Beispiel #1
0
def _RU(Xc, PE_cr, fixORopt):
    tm_st = PE_cr['tm_st']
    tm_ed = PE_cr['tm_ed']
    if (_isNullP(PE_cr)):
        if (DBG0): tl.msg("%s ...... _RU: (null)" % (IDT_E))
    else:
        cid = PE_cr['cid']  # put cid
        md_c = tl.dcopy(PE_cr['md'])  # copy model
        md_c.n = len(Xc)
        md_c.data = Xc  # copy data
        if (fixORopt == 'OPT'):
            md_c = md_c.fit_si(W_RR, DPS)  # update init si (i.e., s(0)=si)
        (Sc, Vc) = md_c.gen()  # generate events
        errV = tl.RMSE(Xc, Vc)
        md_c.fn = "seg:t%d-%d_e%.2f" % (tm_st, tm_ed, errV)
        if (DBG0):
            tl.msg("%s ...... _RU: errV:%f (cid:%d)" % (IDT_E, errV, cid))
        PE_cr = {
            'md': md_c,
            'cid': cid,
            'Vc': Vc,
            'Sc': Sc,
            'siset': {},
            'tm_st': tm_st,
            'tm_ed': tm_ed,
            'errV': errV
        }
    return PE_cr
Beispiel #2
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def _update_md_ms_reset_cIDs(mdb):  
    mdb_org=tl.dcopy(mdb)
    mdb.cid_counter=0 # new_mdb counter = 0,1,...
    # create new MD_IDs
    MD_IDs={}; counter=1
    for i in range(1,mdb_org.cid_counter+1):
        if(i in mdb_org.MD): 
            MD_IDs[i]=counter; counter+=1
    # replace ID (from oldID to newID)
    for i in MD_IDs:
        oldID=i
        newID=MD_IDs[i]
        # MD (node), replace from oldID to newID
        del(mdb.MD[oldID])
        mdb.MD[newID]=mdb_org.MD[oldID]
        mdb.cid_counter+=1
        for j in MD_IDs:
            oldID2=j
            newID2=MD_IDs[j]
            oldIdx="%d_%d"%(oldID, oldID2)
            newIdx="%d_%d"%(newID, newID2)
            # MS (edge)
            if(oldIdx in mdb_org.MS): 
                del(mdb.MS[oldIdx])
                mdb.MS[newIdx]=mdb_org.MS[oldIdx]
    return (mdb, MD_IDs)
Beispiel #3
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def _remove_redundancy(candi, smin, MULTI_TRANS):
    #----------------------#
    if (candi == []): return candi  # if no any candidates, return []
    #----------------------#
    lmin = smin  # minimum length of over-lapping candidates
    #----------------------#
    # (1) sort candidate
    errs = []
    for i in range(0, len(candi)):
        errs.append(candi[i]['err'])
    #idx_best=np.argmin(errs) # find best id
    idx_sort = np.argsort(errs)  # sorted id-list
    candi_new = tl.dcopy(candi)
    for i in range(0, len(idx_sort)):
        candi_new[i] = candi[idx_sort[i]]
    candi = candi_new
    candi_new = []
    #----------------------#
    # (2) if best-fit only, then return best candidate
    if (not MULTI_TRANS):
        candi_new.append(candi.pop(0))
        return candi_new
    #----------------------#
    # (3) check redundant candidates
    while (len(candi) > 0):
        c_i = candi.pop(0)
        want_del = tl.NO
        for c_j in candi_new:
            # if any over-lapping candidates
            if (c_i['idx'] == c_j['idx']
                    and abs(c_i['cpt'] - c_j['cpt']) <= lmin):
                if (c_i['err'] > c_j['err']): want_del = tl.YES
        if (not want_del): candi_new.append(c_i)
    #----------------------#
    return candi_new
Beispiel #4
0
def _create_multiscale_seqs(Xorg, lstep, mscale_h, outdir):
    tl.msg("_create_multiscale_seq (lstep: %d, mscale_h: %d)"%(lstep, mscale_h))
    tl.save_seq_txt_pdf(Xorg, "%sXorg"%outdir)
    # multi-scale sequences
    XHs={}; Xagg=tl.dcopy(Xorg); outdirHs={}
    wdHs={} # window size list
    for i in range(0,mscale_h):
        # window size at i-th level
        if(i<mscale_h-1): wdHs[i]=lstep*(2**(mscale_h-1-i)) # if HT=4: 3,2,1 ... (i.e., 8xlstep, 4xlstep, 2xlstep, 1)
