Ejemplo n.º 1
0
def marginalized_analysis():
	sys.stdout = tee.tee(STDOUT, open(OUTDIR+'eg-appendix1c.out', 'w'))
	x, y = make_data()
	prior = gv.gvar(91 * ['0(1)'])   # prior for the fit
	ymod = y - (f(x, prior) - f(x, prior[:1]))
	priormod = prior[:1]
	fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, ymod), prior=priormod, fcn=f)
	print fit.format(maxline=True)
	sys.stdout = STDOUT
	print lsqfit.wavg(list(ymod) + list(priormod))
	make_plot(x, ymod, fit, 'ymod(x)')
	inputs = dict(prior=prior, y0=y[0], y1=y[1], y2=y[2], y3=y[3], y4=y[4])
	outputs = dict(p0=fit.p[0])
	print gv.fmt_errorbudget(inputs=inputs, outputs=outputs)
	return fit
Ejemplo n.º 2
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def marginalized_analysis():
    sys.stdout = tee.tee(STDOUT, open(OUTDIR + 'eg-appendix1c.out', 'w'))
    x, y = make_data()
    prior = gv.gvar(91 * ['0(1)'])  # prior for the fit
    ymod = y - (f(x, prior) - f(x, prior[:1]))
    priormod = prior[:1]
    fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, ymod), prior=priormod, fcn=f)
    print fit.format(maxline=True)
    sys.stdout = STDOUT
    print lsqfit.wavg(list(ymod) + list(priormod))
    make_plot(x, ymod, fit, 'ymod(x)', name='eg-appendix1c')
    inputs = dict(prior=prior, y0=y[0], y1=y[1], y2=y[2], y3=y[3], y4=y[4])
    outputs = dict(p0=fit.p[0])
    print gv.fmt_errorbudget(inputs=inputs, outputs=outputs)
    return fit
Ejemplo n.º 3
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def good_analysis():
	sys.stdout = tee.tee(STDOUT, open(OUTDIR+'eg-appendix1b.out', 'w'))
	x, y = make_data()
	prior = gv.gvar(N * ['0(1)'])   # prior for the fit
	fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, y), prior=prior, fcn=f)
	print fit.format(maxline=True)
	make_plot(x, y, fit)
	inputs = gv.BufferDict(prior=prior)
	for xi, yi in zip(x, y):
		inputs['y(%.2f)' % xi] = yi
	sys.stdout = tee.tee(STDOUT, open(OUTDIR+'eg-appendix1g.out', 'w'))
	inputs = dict(prior=prior, y=y)
	outputs = dict(p0=fit.p[0])
	print gv.fmt_errorbudget(inputs=inputs, outputs=outputs)
	return fit
Ejemplo n.º 4
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def main():
    x, y = make_data()  # collect fit data
    p0 = None  # make larger fits go faster (opt.)
    for nexp in range(1, 7):
        print('************************************* nexp =', nexp)
        prior = make_prior(nexp)
        fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, y), fcn=fcn, prior=prior, p0=p0)
        print(fit)  # print the fit results
        if nexp > 2:
            E = fit.p['E']  # best-fit parameters
            a = fit.p['a']
            print('E1/E0 =', E[1] / E[0], '  E2/E0 =', E[2] / E[0])
            print('a1/a0 =', a[1] / a[0], '  a2/a0 =', a[2] / a[0])
        if fit.chi2 / fit.dof < 1.:
            p0 = fit.pmean  # starting point for next fit (opt.)
        print()

