Ejemplo n.º 1
0
def run_scenarios(model, baseline, database, shale_costs, carbon_costs):
    # launch a platform to access the database
    mp = ixmp.Platform(dbprops=f'db/{database}', dbtype='HSQLDB')
    base = message_ix.Scenario(mp, model=model, scenario=baseline)
    if base.has_solution():
        base.remove_solution()
    base.solve(model='MESSAGE-MACRO')

    # Define values for progress report
    num = len(list(product(shale_costs, carbon_costs)))
    i = 0
    infeasible_models = []

    # Run Scenario
    ##################################
    for s, c in product(shale_costs, carbon_costs):
        scenario = f'{s}USDpGJ-{c}USDtCO2'
        scen = base.clone(model, scenario, keep_solution=False)
        scen.set_as_default()
        scen.check_out()
        year = base.set('year').astype(int)
        first_model_year = scen.cat('year', 'firstmodelyear')
        model_years = list(year[year >= int(first_model_year)])

        # update scenario carbon cost
        filters = dict(node='South Africa',
                       type_emission='CO2',
                       type_tec='all',
                       type_year=model_years)
        par = scen.par('tax_emission', filters)
        par['value'] = [(c * ((1 + 0.05)**n))
                        for n in range(0,
                                       len(model_years) * 10, 10)]
        scen.add_par('tax_emission', par)

        # update scenario shale gas extraction costs
        filters = dict(mode='M1',
                       node_loc='South Africa',
                       time='year',
                       year_act=model_years,
                       year_vtg=model_years,
                       technology='shale_extr')
        par = scen.par('var_cost', filters)
        par['value'] = s * 3.6 * 8.76  # from USD/GJ to USD/MWh to MUSD/GWa
        scen.add_par('var_cost', par)

        scen.commit(
            'update variable costs and carbon price according to the scenario specifications'
        )

        # Solve Model
        try:
            scen.solve(model='MESSAGE-MACRO')
        except:
            infeasible_models = infeasible_models + [scenario]
            print(
                f'Infeasible model. Shale gas extraction costs: {s}, carbon price {c}.'
            )
            continue
        print(f'Done running {i + 1} out of {num} scenarios.')
        i = i + 1

    mp.close_db()
    print(f'The following scenarios are infeasible: {infeasible_models}')
Ejemplo n.º 2
0
def fetch_scenarios(path, dbprops):
    mp = ixmp.Platform(dbprops=dbprops)
    for id, data in iter_scenarios():
        scen = message_ix.Scenario(mp, data["model"], data["scenario"])
        scen.to_excel((path / id).with_suffix(".xlsx"))
Ejemplo n.º 3
0
def results_to_xlsx(model,
                    baseline,
                    database,
                    shale_costs,
                    carbon_costs,
                    l_year=2050):
    # Launch data base and load baseline
    mp = ixmp.Platform(dbprops=f'db/{database}', dbtype='HSQLDB')
    base = message_ix.Scenario(mp, model=model, scenario=baseline)

    year = base.set('year').astype(int)
    f_mod_year = base.cat('year', 'firstmodelyear')
    years = list(year[(year >= int(f_mod_year)) & (year <= l_year)])

    columns = ['variable', 'tax', 'cost'] + years
    all_ts = pd.DataFrame(columns=columns)

    # retrieve data from scenarios
    ##################################
    for s, c in [('none', 0)] + list(product(shale_costs, carbon_costs)):
        if s == 'none':
            scen = base
        else:
            scenario = f'{s}USDpMWh-{c}USDtCO2'
            scen = message_ix.Scenario(mp, model=model, scenario=scenario)

        # EMISSION DATA
        data = scen.var('EMISS', {
            'node': 'South Africa',
            'year': years
        }).drop(['type_tec', 'mrg'], axis=1)
        ts = create_timeseries(data, 'Emissions|Total', s, c, 'node')
        all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

