def ds_hurst(list_time_series, list_columns):
ds = pd.Series({
list_columns[0]: compute_Hc(list_time_series[0])[0],
list_columns[1]: compute_Hc(list_time_series[1])[0],
list_columns[2]: compute_Hc(list_time_series[2])[0],
list_columns[3]: compute_Hc(list_time_series[3])[0],
})
return ds
def mostraStat(self, pointsToPlot, mediaView, desvioView, tempoTotalView,
hurstView):
medidaTempo = [' segundos']
medidaTaxa = [' bytes/segundo']
# self.uiMainWindow.analiseEstatIOT.setVisible(True)
mediaView.setText('{0:.2f} '.format(mean(pointsToPlot)) +
medidaTaxa[0])
# if len( pointsToPlot ) > 1:
# self.uiMainWindow.desvioViewIOT.setText('{0:.2f} '.format(stdev(pointsToPlot)) + medidaTaxa[self.uiMainWindow.escalaIOT.currentIndex()])
# else:
desvioView.setText('{0:.2f}'.format(stdev(pointsToPlot)) +
medidaTaxa[0])
tempoTotalView.setText(str(len(pointsToPlot)) + medidaTempo[0])
if len(pointsToPlot) > 100:
# diferences = [0]*len(points)
# # diferences[0] = points[0]
# for i in range(len(points)):
# diferences[i] = points[i] - points[i-1]
try:
H, c, _ = compute_Hc(pointsToPlot,
kind='change',
simplified=False)
if H > 1:
hurstView.setText('H > 1 não é um valor válido')
return
hurstView.setText('H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}'.format(H, c))
except FloatingPointError as fpe:
hurstView.setText(
'Unable to calculate Hurst value with current series')
print('Erro no calculo do valor de hurst: ' + fpe.__str__())
else:
hurstView.setText('Sample com menos de 101 amostras')
def mostraIOTStat(self, pointsToPlot):
medidaTempo = [' segundos', ' minutos']
medidaTaxa = [' bytes/segundo', ' bytes/minuto' ]
self.uiMainWindow.analiseEstatIOT.setVisible(True)
# numberOfPoints = len(pointsToPlot[0])
# allPoints = [0]*(pointsToPlot[0][numberOfPoints - 1] + 1)
# for i in pointsToPlot[0]:
# allPoints[int(i)] += pointsToPlot[1]
self.uiMainWindow.mediaViewIOT.setText('{0:.2f} '.format(mean(pointsToPlot)) + medidaTaxa[self.uiMainWindow.escalaIOT.currentIndex()] )
# if len( pointsToPlot ) > 1:
# self.uiMainWindow.desvioViewIOT.setText('{0:.2f} '.format(stdev(pointsToPlot)) + medidaTaxa[self.uiMainWindow.escalaIOT.currentIndex()])
# else:
self.uiMainWindow.desvioViewIOT.setText('{0:.2f}'.format(stdev(pointsToPlot)) + medidaTaxa[self.uiMainWindow.escalaIOT.currentIndex()] )
self.uiMainWindow.tempoTotalIOT.setText( str(len(pointsToPlot)) + medidaTempo[self.uiMainWindow.escalaIOT.currentIndex()])
if len(pointsToPlot) > 100:
# diferences = [0]*len(points)
# # diferences[0] = points[0]
# for i in range(len(points)):
# diferences[i] = points[i] - points[i-1]
H, c, data = compute_Hc(pointsToPlot, kind='change', simplified=False)
self.uiMainWindow.hurstParametroIOT.setText('H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}'.format(H,c))
else:
self.uiMainWindow.hurstParametroIOT.setText('Sample com menos de 101 amostras')
def mostraStreamODEstat(self, pointsToPlot):
medidaTempo = [' milisegundos', ' segundos', ' minutos']
medidaTaxa = [
' bits/100 milisegundos', ' bits/segundo', ' bits/minuto'
]
self.uiMainWindow.analiseEstatStreamOD.setVisible(True)
self.uiMainWindow.mediaViewStreamOD.setText(
'{0:.2f} '.format(mean(pointsToPlot)) +
medidaTaxa[self.uiMainWindow.escalaStreamOD.currentIndex()])
if len(pointsToPlot) > 1:
self.uiMainWindow.desvioViewStreamOD.setText(
'{0:.2f} '.format(stdev(pointsToPlot)) +
medidaTaxa[self.uiMainWindow.escalaStreamOD.currentIndex()])
