Beispiel #1
0
    def __init__(
        self,
        cell_type: str = "LSTM",
        hidden_size: int = 10,
        rnn_layers: int = 2,
        dropout: float = 0.1,
        static_categoricals: List[str] = [],
        static_reals: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_categoricals_encoder: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_categoricals_decoder: List[str] = [],
        categorical_groups: Dict[str, List[str]] = {},
        time_varying_reals_encoder: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_reals_decoder: List[str] = [],
        embedding_sizes: Dict[str, Tuple[int, int]] = {},
        embedding_paddings: List[str] = [],
        embedding_labels: Dict[str, np.ndarray] = {},
        x_reals: List[str] = [],
        x_categoricals: List[str] = [],
        n_validation_samples: int = None,
        n_plotting_samples: int = None,
        target: Union[str, List[str]] = None,
        loss: MultiHorizonMetric = None,
        logging_metrics: nn.ModuleList = None,
        **kwargs,
    ):
        """
        Args:
            cell_type (str, optional): Recurrent cell type ["LSTM", "GRU"]. Defaults to "LSTM".
            hidden_size (int, optional): hidden recurrent size - the most important hyperparameter along with
                ``rnn_layers``. Defaults to 10.
            rnn_layers (int, optional): Number of RNN layers - important hyperparameter. Defaults to 2.
            dropout (float, optional): Dropout in RNN layers. Defaults to 0.1.
            static_categoricals: integer of positions of static categorical variables
            static_reals: integer of positions of static continuous variables
            time_varying_categoricals_encoder: integer of positions of categorical variables for encoder
            time_varying_categoricals_decoder: integer of positions of categorical variables for decoder
            time_varying_reals_encoder: integer of positions of continuous variables for encoder
            time_varying_reals_decoder: integer of positions of continuous variables for decoder
            categorical_groups: dictionary where values
                are list of categorical variables that are forming together a new categorical
                variable which is the key in the dictionary
            x_reals: order of continuous variables in tensor passed to forward function
            x_categoricals: order of categorical variables in tensor passed to forward function
            embedding_sizes: dictionary mapping (string) indices to tuple of number of categorical classes and
                embedding size
            embedding_paddings: list of indices for embeddings which transform the zero's embedding to a zero vector
            embedding_labels: dictionary mapping (string) indices to list of categorical labels
            n_validation_samples (int, optional): Number of samples to use for calculating validation metrics.
                Defaults to None, i.e. no sampling at validation stage and using "mean" of distribution for logging
                metrics calculation.
            n_plotting_samples (int, optional): Number of samples to generate for plotting predictions
                during training. Defaults to ``n_validation_samples`` if not None or 100 otherwise.
            target (str, optional): Target variable or list of target variables. Defaults to None.
            loss (DistributionLoss, optional): Distribution loss function. Keep in mind that each distribution
                loss function might have specific requirements for target normalization.
                Defaults to :py:class:`~pytorch_forecasting.metrics.NormalDistributionLoss`.
            logging_metrics (nn.ModuleList, optional): Metrics to log during training.
                Defaults to nn.ModuleList([SMAPE(), MAE(), RMSE(), MAPE(), MASE()]).
        """
        # saves arguments in signature to `.hparams` attribute, mandatory call - do not skip this
        self.save_hyperparameters()
        # pass additional arguments to BaseModel.__init__, mandatory call - do not skip this
        super().__init__(loss=loss, logging_metrics=logging_metrics, **kwargs)

        assert set(self.encoder_variables) - set(to_list(target)) == set(
            self.decoder_variables
        ), "Encoder and decoder variables have to be the same apart from target variable"
        for targeti in to_list(target):
            assert (
                targeti in time_varying_reals_encoder
            ), f"target {targeti} has to be real"  # todo: remove this restriction

        self.embeddings = MultiEmbedding(
            embedding_sizes=embedding_sizes,
            embedding_paddings=embedding_paddings,
            categorical_groups=categorical_groups,
            x_categoricals=x_categoricals,
        )

        time_series_rnn = get_rnn(cell_type)
        cont_size = len(self.reals)
        cat_size = sum([size[1] for size in self.hparams.embedding_sizes.values()])
        input_size = cont_size + cat_size
        self.rnn = time_series_rnn(
            input_size=input_size,
            hidden_size=self.hparams.hidden_size,
            num_layers=self.hparams.rnn_layers,
            dropout=self.hparams.dropout if self.hparams.rnn_layers > 1 else 0,
            batch_first=True,
        )

        # add linear layers for argument projects
        if isinstance(target, str):  # single target
            self.output_projector = nn.Linear(self.hparams.hidden_size, 1)
        else:  # multi target
            self.output_projector = nn.ModuleList([nn.Linear(self.hparams.hidden_size, 1) for _ in target])
Beispiel #2
0
    def __init__(
        self,
        cell_type: str = "LSTM",
        hidden_size: int = 10,
        rnn_layers: int = 2,
        dropout: float = 0.1,
        static_categoricals: List[str] = [],
        static_reals: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_categoricals_encoder: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_categoricals_decoder: List[str] = [],
        categorical_groups: Dict[str, List[str]] = {},
        time_varying_reals_encoder: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_reals_decoder: List[str] = [],
        embedding_sizes: Dict[str, Tuple[int, int]] = {},
        embedding_paddings: List[str] = [],
        embedding_labels: Dict[str, np.ndarray] = {},
        x_reals: List[str] = [],
        x_categoricals: List[str] = [],
        output_size: Union[int, List[int]] = 1,
        target: Union[str, List[str]] = None,
        target_lags: Dict[str, List[int]] = {},
        loss: MultiHorizonMetric = None,
        logging_metrics: nn.ModuleList = None,
        **kwargs,
    ):
        """
        Recurrent Network.

        Simple LSTM or GRU layer followed by output layer

        Args:
            cell_type (str, optional): Recurrent cell type ["LSTM", "GRU"]. Defaults to "LSTM".
            hidden_size (int, optional): hidden recurrent size - the most important hyperparameter along with
                ``rnn_layers``. Defaults to 10.
            rnn_layers (int, optional): Number of RNN layers - important hyperparameter. Defaults to 2.
            dropout (float, optional): Dropout in RNN layers. Defaults to 0.1.
            static_categoricals: integer of positions of static categorical variables
            static_reals: integer of positions of static continuous variables
            time_varying_categoricals_encoder: integer of positions of categorical variables for encoder
            time_varying_categoricals_decoder: integer of positions of categorical variables for decoder
            time_varying_reals_encoder: integer of positions of continuous variables for encoder
            time_varying_reals_decoder: integer of positions of continuous variables for decoder
            categorical_groups: dictionary where values
                are list of categorical variables that are forming together a new categorical
                variable which is the key in the dictionary
            x_reals: order of continuous variables in tensor passed to forward function
            x_categoricals: order of categorical variables in tensor passed to forward function
            embedding_sizes: dictionary mapping (string) indices to tuple of number of categorical classes and
                embedding size
            embedding_paddings: list of indices for embeddings which transform the zero's embedding to a zero vector
            embedding_labels: dictionary mapping (string) indices to list of categorical labels
            output_size (Union[int, List[int]], optional): number of outputs (e.g. number of quantiles for
                QuantileLoss and one target or list of output sizes).
            target (str, optional): Target variable or list of target variables. Defaults to None.
            target_lags (Dict[str, Dict[str, int]]): dictionary of target names mapped to list of time steps by
                which the variable should be lagged.
                Lags can be useful to indicate seasonality to the models. If you know the seasonalit(ies) of your data,
                add at least the target variables with the corresponding lags to improve performance.
                Defaults to no lags, i.e. an empty dictionary.
            loss (MultiHorizonMetric, optional): loss: loss function taking prediction and targets.
            logging_metrics (nn.ModuleList, optional): Metrics to log during training.
                Defaults to nn.ModuleList([SMAPE(), MAE(), RMSE(), MAPE(), MASE()]).
        """
        if loss is None:
            loss = MAE()
        if logging_metrics is None:
            logging_metrics = nn.ModuleList(
                [SMAPE(), MAE(), RMSE(),
                 MAPE(), MASE()])
        self.save_hyperparameters()
        # store loss function separately as it is a module
        super().__init__(loss=loss, logging_metrics=logging_metrics, **kwargs)

        self.embeddings = MultiEmbedding(
            embedding_sizes=embedding_sizes,
            embedding_paddings=embedding_paddings,
            categorical_groups=categorical_groups,
            x_categoricals=x_categoricals,
        )

        lagged_target_names = [
            l for lags in target_lags.values() for l in lags
        ]
        assert set(self.encoder_variables) - set(
            to_list(target)
        ) - set(lagged_target_names) == set(self.decoder_variables) - set(
            lagged_target_names
        ), "Encoder and decoder variables have to be the same apart from target variable"
        for targeti in to_list(target):
            assert (
                targeti in time_varying_reals_encoder
            ), f"target {targeti} has to be real"  # todo: remove this restriction
        assert (
            isinstance(target, str) and isinstance(loss, MultiHorizonMetric)
        ) or (
            isinstance(target, (list, tuple)) and isinstance(loss, MultiLoss)
            and len(loss) == len(target)
        ), "number of targets should be equivalent to number of loss metrics"

        rnn_class = get_rnn(cell_type)
        cont_size = len(self.reals)
        cat_size = sum(
            [size[1] for size in self.hparams.embedding_sizes.values()])
        input_size = cont_size + cat_size
        self.rnn = rnn_class(
            input_size=input_size,
            hidden_size=self.hparams.hidden_size,
            num_layers=self.hparams.rnn_layers,
            dropout=self.hparams.dropout if self.hparams.rnn_layers > 1 else 0,
            batch_first=True,
        )

        # add linear layers for argument projects
        if isinstance(target, str):  # single target
            self.output_projector = nn.Linear(self.hparams.hidden_size,
                                              self.hparams.output_size)
            assert not isinstance(
                self.loss, QuantileLoss
            ), "QuantileLoss does not work with recurrent network"
        else:  # multi target
            self.output_projector = nn.ModuleList([
                nn.Linear(self.hparams.hidden_size, size)
                for size in self.hparams.output_size
            ])
            for l in self.loss:
                assert not isinstance(
                    l, QuantileLoss
                ), "QuantileLoss does not work with recurrent network"
Beispiel #3
0
    def __init__(
        self,
        cell_type: str = "LSTM",
        hidden_size: int = 10,
        rnn_layers: int = 2,
        dropout: float = 0.1,
        static_categoricals: List[str] = [],
        static_reals: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_categoricals_encoder: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_categoricals_decoder: List[str] = [],
        categorical_groups: Dict[str, List[str]] = {},
        time_varying_reals_encoder: List[str] = [],
        time_varying_reals_decoder: List[str] = [],
        embedding_sizes: Dict[str, Tuple[int, int]] = {},
        embedding_paddings: List[str] = [],
        embedding_labels: Dict[str, np.ndarray] = {},
        x_reals: List[str] = [],
        x_categoricals: List[str] = [],
        n_validation_samples: int = None,
        n_plotting_samples: int = None,
        target: Union[str, List[str]] = None,
        target_lags: Dict[str, List[int]] = {},
        loss: DistributionLoss = None,
        logging_metrics: nn.ModuleList = None,
        **kwargs,
    ):
        """
        DeepAR Network.

        The code is based on the article `DeepAR: Probabilistic forecasting with autoregressive recurrent networks
        <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207019301888>`_.

        Args:
            cell_type (str, optional): Recurrent cell type ["LSTM", "GRU"]. Defaults to "LSTM".
            hidden_size (int, optional): hidden recurrent size - the most important hyperparameter along with
                ``rnn_layers``. Defaults to 10.
            rnn_layers (int, optional): Number of RNN layers - important hyperparameter. Defaults to 2.
            dropout (float, optional): Dropout in RNN layers. Defaults to 0.1.
            static_categoricals: integer of positions of static categorical variables
            static_reals: integer of positions of static continuous variables
            time_varying_categoricals_encoder: integer of positions of categorical variables for encoder
            time_varying_categoricals_decoder: integer of positions of categorical variables for decoder
            time_varying_reals_encoder: integer of positions of continuous variables for encoder
            time_varying_reals_decoder: integer of positions of continuous variables for decoder
            categorical_groups: dictionary where values
                are list of categorical variables that are forming together a new categorical
                variable which is the key in the dictionary
            x_reals: order of continuous variables in tensor passed to forward function
            x_categoricals: order of categorical variables in tensor passed to forward function
            embedding_sizes: dictionary mapping (string) indices to tuple of number of categorical classes and
                embedding size
            embedding_paddings: list of indices for embeddings which transform the zero's embedding to a zero vector
            embedding_labels: dictionary mapping (string) indices to list of categorical labels
            n_validation_samples (int, optional): Number of samples to use for calculating validation metrics.
                Defaults to None, i.e. no sampling at validation stage and using "mean" of distribution for logging
                metrics calculation.
            n_plotting_samples (int, optional): Number of samples to generate for plotting predictions
                during training. Defaults to ``n_validation_samples`` if not None or 100 otherwise.
            target (str, optional): Target variable or list of target variables. Defaults to None.
            target_lags (Dict[str, Dict[str, int]]): dictionary of target names mapped to list of time steps by
                which the variable should be lagged.
                Lags can be useful to indicate seasonality to the models. If you know the seasonalit(ies) of your data,
                add at least the target variables with the corresponding lags to improve performance.
                Defaults to no lags, i.e. an empty dictionary.
            loss (DistributionLoss, optional): Distribution loss function. Keep in mind that each distribution
                loss function might have specific requirements for target normalization.
                Defaults to :py:class:`~pytorch_forecasting.metrics.NormalDistributionLoss`.
            logging_metrics (nn.ModuleList, optional): Metrics to log during training.
                Defaults to nn.ModuleList([SMAPE(), MAE(), RMSE(), MAPE(), MASE()]).
        """
        if loss is None:
            loss = NormalDistributionLoss()
        if logging_metrics is None:
            logging_metrics = nn.ModuleList(
                [SMAPE(), MAE(), RMSE(),
                 MAPE(), MASE()])
        if n_plotting_samples is None:
            if n_validation_samples is None:
                n_plotting_samples = n_validation_samples
            else:
                n_plotting_samples = 100
        self.save_hyperparameters()
        # store loss function separately as it is a module
        super().__init__(loss=loss, logging_metrics=logging_metrics, **kwargs)

        self.embeddings = MultiEmbedding(
            embedding_sizes=embedding_sizes,
            embedding_paddings=embedding_paddings,
            categorical_groups=categorical_groups,
            x_categoricals=x_categoricals,
        )

        lagged_target_names = [
            l for lags in target_lags.values() for l in lags
        ]
        assert set(self.encoder_variables) - set(
            to_list(target)
        ) - set(lagged_target_names) == set(self.decoder_variables) - set(
            lagged_target_names
        ), "Encoder and decoder variables have to be the same apart from target variable"
        for targeti in to_list(target):
            assert (
                targeti in time_varying_reals_encoder
            ), f"target {targeti} has to be real"  # todo: remove this restriction
        assert (
            isinstance(target, str) and isinstance(loss, DistributionLoss)
        ) or (
            isinstance(target,
                       (list, tuple)) and isinstance(loss, MultiLoss) and
            len(loss)
            == len(target)
        ), "number of targets should be equivalent to number of loss metrics"

        rnn_class = get_rnn(cell_type)
        cont_size = len(self.reals)
        cat_size = sum(
            [size[1] for size in self.hparams.embedding_sizes.values()])
        input_size = cont_size + cat_size
        self.rnn = rnn_class(
            input_size=input_size,
            hidden_size=self.hparams.hidden_size,
            num_layers=self.hparams.rnn_layers,
            dropout=self.hparams.dropout if self.hparams.rnn_layers > 1 else 0,
            batch_first=True,
        )

        # add linear layers for argument projects
        if isinstance(target, str):  # single target
            self.distribution_projector = nn.Linear(
                self.hparams.hidden_size,
                len(self.loss.distribution_arguments))
        else:  # multi target
            self.distribution_projector = nn.ModuleList([
                nn.Linear(self.hparams.hidden_size, len(args))
                for args in self.loss.distribution_arguments
            ])