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ThreatDragonModels/Threat model data mining

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Project NFL Game.ipynb

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README.md

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data_generation.py

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feature_selection.py

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model_comparison.py

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model_training.py

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predict.py

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prediction_analysis.py

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utils.py

utils.py

 
 

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An attempt to use supervised machine learning models to predict the outcome of NFL games

Predictions

Week 1

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
ATL @ PHI PHI 70.62 PHI Correct
BUF @ BAL BAL 70.8 BAL Correct
PIT @ CLE PIT 55.14 tie -
CIN @ IND IND 58.88 CIN Wrong
TEN @ MIA MIA 58.0 MIA Correct
SF @ MIN MIN 72.36 MIN Correct
HOU @ NE NE 73.7 NE Correct
TB @ NO NO 71.97 TB Wrong
JAX @ NYG JAX 56.99 JAX Correct
KC @ LAC LAC 65.34 KC Wrong
WAS @ ARI ARI 62.68 WAS Wrong
DAL @ CAR CAR 65.15 CAR Correct
SEA @ DEN DEN 55.16 DEN Correct
CHI @ GB GB 63.02 GB Correct
NYJ @ DET DET 69.59 NYJ Wrong
LA @ OAK LA 51.44 LA Correct

10/16 62.5%

Week 2

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
BAL @ CIN CIN 66.52 CIN Correct
CAR @ ATL CAR 56.72 ATL Wrong
LAC @ BUF BUF 53.94 LAC Wrong
MIN @ GB MIN 59.09 tie -
CLE @ NO NO 66.9 NO Correct
MIA @ NYJ NYJ 67.81 MIA Wrong
KC @ PIT PIT 53.3 KC Wrong
PHI @ TB TB 60.08 TB Correct
HOU @ TEN TEN 62.49 TEN Correct
IND @ WAS WAS 64.81 IND Wrong
ARI @ LA LA 65.74 LA Correct
DET @ SF SF 64.09 SF Correct
OAK @ DEN DEN 69.7 DEN Correct
NE @ JAX JAX 66.84 JAX Correct
NYG @ DAL DAL 65.85 DAL Correct
SEA @ CHI CHI 60.55 CHI Correct

10/16 62.5%

Week 3

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
NYJ @ CLE NYJ 53.97 CLE Wrong
NO @ ATL ATL 63.65 NO Wrong
DEN @ BAL BAL 69.75 BAL Correct
CIN @ CAR CAR 60.2 CAR Correct
NYG @ HOU HOU 62.79 NYG Wrong
TEN @ JAX JAX 71.33 TEN Wrong
SF @ KC KC 72.28 KC Correct
OAK @ MIA MIA 67.17 MIA Correct
BUF @ MIN MIN 68.87 BUF Wrong
IND @ PHI PHI 72.49 PHI Correct
GB @ WAS WAS 65.52 WAS Correct
LAC @ LA LA 62.54 LA Correct
CHI @ ARI CHI 52.8 CHI Correct
DAL @ SEA SEA 53.23 SEA Correct
NE @ DET NE 59.24 DET Wrong
PIT @ TB TB 67.58 PIT Wrong

9/16 56.25%

Week 4

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
MIN @ LA LA 63.48 LA Correct
CIN @ ATL ATL 62.88 CIN Wrong
TB @ CHI CHI 62.84 CHI Correct
DET @ DAL DAL 64.64 DAL Correct
BUF @ GB GB 65.15 GB Correct
HOU @ IND IND 62.63 HOU Wrong
NYJ @ JAX JAX 73.78 JAX Correct
MIA @ NE NE 59.13 NE Correct
PHI @ TEN PHI 50.0 TEN Wrong
SEA @ ARI SEA 65.05 SEA Correct
CLE @ OAK OAK 52.71 OAK Correct
SF @ LAC LAC 68.63 LAC Correct
NO @ NYG NO 59.19 NO Correct
BAL @ PIT BAL 50.78 BAL Correct
KC @ DEN KC 65.67 KC Correct