else:
self.uiMainWindow.desvioViewStreamOD.setText(
'Não há desvio com apenas 1 ponto')
self.uiMainWindow.tempoTotalViewStreamOD.setText(
str(len(pointsToPlot) - 1) +
medidaTempo[self.uiMainWindow.escalaStreamOD.currentIndex()])
if len(pointsToPlot) > 100:
# diferences = [0]*len(pointsToPlot)
# # diferences[0] = points[0]
# for i in range(len(pointsToPlot)):
# diferences[i] = pointsToPlot[i] - pointsToPlot[i-1]
H, c, data = compute_Hc(pointsToPlot,
kind='change',
simplified=False)
self.uiMainWindow.hurstParameterStreamOD.setText(
'H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}'.format(H, c))
else:
self.uiMainWindow.hurstParameterStreamOD.setText(
'Sample com menos de 100 amostras')
def get_features(self):
hursts = []
for window in self.windows:
H, _, _ = compute_Hc(self.prices[-window:], kind='price', simplified=True)
hursts.append(H)
return np.array(hursts)
def mostraStatWEB(self, points):
medidaTempo = [' milisegundos', ' segundos', ' minutos']
medidaTaxa = [
' byts/100 milisegundos', ' bytes/segundo', 'byts/minuto'
]
self.uiMainWindow.analiseEstatWeb.setVisible(True)
self.uiMainWindow.mediaViewWEB.setText(
'{0:.2f} '.format(mean(points)) + medidaTaxa[1])
if len(points) > 1:
self.uiMainWindow.desvioViewWEB.setText(
'{0:.2f} '.format(stdev(points)) + medidaTaxa[1])
else:
self.uiMainWindow.desvioViewWEB.setText(
'Não há desvio para um único tempo')
self.uiMainWindow.tempoTotalViewWEB.setText(
str(len(points)) +
medidaTempo[self.uiMainWindow.comboBox_2.currentIndex()])
if len(points) > 100:
# diferences = [0]*len(points)
# # diferences[0] = points[0]
# for i in range(len(points)):
# diferences[i] = points[i] - points[i-1]
H, c, data = compute_Hc(points, kind='change', simplified=False)
self.uiMainWindow.HurstViewWEB.setText('H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}'.format(
H, c))
else:
self.uiMainWindow.HurstViewWEB.setText(
'Sample com menos de 101 amostras')
def get_rolling_hurst(dataframe):
period = 24 * 30
df['H'] = 0
for i in range(period, len(dataframe)):
dataframe.H.iloc[i] = compute_Hc(dataframe.close.iloc[i - period:i -
1],
kind='price')[0]
return dataframe['H']
def _calculate_hurst_exponent(self):
hurst_values = {}
for name, row in self.cointegration_result.iterrows():
pair_ts = self.spreads[name].values
H, _, _ = compute_Hc(pair_ts)
hurst_values[name] = H
hurst_values = pd.Series(hurst_values).rename("hurst")
self.cointegration_result = self.cointegration_result.join(
hurst_values)
def test_hurst():
np.random.seed(42)
random_increments = np.random.randn(99999)
series = np.cumsum(
random_increments) # create a random walk from random increments
# Evaluate Hurst equation
H, c, data = compute_Hc(series)
assert H < 0.6 and H > 0.4
def summary_stats_extra(x):
"""outputs additional summary statistics: skewness, kurtosis, Hurst"""
try:
H, c, data = compute_Hc(x, kind='price', simplified=True)
except Exception as e:
H = 0.25
print(e)
return {"skew": x.skew(), "kurt": x.kurt(), "hurst": H}
def simulate_a_seed(seed_params):
"""Simulates the model for a single seed and outputs the associated cost"""
seed = seed_params[0]
params = seed_params[1]
obs = []
# run model with parameters
traders, central_bank, orderbook = init_objects(params, seed)
traders, central_bank, orderbook = qe_model(traders,
central_bank,
orderbook,
params,
scenario='None',
seed=seed)
obs.append(orderbook)