    # error budget analysis
    # outputs = {
    #     'E1/E0':E[1]/E[0], 'E2/E0':E[2]/E[0],
    #     'a1/a0':a[1]/a[0], 'a2/a0':a[2]/a[0]
    #     }
    # inputs = {'E':fit.prior['E'], 'a':fit.prior['a'], 'y':y}
    outputs = gv.BufferDict()
    outputs['E2/E0'] = E[2] / E[0]
    outputs['E1/E0'] = E[1] / E[0]
    outputs['a2/a0'] = a[2] / a[0]
    outputs['a1/a0'] = a[1] / a[0]
    inputs = gv.BufferDict()
    inputs['a'] = fit.prior['a']
    inputs['y'] = y
    inputs['E'] = fit.prior['E']
    print('================= Error Budget Analysis')
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))
Ejemplo n.º 5
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def good_analysis(plot=MAKE_PLOTS):
    sys.stdout = tee.tee(STDOUT, open(OUTDIR + 'eg-appendix1b.out', 'w'))
    x, y = make_data()
    prior = gv.gvar(N * ['0(1)'])  # prior for the fit
    fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, y), prior=prior, fcn=f)
    print fit.format(maxline=True)
    if plot:
        make_plot(x, y, fit, name='eg-appendix1b')
    inputs = gv.BufferDict(prior=prior)
    for xi, yi in zip(x, y):
        inputs['y(%.2f)' % xi] = yi
    sys.stdout = tee.tee(STDOUT, open(OUTDIR + 'eg-appendix1g.out', 'w'))
    inputs = dict(prior=prior, y=y)
    outputs = dict(p0=fit.p[0])
    print gv.fmt_errorbudget(inputs=inputs, outputs=outputs)
    return fit
Ejemplo n.º 6
0
def write_results(fit, basis, prior, data, N):
    l.write('Parameters used: ' + '\n')
    l.write('file: '+ file + '\n')
    l.write('t0: '+ str(t0) + '\n')
    l.write('T: '+ str(T) + '\n')
    l.write('tmin: '+ str(tmin) + '\n')
    l.write('tmax: '+ str(tmax) + '\n\n')
    l.write('offtmin: '+ str(offtmin) + '\n')
    l.write('offtmax: '+ str(offtmax) + '\n\n')

    l.write(30 * '=' + '\n' + 'nterm = ' +  str(N[-1]) + '\n')
    l.write(fit.format(pstyle=None if N < 7 else 'm'))
    
    l.write(30 * '=' + ' Results\n')
    l.write(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt=tag+'{s1}'))
    if OSC:
      l.write(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt=otag+'{s1}'))
    E = np.cumsum(fit.p[tag+'dE'])
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['a*E(2s-1s)'] = E[1] - E[0]
    outputs['a*E(3s-1s)'] = E[2] - E[0]
    outputs['E(3s-1s)/E(2s-1s)'] = (E[2] - E[0]) / (E[1] - E[0])
    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['prior'] = prior
    inputs['data'] = data
    inputs['svdcut'] = fit.svdcorrection
    l.write(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    l.write(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs, colwidth=18))
    l.write('Prior:\n')
    for k in [tag+SRC[0], tag+SRC[1]]:
        l.write('{:8}{}\n'.format(k, list(prior[k])))
Ejemplo n.º 7
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def print_results(fit, prior, data):
    """ Print results of fit. """
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['mDs'] = fit.p['dE'][0]
    outputs['Vnn'] = fit.p['Vnn'][0]

    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['statistics'] = data             # statistical errors in data
    inputs.update(prior)                    # errors from priors
    inputs['svd'] = fit.svdcorrection       # errors from svd cut (if present)

    print('\n' + gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))
Ejemplo n.º 8
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def main():
    param, data = collect_data('spline.p')
    F, prior = make_fcn_prior(param)
    fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=data, prior=prior, fcn=F)
    print(fit)
    # create f(m)
    f = gv.cspline.CSpline(fit.p['mknot'], fit.p['fknot'])
    # create error budget
    outputs = {'f(1)':f(1), 'f(5)':f(5), 'f(9)':f(9)}
    inputs = {'data':data}
    inputs.update(prior)
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs=outputs, inputs=inputs))
    make_plot(param, data, fit)
Ejemplo n.º 9
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def print_results(fit, basis, prior, data):
    print(30 * '=', 'Results\n')
    print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt='etab.{s1}'))
    print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt='etab.{s1}', eig_srcs=True))
    E = np.cumsum(fit.p['etab.dE'])
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['a*E(2s-1s)'] = E[1] - E[0]
    outputs['a*E(3s-1s)'] = E[2] - E[0]
    outputs['E(3s-1s)/E(2s-1s)'] = (E[2] - E[0]) / (E[1] - E[0])
    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['prior'] = prior
    inputs['data'] = data
    inputs['svdcut'] = fit.correction
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs, colwidth=18))
Ejemplo n.º 10
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def print_results(fit, basis, prior, data):
    print(30 * '=', 'Results\n')
    print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt='etab.{s1}'))
    print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt='etab.{s1}', eig_srcs=True))
    E = np.cumsum(fit.p['etab.dE']) 
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['a*E(2s-1s)'] = E[1] - E[0]
    outputs['a*E(3s-1s)'] = E[2] - E[0]
    outputs['E(3s-1s)/E(2s-1s)'] = (E[2] - E[0]) / (E[1] - E[0])
    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['prior'] = prior
    inputs['data'] = data
    inputs['svdcut'] = fit.svdcorrection
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs, colwidth=18))
Ejemplo n.º 11
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def print_results(fit, prior, data):
    """ Print results of fit. """
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['mDs'] = fit.p['dE'][0]
    outputs['Vnn'] = fit.p['Vnn'][0]

