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time_series.py
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time_series.py
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# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
Created on Sun Jul 16 11:54:36 2017
@author: xing-deeplearning
Bidirectional Recurrent Deep Neural Network with LSTM for time series
"""
import numpy as np
#import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import os
os.environ["CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES"] = "1"
Data = []; counter = 0
file_name = 'V'
with open(r"/home/xing/Documents/time series/"+file_name) as f:
for line in f:
counter += 1
line = line.strip()
if line != '':
s = line.split()
Data.append(float(s[1]))
# Data pre-processing
n_steps = 20 # the size of each mini-batch
n_inputs = 1
n_neurons = 100
n_outputs = 1 #This controls the predicting steps
n_layers = 2
MAX = max(Data)
print "Max: %f"%MAX
# Normalization
Data = [i/MAX for i in Data]
splitting_point = len(Data) - (120+n_outputs) #V = 1920 total points
training_data = Data[:splitting_point-n_outputs]
testing_data = Data[splitting_point:-n_outputs]
labels = Data[1:splitting_point]
training_labels = []; testing_labels = []
for i in range(len(labels)-(n_outputs-1)):
temp = []
for j in range(n_outputs):
temp.append(labels[i+j])
training_labels.append(temp)
labels = Data[splitting_point+1:]
for i in range(len(labels)-(n_outputs-1)):
temp = []
for j in range(n_outputs):
temp.append(labels[i+j])
testing_labels.append(temp)
# # plotting stuff
# #plt.plot(np.arange(splitting_point),training_labels)
# plt.plot(np.arange(testing_size-1),np.array(testing_labels)*MAX)
training_data = np.array([[[training_data[j]] for j in range(i*n_steps,(i+1)*n_steps)] for i in range(int((splitting_point-n_outputs)/n_steps))])
training_labels = np.array([[training_labels[j] for j in range(i*n_steps,(i+1)*n_steps)] for i in range(int((splitting_point-n_outputs)/n_steps))])
testing_data = np.array(testing_data).reshape(-1,n_steps,n_inputs)
testing_labels = np.array(testing_labels).reshape(-1,n_steps,n_outputs)
#Time series prediction
import tensorflow as tf
from tensorflow.contrib.layers import fully_connected
X = tf.placeholder(tf.float32,[None,n_steps,n_inputs])
X_reversed = tf.placeholder(tf.float32,[None,n_steps,n_inputs])
y = tf.placeholder(tf.float32,[None,n_steps,n_outputs])
#cell = tf.contrib.rnn.OutputProjectionWrapper(tf.contrib.rnn.BasicRNNCell(num_units=n_neurons,activation=tf.nn.relu),
# output_size = n_outputs)
#basic_cell = tf.contrib.rnn.BasicRNNCell(num_units=n_neurons)
'''
Dropout
'''
#multi_layer_cell = tf.contrib.rnn.MultiRNNCell([tf.contrib.rnn.DropoutWrapper(tf.contrib.rnn.BasicRNNCell(num_units=n_neurons),
# input_keep_prob=0.5) for _ in range(n_layers)])
'''
LSTM
'''
multi_layer_cell = tf.contrib.rnn.MultiRNNCell([tf.contrib.rnn.BasicLSTMCell(num_units=n_neurons) for _ in range(n_layers)])
multi_layer_cell_reversed = tf.contrib.rnn.MultiRNNCell([tf.contrib.rnn.BasicLSTMCell(num_units=n_neurons) for _ in range(n_layers)])
rnn_outputs,states = tf.nn.bidirectional_dynamic_rnn(multi_layer_cell,multi_layer_cell_reversed,X,dtype=tf.float32)
rnn_outputs_fw,rnn_outputs_bw = rnn_outputs
stacked_rnn_outputs_fw = tf.reshape(rnn_outputs_fw,[-1,n_neurons])
stacked_rnn_outputs_bw = tf.reshape(rnn_outputs_bw,[-1,n_neurons])
stacked_rnn_outputs = tf.add(stacked_rnn_outputs_fw,stacked_rnn_outputs_bw)
stacked_outputs = fully_connected(stacked_rnn_outputs,n_outputs,activation_fn=None)
# stacked_outputs = fully_connected(stacked_rnn_outputs,n_outputs) #This will force the output to be positive numbers
outputs = tf.reshape(stacked_outputs,[-1,n_steps,n_outputs])
learning_rate = 0.001
#loss = tf.nn.l2_loss(tf.reduce_mean(tf.square(outputs-y))+ sum(tf.get_collection(tf.GraphKeys.REGULARIZATION_LOSSES)))
loss = tf.add_n([tf.reduce_mean(tf.square(outputs-y))]+ tf.get_collection(tf.GraphKeys.REGULARIZATION_LOSSES))
optimizer = tf.train.AdamOptimizer(learning_rate=learning_rate)
training_op = optimizer.minimize(loss)
init = tf.global_variables_initializer()
n_iterations = 10000
# batch_size = 15
saver = tf.train.Saver(max_to_keep=1)
best_mse = 9999
with tf.Session() as sess:
init.run()
for iteration in range(n_iterations):
X_batch = training_data
y_batch = training_labels
sess.run(training_op, feed_dict={X:X_batch,y:y_batch})
if iteration % 100 == 0:
mse = loss.eval(feed_dict={X:X_batch,y:y_batch})
print (iteration, "\tMSE:", mse)
if mse < best_mse:
best_mse = mse
saver.save(sess,r'/home/xing/Documents/time series/models/model-bi-'+file_name,global_step=iteration,write_meta_graph=True)
print ("Model saved.")
it = iteration
with tf.Session() as sess:
saver = tf.train.import_meta_graph(r'/home/xing/Documents/time series/models/model-bi-'+file_name+'-'+str(it)+'.meta')
saver.restore(sess,tf.train.latest_checkpoint('/home/xing/Documents/time series/models/'))
y_pred = sess.run(outputs,feed_dict={X:testing_data})
mse = sess.run(loss,feed_dict={X:testing_data, y:testing_labels})
#print ("Training MSE: "+str(best_mse))
print ("Testing MSE: "+str(mse))
if n_outputs == 1:
y_pred_list = y_pred.reshape(120*n_outputs)
# plt.plot(np.arange(len(y_pred)),y_pred*MAX)
ground_truth_list = list(testing_labels.reshape(120*n_outputs))
D = 0
N = 0
for i in range(len(y_pred_list)):
if y_pred_list[i] < 0: #used for V predicting 10 steps
continue
else:
N += abs(y_pred_list[i]*MAX-ground_truth_list[i]*MAX)
D += ground_truth_list[i]*MAX
print ("Testing PMAD: "+str(N/D))
else:
print ("Testing PMAD: ")
y_pred_list = y_pred.reshape(-1,n_outputs)
ground_truth = testing_labels.reshape(-1,n_outputs)
for j in range(n_outputs):
D = 0; N = 0
for i in range(len(y_pred_list[:,j])):
if y_pred_list[i][j] < 0:
continue
else:
N += abs(y_pred_list[i][j]*MAX-ground_truth[i][j]*MAX)
D += ground_truth[i][j]*MAX
print N/D,
print ""
print "Writing to files..."
with open(file_name+"_ground_truth_"+str(n_outputs)+"_steps_"+str(n_steps)+"_batch-size_"+str(n_layers)+"_layers.txt","w") as f:
for i in range(testing_labels.shape[0]):
for j in range(testing_labels.shape[1]):
for k in range(testing_labels.shape[2]):
f.write(str(testing_labels[i][j][k]*MAX)+" ")
f.write("\n")
with open(file_name+"_predictions_"+str(n_outputs)+"_steps_"+str(n_steps)+"_batch-size_"+str(n_layers)+"_layers.txt","w") as f:
for i in range(y_pred.shape[0]):
for j in range(y_pred.shape[1]):
for k in range(y_pred.shape[2]):
f.write(str(y_pred[i][j][k]*MAX)+" ")
f.write("\n")
print "Complete!"