# store simulated stylized facts
mc_prices, mc_returns, mc_autocorr_returns, mc_autocorr_abs_returns, mc_volatility, mc_volume, mc_fundamentals = organise_data(
obs)
autocor = []
autocor_abs = []
kurtosis = []
hursts = []
for col in mc_returns:
autocor.append(autocorrelation_returns(mc_returns[col][1:], 25).mean())
autocor_abs.append(
autocorrelation_abs_returns(mc_returns[col][1:], 25).mean())
kurtosis.append(mc_returns[col][1:].kurtosis())
H, c, data = compute_Hc(mc_prices[col].dropna(),
kind='price',
simplified=True)
hursts.append(H)
stylized_facts_sim = np.array([
np.mean(autocor),
np.mean(autocor_abs),
np.mean(kurtosis),
np.mean(hursts)
])
W = np.load(
'distr_weighting_matrix.npy'
) # if this doesn't work, use: np.identity(len(stylized_facts_sim))
empirical_moments = np.array(
[0.05034916, 0.06925489, 4.16055312, 0.71581425])
# calculate the cost
cost = quadratic_loss_function(stylized_facts_sim, empirical_moments, W)
return cost
def cal_hurst(feats):
n = feats.size(0)
# H, c, data = compute_Hc(series, kind='price', simplified=True)
H = []
for i in range(n):
# feats是tensor张量，函数的参数是numpy矩阵
# .detach().numpy() 将张量转化为numpy数组
h, _, _ = compute_Hc(feats[i].detach().numpy(), kind='price')
H.append(h)
print(H)
print(len(H))
return H
def get_hurst_exp(signal: np.ndarray):
"""
Extracts Hurst coefficients from the raw signal
Parameters:
signal: np.ndarray - input 1D signal
Returns:
features: np.ndarray - extracted stat. features
feature_names: list - names of extracted features
"""
H, c, _ = compute_Hc(signal, kind='random_walk', simplified=True)
features = np.array([H, c])
feature_names = ['hurst_H', 'hurst_c']
return features, feature_names
def FD(price_data):
#iterate in the list, set i as a index
for i in range(len(price_data)):
# check whether there is enough data (100 float numbers) to process
# the later calculation
if len(price_data) - i >= 100:
# store the list with 100 element
eurusd_price_2 = price_data[i:i + 100]
# use compute_Hc function to get the hurst
# set kind='price' and simplified=True
hurst = compute_Hc(eurusd_price_2, kind='price', simplified=True)
# caculate Fractal Dimension use 2 minus the first element in hurst
FD = 2 - hurst[0]
# store the Fractal Dimension into a list
fd_list.append(FD)
# return the list of Fractal Dimension
return fd_list
def simulate_a_seed(seed_params):
"""Simulates the model for a single seed and outputs the associated cost"""
seed = seed_params[0]
params = seed_params[1]
obs = []
# run model with parameters
traders, orderbook = init_objects(params, seed)
traders, orderbook = exuberance_inequality_model(traders, orderbook,
params, seed)
obs.append(orderbook)
# store simulated stylized facts
mc_prices, mc_returns, mc_autocorr_returns, mc_autocorr_abs_returns, mc_volatility, mc_volume, mc_fundamentals = organise_data(
obs, burn_in_period=BURN_IN)
rets_autocor = []
rets_abs_autocors = []
kurts = []
hursts = []
for col in mc_returns:
rets_autocor.append(autocorrelation_returns(mc_returns[col][1:], 25))
rets_abs_autocors.append(
autocorrelation_returns(mc_returns[col][1:].abs(), 25))
kurts.append(mc_returns[col][1:].kurtosis())
hursts.append(
compute_Hc(mc_prices[col][1:], kind='price', simplified=True)[0])
stylized_facts_sim = np.array([
np.mean(rets_autocor),
np.mean(rets_abs_autocors),
np.mean(kurts),
np.mean(hursts)
])
W = np.load(
'distr_weighting_matrix.npy'
) # if this doesn't work, use: np.identity(len(stylized_facts_sim))
empirical_moments = np.load('emp_moments.npy')
# calculate the cost
cost = quadratic_loss_function(stylized_facts_sim, empirical_moments, W)
return cost
def hurst(self, ts, plot=False):
'''
ts: input a list you want to find the hurst value of
plot: default=False, plot the lags on a log scale, this value must be a boolean
'''
H, c, val = compute_Hc(ts)
axes = plt.subplots()[1]
if plot == True:
axes.plot(val[0], c * val[0]**H, color="blue")
axes.scatter(val[0], val[1], color="red")
axes.set_xscale('log')
axes.set_yscale('log')
axes.set_xlabel('Time interval')
axes.set_ylabel('R/S ratio')
axes.grid(True)
plt.show
return H
elif plot == False:
return H
else:
raise ValueError('Plot must be set to True or False')
def hurst_matrix(self):
"""Create a matrix that prints Hurst exponents."""
n = len(symbols)
matrix = np.ones((n, n))
np.seterr(divide='ignore')
for i in range(n):
for j in range(n):
if symbols[i] == symbols[j]:
matrix[i, j] = None
else:
S1 = Data(symbols[i], self.start, self.end).logrets().dropna()
S2 = Data(symbols[j], self.start, self.end).logrets().dropna()
S1 = S1[1:]
S2 = S2[1:]
ratio = S1/S2
spread = S1 - (np.mean(ratio))*S2
result = compute_Hc(spread)
hurst = result[0]
matrix[i, j] = hurst
seaborn.heatmap(matrix, xticklabels=symbols, yticklabels=symbols, cmap='RdYlGn_r', vmin=0.4, vmax=0.6, center=0.5, annot=True)
plt.title('Matrix of Hurst Exponents for Given Stocks')
plt.show()
def metrics(prices_series):
tickers = list(prices_series)
data = {}
m = {
"mu":{},
"std":{},
"skew":{},
"kurt":{},
"ADF":{},
"H":{}
}
for t in tickers:
stats = {}
dat = {}
d = prices_series[t].values
mask = ~np.isnan(d)
logr = np.log((d[1:] / d[:-1]))
logr = logr[~np.isnan(logr)]
logr = logr[~np.isinf(logr)]
dat["data"] = logr.tolist()
m["mu"][t] = np.mean(logr[-30:])
m["std"][t] = np.std(logr[-30:])
m["skew"][t] = skew(logr[-30:])
m["kurt"][t] = kurtosis(logr[-30:])
ac = pacf(logr, nlags=min(int(10 * np.log10(len(logr))), len(logr) // 2 - 1) )
dat["autocorrelation"] = ac
fuller = adfuller(logr)
m["ADF"][t] = fuller[0]
# calculate hurst exponential
try:
H, c, _ = compute_Hc(d[mask], kind='price', simplified=True)
except Exception as e:
H, c = np.nan, np.nan
m["H"][t] = H
data[t] = dat
return m, data
w['High'].apply(find_high_date), w['Close'].apply(get_close_date)
])
orderedBar = np.sort(pricesBar.values)
#orderedBar
#Date price barType
data = pd.DataFrame(orderedBar.tolist(), columns=['Date', 'price', 'barType'])
data['Sym'] = s
data.head()
data.set_index('Date')['price'].iplot(title='{}, ({};{})'.format(
data['Sym'].unique(), df.index[0], df.index[-1]))
hurst(data['price'])
# Evaluate Hurst equation
H, c, hdata = compute_Hc(data['price'], kind='price', simplified=True)
# Plot
f, ax = plt.subplots()
ax.plot(hdata[0], c * hdata[0]**H, color="deepskyblue")
ax.scatter(hdata[0], hdata[1], color="purple")
ax.set_xscale('log')
ax.set_yscale('log')
ax.set_xlabel('Time interval')
ax.set_ylabel('R/S ratio')
ax.grid(True)
plt.show()
print("H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}".format(H, c))
# In[ ]:
def plot_agr_load():
series_total = 86400 * [0]
series_stream = 86400 * [0]
series_web = 86400 * [0]
series_voip = 86400 * [0]
# Streaming
for i in range(40):
try:
with open('./Charges/stream_charge{}.json'.format(i)) as json_file:
data = json.load(json_file)
init_time = data['init_time']
message_size_list = data['packet_size']
time_between_message = data['time_between_packets']
for k, j in zip(message_size_list, time_between_message):
try:
series_stream[int(init_time + j)] += k
init_time += j
except IndexError:
print('Diferenca entre tamanho de listas')
except IOError:
print('No file named "./Charges/stream_charge{}.json"'.format(i))
H, c, data = compute_Hc(series_stream, kind='change', simplified=False)
print("Streaming de vídeo => H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}".format(H, c))
plt.subplot(2, 2, 1)
plt.plot(series_stream, color='darkred')
plt.title('Streaming de vídeo sob demanda')
plt.xlabel('Tempo (segundos)')
plt.ylabel('Trafego agregado (bytes)')
# WEB
for i in range(85):
try:
with open('./Charges/web_charge{}.json'.format(i)) as json_file:
data = json.load(json_file)
init_time = data['init_time']
message_size_list = data['packet_size']
time_between_message = data['time_between_packets']
for k, j in zip(message_size_list, time_between_message):
try:
if init_time + j > 86400:
break
series_web[int(init_time + j)] += k
init_time += j
except IndexError:
print('Diferenca entre tamanho de listas')
except IOError:
print('No file named "./Charges/stream_charge{}.json"'.format(i))
plt.subplot(2, 2, 2)
plt.plot(series_web, color='darkred')
plt.title('WEB')
plt.xlabel('Tempo (segundos)')
plt.ylabel('Trafego agregado (bytes)')
H, c, data = compute_Hc(series_web, kind='change', simplified=False)
print("WEB => H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}".format(H, c))
# VoIP
for i in range(554):
try:
with open('./Charges/voip_charge{}.json'.format(i)) as json_file:
data = json.load(json_file)
init_time = data['init_time']
message_size = data['packet_size']
time_between_message = data['time_between_packets']
for k in time_between_message:
try:
if init_time + k > 86400:
break
series_voip[int(init_time + k)] += message_size
init_time += k
except IndexError:
print('Diferenca entre tamanho de listas')
except IOError:
print('No file named "./Charges/stream_charge{}.json"'.format(i))
H, c, data = compute_Hc(series_voip, kind='change', simplified=False)
print("VoIP => H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}".format(H, c))
plt.subplot(2, 2, 3)
plt.plot(series_voip, color='darkred')
plt.title('VoIP')
plt.xlabel('Tempo (segundos)')
plt.ylabel('Trafego agregado (bytes)')
z = 0
for i, j, k in zip(series_stream, series_web, series_voip):
series_total[z] += i + j + k
z += 1
H, c, data = compute_Hc(series_total, kind='change', simplified=False)
print("Total => H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}".format(H, c))
plt.subplot(2, 2, 4)
plt.plot(series_total, color='darkred')
plt.title('Tráfego Agregado')
plt.xlabel('Tempo (segundos)')
plt.ylabel('Trafego agregado (bytes)')
plt.subplots_adjust(hspace=0.3)
plt.show()
df = p[[4]]
df['changes'] = df.pct_change()
changevec = df['changes'].dropna() + 1
changevec = changevec.dropna()
random_changes = np.array(changevec)
series = np.cumprod(random_changes)
H_l = []
c_l = []
data_l = []
mse_l = []
series_splits = np.array_split(series, 100)
for currseries in series_splits:
H, c, data = compute_Hc(currseries, kind='price', simplified=True)
H_l.append(H)
c_l.append(c)
data_l.append(data)
mse_l.append(ar(currseries - 1)) # Get back to simple returns around 0
# Evaluate Hurst equation for complete data set
H, c, data = compute_Hc(series, kind='price', simplified=True)
# Use Autoregressive Model to predict price for periods of differing H.
# Would expect high H periods (e.g. > 0.5) to have a smaller Mean Squared Error than other periods
# Then use some hypothesis test on the mean difference.
# Use t-test for mse_l small when H_l large
cutoff_int = 0.5
idx = np.where(np.array(H_l) > cutoff_int)
def distr_model_performance(input_parameters):
"""
Simple function calibrate uncertain model parameters
:param input_parameters: list of input parameters
:return: cost
"""
# set fixed parameters of integer variables & variable names
n_runs = 1
variable_names = [
'std_noise', "w_random", "strat_share_chartists", "base_risk_aversion",
"fundamentalist_horizon_multiplier", "mutation_intensity",
"average_learning_ability"
]
# update params
uncertain_parameters = dict(zip(variable_names, input_parameters))
params = {
"fundamental_value": 166,
"trader_sample_size": 22,
"n_traders": 1000,
"ticks": 600,
"std_fundamental": 0.053,
"init_assets": 740,
'spread_max': 0.004,
'money_multiplier': 2.2,
"horizon": 200,
"std_noise": 0.049,
"w_random": 0.08,
"strat_share_chartists": 0.08,
"base_risk_aversion": 1.051,
"fundamentalist_horizon_multiplier": 3.8,
"trades_per_tick": 1,
"mutation_intensity": 0.0477,
"average_learning_ability": 0.05,
"bond_mean_reversion": 0.0,
'cb_pf_range': 0.05,
"qe_perc_size": 0.16,
"cb_size": 0.02,
"qe_asset_index": 0,
"qe_start": 2,
"qe_end": 598
}
params.update(uncertain_parameters)
empirical_moments = np.array(
[0.05034916, 0.06925489, 4.16055312, 0.71581425])
traders = []
obs = []
# run model with parameters
for seed in range(n_runs):
traders, central_bank, orderbook = init_objects(params, seed)
traders, central_bank, orderbook = qe_model(traders,
central_bank,
orderbook,
params,
scenario='None',
seed=seed)
traders.append(traders)
obs.append(orderbook)
# store simulated stylized facts
mc_prices, mc_returns, mc_autocorr_returns, mc_autocorr_abs_returns, mc_volatility, mc_volume, mc_fundamentals = organise_data(
obs)
autocor = []
autocor_abs = []
kurtosis = []
hursts = []
for col in mc_returns:
autocor.append(autocorrelation_returns(mc_returns[col][1:], 25).mean())
autocor_abs.append(
autocorrelation_returns(mc_returns[col][1:], 25).abs().mean())
kurtosis.append(mc_returns[col][1:].kurtosis())
H, c, data = compute_Hc(mc_prices[col].dropna(),
kind='price',
simplified=True)
hursts.append(H)
stylized_facts_sim = np.array([
np.mean(autocor),
np.mean(autocor_abs),
np.mean(kurtosis),
np.mean(hursts)
])
W = np.load(
'distr_weighting_matrix.npy'
) #if this doesn't work, use: np.identity(len(stylized_facts_sim))
# calculate the cost
cost = quadratic_loss_function(stylized_facts_sim, empirical_moments, W)
return cost
df = pd.concat(vwaplist)
# get the dates in the right format and set it as index
df['datetime'] = pd.to_datetime(df['date'])
df.set_index('datetime')
# calculate the total period vwap
df['vwap'] = (df['volume'] *
(df['high'] + df['low']) / 2).cumsum() / df['volume'].cumsum()
# calculate the SAR
df['sar'] = ta.SAR(df, acceleration=0.01, maximum=0.02)
# calculate the Hurst Exponent and print it
H, c, data = compute_Hc(df['close'], kind='price')
alt_Hurst = hurst(df['close'].values)
print("Hurst Exponent:")
print(H)
print(alt_Hurst)
# calculate the rolling hurst Exponent for each week
def get_rolling_hurst(dataframe):
period = 24 * 30
df['H'] = 0
for i in range(period, len(dataframe)):
dataframe.H.iloc[i] = compute_Hc(dataframe.close.iloc[i - period:i -
1],
kind='price')[0]
return dataframe['H']
def hurst_coeff(x):
h, C, data = hurst.compute_Hc(x)
result = fracdiff.fracdiff(x, 0, 0)
_hurst_coeff = result.rx2('d')[0] + 0.5
return _hurst_coeff
def calculate_hurst(dfseries):
"""if Hurst < 0.5 favors mean reversion, if Hurst >0.5 favors trend, Hurst ~ 0.5 means a random walk"""
hurst, constant, vals = compute_Hc(dfseries, kind='price')
print('Hurst Exponent value is : ', hurst)
return hurst
def calculate_hurst_exponent(traffic):
hurst_exponent, _, _ = compute_Hc(traffic)
return hurst_exponent
import datetime
from numpy import *
from pylab import plot, show
start = datetime.datetime(2019, 1, 1)
end = datetime.datetime(2020, 5, 1)
spy = web.DataReader("SPY", 'yahoo', start, end)
closes = spy['Adj Close'][:]
# Use random_walk() function or generate a random walk series manually:
# series = random_walk(99999, cumprod=True)
np.random.seed(42)
random_changes = 1. + np.random.randn(99999) / 1000.
series = np.cumprod(random_changes) # create a random walk from random changes
# Evaluate Hurst equation
H, c, data = compute_Hc(closes, kind='price', simplified=True)
# Plot
f, ax = plt.subplots()
ax.plot(data[0], c*data[0]**H, color="deepskyblue")
ax.scatter(data[0], data[1], color="purple")
ax.set_xscale('log')
ax.set_yscale('log')
ax.set_xlabel('Time interval')
ax.set_ylabel('R/S ratio')
ax.grid(True)
plt.show()
print("H={:.4f}, c={:.4f}".format(H,c))
for index, symbol in enumerate(btc_pairlist):
close_list[index] = get_all_binance(symbol, '1h', save = False)['close']
length_list[index] = len(close_list[index])
# create a dataframe with all the closes so we can get a correlation matrix
close_df = pd.concat(close_list, axis=1, sort=False)
close_df.columns = btc_pairlist
close_df = close_df.apply( pd.to_numeric, errors='coerce' )
#calculate the correlation matrix
corr_matrix = close_df.corr()
print(corr_matrix)
corr_filename = 'correlation_matrix.csv'
corr_matrix.to_csv(corr_filename)
# calculate the hurst exponent for each symbol and store it in our list
for index, elem in enumerate(close_list):
closes = pd.to_numeric(close_list[index]).values
hurst_list[index]= compute_Hc(closes,kind='price')[0]
alt_hurst_list[index] = hurst(closes)
# create the hurst exponent dataframe
df = pd.DataFrame(list(zip(btc_pairlist,hurst_list,alt_hurst_list,length_list)),
columns=['ticker','hurst_exponent','althurstlst','number_of_hours'])
print(df)
filename = 'hurst_data.csv'
df.to_csv(filename)
def split_hurst(df):
df['split_hurst'] = compute_Hc(df['close'], kind='price')[0]
df['alt_split_hurst'] = hurst(df['close'].values)
return df
def h(l):
s = compute_Hc(l)
return s[0]