    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['statistics'] = data             # statistical errors in data
    inputs['Ds priors'] = {
        k:prior[k] for k in ['log(a)', 'log(dE)', 'log(ao)', 'log(dEo)']
        }
    inputs['V priors'] = {
        k:prior[k] for k in ['Vnn', 'Vno', 'Voo']
        }

    print('\n' + gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))
Ejemplo n.º 12
0
def print_results(fit, prior, data):
    """ Report best-fit results. """
    print('Fit results:')
    p = fit.p                       # best-fit parameters

    # etas
    E_etas = np.cumsum(p['etas:dE'])
    a_etas = p['etas:a']
    print('  Eetas:', E_etas[:3])
    print('  aetas:', a_etas[:3])

    # Ds
    E_Ds = np.cumsum(p['Ds:dE'])
    a_Ds = p['Ds:a']
    print('\n  EDs:', E_Ds[:3])
    print(  '  aDs:', a_Ds[:3])

    # Dso -- oscillating piece
    E_Dso = np.cumsum(p['Dso:dE'])
    a_Dso = p['Dso:a']
    print('\n  EDso:', E_Dso[:3])
    print(  '  aDso:', a_Dso[:3])

    # V
    Vnn = p['Vnn']
    Vno = p['Vno']
    print('\n  etas->V->Ds  =', Vnn[0, 0])
    print('  etas->V->Dso =', Vno[0, 0])

    # error budget
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['metas'] = E_etas[0]
    outputs['mDs'] = E_Ds[0]
    outputs['mDso-mDs'] = E_Dso[0] - E_Ds[0]
    outputs['Vnn'] = Vnn[0, 0]
    outputs['Vno'] = Vno[0, 0]

    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['statistics'] = data                 # statistical errors in data
    inputs.update(prior)                        # all entries in prior
    inputs['svd'] = fit.svdcorrection           # svd cut (if present)

    print('\n' + gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))
    print('\n')
Ejemplo n.º 13
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def main():
    x, y = make_data()
    prior = make_prior(100)             # 100 exponential terms in all
    p0 = None
    for nexp in range(1, 6):
        # marginalize the last 100 - nexp terms (in ymod_prior)
        fit_prior = gv.BufferDict()     # part of prior used in fit
        ymod_prior = gv.BufferDict()    # part of prior absorbed in ymod
        for k in prior:
            fit_prior[k] = prior[k][:nexp]
            ymod_prior[k] = prior[k][nexp:]
        ymod = y - fcn(x, ymod_prior)   # remove temrs in ymod_prior

        # fit modified data with just nexp terms (in fit_prior)
        fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(
            data=(x, ymod), prior=fit_prior, fcn=fcn, p0=p0, tol=1e-15,  svdcut=1e-12,
            )

        # print fit information
        print('************************************* nexp =',nexp)
        print(fit.format(True))
        p0 = fit.pmean

