup_huge_monty():
    # Build the huge monty hall huge_monty_network. This is an example I made
    # up with which may not exactly flow logically, but tests a varied type of
    # tables ensures heterogeneous types of data work together.
    global huge_monty_network, huge_monty_friend, huge_monty_guest, huge_monty
    global huge_monty_remaining, huge_monty_randomize, huge_monty_prize

    # Huge_Monty_Friend
    huge_monty_friend = DiscreteDistribution({True: 0.5, False: 0.5})

    # Huge_Monty_Guest emisisons are completely random
    huge_monty_guest = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [[True, 'A', 0.50],
         [True, 'B', 0.25],
         [True, 'C', 0.25],
         [False, 'A', 0.0],
         [False, 'B', 0.7],
         [False, 'C', 0.3]], [huge_monty_friend])

    # Number of huge_monty_remaining cars
    huge_monty_remaining = DiscreteDistribution({0: 0.1, 1: 0.7, 2: 0.2, })

    # Whether they huge_monty_randomize is dependent on the numnber of
    # huge_monty_remaining cars
    huge_monty_randomize = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [[0, True, 0.05],
         [0, False, 0.95],
         [1, True, 0.8],
         [1, False, 0.2],
         [2, True, 0.5],
         [2, False, 0.5]], [huge_monty_remaining])

    # Where the huge_monty_prize is depends on if they huge_monty_randomize or
    # not and also the huge_monty_guests huge_monty_friend
    huge_monty_prize = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [[True, True, 'A', 0.3],
         [True, True, 'B', 0.4],
         [True, True, 'C', 0.3],
         [True, False, 'A', 0.2],
         [True, False, 'B', 0.4],
         [True, False, 'C', 0.4],
         [False, True, 'A', 0.1],
         [False, True, 'B', 0.9],
         [False, True, 'C', 0.0],
         [False, False, 'A', 0.0],
         [False, False, 'B', 0.4],
         [False, False, 'C', 0.6]], [huge_monty_randomize, huge_monty_friend])

    # Monty is dependent on both the huge_monty_guest and the huge_monty_prize.
    huge_monty = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [['A', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
         ['A', 'A', 'B', 0.5],
         ['A', 'A', 'C', 0.5],
         ['A', 'B', 'A', 0.0],
         ['A', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
         ['A', 'B', 'C', 1.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'A', 0.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'B', 1.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'B', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'C', 1.0],
         ['B', 'B', 'A', 0.5],
         ['B', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
         ['B', 'B', 'C', 0.5],
         ['B', 'C', 'A', 1.0],
         ['B', 'C', 'B', 0.0],
         ['B', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'A', 0.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'B', 1.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'A', 1.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'B', 0.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'C', 'A', 0.5],
         ['C', 'C', 'B', 0.5],
         ['C', 'C', 'C', 0.0]], [huge_monty_guest, huge_monty_prize])

    # Make the states
    s0 = State(huge_monty_friend, name="huge_monty_friend")
    s1 = State(huge_monty_guest, name="huge_monty_guest")
    s2 = State(huge_monty_prize, name="huge_monty_prize")
    s3 = State(huge_monty, name="huge_monty")
    s4 = State(huge_monty_remaining, name="huge_monty_remaining")
    s5 = State(huge_monty_randomize, name="huge_monty_randomize")

    # Make the bayes net, add the states, and the conditional dependencies.
    huge_monty_network = BayesianNetwork("test")
    huge_monty_network.add_nodes(s0, s1, s2, s3, s4, s5)
    huge_monty_network.add_transition(s0, s1)
    huge_monty_network.add_transition(s1, s3)
    huge_monty_network.add_transition(s2, s3)
    huge_monty_network.add_transition(s4, s5)
    huge_monty_network.add_transition(s5, s2)
    huge_monty_network.add_transition(s0, s2)
    huge_monty_network.bake()
def test_monty():
    guest = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})

    # The actual prize is independent of the other distributions
    prize = DiscreteDistribution({'A': 1. / 3, 'B': 1. / 3, 'C': 1. / 3})

    # Monty is dependent on both the guest and the prize.
    monty = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
        [['A', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'A', 'B', 0.5], ['A', 'A', 'C', 0.5],
         ['A', 'B', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['A', 'B', 'C', 1.0],
         ['A', 'C', 'A', 0.0], ['A', 'C', 'B', 1.0], ['A', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['B', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['B', 'A', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'A', 'C', 1.0],
         ['B', 'B', 'A', 0.5], ['B', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'B', 'C', 0.5],
         ['B', 'C', 'A', 1.0], ['B', 'C', 'B', 0.0], ['B', 'C', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'A', 'A', 0.0], ['C', 'A', 'B', 1.0], ['C', 'A', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'B', 'A', 1.0], ['C', 'B', 'B', 0.0], ['C', 'B', 'C', 0.0],
         ['C', 'C', 'A', 0.5], ['C', 'C', 'B', 0.5], ['C', 'C', 'C', 0.0]],
        [guest, prize])