        # POWER SECTOR DATA
        act_dic = {
            'Coal wo ccs': ['coal_adv', 'coal_ppl', 'igcc'],
            'Coal ccs': ['coal_adv_ccs', 'igcc_ccs'],
            'Gas wo ccs': ['gas_cc', 'gas_ct', 'gas_ppl'],
            'Gas ccs': ['gas_cc_ccs'],
            'Other ppls': ['foil_ppl', 'loil_ppl', 'elec_imp'],
            'Renewable': [
                'wind_ppl', 'solar_th_ppl_base', 'solar_th_ppl', 'hydro_ppl',
                'solar_pv_ppl'
            ],
            'Nuclear': ['nuc_ppl']
        }

        for k, t in act_dic.items():
            data = scen.var('ACT', {
                'node_loc': 'South Africa',
                'year_act': years,
                'technology': t
            })
            data = data.rename(columns={'year_act': 'year'})
            ts = create_timeseries(data, f'Activity|{k}', s, c, 'node_loc')
            all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

            data = scen.var('CAP', {
                'node_loc': 'South Africa',
                'year_vtg': years,
                'technology': t
            })
            data = data.rename(columns={'year_vtg': 'year'})
            ts = create_timeseries(data, f'Capacity|{k}', s, c, 'node_loc')
            all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

        # ENERGY USE DATA
        act_dic = {
            'shale_extr':
            'shale_extr',
            'coal_extr':
            'coal_extr',
            'all_extr': ['shale_extr', 'coal_extr', 'gas_extr', 'oil_extr'],
            'all_imp': [
                'coal_imp', 'gas_imp', 'oil_imp', 'loil_imp', 'foil_imp',
                'elec_imp'
            ],
            'all_exp': [
                'coal_exp', 'gas_exp', 'oil_exp', 'loil_exp', 'foil_exp',
                'elec_exp'
            ],
            'renewable_energy': [
                'solar_th_ppl_base', 'solar_i', 'bio_extr', 'solar_rc',
                'wind_ppl', 'solar_pv_ppl', 'hydro_ppl', 'solar_th_ppl'
            ]
        }

        for k, t in act_dic.items():
            data = scen.var('ACT', {
                'node_loc': 'South Africa',
                'year_act': years,
                'technology': t
            })
            data = data.rename(columns={'year_act': 'year'})
            ts = create_timeseries(data, f'Activity|{k}', s, c, 'node_loc')
            all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

    all_ts = all_ts[columns]

    if not os.path.exists('results/'):
        os.makedirs('results/')

    all_ts.to_excel('results/timeseries.xlsx')
Ejemplo n.º 4
0
def fetch_scenarios(path, dbprops):
    mp = ixmp.Platform(dbprops=dbprops)
    for id, data in iter_scenarios():
        scen = message_ix.Scenario(mp, data['model'], data['scenario'])
        scen.to_excel((path / id).with_suffix('.xlsx'))
Ejemplo n.º 5
0
def results_to_iamc(model, scenario, region, database, l_year=2050):
    # Launch data base and load baseline
    mp = ixmp.Platform(dbprops=f'db/{database}', dbtype='HSQLDB')
    scen = message_ix.Scenario(mp, model=model, scenario=scenario)

    year = scen.set('year').astype(int)
    f_mod_year = scen.cat('year', 'firstmodelyear')
    years = list(year[(year >= int(f_mod_year)) & (year <= l_year)])

    columns = ['model', 'scenario', 'region', 'variable', 'unit'] + years
    all_ts = pd.DataFrame(columns=columns)

    # retrieve data from scenarios
    ##################################
    # EMISSION DATA
    data = scen.var('EMISS', {'node': region, 'year': years}
                    ).drop(['type_tec', 'mrg'], axis=1)
    ts = create_timeseries(data, 'Emissions|GHG', model, scenario, region, 'MtCO2eq', 'node')
    all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

    # POWER SECTOR DATA
    act_dic = {'Electricity|Coal|w/o CCS': ['coal_adv', 'coal_ppl', 'igcc'],
               'Electricity|Coal|w/ CCS': ['coal_adv_ccs', 'igcc_ccs'],
               'Electricity|Gas|w/o CCS': ['gas_cc', 'gas_ct', 'gas_ppl'],
               'Electricity|Gas|w/ CCS': ['gas_cc_ccs'],
               'Electricity|Oil|w/o CCS': ['foil_ppl', 'loil_ppl'],
               'Electricity|Import': ['elec_imp'],
               'Electricity|Wind': ['wind_ppl'],
               'Electricity|Solar': ['solar_th_ppl_base', 'solar_th_ppl', 'solar_pv_ppl'],
               'Electricity|Hydro': ['hydro_ppl'],
               'Electricity|Nuclear': ['nuc_ppl']}