    # print summary information and error budget
    E = fit.p['E']                      # best-fit parameters
    a = fit.p['a']
    # outputs = {
    #     'E1/E0':E[1] / E[0], 'E2/E0':E[2] / E[0],
    #     'a1/a0':a[1] / a[0], 'a2/a0':a[2] / a[0]
    #     }
    # inputs = {
    #     'E prior':prior['E'], 'a prior':prior['a'],
    #     'svd cut':fit.correction,
    #     }
    outputs = gv.BufferDict()
    outputs['E2/E0'] = E[2] / E[0]
    outputs['E1/E0'] = E[1] / E[0]
    outputs['a2/a0'] = a[2] / a[0]
    outputs['a1/a0'] = a[1] / a[0]
    inputs = gv.BufferDict()
    inputs['E prior'] = prior['E']
    inputs['svd cut'] = fit.correction
    inputs['a prior'] = prior['a']
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))
Ejemplo n.º 14
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def main():
    l = gv.gvar(0.25, 0.0005)               # length of pendulum
    theta_max = gv.gvar(np.pi / 6, 0.025)   # max angle of swing
    y = make_pendulum(theta_max, l)         # y(t) = [theta(t), d/dt  theta(t)]
    T = find_period(y, Tapprox=1.0)             
    print('period T = {} sec'.format(T))
    fmt = 'uncertainty = {:.2f} min/day\n'
    print(fmt.format((T.sdev / T.mean) * 60. * 24.))

    # error budget for T
    inputs = dict(l=l, theta_max=theta_max)
    outputs = {'T':T}
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs=outputs, inputs=inputs))

    # check errors in T using a simulation
    Tlist = []
    for i in range(200):
        y = make_pendulum(theta_max(), l())
        Tlist.append(find_period(y, Tapprox=1.0))
    print('period T = {:.4f} +- {:.4f}'.format(np.mean(Tlist), np.std(Tlist)))
Ejemplo n.º 15
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def print_results(fit, prior, data):
    """ Report best-fit results. """
    print('Fit results:')
    p = fit.p  # best-fit parameters

    # etas
    E_etas = np.cumsum(p['etas:dE'])
    a_etas = p['etas:a']
    print('  Eetas:', E_etas[:3])
    print('  aetas:', a_etas[:3])

    # Ds
    E_Ds = np.cumsum(p['Ds:dE'])
    a_Ds = p['Ds:a']
    print('\n  EDs:', E_Ds[:3])
    print('  aDs:', a_Ds[:3])

    # Dso -- oscillating piece
    E_Dso = np.cumsum(p['Dso:dE'])
    a_Dso = p['Dso:a']
    print('\n  EDso:', E_Dso[:3])
    print('  aDso:', a_Dso[:3])

    # V
    Vnn = p['Vnn']
    print('\n  etas->V->Ds  =', Vnn[0, 0])

    # error budget
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['metas'] = E_etas[0]
    outputs['mDs'] = E_Ds[0]
    outputs['Vnn'] = Vnn[0, 0]

    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['statistics'] = data  # statistical errors in data
    inputs['svd'] = fit.correction
    inputs.update(prior)  # all entries in prior

    print('\n' + gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))
    print('\n')
Ejemplo n.º 16
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def print_results(fit, basis, prior, data):
    print(30 * '=', 'Results\n')
    print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt=tag+'{s1}'))
    if OSC:
      print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt=otag+'{s1}'))
    #print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt=tag+'{s1}', eig_srcs=True))
    E = np.cumsum(fit.p[tag+'dE'])
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['a*E(2s-1s)'] = E[1] - E[0]
    outputs['a*E(3s-1s)'] = E[2] - E[0]
    outputs['E(3s-1s)/E(2s-1s)'] = (E[2] - E[0]) / (E[1] - E[0])
    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['prior'] = prior
    inputs['data'] = data
    inputs['svdcut'] = fit.svdcorrection
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs, colwidth=18))
    print('Prior:\n')
    for k in [tag+SRC[0], tag+SRC[1]]:
        print('{:13}{}'.format(k, list(prior[k])))
    print()
Ejemplo n.º 17
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def main():
    l = gv.gvar(0.25, 0.0005)  # length of pendulum
    theta_max = gv.gvar(np.pi / 6, 0.025)  # max angle of swing
    y = make_pendulum(theta_max, l)  # y(t) = [theta(t), d/dt  theta(t)]
    T = find_period(y, Tapprox=1.0)
    print('period T = {} sec'.format(T))
    fmt = 'uncertainty = {:.2f} min/day\n'
    print(fmt.format((T.sdev / T.mean) * 60. * 24.))