    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'B', 'C')), 0.)
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'B', 'A')), 0.)
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'C', 'C')), float("-inf"))
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'A')), float("-inf"))
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('B', 'A', 'C')), 0.)
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'A', 'B')), 0.)

    data = [['A', 'A', 'C'], ['A', 'A', 'C'], ['A', 'A', 'B'], ['A', 'A', 'A'],
            ['A', 'A', 'C'], ['B', 'B', 'B'], ['B', 'B', 'C'], ['C', 'C', 'A'],
            ['C', 'C', 'C'], ['C', 'C', 'C'], ['C', 'C', 'C'], ['C', 'B', 'A']]

    monty.fit(data, weights=[1, 1, 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 7, 1, 1, 1, 1])

    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'A')),
                 monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'C')))
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'A')),
                 monty.log_probability(('A', 'A', 'B')))
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('B', 'A', 'A')),
                 monty.log_probability(('B', 'A', 'C')))
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('B', 'B', 'A')), float("-inf"))
    assert_equal(monty.log_probability(('C', 'C', 'B')), float("-inf"))
Esempio n. 27
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        blanket = set()
        for n in node.parents:
            blanket.add(n)

        for n in node.childeren:
            blanket.add(n)
            for parN in n.parents:
                if n != node:
                    blanket.add(parN)
        return blanket


first = DiscreteDistribution({1: 1. / 2, 0: 1. / 2})
second = DiscreteDistribution({1: 1. / 2, 0: 1. / 2})
mainNode = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    [[1, 1, 1, 0.4], [1, 1, 0, 0.6], [1, 0, 1, 0.9], [1, 0, 0, 0.1],
     [0, 1, 1, 0.9], [0, 1, 0, 0.1], [0, 0, 1, 0.4], [0, 0, 0, 0.6]],
    [first, second])

four = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    [[1, 1, 0.4], [1, 0, 0.6], [0, 0, 0.6], [0, 1, 0.4]], [mainNode])
five = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    [[1, 1, 0.4], [1, 0, 0.6], [0, 0, 0.6], [0, 1, 0.4]], [mainNode])

s1 = BNode(first, False, name="first")
s2 = BNode(second, False, name="second")
s3 = BNode(mainNode, True, name="mainNode")
s4 = BNode(four, True, name="dd")
s5 = BNode(five, True, name='ee')

rng = RandomNumberGenerator()
rng.add_edge(s1, s3)
    print(t)
    return t.values.tolist()


def singleVariable(target):
    oneValue = df[target].value_counts()[1] / len(df) or 0
    return {0: 1 - oneValue, 1: oneValue}


anxiety = DiscreteDistribution(singleVariable("Anxiety"))
peer_pressure = DiscreteDistribution(singleVariable("Peer_Pressure"))
genetics = DiscreteDistribution(singleVariable("Genetics"))
allergy = DiscreteDistribution(singleVariable("Allergy"))

smoking = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    buildCpt("Smoking", ["Anxiety", "Peer_Pressure"]),
    [anxiety, peer_pressure])
lung_cancer = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    buildCpt("Lung_cancer", ["Smoking", "Genetics"]), [smoking, genetics])
yellow_fingers = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    buildCpt("Yellow_Fingers", ["Smoking"]), [smoking])
attention_disorder = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    buildCpt("Attention_Disorder", ["Genetics"]), [genetics])
coughing = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    buildCpt("Coughing", ["Allergy", "Lung_cancer"]), [allergy, lung_cancer])
fatigue = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    buildCpt("Fatigue", ["Lung_cancer", "Coughing"]), [lung_cancer, coughing])
car_accident = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    buildCpt("Car_Accident", ["Fatigue", "Attention_Disorder"]),
    [fatigue, attention_disorder],
)
Esempio n. 29
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            condProbDict.append([j, k, val])
    return condProbDict


arr = returnConditionalProbability(df, 'Location', 'Ashwin')
arr
arr = returnConditionalProbability(df, 'Toss', 'Bat')
arr

arr = returnConditionalProbability(df, 'Bat', 'Result')
arr

location = DiscreteDistribution(returnPriorProbability(df, 'Location'))
toss = DiscreteDistribution(returnPriorProbability(df, 'Toss'))

ashwin = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    returnConditionalProbability(df, 'Location', 'Ashwin'), [location])
batting = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    returnConditionalProbability(df, 'Toss', 'Bat'), [toss])
result = ConditionalProbabilityTable(
    returnConditionalProbability(df, 'Bat', 'Result'), [batting])

sLocation = State(location, name="Location")
sToss = State(toss, name="Toss")
sBatting = State(batting, name="Batting")
sAshwin = State(ashwin, name="Ashwin")
sResult = State(result, name="Result")

# Create the Bayesian network object with a useful name
model = BayesianNetwork("Ashwin Playing Problem")

# Add the three states to the network