        #if(i<mscale_h-1): wdHs[i]=lstep*(2**(mscale_h-2-i))  # if HT=4: 2,1,0 ... (i.e., 4xlstep, 2xlstep, lstep, 1)
        #if(i<mscale_h-1): wdHs[i]=lstep*(2**(mscale_h-3-i)) # if HT=4: 1,0,-1 ... (i.e., 2xlstep, lstep, 1/2xlstep, 1
        else: wdHs[i]=1 # if, last seq
    for i in range(0,mscale_h):
        XHs[i]=tl.smoothWMAo(Xagg, wdHs[i]) # compute i-th level
        Xagg=Xagg-XHs[i] # delete current scale
    for i in range(0,mscale_h):
        #XHs[i]= XHs[i][int(wdHs[0]):,:] # delete longest-window
        XHs[i][0:int(wdHs[0]),:]=tl.NAN # delete longest-window
        outdirHs[i]='%s_Level%d/'%(outdir,i); tl.mkdir(outdirHs[i]) # directory
        # save sequence at i-th level
        tl.save_txt(XHs[i], '%sXorg.txt'%(outdirHs[i])) # save data
        tl.plt.clf(); tl.plt.plot(XHs[i]) # plot and save figure
        tl.savefig("%sXorg"%(outdirHs[i]), 'pdf')
    tl.msg("wdHs: ")
    tl.msg(wdHs)
    return (XHs, wdHs, outdirHs)
Beispiel #5
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def _FM(mdb, Xc, lene, smin, PE, fixORopt):
    # dictMS (see, om_trans.py)
    dictMS = {
        'cid': PE['cid'],
        'si': tl.dcopy(PE['md'].si),
        'rho': mdb.rho_MS,
        'smin': smin,
        'errV': tl.INF
    }
    if (fixORopt == 'OPT'):
        dictMS = om_trans.fit_forward(Xc, mdb, dictMS, W_FM)  #, DPS)
    (Ve, Se, Re) = om_trans.gen_forward_multi_trans(Xc, mdb, dictMS, lene,
                                                    MULTI_TRANS)
    #(Ve, Se, Re)=om_trans.gen_forward(mdb, dictMS, lene)
    errV = tl.RMSE(Xc, Ve[0:len(Xc)])
    if (_isUnfit(Ve, mdb)):
        Ve[:] = np.nan
        Se[:] = np.nan
        Re[:] = REID_NULL
        errV = tl.INF
    if (DBG0):
        tl.msg("%s ++++++ _FM(%s): errV:%f (cid:%d) " %
               (IDT_F, fixORopt, errV, dictMS['cid']))
    PF = {'Ve': Ve, 'Se': Se, 'Re': Re, 'errV': errV}
    return PF
Beispiel #6
0
def _fit_optk(nlds, wtype, TH=0, linearfit=False):
    data = nlds.data
    NLDSs = []
    Errs = []
    if (DBG and NTRIAL > 1): tl.warning("nlds.py --- NTRIAL:%d" % (NTRIAL))
    # for each k, estimate opt-params
    for k in KLIST:
        if (k > nlds.kmax): break
        for trial in range(0, NTRIAL):
            # init model (k)
            nlds_k = tl.dcopy(nlds)
            # linear fitting
            (nlds, err) = _fit_k_lin(nlds_k, k)
            NLDSs.append(nlds_k)
            err = err + tl.DELTA * k
            if (DBG): print("k:%d,trial:%d, err=%f" % (k, trial, err))
            Errs.append(err)
        if (len(Errs) > NTRIAL and Errs[-1 - NTRIAL] <= Errs[-1]):
            break  #notfin
        if (np.min(Errs) <= TH): break
    kbst = np.argmin(Errs)
    if (DBG): print(Errs)
    if (DBG): print(Errs[kbst], NLDSs[kbst].k)
    nlds = NLDSs[kbst]
    # non-linear fit
    if (linearfit == False): nlds = nlds.fit_A2(wtype)
    nlds = nlds.fit_si(wtype)
    if (DBG): nlds.plot("%s_best_%d" % (nlds.fn, nlds.k))
    return nlds
Beispiel #7
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def _get_trans_candidates(Vs, mdb, idx_c, smin, rho, MULTI_TRANS):
    candi = []  # MS candidates (i.e., errors, trans_time, MS, idxs(from_to))
    #--------------------------------------#
    for i in mdb.MD:
        idxs = "%d_%d" % (idx_c, i)
        if (idxs in mdb.MS):
            msset = mdb.MS[idxs]
            #--------------------------------------#
            for ii in range(0, len(msset)):
                msset_ii = tl.dcopy(msset[ii]['medoid'])
                if (msset_ii['active'] == tl.NO):
                    continue  # if, this ms is not active, then, just ignore..
