/
EXCEL.py
761 lines (451 loc) · 23.8 KB
/
EXCEL.py
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
635
636
637
638
639
640
641
642
643
644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
653
654
655
656
657
658
659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666
667
668
669
670
671
672
673
674
675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682
683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754
755
756
757
#!/usr/bin/env python
# coding: utf-8
# In[1]:
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from pylab import plt
plt.style.use('seaborn')
get_ipython().run_line_magic('matplotlib', 'inline')
import scipy.stats as si
import scipy
# ### THESE ARE THE FUNCTIONS OF THE CODE:
# b) a) i)Annualize Vol from Hourly Data
#
# b) a) ii)Annualize Vol from Daily Data
#
# b) a) iii)Annualize Vol from Daily Data with Sampling at Specific Time of Day
#
# b) b) Annualize Vol with Space Increment Sampling Considering |Δ in bp| ≥ X bp
#
# c) a) i)Derived Time Series from Hourly Data
#
# c) a) ii)Derived Time Series from Daily Data
#
# c) a) iii)Derived Time Series from Daily Data with Sampling at Specific Time of Day
#
# c) b) Derived Time Series from Space Increment Sampling Considering |Δ in bp| ≥ X bp
#
# d)a)i) Running Annualized Vol with Hourly Samples
#
# d)a)ii) Running Annualized Vol with Daily Samples
#
# d)a)iii) Running Annualized Vol with Daily Samples at Specific Time of Day
#
# d)b) Running Annualized Vol with Daily Samples at Specific Time of Day
#
# e)a)i) Plot of Running Annual Vol and Derived Time Series using Hourly Data
#
# e)a)ii) Plot of Running Annual Vol and Derived Time Series using Daily Data
#
# e)a)iii) Plot of Running Annual Vol and Derived Time Series using Daily Data(Sampled at Specific Time of Day)
#
# e)b) Plot of Running Annual Vol and Derived Time Series from Space Increment Sampling Considering |Δ in bp| ≥ X bp
# ### a) Read Time Series and Sets it to DataFrame
# ##### Load Up 10 Yr Bund Data
# In[471]:
DATES=pd.read_csv('BUND_YIELD.csv')['Date'] #Create dataframe with Dates
DATES=DATES[-len(DATES)+1:] #Eliminate very first date data point because it doesnt have a return to it
DATES.head()
# In[783]:
#Load Up Price Data
data=pd.read_csv('BUND_YIELD.csv',index_col=0)
data.head(13)
# In[784]:
#Plot Price Data
ax=data['Price'].plot(rot=90)
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Yield in %')
plt.title('10 Year Bund Yield')
# In[785]:
#Calculate log returns
data['Returns'] = np.log(data.Price) - np.log(data.Price.shift(1))
data.head()
# In[786]:
#Remove NaN values from data set
data=data.dropna(subset=['Returns'])
data.head()
# In[787]:
#Calculate Variance of the entire sample
data['Returns'].var(skipna=True)
# ### b) a)
# Annual Vol (Using Daily Data)= sqrt(DAILY variance)*sqrt(# Trading Days in a Year)
#
# Annual Vol (Using Hourly Data)=sqrt(HOURLY variance)*sqrt(# Trading Hours in a Year)
#
# Number of Trading Days in a Year=252
#
# Number of Trading Hours in a Year=252 Days * Trading Hours in a Days= Total Trading Hours in a Year
#
# #### b) a) i)Annualize Vol from Hourly Data
# In[788]:
#Code to Annualize Vol from Hourly Data
def Hourly_Vol(frequency,trading_hours_per_day):
Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year=252*trading_hours_per_day #Calculates Trading Hours in a year
Sample=data['Price'][frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
Returns=np.log(Sample) - np.log(Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Variance=Returns.var(skipna=True) #Calculates Variance of New Sample
Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Variance)*np.sqrt(Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year/frequency) # Annualizes Vol
return Annual_Vol
# In[789]:
#Annual vol considering hourly data, sampling every 1 hours.
#Considers 1 trading hour in a trading day.
Hourly_Vol(1,1)
# In[790]:
#Annual vol considering hourly data, sampling every 4 hours.
#Considers 11 trading hours in a trading day.
