Ejemplo n.º 1
0
    [0.93, 0.9, 0.2])
print g11res
llf = loglike_GARCH11(g11res, errgjr4 - errgjr4.mean())
print llf[0]

if 'rpyfit' in examples:
    from rpy import r
    r.library('fGarch')
    f = r.formula('~garch(1, 1)')
    fit = r.garchFit(f, data=errgjr4 - errgjr4.mean(), include_mean=False)

if 'rpysim' in examples:
    from rpy import r
    f = r.formula('~garch(1, 1)')
    #fit = r.garchFit(f, data = errgjr4)
    x = r.garchSim(n=500)
    print 'R acf', tsa.acf(np.power(x, 2))[:15]
    arma3 = Arma(np.power(x, 2))
    arma3res = arma3.fit(start_params=[-0.2, 0.1, 0.5], maxiter=5000)
    print arma3res.params
    arma3b = Arma(np.power(x, 2))
    arma3bres = arma3b.fit(start_params=[-0.2, 0.1, 0.5],
                           maxiter=5000,
                           method='bfgs')
    print arma3bres.params

    xr = r.garchSim(n=100)

    x = np.asarray(xr)
    ggmod = Garch(x - x.mean())
    ggmod.nar = 1
Ejemplo n.º 2
0
    print('ggres0.params', ggres0.params)

    ggmod0 = Garch0(errgjr4-errgjr4.mean())#hgjr4[:nobs])#-hgjr4.mean()) #errgjr4)
    ggmod0.nar = 1
    ggmod.nma = 1
    start_params = np.array([-0.6, 0.2, 0.1])
    ggmod0._start_params = start_params #np.array([-0.6, 0.1, 0.2, 0.0])
    ggres0 = ggmod0.fit(start_params=start_params, method='bfgs', maxiter=2000)
    print('ggres0.params', ggres0.params)


    if 'rpy' in examples:
        from rpy import r
        f = r.formula('~garch(1, 1)')
        #fit = r.garchFit(f, data = errgjr4)
        x = r.garchSim( n = 500)
        print('R acf', tsa.acf(np.power(x,2))[:15])
        arma3 = Arma(np.power(x,2))
        arma3res = arma3.fit(start_params=[-0.2,0.1,0.5],maxiter=5000)
        print(arma3res.params)
        arma3b = Arma(np.power(x,2))
        arma3bres = arma3b.fit(start_params=[-0.2,0.1,0.5],maxiter=5000, method='bfgs')
        print(arma3bres.params)

    llf = loglike_GARCH11([0.93, 0.9, 0.2], errgjr4)
    print(llf[0])

    erro,ho, etaxo = generate_gjrgarch(20, ar, ma, mu=0.04, scale=0.01,
                      varinnovation = np.ones(20))

g11res = optimize.fmin(lambda params: -loglike_GARCH11(params, errgjr4-errgjr4.mean())[0], [0.93, 0.9, 0.2])
print g11res
llf = loglike_GARCH11(g11res, errgjr4-errgjr4.mean())
print llf[0]

if 'rpyfit' in examples:
    from rpy import r
    r.library('fGarch')
    f = r.formula('~garch(1, 1)')
    fit = r.garchFit(f, data = errgjr4-errgjr4.mean(), include_mean=False)

if 'rpysim' in examples:
    from rpy import r
    f = r.formula('~garch(1, 1)')
    #fit = r.garchFit(f, data = errgjr4)
    x = r.garchSim( n = 500)
    print 'R acf', tsa.acf(np.power(x,2))[:15]
    arma3 = Arma(np.power(x,2))
    arma3res = arma3.fit(start_params=[-0.2,0.1,0.5],maxiter=5000)
    print arma3res.params
    arma3b = Arma(np.power(x,2))
    arma3bres = arma3b.fit(start_params=[-0.2,0.1,0.5],maxiter=5000, method='bfgs')
    print arma3bres.params

    xr = r.garchSim( n = 100)

    x = np.asarray(xr)
    ggmod = Garch(x-x.mean())
    ggmod.nar = 1
    ggmod.nma = 1
    ggmod._start_params = np.array([-0.6, 0.1, 0.2, 0.0])
Ejemplo n.º 4
0
    print('ggres0.params', ggres0.params)

    ggmod0 = Garch0(errgjr4-errgjr4.mean())#hgjr4[:nobs])#-hgjr4.mean()) #errgjr4)
    ggmod0.nar = 1
    ggmod.nma = 1
    start_params = np.array([-0.6, 0.2, 0.1])
    ggmod0._start_params = start_params #np.array([-0.6, 0.1, 0.2, 0.0])
    ggres0 = ggmod0.fit(start_params=start_params, method='bfgs', maxiter=2000)
    print('ggres0.params', ggres0.params)


    if 'rpy' in examples:
        from rpy import r
        f = r.formula('~garch(1, 1)')
        #fit = r.garchFit(f, data = errgjr4)
        x = r.garchSim( n = 500)
        print('R acf', tsa.acf(np.power(x,2))[:15])
        arma3 = Arma(np.power(x,2))
        arma3res = arma3.fit(start_params=[-0.2,0.1,0.5],maxiter=5000)
        print(arma3res.params)
        arma3b = Arma(np.power(x,2))
        arma3bres = arma3b.fit(start_params=[-0.2,0.1,0.5],maxiter=5000, method='bfgs')
        print(arma3bres.params)

    llf = loglike_GARCH11([0.93, 0.9, 0.2], errgjr4)
    print(llf[0])

    erro,ho, etaxo = generate_gjrgarch(20, ar, ma, mu=0.04, scale=0.01,
                      varinnovation = np.ones(20))