12/15 80.0%

Week 5

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
IND @ NE NE 72.18 NE Correct
TEN @ BUF TEN 64.49 BUF Wrong
NYG @ CAR CAR 69.65 CAR Correct
MIA @ CIN CIN 66.27 CIN Correct
BAL @ CLE BAL 65.02 CLE Wrong
GB @ DET DET 54.5 DET Correct
JAX @ KC KC 63.93 KC Correct
DEN @ NYJ NYJ 62.94 NYJ Correct
ATL @ PIT PIT 61.1 PIT Correct
OAK @ LAC LAC 70.31 LAC Correct
MIN @ PHI PHI 67.23 MIN Wrong
ARI @ SF SF 69.49 ARI Wrong
LA @ SEA LA 54.5 LA Correct
DAL @ HOU HOU 53.07 HOU Correct
WAS @ NO NO 68.86 NO Correct

11/15 73.33%

Week 6

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
PHI @ NYG PHI 64.65 PHI Correct
TB @ ATL ATL 61.26 ATL Correct
PIT @ CIN CIN 57.72 PIT Wrong
LAC @ CLE LAC 58.57 LAC Correct
BUF @ HOU HOU 69.14 HOU Correct
CHI @ MIA CHI 64.37 MIA Wrong
ARI @ MIN MIN 75.2 MIN Correct
IND @ NYJ NYJ 67.68 NYJ Correct
SEA @ OAK SEA 62.08 SEA Correct
CAR @ WAS CAR 50.77 WAS Wrong
LA @ DEN LA 71.17 LA Correct
JAX @ DAL JAX 53.66 DAL Wrong
BAL @ TEN BAL 58.7 BAL Correct
KC @ NE NE 63.06 NE Correct
SF @ GB GB 66.47 GB Correct

11/15 73.33%

Week 7

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
DEN @ ARI ARI 53.09 DEN Wrong
TEN @ LAC LAC 69.5 LAC Correct
NO @ BAL BAL 66.56 NO Wrong
NE @ CHI CHI 57.61 NE Wrong
BUF @ IND IND 59.52 IND Correct
HOU @ JAX JAX 68.93 HOU Wrong
CIN @ KC KC 71.54 KC Correct
DET @ MIA DET 50.52 DET Correct
MIN @ NYJ NYJ 52.91 MIN Wrong
CAR @ PHI PHI 68.53 CAR Wrong
CLE @ TB TB 56.66 TB Correct
DAL @ WAS DAL 51.96 WAS Wrong
LA @ SF LA 71.25 LA Correct
NYG @ ATL ATL 66.14 ATL Correct

7/14 50.0%

Week 8

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
MIA @ HOU HOU 66.3 HOU Correct
PHI @ JAX PHI 55.98 PHI Correct
BAL @ CAR BAL 55.36 CAR Wrong
NYJ @ CHI CHI 70.59 CHI Correct
TB @ CIN CIN 54.71 CIN Correct
SEA @ DET DET 57.52 SEA Wrong
DEN @ KC KC 71.78 KC Correct
WAS @ NYG WAS 63.05 WAS Correct
CLE @ PIT PIT 69.46 PIT Correct
IND @ OAK IND 53.76 IND Correct
SF @ ARI ARI 52.07 ARI Correct
GB @ LA LA 71.92 LA Correct
NO @ MIN NO 50.75 NO Correct
NE @ BUF NE 76.86 NE Correct

12/14 85.71%

Week 9

Game Predicted Winner Probability Winner Success
OAK @ SF SF 59.09 SF Correct
PIT @ BAL BAL 57.7 PIT Wrong
CHI @ BUF CHI 72.41 CHI Correct
TB @ CAR CAR 73.47 CAR Correct
KC @ CLE KC 77.83 KC Correct
NYJ @ MIA NYJ 60.53 MIA Wrong
DET @ MIN MIN 65.56 MIN Correct
ATL @ WAS WAS 62.09 ATL Wrong
HOU @ DEN DEN 54.21 HOU Wrong
LAC @ SEA SEA 63.07 LAC Wrong
LA @ NO NO 64.54 NO Correct
GB @ NE NE 71.32 NE Correct
TEN @ DAL DAL 67.24 TEN Wrong

7/13 53.85%

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Sports Analytics- National Football League

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