    for k, t in act_dic.items():
        data = scen.var('ACT', {'node_loc': region,
                                'year_act': years, 'technology': t})
        data = data.rename(columns={'year_act': 'year'})
        ts = create_timeseries(data, f'Secondary Energy|{k}', model, scenario, region, 'GWa', 'node_loc')
        all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

        data = scen.var('CAP', {'node_loc': 'South Africa',
                                'year_vtg': years, 'technology': t})
        data = data.rename(columns={'year_vtg': 'year'})
        ts = create_timeseries(data, f'Capacity|{k}', model, scenario, region, 'GW', 'node_loc')
        all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

    # ENERGY USE DATA
    act_dic = {'shale_extr': 'shale_extr', 'coal_extr': 'coal_extr',
               'all_extr': ['shale_extr', 'coal_extr', 'gas_extr',
                            'oil_extr'],
               'all_imp': ['coal_imp', 'gas_imp', 'oil_imp',
                           'loil_imp', 'foil_imp', 'elec_imp'],
               'all_exp': ['coal_exp', 'gas_exp', 'oil_exp', 'loil_exp',
                           'foil_exp', 'elec_exp'],
               'renewable_energy': ['solar_th_ppl_base', 'solar_i',
                                    'bio_extr', 'solar_rc', 'wind_ppl',
                                    'solar_pv_ppl', 'hydro_ppl',
                                    'solar_th_ppl']}

    for k, t in act_dic.items():
        data = scen.var('ACT', {'node_loc': 'South Africa',
                                'year_act': years, 'technology': t})
        data = data.rename(columns={'year_act': 'year'})
        ts = create_timeseries(data, f'Activity|{k}', model, scenario, region, 'GWa', 'node_loc')
        all_ts = all_ts.append(ts, sort=True)

    all_ts = all_ts[columns]

    if not os.path.exists('results/'):
        os.makedirs('results/')

    all_ts.to_excel('results/timeseries_%s.xlsx' % scenario)
Ejemplo n.º 6
0
importlib.reload(LoadParams)

#%% Base model load

# launch the IX modeling platform using the local default database
mp = ix.Platform(
    dbprops=r'H:\MyDocuments\MESSAGE\message_ix\config\default.org.properties')

# new model name in ix platform
modelName = "JM_GLB_NITRO"
basescenarioName = "NoPolicy"
newscenarioName = "NoPolicy_Trd"

comment = "MESSAGE global test for new representation of nitrogen cycle with global trade"

Sc_nitro = message_ix.Scenario(mp, modelName, basescenarioName)

#%% Clone the model

Sc_nitro_trd = Sc_nitro.clone(modelName, newscenarioName, comment)

Sc_nitro_trd.remove_solution()
Sc_nitro_trd.check_out()

#%% Add tecs to set
# Only fertilizer traded for now (NH3 trade data not yet available)
comm_for_trd = ['Fertilizer Use|Nitrogen']
lvl_for_trd = ['material_final']
newtechnames_trd = ['NFert_trd']
newtechnames_imp = ['NFert_imp']
newtechnames_exp = ['NFert_exp']
Ejemplo n.º 7
0
"""
Created on Tue May 24 13:28:00 2020

@author: 
"""

import pandas as pd
import ixmp
import message_ix

from message_ix.utils import make_df

mp = ixmp.Platform()

scenario = message_ix.Scenario(mp,
                               model='Westeros Electrified',
                               scenario='baseline',
                               version='new')

history = [690]
model_horizon = [700, 710, 720]
scenario.add_horizon({
    'year': history + model_horizon,
    'firstmodelyear': model_horizon[0]
})

country = 'Westeros'
scenario.add_spatial_sets({'country': country})
scenario.add_set("commodity", ["electricity", "light"])
scenario.add_set("level", ["secondary", "final", "useful"])
scenario.add_set("technology", ['coal_ppl', 'wind_ppl', 'grid', 'bulb'])
scenario.add_set("mode", "standard")
Ejemplo n.º 8
0
for fname in [
        os.path.join(db_dir, 'ixmptest.lobs'),
        os.path.join(db_dir, 'ixmptest.properties'),
        os.path.join(db_dir, 'ixmptest.script')
]:
    if os.path.isfile(fname):
        os.remove(fname)

# launch the modeling platform instance, creating a new test database file
mp = ix.Platform(dbprops=test_db, dbtype='HSQLDB')
model = "canning problem (MESSAGE scheme)"
scenario = "standard"
annot = "Dantzig's canning problem as a MESSAGE-scheme ixmp.Scenario"
scen = message_ix.Scenario(mp,
                           model,
                           scenario,
                           version='new',
                           annotation=annot)
input_file = os.path.join(db_dir, 'input.xlsx')
scen.read_excel(input_file)
comment = "importing a MESSAGE-scheme version of the transport problem"
scen.commit(comment)
scen.set_as_default()

# duplicate the MESSAGE-scheme transport scenario for additional unit tests
scen = message_ix.Scenario(mp, model, scenario)
scen = scen.clone(scen='multi-year',
                  annotation='adding additional years for unit-testing')
scen.check_out()
scen.add_set('year', [2020, 2030])
scen.add_par('technical_lifetime', ['seattle', 'canning_plant', '2020'], 30,
Ejemplo n.º 9
0
def dantzig_reporter(message_test_mp):
    scen = message_ix.Scenario(message_test_mp, **SCENARIO["dantzig"])
    if not scen.has_solution():
        scen.solve()
    yield message_ix.Reporter.from_scenario(scen)
Ejemplo n.º 10
0
def main(context, model_new, scen_new, create_new, years_new, firstyear_new,
         lastyear_new, macro, baseyear_macro, parameter, region, rewrite,
         unit_check, extrapol_neg, bound_extend, dry_run):
    # The reference scenario is loaded according to the options given to
    # the top-level message-ix (=ixmp) CLI:

    try:
        sc_ref = context.get('scen', None)  # AttributeError if context is None
        if not isinstance(sc_ref, ixmp.Scenario):
            raise AttributeError
    except AttributeError:
        raise click.UsageError('add-years requires a base scenario; use'
                               '--url or --platform, --model, --scenario, and '
                               'optionally --version')

    start = timer()
    print('>> message_ix.tools.add_year...')

    # Handle default arguments
    if model_new is None:
        model_new = sc_ref.model

    if scen_new is None:
        # FIXME is this a good default?
        scen_new = sc_ref.scenario + '_5y'

    new_kw = dict(model=model_new, scenario=scen_new)
    if create_new:
        new_kw.update(dict(
            version='new',
            annotation='5 year modelling',
        ))

    # Output for debugging
    print(years_new)

    if dry_run:
        # Print arguments debugging and return
        print(
            'sc_ref:', (sc_ref.model, sc_ref.scenario, sc_ref.version),
            'sc_new:', new_kw,
            'years_new:', years_new,
            'firstyear_new:', firstyear_new,
            'lastyear_new:', lastyear_new,
            'macro:', macro,
            'baseyear_macro:', baseyear_macro,
            'parameter:', parameter,
            'region:', region,
            'rewrite:', rewrite,
            'unit_check:', unit_check,
            'extrapol_neg:', extrapol_neg,
            'bound_extend:', bound_extend)
        return

    # Retrieve the Platform that sc_ref is stored on
    mp = sc_ref.platform

    # Load or create the new scenario to which to add years
    sc_new = message_ix.Scenario(mp, **new_kw)

    if not create_new:
        # Existing scenario: remove solution and check out
        if sc_new.has_solution():
            sc_new.remove_solution()
        sc_new.check_out()

    # Calling the main function
    add_year(
        sc_ref=sc_ref,
        sc_new=sc_new,
        years_new=years_new,
        firstyear_new=firstyear_new,
        lastyear_new=lastyear_new,
        macro=macro,
        baseyear_macro=baseyear_macro,
        parameter=parameter,
        region=region,
        rewrite=rewrite,
        unit_check=unit_check,
        extrapol_neg=extrapol_neg,
        bound_extend=bound_extend)

    end = timer()

    mp.close_db()

    print('> Elapsed time for adding new years:', round((end - start) / 60),
          'min and', round((end - start) % 60, 1), 'sec.')

    print('> New scenario with additional years is:\n'
          '  ixmp://{}/{}/{}#{}'.format(sc_new.platform.name, sc_new.model,
                                        sc_new.scenario, sc_new.version))