                # here, ms_rcd={idx_fr, idx_to, cpt, active, md_fr, vn_fr, md_to, si_to}
                msset_ii['idx_fr'] = idx_c
                msset_ii['idx_to'] = i
                (t_best_ii, err_ii) = _find_nearest_t(Vs, msset_ii['vn_fr'],
                                                      smin)
                #if(DBG): tl.eprint("%s, %d, %d, err:%f, (rho=%f)"%(idxs, ii, t_best_ii, err_ii,rho))
                if (err_ii <= rho):
                    candi.append({
                        'err': err_ii,
                        'cpt': t_best_ii,
                        'ms': msset_ii,
                        'idx': idxs,
                        'ii': ii
                    })
            #--------------------------------------#
    # remove redundant candidates
    candi = _remove_redundancy(candi, smin, MULTI_TRANS)
    #for i in range(len(candi)): tl.eprint("%s, %d, %f"%(candi[i]['idx'], candi[i]['cpt'], candi[i]['err']))
    return candi
Beispiel #8
0
def nl_fit(nlds, ftype, wtype, dps):
    nlds_org = tl.dcopy(nlds)
    #--------------------------------#
    if (ftype != 'si' and ftype != 'A2' and ftype != 'A01' and ftype != 'B01'):
        tl.warning("fit.py: usage: [si/M2/A01/B01]")
    #--------------------------------#
    if (ftype == 'si'):  # if si, i.e., arg{s(0)=si}
        global MAXFEV
        MAXFEV = MAXFEVi
        global XTL
        XTL = XTLi
        global FTL
        FTL = FTLi
    #--------------------------------#
    if (DBG): tl.comment("=== start LMfit ===")
    if (DBG): tl.comment("(%s,%s,%d)" % (ftype, wtype, dps))
    if (DBG): tl.msg("rmse: %f" % _distfunc_rmse(nlds))
    if (DBG): tl.comment("start fitting")
    #--------------------------------#
    if (DBG): tic = time.clock()
    nlds = _nl_fit(nlds, ftype, wtype, dps)
    if (DBG):
        toc = time.clock()
        fittime = toc - tic
    #--------------------------------#
    if (_distfunc_rmse(nlds_org) < _distfunc_rmse(nlds)):
        nlds = nlds_org  #notfin
    if (DBG): tl.comment("end fitting")
    if (DBG): tl.msg("time: %f" % fittime)
    if (DBG): tl.msg("rmse: %f" % _distfunc_rmse(nlds))
    if (DBG): tl.comment("=== end LMfit ===")
    #--------------------------------#
    return nlds
Beispiel #9
0
def _RT(Xc, mdb, smin, PE_cr):
    PE_vc = tl.dcopy(PE_cr)
    PE_vs = []
    lenc = len(Xc)
    dictMS = {
        'cid': PE_cr['cid'],
        'si': tl.dcopy(PE_cr['md'].si),
        'rho': mdb.rho_MS,
        'smin': smin,
        'errV': tl.INF
    }
    (Ve, Se, Re) = om_trans.gen_forward(mdb, dictMS, lenc)
    errV = tl.RMSE(Xc, Ve[0:lenc])
    #tl.eprint("_RT: before:%f -> after:%f"%(PE_cr['errV'], errV))
    #-------------------------#
    #--- find first cpt ------#
    cpt = -1
    for t in range(0, lenc):
        if (Re[t] == -1):
            cpt = t
            break
    if (cpt == -1 or PE_cr['errV'] <= errV):
        return (PE_vc, PE_vs)  # if it cannot find better-trans, just ignore
    #-------------------------#
    # update params {PE_vc : PE_vs}
    #tl.eprint("tm_st:%d, tm_ed:%d, cpt:%d"%(PE_vc["tm_st"], PE_vc["tm_ed"], cpt))
    PE_vc['tm_ed'] = PE_vc['tm_st'] + cpt
    PE_vs = {
        'md': mdb.MD[Re[cpt + 1]]['medoid'],
        'cid': Re[cpt + 1],
        'Vc': Ve[cpt + 1:, ],
        'Sc': Se[cpt + 1:, ],
        'siset': {},
        'tm_st': PE_vc['tm_st'] + (cpt + 1),
        'tm_ed': PE_cr['tm_ed'],
        'errV': errV
    }
    #tl.eprint("tm_st:tm_ed: %d %d %d %d"%(PE_vc['tm_st'], PE_vc['tm_ed'], PE_vs['tm_st'], PE_vs['tm_ed']))
    # compute errorV