Hourly_Vol(4,11)
# #### b) a) ii)Annualize Vol from Daily Data
# In[316]:
def Daily_Vol(frequency,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][trading_hours_per_day-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data. According to # trading hours per day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
Returns=np.log(NEW_Sample) - np.log(NEW_Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Variance=Returns.var(skipna=True) #Calculates Variance of New Sample
Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Variance)*np.sqrt(252/frequency) #Annualizes Vol
return Annual_Vol
# In[317]:
#Annual vol considering daily data, sampling every 3 days.
#Considers 11 trading hours in a trading day
Daily_Vol(3,11)
# In[318]:
#Annual vol considering daily data, sampling every 2 days.
#Considers 1 trading hour in a trading day
Daily_Vol(2,1)
# #### b) a) iii)Annualize Vol from Daily Data with Sampling at Specific Time of Day
# In[307]:
#inputs are: frequency of sampling(in days), sampling time of the day (in hours) and trading hours per day
#sampling_time= the 'i'th hour of the trading day in which the data is sampled
def Daily_Vol_Specific_Hour(frequency,sampling_time,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][sampling_time-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data based on Sampling Time of Day AND Trading Hours per Day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on sampling frequency input
Returns=np.log(NEW_Sample) - np.log(NEW_Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Variance=Returns.var(skipna=True) #Calculates Variance of New Sample
Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Variance)*np.sqrt(252/frequency) #Annualizes Vol
return Annual_Vol
# In[308]:
#Annual vol considering DAILY data sampled on the 6th trading hour of the day.
#Considers 8 trading hours in a trading day
Daily_Vol_Specific_Hour(1,6,8)
# In[294]:
#Annual vol considering data sampled every other day, on the 7th trading hour of the day
#Considers 11 trading hours in a trading day
Daily_Vol_Specific_Hour(2,7,11)
# ### b) b) Space Increment Sampling Considering |Δ in bp| ≥ X bp
# In[547]:
def Space_Increment_Vol(increment_in_bp,trading_hours_per_day):
Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year=252*trading_hours_per_day #Calculates Trading Hours in a year
Increment_Sample=[] #Create a List for the samples
Increment_Sample.append(data['Price'][0]) #Add the first data point in our data
Index_List=[1] #Create a list for the index of the samples
#Loop to add the element in the list ONLY if its value is more than X bp away from last sample
counter=0 #counter to keep track in which hours did we sample
for i in data['Price']:
counter+=1
if abs(i-np.array(Increment_Sample[-1:]))>=(increment_in_bp/100):
Increment_Sample.append(i)
Index_List.append(counter)
else:
continue
#Calculate the average distance (in hours) between each samples
dt=np.array([x - Index_List[i - 1] for i, x in enumerate(Index_List)][1:]).mean()
#Convert to a DataFrame
Increment_Sample=pd.DataFrame(Increment_Sample)
#Calculate Returns on NEW sample
Returns=np.log(Increment_Sample) - np.log(Increment_Sample.shift(1))
# Calculate Variance
Variance=Returns.var(skipna=True)
#Calculate Annualized Vol based on average distance (in hours) between samples (dt) and the trading hours in a year
Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Variance)*np.sqrt(Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year/dt) #
return Annual_Vol
# In[548]:
#Variance sampling only moves ≥ 5bp from last Sampled Point
#Annualized vol based on conditional absolute size move (5bp) sampling
#Considering 8 trading hours per day
Space_Increment_Vol(5,8)
# In[ ]:
# #### c) a) i)Derived Time Series from Hourly Data
# In[63]:
def Hourly_Derived_Time_Series(frequency):
Sample=data['Price'][frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
return pd.DataFrame(Sample)
# In[437]:
#Derived hourly time series, sampling every 7th hour
Hourly_Derived_Time_Series(7).head()
# #### c) a) ii)Derived Time Series from Daily Data
# In[321]:
def Daily_Derived_Time_Series(frequency,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][trading_hours_per_day-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data. According to # trading hours per day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
return pd.DataFrame(NEW_Sample)
# In[326]:
#Derived daily time series, sampling every 3rd day
#Considers 8 trading hours per day
Daily_Derived_Time_Series(1,8).head()
