We have a large amount of simulation data from many related systems. Instead of selecting a different model-building approach for each system, we would like to select and automate a uniform MSM-building procedure, so that we can more easily compare MSMs.

Trajectories --> discrete trajectories --> statistics

python pipeline.py /cbio/jclab/projects/fah/fah-data/munged-with-time/no-solvent/11400/run0-clone0.h5

1. Inputs:
   • List of filenames of munged hdf5 trajectories
     • These are the outputs of the FAHmunge pipeline
   • Lag-time between recorded snapshots
   • Lag-time for MSM estimation
   • Metastability lag-time
2. Indexing:
   • Build an index of filename : nframes pairs.
   • Note that these files can be written to-- nframes can increase over time-- can't assume fixed file length, but can assume that the only file modifications will be to append to the end of the trajectory.
3. Discretizing w.r.t. an appropriate metric
   • Two typical choices of metric:
     • Explicit-feature-based kinetic distance:
       • Compute features (angles, inter-residue distances, etc.)
         • Save computed features as a .npz archive
       • Use tICA to find a linear projection where Euclidean distance approximates diffusion distance
     • MinRMSD
   • Number of clusters. For now, we will fix this to be a large-ish number (1000), as we can recover from an overly fine discretization by "lumping" later.
   • Choice of clustering algorithm: for now, fix to minibatch k-means.
   • Save discrete trajectories as a .npz archive
4. Statistics of discretized trajectories
   • Distribution of trajectory lengths
   • "Ergodic trimming" -- select the largest ergodic subspace, and estimate a Markov model
   • Test Markovianity
     • Implied timescales plots
     • Chapman-Kolmogorov tests among macrostates (macrostates will be defined below!)
   • "Lump" microstates into macrostates
     • Using eigenvalues of transition matrix

1. What do we do for "disconnected" models?
   • In cases where the observed dynamics are not ergodic, what should we do?
2. What scheme gives the best model?