    PE_vc['errV'] = tl.RMSE(Xc[0:cpt], Ve[0:cpt])
    PE_vs['errV'] = tl.RMSE(Xc[(cpt + 1):lenc], Ve[(cpt + 1):lenc])
    #tl.eprint("err_vc:%f - err_vs:%f (rho:%f)"%(PE_vc['errV'], PE_vs['errV'], mdb.rho_RE))
    return (PE_vc, PE_vs)
Beispiel #10
0
def _find_opt_cut(Xorg, PE_vp, PE_vc, lenw, lmin):
    tp_st = PE_vp['tm_st']
    tc_ed = PE_vc['tm_ed']
    # start/end points
    tcut = PE_vp['tm_ed']  # current cut-point
    errs = []
    locs = []
    # find best-cut-position
    t_st = max(tp_st + lmin, tcut - int(lenw / 2))
    t_ed = min(tc_ed - lmin, tcut + int(lenw / 2))
    PE_vps = []
    PE_vcs = []
    if (t_st == t_ed): return (PE_vp, PE_vc)
    for loc in range(t_st, t_ed, int(max(1, (t_ed - t_st) / OPTCNT))):
        PE_vpi = tl.dcopy(PE_vp)
        PE_vci = tl.dcopy(PE_vc)
        PE_vpi['tm_ed'] = loc
        PE_vci['tm_st'] = loc
        PE_vpi = _RU(Xorg[tp_st:loc, :], PE_vpi, 'OPT')
        PE_vci = _RU(Xorg[loc:tc_ed, :], PE_vci, 'OPT')
        err = PE_vpi['errV'] + PE_vci['errV']
        PE_vps.append(PE_vpi)
        PE_vcs.append(PE_vci)
        locs.append(loc)
        errs.append(err)
        if (DBG0):
            tl.msg("%s ...... _find_opt_cut l:%d (%f + %f = %f)" %
                   (IDT_E, loc, PE_vpi['errV'], PE_vci['errV'], err))
    ibest = np.argmin(errs)
    locbest = locs[ibest]
    if (DBG0):
        tl.msg("%s ...... _find_opt_cut l:%d (%f + %f = %f)" %
               (IDT_E, locbest, PE_vps[ibest]['errV'], PE_vcs[ibest]['errV'],
                err))
    PE_vp = PE_vps[ibest]
    PE_vc = PE_vcs[ibest]
    return (PE_vp, PE_vc)
Beispiel #11
0
def _md_absorb_each(mdb, Snaps, cid_i): 
    mdi=mdb.MD[cid_i]
    Xci=mdi['medoid'].data
    Si=[]; dps=Snaps['DPS']
    # find most similar MD in MDB (except current cid_i)
    del(mdb.MD[cid_i]) # remove cid_i(temporal)
    (Vc, md_best, Si, cid_j)=mdb.search_md(Xci, Si, dps)
    mdb.MD[cid_i]=mdi # add cid_i
    # if, cannot find, then, do nothing
    if(cid_j == -1): return (mdb, Snaps)
    if(DBG): tl.msg("om_mdb: md_absorb_each: cid_i:%d,cid_j:%d, (c=%d), errC:%f, rho:%f"%(cid_i,cid_j, mdb.get_c(),md_best.rmse(),mdb.rho_RE))
    # if, it finds 
    mdj=mdb.MD[cid_j]
    # copy model
    mdi_m=tl.dcopy(mdi['medoid'])
    mdj_m=tl.dcopy(mdj['medoid'])
    # switch data i,j 
    mdi_m.data=mdj['medoid'].data
    mdj_m.data=mdi['medoid'].data
    mdi_m.fit_si(W_RR,dps)
    mdj_m.fit_si(W_RR,dps)
    # compute errors (i vs j)
    err_i=mdi_m.rmse()
    err_j=mdj_m.rmse()
    if(DBG): tl.msg("om_mdb: switchErr: (%d,%d) erri:%f errj:%f"%(cid_i, cid_j, err_i, err_j))
    if(err_i<err_j and err_i<mdb.rho_RE):
        if(DBG): tl.msg("md_absorb: REPLACE(absorb) %d->%d"%(cid_j,cid_i))
        mdb.MD[cid_i]['object'].append(mdj) # add regime j (object) -> regime i
        mdb=_update_md_ms_delete_idx(mdb, cid_j) # delete regime j 
        MD_IDs={}; MD_IDs[cid_j]=cid_i; Snaps=_init_MD_ID_Snaps(Snaps, MD_IDs) # Snaps: replace j -> i 
    if(err_j<err_i and err_j<mdb.rho_RE):
        if(DBG): tl.msg("md_absorb: REPLACE(absorb) %d->%d"%(cid_i,cid_j))
        mdb.MD[cid_j]['object'].append(mdi) # add regime j (object) -> regime i
        mdb=_update_md_ms_delete_idx(mdb, cid_i) # delete regime i
        MD_IDs={}; MD_IDs[cid_i]=cid_j; Snaps=_init_MD_ID_Snaps(Snaps, MD_IDs) # Snaps: replace i -> j 
    return (mdb, Snaps)
Beispiel #12
0
def _search_md(mdb, Xc, siset, dps): 
    if(mdb.get_c()==0): return ([], [], [], -1)  # no data
    #----------------------------------------------#
    siset_new={}
    err_best=tl.INF; cid_best=-1; md_best=[]
    # for each regime/medoid, try argmin_si(Xc-Vc)
    for i in mdb.MD:
        md_c=tl.dcopy(mdb.MD[i]['medoid'])
        md_c.data=Xc; md_c.n=np.size(Xc,0)
        if(i in siset): md_c.si= siset[i]['si'] # use previous si
        md_c=md_c.fit_si(W_RR, dps)
        err_c=md_c.rmse()
        siset_new[i]={'cid':i, 'md':md_c, 'si':md_c.si, 'err':err_c}
        if(err_best > err_c or err_best==tl.INF):
            err_best=err_c; md_best=md_c; cid_best=i;
    (Sc,Vc)=md_best.gen()
    #----------------------------------------------#
    return (Vc, md_best, siset_new, cid_best) 
Beispiel #13
0
def _em(model, ITER=ITERf, iter_each=ITERe):
    observations= tl.dcopy(model.data)
    if(np.sum(np.isnan(observations))>0):
        tl.warning("kf.py --- em: isnan->0")
    observations[np.isnan(observations)]=0
    observations+=tl.ZERO*np.random.rand(model.n, model.d)
    kf=model.kf
    if(DBG): tl.msg("kf.em: d=%d, n=%d, k=%d"%(model.d, model.n, model.k))
    if(DBG): tl.msg("start EM algorithm ...")
    lhs= np.zeros(ITER)
    for i in range(len(lhs)):
        kf = kf.em(X=observations, n_iter=iter_each)
        lhs[i] = model.LH(observations)
        #tl.msg("iter:%d/%d, LH= %f"%(i+1,ITER,lhs[i])) 
        if(DBG): tl.msg("iter:%d/%d (%d)"%(i+1,ITER, iter_each)) 
        if(i>1 and lhs[i-1]>lhs[i]):
            break
    if(DBG): tl.msg("end")
    return kf
Beispiel #14
0
def _md_medoid_refinement_each(mdb, Snaps, cid_i): 
    dps=Snaps['DPS']
    Xorg=Snaps['Xorg']
    md_c=tl.dcopy(mdb.MD[cid_i]['medoid'])
    # (a) find longest segment
    (tm_st, tm_ed) = _find_longest_segment(Snaps, cid_i)
    if(tm_st==-1 and tm_ed==-1): return (mdb, Snaps)
    # set current window
    Xc=Xorg[tm_st:tm_ed,:]; len_Xc=tm_ed-tm_st
    # (b) try current model vs. new model
    # (b-1) current model
    md_c.data=Xc
    md_c=md_c.fit_si(W_RR, dps) # si-fit using current param
    (Sc,Vc)=md_c.gen(len_Xc); err_cr=tl.RMSE(Xc,Vc)
    # (b-2) new model (estimate param using Xc)
    md_new=nl.NLDS(Xc, "medoid-refinement-t:%d:%d"%(tm_st, tm_ed))
    md_new.data=Xc
    md_new=md_new.fit(W_RE)  # lmfit (regime creation)
    (Sc,Vc)=md_new.gen(len_Xc); err_new=tl.RMSE(Xc,Vc) 
    # (c) if it finds better model, then replace 
    if(err_new < err_cr): md_c=md_new
    return (mdb, Snaps)
Beispiel #15
0
def _O_estimator(tc, Xorg, PE_vb, PE_vp, PE_vc, mdb, Snaps):
    if (mdb.CC is tl.NO):
        return (PE_vb, PE_vp, PE_vc, mdb, Snaps
                )  # if, no causal-chain, then ignore
    lstep = Snaps['lstep']
    pstep = Snaps['pstep']
    wd_level = Snaps['wd_level']
    lmin = min(LMAX, max(LMIN, int(np.ceil(lstep * LM_R))))
    smin = min(LMAX, max(LMIN, int(np.ceil(lstep * SMIN_R))))
    lmax = LMAX
    PE_vc_prev = tl.dcopy(PE_vc)  # current-best-previous
    PE_vc['tm_ed'] = tc  # currrent time tick
    if (PE_vc['tm_ed'] - PE_vc['tm_st'] < lmin):
        return (PE_vb, PE_vp, PE_vc, mdb, Snaps)
    # create current window Xc
    Xc = Xorg[PE_vc['tm_st']:PE_vc['tm_ed'], :]
    if (COMMENT):
        tl.msg(
            "%s |--- O_estimator: (wd=%d) t=%d:%d:%d:%d (rho:%f)-----------------|"
            % (IDT_E, wd_level, PE_vp['tm_st'], PE_vp['tm_ed'], PE_vc['tm_st'],
               PE_vc['tm_ed'], mdb.rho_RE))

    #-----------------------------------------------#
    # (I) find good-fit regime
    #-----------------------------------------------#
    #-----------------------------#
    # (A) regime update
    #-----------------------------#
    PE_RU = _RU(Xc, PE_vc, 'FIX')  # fixed, simply extend seg
    PE_vc = PE_RU
    if (PE_vc['errV'] > mdb.rho_RE):  # if fixed is not good-enough
        PE_RU = _RU(Xc, PE_vc, 'OPT')  # update init value
        if (PE_RU['errV'] <= PE_vc['errV']):
            PE_vc = PE_RU
    #-----------------------------#
    # (B) regime-trans update (if, current is known but not good-fit)
    #-----------------------------#
    PE_vs = []
    if (PE_vc['cid'] != -1 and PE_vc['errV'] > mdb.rho_RE):
        (PE_RT_vc, PE_RT_vs) = _RT(Xc, mdb, smin, PE_vc)
        if (PE_RT_vc['errV'] < mdb.rho_RE and PE_RT_vs['errV'] < mdb.rho_RE):
            PE_vc = PE_RT_vc
            PE_vs = PE_RT_vs
    #-----------------------------#
    # (C) regime reader, if update is not good-enough
    #-----------------------------#
    if (PE_vc['cid'] == -1 or (PE_vc['errV'] > mdb.rho_RE)):
        PE_RR = _RR(Xc, mdb, PE_vc)
        if (PE_RR['errV'] <= PE_vc['errV']):
            PE_vc = PE_RR
    #-----------------------------#
    # (D) regime creation (estimator), only if the previous-fit is unknown (i.e., splitted) and current regime is not in MDB
    #-----------------------------#
    if (PE_vc_prev['cid'] == -1 and PE_vc['errV'] > mdb.rho_RE):
        PE_RE = _RE(Xc, PE_vc['tm_st'], PE_vc['tm_ed'])
        if (PE_RE['errV'] <= PE_vc['errV']):
            PE_vc = PE_RE
    #-----------------------------------------------#
    # (II) split regime, if there is a new cut-point
    #-----------------------------------------------#
    #-----------------------------#
    lenc = PE_vc['tm_ed'] - PE_vc['tm_st']
    #-----------------------------#
    # split segment now, if required
    #-----------------------------#
    if ((PE_vc['errV'] > mdb.rho_RE and lenc > lmin)
            or  # if current best is not-fit seg
        (PE_vs != [] and lenc > lmin) or  # if any transisions
        (lenc > lmax) or  # if too long segment
        (PE_vc['tm_ed'] + pstep >=
         Snaps['n'])):  # if it's close to the end point
        #-----------------------------#
        PE_vc = PE_vc_prev  # use current-best-previous
        #if(DBG0): tl.eprint("%s |-------- split segment: t=%d:%d, errV=%f (rho=%f)"%(IDT_E, PE_vc['tm_st'], PE_vc['tm_ed'], PE_vc['errV'], mdb.rho_RE))
        #----------------------------------------------------#
        # (d-a) if, good-enough-fit, then insert it into mdb
        if (PE_vc['errV'] <= mdb.rho_RE * RHO_MIN_R):
            # (d-a-1) insert Xc into mdb
            (mdb, PE_vc) = mdb.update_md_insert(PE_vc)
            # (d-a-2) insert MS(PE_vp, PE_vc) into mdb, if, we have PE_vp, PE_vc
            if ((not _isNullP(PE_vp)) and (not _isNullP(PE_vc))):
                # (d-a-2-i) find opt-cut-point (+-pstep, argmin ||Vp-Xp||+||Vc-Xc||)
                (PE_vp, PE_vc) = _find_opt_cut(Xorg, PE_vp, PE_vc, lstep,
                                               lmin)  #pstep)
                # (d-a-2-ii) insert new regime-shift-dynamics into mdb
                mdb = mdb.update_ms_insert(PE_vp, PE_vc)  # add (from to)
                # (d-a-2-iii) update estimated events
                # previous set
                Snaps['Ve_full'][
                    PE_vp['tm_st']:PE_vp['tm_ed'], :] = PE_vp['Vc']
                #Snaps['Se_full'][PE_vp['tm_st']:PE_vp['tm_ed'],:PE_vp['md'].k]=PE_vp['Sc']
                Snaps['Re_full'][PE_vp['tm_st']:PE_vp['tm_ed']] = PE_vp['cid']
                Snaps['Re_full'][
                    PE_vp['tm_st']] = REID_CPT  # cut-point (regime-switch)
                # current set
                Snaps['Ve_full'][
                    PE_vc['tm_st']:PE_vc['tm_ed'], :] = PE_vc['Vc']
                #Snaps['Se_full'][PE_vc['tm_st']:PE_vc['tm_ed'],:PE_vc['md'].k]=PE_vc['Sc']
                Snaps['Re_full'][PE_vc['tm_st']:PE_vc['tm_ed']] = PE_vc['cid']
                Snaps['Re_full'][
                    PE_vc['tm_st']] = REID_CPT  # cut-point (regime-switch)
            #if(DBG0): tl.eprint("%s |-------- split segment(opt-cut): t=%d:%d, errV=%f (rho=%f)"%(IDT_E, PE_vc['tm_st'], PE_vc['tm_ed'], PE_vc['errV'], mdb.rho_RE))
        #----------------------------------------------------#
        # (d-b) reset params
        PE_vb = PE_vp
        PE_vp = PE_vc
        PE_vc = _initP()
        if (PE_vs != []): PE_vc = PE_vs
        PE_vc['tm_st'] = PE_vp['tm_ed']
    #-----------------------------#

    # return current results
    return (PE_vb, PE_vp, PE_vc, mdb, Snaps)
Beispiel #16
0
def run_est_single(Xorg, lstep, outdir, wd_level=1):
    #--------------------------------#
    want_refinement = tl.YES
    #--------------------------------#
    mdb_cb = om_mdb.MDB('%s' % outdir)  # create modelDB
    Snaps_cb = init_Snaps(Xorg, lstep, wd_level)  # SnapShots
    mdb_cb = mdb_cb.update_Xminmax(Xorg)
    errF_cb = tl.INF  #; Snaps_cb=[];
    if (RHO_INIT == -1): rho_iter = _compute_rho_min(Xorg, lstep)
    else: rho_iter = RHO_INIT
    ERRs_full = []
    ERRs_cb_i = []
    outdir_tr = "%s_trials/" % outdir
    if (SAVE_TRIALS): tl.mkdir(outdir_tr)  # create directory
    tl.msg("(%d) run_est_single: start trial (find opt rho) ..." % wd_level)
    for i_trial in range(0, MAXTRIAL):
        #--------------------------------#
        mdb_i = tl.dcopy(mdb_cb)
        Snaps_i = tl.dcopy(Snaps_cb)
        #--------------------------------#
        # set rho, cleansing (e.g., remove inappropriate regimes), etc.
        mdb_i.update_rho(rho_iter)
        (mdb_i, Snaps_i) = mdb_i.update_apoptosis(Snaps_i, AP_MD, AP_MS,
                                                  want_refinement)
        mdb_i = mdb_i.init_objects()
        #--------------------------------#
        # start OrbitMap
        (mdb_i, Snaps_i) = _OrbitMap(Xorg, lstep, wd_level, mdb_i,
                                     "%sTrial_%d_" % (outdir_tr, i_trial),
                                     SAVE_TRIALS,
                                     SAVE_TRIALS)  #tl.YES) #tl.NO)
        #--------------------------------#
        if (i_trial > 0 and Snaps_i['errF_half'] <
                errF_cb):  # update best-fit (if trial > 0)
            errF_cb = Snaps_i['errF_half']
            mdb_cb = tl.dcopy(mdb_i)
            Snaps_cb = tl.dcopy(Snaps_i)
        #--------------------------------#
        tl.msg(
            "(mscale-wd: %d) Trial %d rho=%f, c=%d, errE: %f, errF(half):%f, errF(full):%f"
            % (wd_level, i_trial, rho_iter, mdb_i.get_c(), Snaps_i['errE'],
               Snaps_i['errF_half'], Snaps_i['errF']))
        ERRs_full.append([
            i_trial, rho_iter,
            mdb_i.get_c(), Snaps_i['errE'], Snaps_i['errF_half'],
            Snaps_i['errF']
        ])
        tl.save_txt(ERRs_full, "%s_trials_results.txt" % (outdir))
        #--------------------------------#
        if (EARLYSTOP and Snaps_i['errF_half'] >= errF_cb
                and i_trial >= MINTRIAL):
            break  # if, no more better-fit, break
        if (mdb_i.get_c() <= 1 and i_trial > 0):
            break  # if, # of regimes is less than one, then, stop
        #--------------------------------#
        #--------------------------------#
        rho_iter *= RHO_ITER_R_BU  # rho: try larger value
        #--------------------------------#
    # final-best-fit
    (mdb_cb, Snaps_cb) = mdb_cb.update_apoptosis(Snaps_cb, AP_MD, AP_MS,
                                                 want_refinement)
    mdb_cb = mdb_cb.init_objects()
    if (Snaps_cb['errF_half'] > Snaps_cb['errS']):
        mdb_cb.CC = tl.NO  # if, not approp. (no causalchain), ignore model
    (mdb_cb, Snaps_cb) = _OrbitMap(Xorg, lstep, wd_level, mdb_cb,
                                   "%s" % (outdir), tl.YES, tl.YES)
    tl.msg("best est: c=%d, errE: %f, errF(half):%f, errF(full):%f" %
           (mdb_cb.get_c(), Snaps_cb['errE'], Snaps_cb['errF_half'],
            Snaps_cb['errF']))
    return (mdb_cb, Snaps_cb)
Beispiel #17
0
def _gen_trans(Stack, Final, misc, MULTI_TRANS):
    # pop Stc in stack
    Stc = Stack.pop(0)
    # get params from Stack
    (t_c, idx_c, md_c, si, Se, Ve, Re) = _get_params_Stc(Stc)
    # get params from misc setting
    (t_e, mdb, rho, smin, dps) = _get_params_misc(misc)
    #if(DBG): tl.eprint("t_c:%d, t_e:%d, idx_c:%d, smin:%d, rho:%f"%(t_c, t_e, idx_c, smin, rho))
    #--------------------------------------#
    # 0. set current regime variables
    #--------------------------------------#
    (Ss, Vs) = md_c.forward(si, (t_e - t_c + 1), dps)
    Se[t_c:t_e, 0:md_c.k] = Ss[0:t_e - t_c, :]
    Ve[t_c:t_e, :] = Vs[0:t_e - t_c, :]
    Re[t_c:t_e] = idx_c
    #--------------------------------------#
    Stc_c = _create_Stc(t_c, idx_c, md_c, si, Se, Ve, Re)
    #--------------------------------------#
    # (if it went to the end point (i.e., te-tc<smin) )
    if (t_e - t_c < smin):
        Final.append(Stc_c)
        return (Stack, Final)
    #--------------------------------------#
    # 1. find candidate set : best-shift from md_c to ms_best
    #--------------------------------------#
    candi = _get_trans_candidates(
        Vs, mdb, idx_c, smin, rho,
        MULTI_TRANS)  # MS candidates (i.e., err, ms, cpt, idx)
    #--------------------------------------#
    # (if no any close-enough vector, then return)
    if (len(candi) == 0):
        Final.append(Stc_c)
        return (Stack, Final)
    #--------------------------------------#
    #--------------------------------------#
    # 2. for each candidate in candi, then shift it
    # (candi: if best-shift is good enough (<=rho) and length is long enough),
    #--------------------------------------#
    for i in range(0, len(candi)):
        Stc_new = tl.dcopy(Stc_c)
        (t_c, idx_c, md_c, si, Se, Ve, Re) = _get_params_Stc(Stc_new)
        # best candidate
        err_i = candi[i]['err']
        ms_i = candi[i]['ms']
        cpt_i = t_c + candi[i]['cpt']
        #--------------------------------------#
        # 2-1. compute shifted-trajectory
        #--------------------------------------#
        if (DBG):
            tl.eprint("|---@@@@@@@@@@@@@--- (cpt=%d, err=%f) %d >>> %d" %
                      (cpt_i, err_i, ms_i['idx_fr'], ms_i['idx_to']))
        #--------------------------------------#
        if (DBG_CPT): Re[cpt_i - 1] = REID_CPT
        idx_c = ms_i['idx_to']
        md_c = ms_i['md_to']  # i.e., =mdb.MD[idx_c]['medoid']
        si = ms_i['si_to']
        (s, o) = md_c.forward(si, 1, dps)
        Se[cpt_i, 0:md_c.k] = s
        Ve[cpt_i, :] = o
        Re[cpt_i] = idx_c
        t_c = cpt_i + 1
        #--------------------------------------#
        Stc_new = _create_Stc(t_c, idx_c, md_c, si, Se, Ve, Re)
        Stack.append(Stc_new)
    #--------------------------------------#
    # return candidates (Stack and Final set)
    return (Stack, Final)