    # error budget for T
    inputs = gv.BufferDict()  # dict(l=l, theta_max=theta_max)
    inputs['l'] = l
    inputs['theta_max'] = theta_max
    outputs = {'T': T}
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs=outputs, inputs=inputs))

    # check errors in T using a simulation
    Tlist = []
    for i in range(200):
        y = make_pendulum(theta_max(), l())
        Tlist.append(find_period(y, Tapprox=1.0))
    print('period T = {:.4f} +- {:.4f}'.format(np.mean(Tlist), np.std(Tlist)))
Ejemplo n.º 18
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def print_results(fit, basis, prior, data):
    print(30 * '=', 'Results\n')
    print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt='etab.{s1}'))
    print(basis.tabulate(fit.p, keyfmt='etab.{s1}', eig_srcs=True))
    E = np.cumsum(fit.p['etab.dE'])
    outputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    outputs['a*E(2s-1s)'] = E[1] - E[0]
    outputs['a*E(3s-1s)'] = E[2] - E[0]
    outputs['E(3s-1s)/E(2s-1s)'] = (E[2] - E[0]) / (E[1] - E[0])
    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['prior'] = prior
    inputs['data'] = data
    inputs['svdcut'] = fit.correction
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs, colwidth=18))
    print('Prior:\n')
    for k in ['etab.l', 'etab.g', 'etab.d', 'etab.e']:
        print('{:13}{}'.format(k, list(prior[k])))
    print()
    prior_eig = basis.apply(prior, keyfmt='etab.{s1}')
    for k in ['etab.0', 'etab.1', 'etab.2', 'etab.3']:
        print('{:13}{}'.format(k, list(prior_eig[k])))
Ejemplo n.º 19
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def main():
    x, y = make_data()  # make fit data
    # y = gv.gvar(gv.mean(y), 0.75**2 * gv.evalcov(y))
    p0 = None  # make larger fits go faster (opt.)
    sys_stdout = sys.stdout
    sys.stdout = tee.tee(sys.stdout, open("eg1.out", "w"))
    for nexp in range(1, 7):
        prior = make_prior(nexp)
        fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, y), fcn=fcn, prior=prior, p0=p0)
        if fit.chi2 / fit.dof < 1.:
            p0 = fit.pmean  # starting point for next fit (opt.)
        print('************************************* nexp =', nexp)
        print(fit.format())  # print the fit results)
        E = fit.p['E']  # best-fit parameters
        a = fit.p['a']
        if nexp > 2:
            print('E1/E0 =', E[1] / E[0], '  E2/E0 =', E[2] / E[0])
            print('a1/a0 =', a[1] / a[0], '  a2/a0 =', a[2] / a[0])
            print

    # error budget
    outputs = {
        'E1/E0': E[1] / E[0],
        'E2/E0': E[2] / E[0],
        'a1/a0': a[1] / a[0],
        'a2/a0': a[2] / a[0]
    }
    inputs = {'E': fit.prior['E'], 'a': fit.prior['a'], 'y': y}
    inputs = collections.OrderedDict()
    inputs['a'] = fit.prior['a']
    inputs['E'] = fit.prior['E']
    inputs['y'] = fit.data[1]
    print('================= Error Budget Analysis')
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))

    sys.stdout = sys_stdout
    # print(gv.gvar(str(a[1])) / gv.gvar(str(a[0])) )
    # print(gv.evalcorr([fit.p['a'][1], fit.p['E'][1]]))
    # print(fit.format(True))

    # redo fit with 4 parameters since that is enough
    prior = make_prior(4)
    fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, y), fcn=fcn, prior=prior, p0=fit.pmean)
    sys.stdout = tee.tee(sys_stdout, open("eg1a.out", "w"))
    print('--------------------- original fit')
    print(fit.format())
    E = fit.p['E']  # best-fit parameters
    a = fit.p['a']
    print('E1/E0 =', E[1] / E[0], '  E2/E0 =', E[2] / E[0])
    print('a1/a0 =', a[1] / a[0], '  a2/a0 =', a[2] / a[0])
    print
    # extra data 1
    print('\n--------------------- new fit to extra information')

    def ratio(p):
        return p['a'][1] / p['a'][0]

    newfit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=gv.gvar(1, 1e-5),
                                  fcn=ratio,
                                  prior=fit.p)
    print((newfit.format()))
    E = newfit.p['E']
    a = newfit.p['a']
    print('E1/E0 =', E[1] / E[0], '  E2/E0 =', E[2] / E[0])
    print('a1/a0 =', a[1] / a[0], '  a2/a0 =', a[2] / a[0])

    if DO_PLOT:
        import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
        ratio = y / fit.fcn(x, fit.pmean)
        plt.xlim(4, 15)
        plt.ylim(0.95, 1.05)
        plt.xlabel('x')
        plt.ylabel('y / f(x,p)')
        plt.yticks([0.96, 0.98, 1.00, 1.02, 1.04],
                   ['0.96', '0.98', '1.00', '1.02', '1.04'])
        plt.errorbar(x=x, y=gv.mean(ratio), yerr=gv.sdev(ratio), fmt='ob')
        plt.plot([4.0, 21.0], [1.0, 1.0], 'b:')
        plt.savefig('eg1.png', bbox_inches='tight')
        plt.show()

    # alternate method for extra data
    sys.stdout = tee.tee(sys_stdout, open("eg1b.out", "w"))
    fit.p['a1/a0'] = fit.p['a'][1] / fit.p['a'][0]
    new_data = {'a1/a0': gv.gvar(1, 1e-5)}
    new_p = lsqfit.wavg([fit.p, new_data])
    print('chi2/dof = %.2f\n' % (new_p.chi2 / new_p.dof))
    print('E:', new_p['E'][:4])
    print('a:', new_p['a'][:4])
    print('a1/a0:', new_p['a1/a0'])

    if DO_BAYES:
        # Bayesian Fit
        gv.ranseed([123])
        prior = make_prior(4)
        fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, y),
                                   fcn=f,
                                   prior=prior,
                                   p0=fit.pmean)
        sys.stdout = tee.tee(sys_stdout, open("eg1c.out", "w"))
        # print(fit)

        expval = lsqfit.BayesIntegrator(fit, limit=10.)
        # adapt integrator to PDF
        expval(neval=40000, nitn=10)

        # calculate expectation value of function g(p)
        fit_hist = gv.PDFHistogram(fit.p['E'][0])

        def g(p):
            parameters = [p['a'][0], p['E'][0]]
            return dict(
                mean=parameters,
                outer=np.outer(parameters, parameters),
                hist=fit_hist.count(p['E'][0]),
            )

        r = expval(g, neval=40000, nitn=10, adapt=False)

        # print(results)
        print(r.summary())
        means = r['mean']
        cov = r['outer'] - np.outer(r['mean'], r['mean'])
        print('Results from Bayesian Integration:')
        print('a0: mean =', means[0], '  sdev =', cov[0, 0]**0.5)
        print('E0: mean =', means[1], '  sdev =', cov[1, 1]**0.5)
        print('covariance from Bayesian integral =',
              np.array2string(cov, prefix=36 * ' '))
        print

        print('Results from Least-Squares Fit:')
        print('a0: mean =', fit.p['a'][0].mean, '  sdev =', fit.p['a'][0].sdev)
        print('E0: mean =', fit.p['E'][0].mean, '  sdev =', fit.p['E'][0].sdev)
        print(
            'covariance from least-squares fit =',
            np.array2string(gv.evalcov([fit.p['a'][0], fit.p['E'][0]]),
                            prefix=36 * ' ',
                            precision=3))
        sys.stdout = sys_stdout

        # make histogram of E[0] probabilty
        plt = fit_hist.make_plot(r['hist'])
        plt.xlabel('$E_0$')
        plt.ylabel('probability')
        plt.savefig('eg1c.png', bbox_inches='tight')
        # plt.show()

    if DO_BOOTSTRAP:
        Nbs = 40  # number of bootstrap copies

        outputs = {
            'E1/E0': [],
            'E2/E0': [],
            'a1/a0': [],
            'a2/a0': [],
            'E1': [],
            'a1': []
        }  # results
        for bsfit in fit.bootstrap_iter(n=Nbs):
            E = bsfit.pmean['E']  # best-fit parameters
            a = bsfit.pmean['a']
            outputs['E1/E0'].append(E[1] / E[0])  # accumulate results
            outputs['E2/E0'].append(E[2] / E[0])
            outputs['a1/a0'].append(a[1] / a[0])
            outputs['a2/a0'].append(a[2] / a[0])
            outputs['E1'].append(E[1])
            outputs['a1'].append(a[1])
            # print(E[:2])
            # print(a[:2])
            # print(bsfit.chi2/bsfit.dof)

        # extract means and standard deviations from the bootstrap output
        for k in outputs:
            outputs[k] = gv.gvar(np.mean(outputs[k]), np.std(outputs[k]))
        print('Bootstrap results:')
        print('E1/E0 =', outputs['E1/E0'], '  E2/E1 =', outputs['E2/E0'])
        print('a1/a0 =', outputs['a1/a0'], '  a2/a0 =', outputs['a2/a0'])
        print('E1 =', outputs['E1'], '  a1 =', outputs['a1'])
Ejemplo n.º 20
0
}
# a priori values for fit parameters
prior = dict(a=gv.gvar(0.5, 0.5), b=gv.gvar(0.5, 0.5))


# print(y["data1"][0].mean,"+-",y["data1"][0].sdev)
# print(gv.evalcov(y["data1"]))
def fcn(x, p):  # fit function of x and parameters p
    ans = {}
    for k in ["data1", "data2"]:
        ans[k] = gv.exp(p['a'] + x[k] * p['b'])
    ans['b/a'] = p['b'] / p['a']
    return ans


# do the fit
fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, y), prior=prior, fcn=fcn)
sys.stdout = open("eg0.out", "w")
print(fit.format(maxline=True))  # print standard summary of fit

p = fit.p  # best-fit values for parameters
outputs = dict(a=p['a'], b=p['b'])
outputs['b/a'] = p['b'] / p['a']
inputs = dict(y=y, prior=prior)
print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))  # tabulate outputs
print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))  # print error budget for outputs

# save best-fit values in file "outputfile.p" for later use
import pickle
pickle.dump(fit.p, open("outputfile.p", "wb"))
Ejemplo n.º 21
0
    def _get_error_budget(self, verbose=False, **kwargs):
        output = None

        for observable in ['w0', 't0']:
            # Fill these out
            disc_keys = [
                'A_a', 'A_alpha', 'A_aa', 'A_al', 'A_as', 'A_aaa', 'A_aal',
                'A_aas', 'A_all', 'A_als', 'A_ass'
            ]
            chiral_keys = [
                'c0', 'A_l', 'A_s', 'A_ll', 'A_ls', 'A_ss', 'A_ll_g', 'A_lll',
                'A_lls', 'A_lss', 'A_sss', 'A_lll_g', 'A_lls_g', 'A_lll_gg'
            ]
            phys_keys = list(self.phys_point_data)
            stat_key = 'lam_chi'  # Since the input data is correlated, only need a single variable as a proxy for all

            if verbose:
                if output is None:
                    output = ''

                inputs = {}

                # xpt/chiral contributions
                inputs.update({
                    str(param) + ' [disc]': self.prior[observable][param]
                    for param in disc_keys if param in self.prior[observable]
                })
                inputs.update({
                    str(param) + ' [xpt]': self.prior[observable][param]
                    for param in chiral_keys if param in self.prior[observable]
                })

                # phys point contributions
                inputs.update({
                    str(param) + ' [pp]': self.phys_point_data[param]
                    for param in list(phys_keys)
                })
                del inputs['lam_chi [pp]']