# #### c) a) iii)Derived Time Series from Daily Data with Sampling at Specific Time of Day
# In[328]:
def Daily_Derived_Time_Series_Specific_Hour(frequency,sampling_time,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][sampling_time-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data based on Trading Hours per day and Sampling time of day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
return pd.DataFrame(NEW_Sample)
# In[329]:
#Derived daily time series, sampling every 5th day, on the 8th trading hour of the day
#Considers 10 trading hours per day
Daily_Derived_Time_Series_Specific_Hour(5,8,10).head()
# #### c) b) Derived Time Series from Space Increment Sampling Considering |Δ in bp| ≥ X bp
# In[558]:
def Space_Increment_Time_Series(increment_in_bp):
Increment_Sample=[] #Create a List for the samples
Dates_List=[] #Create list for Dates
Increment_Sample.append(data['Price'][0]) #Add the first data point in our data
Dates_List.append(DATES[0:1]) #Add the first
Index_List=[1] #Create a list for the index of the samples
#Loop to add the element in the list ONLY if its value is more than X bp away from last sample
counter=0 #counter to keep track in which hours did we sample
for i in data['Price']:
counter+=1
if abs(i-np.array(Increment_Sample[-1:]))>=(increment_in_bp/100):
Increment_Sample.append(i)
Index_List.append(counter)
Dates_List.append(DATES[counter])
else:
continue
Final_DF=pd.DataFrame(Increment_Sample,columns=['Price']) #Create dataframe with sampled prices
Final_DF['Dates']=Dates_List #Add sampled dates to the dataframe
Final_DF.set_index('Dates',inplace=True, drop=True) #Set Dates as the index
return Final_DF
# In[563]:
#Derived time series, sampling only moves ≥ 5bp from last Sampled Point
Space_Increment_Time_Series(5).head()
# ### d) Running Annualized Vol
# In[332]:
#Rolling 1 Hour Variance with window size of 200 hours(data points)
data['Returns'].rolling(200).var().plot(rot=90)
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Hourly Variance')
plt.title('Rolling 1 Hour Variance with window size of 200 hours')
# In[ ]:
# In[ ]:
# In[333]:
#Rolling Annual Vol for 1 Hour with running window size=200
pd.DataFrame(np.sqrt(data['Returns'].rolling(200).var())*np.sqrt(2772)).plot(rot=90)
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Annual Volatility (%)')
plt.title('Rolling Annual Vol for 1 Hour Data with window size=200')
# #### d)a)i) Running Annualized Vol with Hourly Samples
# In[564]:
def Running_Annual_Vol_with_Hourly_Samples(frequency,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year=252*trading_hours_per_day #Calculates Trading Hours in a year
Sample=data['Price'][frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
Returns=np.log(Sample) - np.log(Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates hourly running variance based on 'window size' input
Running_Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year/frequency)
return pd.DataFrame(Running_Annual_Vol)
# In[565]:
#Running Annual Vol, Sampling every Hour and with window size of 200 hours
#Considers 8 trading hours in a day
Running_Annual_Vol_with_Hourly_Samples(1,200,8).plot(rot=90)
# In[566]:
#Running Annual Vol, Sampling every 3 Hours and with window size of 200
#Considers 11 trading hours in a day
Running_Annual_Vol_with_Hourly_Samples(3,200,11).plot()
# #### d)a)ii) Running Annualized Vol with Daily Samples
# In[567]:
def Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples(frequency,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][trading_hours_per_day-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data. According to # trading hours per day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
Returns=np.log(NEW_Sample) - np.log(NEW_Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates daily running variance based on 'window size' input
Running_Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(252/frequency)
return pd.DataFrame(Running_Annual_Vol)
# In[568]:
#Running Annual Vol, Sampling every 2 Days and with window size of 200 days
#Considers 8 trading hours in a day
Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples(2,20,8).plot(rot=90)
# In[ ]:
# #### d)a)iii) Running Annualized Vol with Daily Samples at Specific Time of Day
# In[672]:
def Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples_on_Specific_Time_of_Day(frequency,sampling_time,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][sampling_time-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data based on Sampling Time of Day AND Trading Hours per Day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on sampling frequency input
Returns=np.log(NEW_Sample) - np.log(NEW_Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates daily running variance based on 'window size' input
Running_Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(252/frequency)