                # stat contribtions
                inputs.update({
                    'x [stat]': self._get_prior(stat_key)[observable],
                    'y [stat]': self.fitter[observable].y
                })

                if kwargs is None:
                    kwargs = {}
                kwargs.setdefault('percent', False)
                kwargs.setdefault('ndecimal', 10)
                kwargs.setdefault('verify', True)

                if observable == 'w0':
                    output += 'observable: ' + observable + '\n' + gv.fmt_errorbudget(
                        outputs={'w0': self.w0
                                 }, inputs=inputs, **kwargs) + '\n---\n'
                elif observable == 't0':
                    output += 'observable: ' + observable + '\n' + gv.fmt_errorbudget(
                        outputs={'t0': self.sqrt_t0
                                 }, inputs=inputs, **kwargs) + '\n---\n'

            else:
                if output is None:
                    output = {}

                output[observable] = {}
                if observable == 'w0':
                    value = self.w0

                elif observable == 't0':
                    value = self.sqrt_t0

                output[observable]['disc'] = value.partialsdev([
                    self.prior[observable][key] for key in disc_keys
                    if key in self.prior[observable]
                ])
                output[observable]['chiral'] = value.partialsdev([
                    self.prior[observable][key] for key in chiral_keys
                    if key in self.prior[observable]
                ])
                output[observable]['pp_input'] = value.partialsdev(
                    [self.phys_point_data[key] for key in phys_keys])
                output[observable]['stat'] = value.partialsdev(
                    [
                        self._get_prior(stat_key)[observable],
                        self.fitter[observable].y
                    ]
                    #self.fitter['w0'].y
                )

        return output
Ejemplo n.º 22
0
def do_fit(svdcut=None, do_plot=False):
    if svdcut is None:
        svdcut = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit.set()['svdcut']
        sys.stdout = tee.tee(sys_stdout, open('eg5a.out', 'w'))
        default_svd = True
    else:
        default_svd = False
    x, y = make_data()
    prior = make_prior(
        100)  # 20 exponential terms in all (10 gives same result)
    p0 = None
    for nexp in range(1, 6):
        # marginalize the last 100 - nexp terms
        fit_prior = gv.BufferDict()  # part of prior used in fit
        ymod_prior = gv.BufferDict()  # part of prior absorbed in ymod
        for k in prior:
            fit_prior[k] = prior[k][:nexp]
            ymod_prior[k] = prior[k][nexp:]
        ymod = y - fcn(x, ymod_prior)
        # fit modified data with just nexp terms
        fit = lsqfit.nonlinear_fit(data=(x, ymod),
                                   prior=fit_prior,
                                   fcn=fcn,
                                   p0=p0,
                                   tol=1e-10,
                                   svdcut=svdcut)
        if not default_svd and nexp == 5:
            sys.stdout = tee.tee(sys_stdout, open('eg5b.out', 'w'))
        print '************************************* nexp =', nexp
        print fit.format(True)
        p0 = fit.pmean
        if do_plot:
            import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
            if nexp > 4:
                continue
            plt.subplot(2, 2, nexp)
            if nexp not in [1, 3]:
                plt.yticks([0.05, 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25], [])
            else:
                plt.ylabel('y')
            if nexp not in [3, 4]:
                plt.xticks([1.0, 1.5, 2.0, 2.5], [])
            else:
                plt.xlabel('x')
            plt.errorbar(x=x, y=gv.mean(ymod), yerr=gv.sdev(ymod), fmt='bo')
            plt.plot(x, y, '-r')
            plt.plot(x, fcn(x, fit.pmean), ':k')
            plt.text(1.75, 0.22, 'nexp = {}'.format(nexp))
            if nexp == 4:
                plt.savefig('eg5.png', bbox_inches='tight')
                plt.show()
    # print summary information and error budget
    E = fit.p['E']  # best-fit parameters
    a = fit.p['a']
    outputs = {
        'E1/E0': E[1] / E[0],
        'E2/E0': E[2] / E[0],
        'a1/a0': a[1] / a[0],
        'a2/a0': a[2] / a[0]
    }
    inputs = {
        'E prior': prior['E'],
        'a prior': prior['a'],
        'svd cut': fit.svdcorrection,
    }
    print(gv.fmt_values(outputs))
    print(gv.fmt_errorbudget(outputs, inputs))
    sys.stdout = sys_stdout