return pd.DataFrame(Running_Annual_Vol)
# In[673]:
#Running Annual Vol Sampling every 2 days on the 11th trading hour of the day, with window size=20
#Considers 8 trading hours in a day
Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples_on_Specific_Time_of_Day(2,11,20,8).plot(rot=90)
# In[ ]:
# #### d)b) Running Annualized Vol with Daily Samples at Specific Time of Day
# In[644]:
def Running_Vol_with_Space_Increment_Sampling(increment_in_bp,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year=252*trading_hours_per_day #Calculates Trading Hours in a year
Increment_Sample=[] #Create a List for the samples
Dates_List=[] #Create list for Dates
Increment_Sample.append(data['Price'][0]) #Add the first data point in our data
Dates_List.append(DATES[0:1]) #Add the first Date
Index_List=[1] #Create a list for the index of the samples
#Loop to add the element in the list ONLY if its value is more than X bp away from last sample
counter=0 #counter to keep track in which hours did we sample
for i in data['Price']:
counter+=1
if abs(i-np.array(Increment_Sample[-1:]))>=(increment_in_bp/100):
Increment_Sample.append(i)
Index_List.append(counter)
Dates_List.append(DATES[counter])
else:
continue
#Convert to a DataFrame
Increment_Sample=pd.DataFrame(Increment_Sample)
#Calculate Returns on NEW sample
Returns=np.log(Increment_Sample) - np.log(Increment_Sample.shift(1))
#Calculate Running average distance(in hours) between samples
dt=pd.DataFrame([x - Index_List[i - 1] for i, x in enumerate(Index_List)][1:]).rolling(window).mean()
# Calculate Running Variance
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates hourly running variance based on 'window size' input
#Calculate Annualized Vol based on average distance (in hours) between samples (dt) and the trading hours in a year
Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year/dt)
Final_DF=pd.DataFrame(Annual_Vol)#Create dataframe with Running Annual Vol
Final_DF['Dates']=Dates_List #Add sampled dates to the dataframe
Final_DF.set_index('Dates',inplace=True, drop=True) #Set Dates as the index
Final_DF.columns = ['Running Annual Vol'] #Assign column name
return Final_DF
# In[647]:
#Running Annualized vol sampling only when theres a move larger than 5bp from previous sampled point
#Considers window size of 50 hours and 8 trading hours in a day
Running_Vol_with_Space_Increment_Sampling(5,50,8).plot(rot=90)
# ### e) Plotting c and d on the same graph
# #### e)i) HOURLY
# In[781]:
def CHART_Running_Annual_Vol_with_Hourly_Samples(frequency,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year=252*trading_hours_per_day #Calculates Trading Hours in a year
Sample=data['Price'][frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
Returns=np.log(Sample) - np.log(Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates hourly running variance based on 'window size' input
Running_Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year/frequency)
#Place Running Vols and Time Series in DataFrame
DF=pd.DataFrame(Sample)
DF['Running_Vol']=Running_Annual_Vol
#Create Plot
DF.Price.plot()
plt.legend()
plt.ylabel('Yield (%)')
DF.Running_Vol.plot(secondary_y=True, style='g',rot=90)
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Running Vol')
plt.title('10 Year Bund Yield vs Annualized Running Vol (Window Size=200)')
plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(0.8, 1))
plt.text(0.8, 5.4, "Frequency={}. Window Size={}. Trading Hours per Day={}".format(frequency, window,trading_hours_per_day))
return plt
# In[782]:
#Plots Running Annual Vol vs Price with two vertical axis
#Considers sampling every hour, window size of 200 and 8 trading hours in a day
CHART_Running_Annual_Vol_with_Hourly_Samples(1,200,8);
# In[ ]:
# #### e)ii) DAILY
# In[773]:
def CHART_Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples(frequency,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][trading_hours_per_day-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data. According to # trading hours per day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on frequency input
Returns=np.log(NEW_Sample) - np.log(NEW_Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates daily running variance based on 'window size' input
Running_Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(252/frequency) #Calculate Running Annual Vol
#Place NEW Sampled data (prices) and Running Vols in DataFrame
DF=pd.DataFrame(NEW_Sample)
DF['Running_Vol']=Running_Annual_Vol
#Create Plot
DF.Price.plot()
plt.legend()
plt.ylabel('Yield (%)')
DF.Running_Vol.plot(secondary_y=True, style='g',rot=90)
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Running Vol')
plt.title('10 Year Bund Yield vs Annualized Running Vol (Window Size=200)')
plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(0.8, 1))
plt.text(0.8, 4.7, "Frequency={}. Window Size={}. Trading Hours per Day={}".format(frequency, window,trading_hours_per_day))
return plt
# In[774]:
#Plots running annual vol vs price using daily data (extracted from hourly data)
#Considers sampling every 2 days, window size of 20 and 8 trading hours in a day
CHART_Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples(2,50,8)
# In[ ]:
# #### e)iii) DAILY SAMPLING ON SPECIFIC TIME OF DAY
# In[767]:
def CHART_Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples_on_Specific_Time_of_Day(frequency,sampling_time,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Original_DAILY_Sample=data['Price'][sampling_time-1::trading_hours_per_day] #Grabs the Hourly Data and Converts it into Daily Data based on Sampling Time of Day AND Trading Hours per Day
NEW_Sample=Original_DAILY_Sample[frequency-1::frequency] #Creates New Sampling list based on sampling frequency input
Returns=np.log(NEW_Sample) - np.log(NEW_Sample.shift(1)) #Calculates Returns on New Sample
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates daily running variance based on 'window size' input
Running_Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(252/frequency)
#Place NEW Sampled data (prices) and Running Vols in DataFrame
DF=pd.DataFrame(NEW_Sample)
DF['Running_Vol']=Running_Annual_Vol
#Create Plot
DF.Price.plot()
plt.legend()
#data.Price.plot()
plt.ylabel('Yield (%)')
DF.Running_Vol.plot(secondary_y=True, style='g',rot=90)
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Running Vol')
plt.title('10 Year Bund Yield vs Annualized Running Vol ')
plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(0.8, 1))
plt.text(0.8, 3.5, "Sampling Time={}. Window Size={}. Trading Hours per Day={}".format(sampling_time, window,trading_hours_per_day))
return plt
# In[768]:
#Plots running annual vol vs price using daily data (extracted from hourly data)
#Considers sampling every 2 days,samples made on the 5th hour of the day,
#window size of 50 and 8 trading hours in a day
CHART_Running_Annual_Vol_with_Daily_Samples_on_Specific_Time_of_Day(2,5,50,8)
# #### e)b) SAMPLING ONLY IF MOVE IS ≥ X bp
# In[761]:
def CHART_Running_Vol_with_Space_Increment_Sampling(increment_in_bp,window,trading_hours_per_day):
Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year=252*trading_hours_per_day #Calculates Trading Hours in a year
Increment_Sample=[] #Create a List for the samples
Dates_List=[] #Create list for Dates
Increment_Sample.append(data['Price'][0]) #Add the first data point in our data
Dates_List.append(DATES[0:1]) #Add the first Date
Index_List=[1] #Create a list for the index of the samples
#Loop to add the element in the list ONLY if its value is more than X bp away from last sample
counter=0 #counter to keep track in which hours did we sample
for i in data['Price']:
counter+=1
if abs(i-np.array(Increment_Sample[-1:]))>=(increment_in_bp/100):
Increment_Sample.append(i)
Index_List.append(counter)
Dates_List.append(DATES[counter])
else:
continue
#Convert to a DataFrame
Increment_Sample=pd.DataFrame(Increment_Sample)
#Calculate Returns on NEW sample
Returns=np.log(Increment_Sample) - np.log(Increment_Sample.shift(1))
#Calculate Running average distance(in hours) between samples
dt=pd.DataFrame([x - Index_List[i - 1] for i, x in enumerate(Index_List)][1:]).rolling(window).mean()
# Calculate Running Variance
Running_Variance=Returns.rolling(window).var() #Calculates hourly running variance based on 'window size' input
#Calculate Annualized Vol based on average distance (in hours) between samples (dt) and the trading hours in a year
Annual_Vol=np.sqrt(Running_Variance)*np.sqrt(Trading_Hours_in_Trading_Year/dt)
Final_DF=pd.DataFrame(Annual_Vol)#Create dataframe with Running Annual Vol
Final_DF['Dates']=Dates_List #Add sampled dates to the dataframe
Final_DF.set_index('Dates',inplace=True, drop=True) #Set Dates as the index
Final_DF.columns = ['Running_Annual_Vol'] #Assign column name
#Create Plot
Increment_Sample.columns = ['Price'] #Assign column name
Increment_Sample.plot()
plt.legend()
plt.ylabel('Yield (%)')
#plt.plot([], [], ' ', label="Extra label on the legend")
#plt.legend()
#data.Price.plot()
Final_DF.Running_Annual_Vol.plot(secondary_y=True, style='g',rot=90)
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Running Vol')
plt.title('10 Year Bund Yield vs Annualized Running Vol ')
plt.legend(bbox_to_anchor=(.8, 1))
plt.text(0.8, 7.2, "SAMPLING ONLY IF MOVE IS ≥ {} bp. Window Size= {}".format(increment_in_bp, window))
return plt
# In[762]:
CHART_Running_Vol_with_Space_Increment_Sampling(5,20,8)
# ## End of Project
# In[ ]: