Example #1
0
    def clear_probability_from_objects(self, target, obj):
        logging.info('Clearing probability from {}'.format(obj.name))
        fusion_engine = self.robot.fusion_engine
        vb = VariationalBayes()

        if not hasattr(obj, 'relations'):
            obj.define_relations()

        if target is not None:
            prior = fusion_engine.filters[target].probability
            likelihood = obj.relations.binary_models['Inside']
            mu, sigma, beta = vb.update(measurement='Not Inside',
                                        likelihood=likelihood,
                                        prior=prior,
                                        use_LWIS=False,
                                        )
            gm = GaussianMixture(beta, mu, sigma)
            fusion_engine.filters[target].probability = gm
        else:
            # Update all but combined filters
            for name, filter_ in fusion_engine.filters.iteritems():
                if name == 'combined':
                    pass
                else:
                    prior = filter_.probability
                    likelihood = obj.relations.binary_models['Inside']
                    mu, sigma, beta = vb.update(measurement='Not Inside',
                                                likelihood=likelihood,
                                                prior=prior,
                                                use_LWIS=False,
                                                )
                    gm = GaussianMixture(beta, mu, sigma)
                    filter_.probability = gm
Example #2
0
    def vbis_update(self, measurement, likelihood, prior,
                    init_mean=0, init_var=1, init_alpha=0.5, init_xi=1,
                    num_samples=None,  use_LWIS=False):
        """VB update with importance sampling for Gaussian and Softmax.
        """
        if num_samples is None:
            num_samples = self.num_importance_samples

        if use_LWIS:
            q_mu = np.asarray(prior.means[0])
            log_c_hat = np.nan
        else:
            # Use VB update
            q_mu, var_VB, log_c_hat = self.vb_update(measurement, likelihood,
                                                      prior,
                                                      init_mean, init_var,
                                                      init_alpha, init_xi)

        q_var = np.asarray(prior.covariances[0])

        # Importance distribution
        q = GaussianMixture(1, q_mu, q_var)

        # Importance sampling correction
        w = np.zeros(num_samples)  # Importance weights
        x = q.rvs(size=num_samples)  # Sampled points
        x = np.asarray(x)
        if hasattr(likelihood, 'subclasses'):
            measurement_class = likelihood.subclasses[measurement]
        else:
            measurement_class = likelihood.classes[measurement]

        # Compute parameters using samples
        w = prior.pdf(x) * measurement_class.probability(state=x) / q.pdf(x)
        w /= np.sum(w)  # Normalize weights

        mu_hat = np.sum(x.T * w, axis=-1)

        # <>TODO: optimize this
        var_hat = np.zeros_like(np.asarray(q_var))
        for i in range(num_samples):
            x_i = np.asarray(x[i])
            var_hat = var_hat + w[i] * np.outer(x_i, x_i) 
        var_hat -= np.outer(mu_hat, mu_hat)

        # Ensure properly formatted output
        if mu_hat.size == 1 and mu_hat.ndim > 0:
            mu_post_vbis = mu_hat[0]
        else:
            mu_post_vbis = mu_hat
        if var_hat.size == 1:
            var_post_vbis = var_hat[0][0]
        else:
            var_post_vbis = var_hat

        logging.debug('VBIS update found mean of {} and variance of {}.'
                     .format(mu_post_vbis, var_post_vbis))

        return mu_post_vbis, var_post_vbis, log_c_hat
Example #3
0
    def lwis_update(self, prior):
        """

        clustering:
            pairwise greedy merging - compare means, weights & variances
            salmond's method and runnals' method (better)

        """
        prior_mean = np.asarray(prior.means[0])
        prior_var = np.asarray(prior.covariances[0])

        # Importance distribution
        q = GaussianMixture(1, prior_mean, prior_var)

        # Importance sampling correction
        w = np.zeros(num_samples)  # Importance weights
        x = q.rvs(size=num_samples)  # Sampled points
        x = np.asarray(x)
        if hasattr(likelihood, 'subclasses'):
            measurement_class = likelihood.subclasses[measurement]
        else:
            measurement_class = likelihood.classes[measurement]

        for i in range(num_samples):
            w[i] = prior.pdf(x[i]) \
                * measurement_class.probability(state=x[i])\
                / q.pdf(x[i])
        w /= np.sum(w)  # Normalize weights

        mu_hat = np.zeros_like(np.asarray(mu_VB))
        for i in range(num_samples):
            x_i = np.asarray(x[i])
            mu_hat = mu_hat + x_i .dot (w[i])

        var_hat = np.zeros_like(np.asarray(var_VB))
        for i in range(num_samples):
            x_i = np.asarray(x[i])
            var_hat = var_hat + w[i] * np.outer(x_i, x_i) 
        var_hat -= np.outer(mu_hat, mu_hat)

        if mu_hat.size == 1 and mu_hat.ndim > 0:
            mu_lwis = mu_hat[0]
        else:
            mu_lwis = mu_hat
        if var_hat.size == 1:
            var_lwis = var_hat[0][0]
        else:
            var_lwis = var_hat

        logging.debug('LWIS update found mean of {} and variance of {}.'
                     .format(mu_lwis, var_lwis))

        return mu_lwis, var_lwis, log_c_hat
Example #4
0
        def update(self,i=0):
            self.camera_pose = next(self.trajectory)
            logging.info('Moving to pose {}.'.format(self.camera_pose))
            self.detection_model.move(self.camera_pose)

            # Do a VBIS update
            mu, sigma, beta = self.vb.update(measurement='No Detection',
                                        likelihood=detection_model,
                                        prior=self.gm,
                                        use_LWIS=True,
                                        poly=detection_model.poly,
                                        num_std=self.num_std
                                        )
            self.gm = GaussianMixture(weights=beta, means=mu, covariances=sigma)
            # Log what's going on
            logging.info(self.gm)
            logging.info('Weight sum: {}'.format(beta.sum()))

            self.remove()
            self.plot()
Example #5
0
def compare_to_matlab(measurement='Near'):
    prior = GaussianMixture(weights=[1, 1, 1, 1, 1],
                            means=[[-2, -4],  # GM1 mean
                                   [-1, -2],  # GM2 mean
                                   [0, 0],  # GM3 mean
                                   [1, -2],  # GM4 mean
                                   [2, -4],  # GM5 mean
                                   ],
                            covariances=[[[0.1, 0],  # GM1 mean
                                          [0, 0.1]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.2, 0],  # GM2 mean
                                          [0, 0.2]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.3, 0],  # GM3 mean
                                          [0, 0.3]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.2, 0],  # GM4 mean
                                          [0, 0.2]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.1, 0],  # GM5 mean
                                          [0, 0.1]],
                                         ])

    # prior = GaussianMixture(weights=[1],
    #                         means=[[-2, -4],  # GM1 mean
    #                                ],
    #                         covariances=[[[0.1, 0],  # GM1 mean
    #                                       [0, 0.1]
    #                                       ],
    #                                      ])

    # Define sensor likelihood
    brm = range_model()

    file_ =open('/Users/nick/Downloads/VBIS GM Fusion/nick_output.csv', 'w')
    for i in range(30):
        # Do a VBIS update
        logging.info('Starting VB update...')
        vb = VariationalBayes()
        mu_hat, var_hat, beta_hat = vb.update(measurement, brm, prior)

        # Flatten values
        flat = np.hstack((beta_hat, mu_hat.flatten(), var_hat.flatten()))

        # Save Flattened values
        np.savetxt(file_, np.atleast_2d(flat), delimiter=',')
    file_.close()
Example #6
0
        return self.contourf

    def remove(self):
        if hasattr(self, 'contourf'):
            for collection in self.contourf.collections:
                collection.remove()
            del self.contourf

        if hasattr(self, 'ellipse_patches'):
            for patch in self.ellipse_patches:
                patch.remove()
            del self.ellipse_patches


if __name__ == '__main__':
    d = GaussianMixture(1, [0, 0], [[1, 0], [0, 1]])
    filter_ = type('test', (object, ), {'probability': d})()
    pl = ProbabilityLayer(d, z_levels=50, alpha=1)

    test_probability = []
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [2, 0], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [1, 1], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [0, 2], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [-1, 1], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [-2, 0], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [-1, -1], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [0, -2], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [1, -1], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    test_probability.append(GaussianMixture(1, [2, 0], [[1, 0], [0, 1]]))
    pl.test_probability = itertools.cycle(test_probability)
Example #7
0
    class camera_tester(object):
        """docstring for merged_gm"""
        def __init__(self, prior, detection_model, trajectory, num_std=1, bounds=None):
            self.fig = plt.figure(figsize=(16,8))
            self.gm = prior
            self.detection_model = detection_model
            self.trajectory = itertools.cycle(trajectory)
            self.vb = VariationalBayes()
            self.num_std = num_std
            if bounds is None:
                self.bounds = [-5, -5, 5, 5]
            else:
                self.bounds = bounds

        def update(self,i=0):
            self.camera_pose = next(self.trajectory)
            logging.info('Moving to pose {}.'.format(self.camera_pose))
            self.detection_model.move(self.camera_pose)

            # Do a VBIS update
            mu, sigma, beta = self.vb.update(measurement='No Detection',
                                        likelihood=detection_model,
                                        prior=self.gm,
                                        use_LWIS=True,
                                        poly=detection_model.poly,
                                        num_std=self.num_std
                                        )
            self.gm = GaussianMixture(weights=beta, means=mu, covariances=sigma)
            # Log what's going on
            logging.info(self.gm)
            logging.info('Weight sum: {}'.format(beta.sum()))

            self.remove()
            self.plot()

        def plot(self):
            levels_res = 50
            self.levels = np.linspace(0, np.max(self.gm.pdf(self.pos)), levels_res)
            self.contourf = self.ax.contourf(self.xx, self.yy,
                                               self.gm.pdf(self.pos),
                                               levels=self.levels,
                                               cmap=plt.get_cmap('jet')
                                               )
            # Plot camera
            self.cam_patch = PolygonPatch(self.detection_model.poly, facecolor='none',
                                          linewidth=2, edgecolor='white')
            self.ax.add_patch(self.cam_patch)

            # Plot ellipses
            self.ellipse_patches = self.gm.plot_ellipses(poly=self.detection_model.poly)

        def plot_setup(self):
            # Define gridded space for graphing
            min_x, max_x = self.bounds[0], self.bounds[2]
            min_y, max_y = self.bounds[1], self.bounds[3]
            res = 30
            self.xx, self.yy = np.mgrid[min_x:max_x:1/res,
                                        min_y:max_y:1/res]
            pos = np.empty(self.xx.shape + (2,))
            pos[:, :, 0] = self.xx; pos[:, :, 1] = self.yy;
            self.pos = pos

            # Plot setup
            self.ax = self.fig.add_subplot(111)

            self.ax.set_title('VBIS with camera detection test')
            plt.axis('scaled')
            self.ax.set_xlim([min_x, max_x])
            self.ax.set_ylim([min_y, max_y])

            levels_res = 50
            self.levels = np.linspace(0, np.max(self.gm.pdf(self.pos)), levels_res)
            cax = self.contourf = self.ax.contourf(self.xx, self.yy,
                                               self.gm.pdf(self.pos),
                                               levels=self.levels,
                                               cmap=plt.get_cmap('jet')
                                               )
            self.fig.colorbar(cax)

        def remove(self):
            if hasattr(self, 'cam_patch'):
                self.cam_patch.remove()
                del self.cam_patch

            if hasattr(self, 'ellipse_patches'):
                for patch in self.ellipse_patches:
                    patch.remove()
                del self.ellipse_patches

            if hasattr(self,'contourf'):
                for collection in self.contourf.collections:
                    collection.remove()
                del self.contourf
Example #8
0
def camera_test(num_std=1, time_interval=1):
    # prior = fleming_prior()
    # prior = uniform_prior()
    # prior = GaussianMixture(1, np.zeros(2), np.eye(2))
    prior = GaussianMixture([1, 1, 1],
                            np.array([[-7, 0],
                                      [-3, 0],
                                      [1,0],
                                      ]),
                            np.eye(2)[None,:].repeat(3, axis=0)
                            )
    bounds = [-12.5, -3.5, 2.5, 3.5]

    min_view_dist = 0.3  # [m]
    max_view_dist = 1.0  # [m]
    detection_model = camera_model_2D(min_view_dist, max_view_dist)

    trajectory = np.zeros((20,2))
    ls = np.linspace(-10, 3, 20)
    trajectory = np.hstack((ls[:, None], trajectory))


    class camera_tester(object):
        """docstring for merged_gm"""
        def __init__(self, prior, detection_model, trajectory, num_std=1, bounds=None):
            self.fig = plt.figure(figsize=(16,8))
            self.gm = prior
            self.detection_model = detection_model
            self.trajectory = itertools.cycle(trajectory)
            self.vb = VariationalBayes()
            self.num_std = num_std
            if bounds is None:
                self.bounds = [-5, -5, 5, 5]
            else:
                self.bounds = bounds

        def update(self,i=0):
            self.camera_pose = next(self.trajectory)
            logging.info('Moving to pose {}.'.format(self.camera_pose))
            self.detection_model.move(self.camera_pose)

            # Do a VBIS update
            mu, sigma, beta = self.vb.update(measurement='No Detection',
                                        likelihood=detection_model,
                                        prior=self.gm,
                                        use_LWIS=True,
                                        poly=detection_model.poly,
                                        num_std=self.num_std
                                        )
            self.gm = GaussianMixture(weights=beta, means=mu, covariances=sigma)
            # Log what's going on
            logging.info(self.gm)
            logging.info('Weight sum: {}'.format(beta.sum()))

            self.remove()
            self.plot()

        def plot(self):
            levels_res = 50
            self.levels = np.linspace(0, np.max(self.gm.pdf(self.pos)), levels_res)
            self.contourf = self.ax.contourf(self.xx, self.yy,
                                               self.gm.pdf(self.pos),
                                               levels=self.levels,
                                               cmap=plt.get_cmap('jet')
                                               )
            # Plot camera
            self.cam_patch = PolygonPatch(self.detection_model.poly, facecolor='none',
                                          linewidth=2, edgecolor='white')
            self.ax.add_patch(self.cam_patch)

            # Plot ellipses
            self.ellipse_patches = self.gm.plot_ellipses(poly=self.detection_model.poly)

        def plot_setup(self):
            # Define gridded space for graphing
            min_x, max_x = self.bounds[0], self.bounds[2]
            min_y, max_y = self.bounds[1], self.bounds[3]
            res = 30
            self.xx, self.yy = np.mgrid[min_x:max_x:1/res,
                                        min_y:max_y:1/res]
            pos = np.empty(self.xx.shape + (2,))
            pos[:, :, 0] = self.xx; pos[:, :, 1] = self.yy;
            self.pos = pos

            # Plot setup
            self.ax = self.fig.add_subplot(111)

            self.ax.set_title('VBIS with camera detection test')
            plt.axis('scaled')
            self.ax.set_xlim([min_x, max_x])
            self.ax.set_ylim([min_y, max_y])

            levels_res = 50
            self.levels = np.linspace(0, np.max(self.gm.pdf(self.pos)), levels_res)
            cax = self.contourf = self.ax.contourf(self.xx, self.yy,
                                               self.gm.pdf(self.pos),
                                               levels=self.levels,
                                               cmap=plt.get_cmap('jet')
                                               )
            self.fig.colorbar(cax)

        def remove(self):
            if hasattr(self, 'cam_patch'):
                self.cam_patch.remove()
                del self.cam_patch

            if hasattr(self, 'ellipse_patches'):
                for patch in self.ellipse_patches:
                    patch.remove()
                del self.ellipse_patches

            if hasattr(self,'contourf'):
                for collection in self.contourf.collections:
                    collection.remove()
                del self.contourf

    gm = camera_tester(prior, detection_model, trajectory, num_std, bounds)
    logging.info('Initial GM:')
    logging.info(prior)

    ani = animation.FuncAnimation(gm.fig, gm.update, 
        interval=time_interval,
        repeat=True,
        blit=False,
        init_func=gm.plot_setup
        )

    plt.show()
Example #9
0
def gmm_sm_test(measurement='Outside'):

    # Define prior 
    # prior = GaussianMixture(weights=[1, 4, 5],
    #                         means=[[0.5, 1.3],  # GM1 mean
    #                                [-0.7, -0.6],  # GM2 mean
    #                                [0.2, -3],  # GM3 mean
    #                                ],
    #                         covariances=[[[0.4, 0.3],  # GM1 mean
    #                                       [0.3, 0.4]
    #                                       ],
    #                                      [[0.3, 0.1],  # GM2 mean
    #                                       [0.1, 0.3]
    #                                       ],
    #                                      [[0.5, 0.4],  # GM3 mean
    #                                       [0.4, 0.5]],
    #                                      ])
    prior = GaussianMixture(weights=[1, 1, 1, 1, 1],
                            means=[[-2, -4],  # GM1 mean
                                   [-1, -2],  # GM2 mean
                                   [0, 0],  # GM3 mean
                                   [1, -2],  # GM4 mean
                                   [2, -4],  # GM5 mean
                                   ],
                            covariances=[[[0.1, 0],  # GM1 mean
                                          [0, 0.1]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.2, 0],  # GM2 mean
                                          [0, 0.2]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.3, 0],  # GM3 mean
                                          [0, 0.3]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.2, 0],  # GM4 mean
                                          [0, 0.2]
                                          ],
                                         [[0.1, 0],  # GM5 mean
                                          [0, 0.1]],
                                         ])
    # prior = GaussianMixture(weights=[1],
    #                         means=[[-2, -4],  # GM1 mean
    #                                ],
    #                         covariances=[[[0.1, 0],  # GM1 mean
    #                                       [0, 0.1]
    #                                       ],
    #                                      ])
    # Define sensor likelihood
    brm = range_model()

    # Do a VBIS update
    logging.info('Starting VB update...')
    vb = VariationalBayes()
    mu_hat, var_hat, beta_hat = vb.update(measurement, brm, prior, use_LWIS=True)
    vbis_posterior = GaussianMixture(weights=beta_hat, means=mu_hat, covariances=var_hat)

    # Define gridded space for graphing
    min_x, max_x = -5, 5
    min_y, max_y = -5, 5
    res = 100
    x_space, y_space = np.mgrid[min_x:max_x:1/res,
                                min_y:max_y:1/res]
    pos = np.empty(x_space.shape + (2,))
    pos[:, :, 0] = x_space; pos[:, :, 1] = y_space;

    levels_res = 50
    max_prior = np.max(prior.pdf(pos))
    prior_levels = np.linspace(0, max_prior, levels_res)

    brm.probability()
    max_lh = np.max(brm.probs)
    lh_levels = np.linspace(0, max_lh, levels_res)
    max_post = np.max(vbis_posterior.pdf(pos))
    post_levels = np.linspace(0, max_post, levels_res)

    # Plot results
    fig = plt.figure()
    likelihood_label = 'Likelihood of \'{}\''.format(measurement)
    
    prior_ax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,0), colspan=14)
    prior_cax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,14), colspan=1)
    prior_c = prior_ax.contourf(x_space, y_space, prior.pdf(pos), levels=prior_levels)
    cbar = plt.colorbar(prior_c, cax=prior_cax)
    prior_ax.set_xlabel('x1')
    prior_ax.set_ylabel('x2')
    prior_ax.set_title('Prior Distribution')

    lh_ax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,17), colspan=14)
    lh_cax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,31), colspan=1)
    brm.classes[measurement].plot(ax=lh_ax, label=likelihood_label, ls='--', levels=lh_levels, show_plot=False, plot_3D=False)
    # plt.colorbar(sm.probs, cax=lh_cax)
    lh_ax.set_title(likelihood_label)

    posterior_ax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (1,0), colspan=31)
    posterior_cax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (1,31), colspan=1)
    posterior_c = posterior_ax.contourf(x_space, y_space, vbis_posterior.pdf(pos),  levels=post_levels)
    plt.colorbar(posterior_c, cax=posterior_cax)
    posterior_ax.set_xlabel('x1')
    posterior_ax.set_ylabel('x2')
    posterior_ax.set_title('VBIS Posterior Distribution')

    logging.info('Prior Weights: \n {} \n Means: \n {} \n Variances: \n {} \n'.format(prior.weights,prior.means,prior.covariances))
    logging.info('Posterior Weights: \n {} \n Means: \n {} \n Variances: \n {} \n'.format(vbis_posterior.weights,vbis_posterior.means,vbis_posterior.covariances))

    plt.show()
Example #10
0
def comparison_2d():
    # Define prior 
    prior_mean = np.array([2.3, 1.2])
    prior_var = np.array([[2, 0.6], [0.6, 2]])
    prior = GaussianMixture(1, prior_mean, prior_var)

    # Define sensor likelihood
    sm = intrinsic_space_model()
    measurement = 'Front'
    measurement_i = sm.classes[measurement].id

    # Do a VB update
    init_mean = np.zeros((1,2))
    init_var = np.eye(2)
    init_alpha = 0.5
    init_xi = np.ones(5)

    vb = VariationalBayes()
    vb_mean, vb_var, _ = vb.vb_update(measurement, sm, prior, init_mean,
                                       init_var, init_alpha, init_xi)

    nisar_vb_mean = np.array([1.795546121012238, 2.512627005425541])
    nisar_vb_var = np.array([[0.755723395661314, 0.091742424424428],
                             [0.091742424424428, 0.747611340151417]])
    diff_vb_mean = vb_mean - nisar_vb_mean
    diff_vb_var = vb_var - nisar_vb_var
    logging.info('Nisar\'s VB update had mean difference: \n {}\n and var difference: \n {}\n'
                 .format(diff_vb_mean, diff_vb_var))

    vb_mean, vb_var, _ = vb.vbis_update(measurement, sm, prior, init_mean,
                                       init_var, init_alpha, init_xi)
    vb_posterior = GaussianMixture(1, vb_mean, vb_var)

    # Define gridded space for graphing
    min_x, max_x = -5, 5
    min_y, max_y = -5, 5
    res = 200
    x_space, y_space = np.mgrid[min_x:max_x:1/res,
                                min_y:max_y:1/res]
    pos = np.empty(x_space.shape + (2,))
    pos[:, :, 0] = x_space; pos[:, :, 1] = y_space;

    levels_res = 30
    max_prior = np.max(prior.pdf(pos))
    prior_levels = np.linspace(0, max_prior, levels_res)
    
    sm.probability()
    max_lh = np.max(sm.probs)
    lh_levels = np.linspace(0, max_lh, levels_res)
    
    max_post = np.max(vb_posterior.pdf(pos))
    post_levels = np.linspace(0, max_post, levels_res)

    # Plot results
    fig = plt.figure()
    likelihood_label = 'Likelihood of \'{}\''.format(measurement)
    
    prior_ax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,0), colspan=14)
    prior_cax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,14), colspan=1)
    prior_c = prior_ax.contourf(x_space, y_space, prior.pdf(pos), levels=prior_levels)
    cbar = plt.colorbar(prior_c, cax=prior_cax)
    prior_ax.set_xlabel('x1')
    prior_ax.set_ylabel('x2')
    prior_ax.set_title('Prior Distribution')

    lh_ax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,17), colspan=14)
    lh_cax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (0,31), colspan=1)
    sm.classes[measurement].plot(ax=lh_ax, label=likelihood_label, plot_3D=False, levels=lh_levels)
    # plt.colorbar(sm.probs, cax=lh_cax)
    lh_ax.set_title(likelihood_label)

    posterior_ax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (1,0), colspan=31)
    posterior_cax = plt.subplot2grid((2,32), (1,31), colspan=1)
    posterior_c = posterior_ax.contourf(x_space, y_space, vb_posterior.pdf(pos),  levels=post_levels)
    plt.colorbar(posterior_c, cax=posterior_cax)
    posterior_ax.set_xlabel('x1')
    posterior_ax.set_ylabel('x2')
    posterior_ax.set_title('VB Posterior Distribution')

    plt.show()
Example #11
0
def comparison_1d():

    # Define prior 
    prior_mean, prior_var = 0.3, 0.01
    min_x, max_x = -5, 5
    res = 10000

    prior = GaussianMixture(1, prior_mean, prior_var)
    x_space = np.linspace(min_x, max_x, res)

    # Define sensor likelihood
    sm = speed_model()
    measurement = 'Slow'
    measurement_i = sm.class_labels.index(measurement)

    # Do a VB update
    init_mean, init_var = 0, 1
    init_alpha, init_xi = 0.5, np.ones(4)

    vb = VariationalBayes()
    vb_mean, vb_var, _ = vb.vb_update(measurement, sm, prior, init_mean,
                                       init_var, init_alpha, init_xi)
    vb_posterior = GaussianMixture(1, vb_mean, vb_var)

    nisar_vb_mean = 0.131005297841171
    nisar_vb_var = 6.43335516254277e-05
    diff_vb_mean = vb_mean - nisar_vb_mean
    diff_vb_var = vb_var - nisar_vb_var
    logging.info('Nisar\'s VB update had mean difference {} and var difference {}\n'
                 .format(diff_vb_mean, diff_vb_var))

    # Do a VBIS update
    vbis_mean, vbis_var, _ = vb.vbis_update(measurement, sm, prior, init_mean,
                                         init_var, init_alpha, init_xi)
    vbis_posterior = GaussianMixture(1, vbis_mean, vbis_var)

    nisar_vbis_mean = 0.154223416817080
    nisar_vbis_var = 0.00346064073274943
    diff_vbis_mean = vbis_mean - nisar_vbis_mean
    diff_vbis_var = vbis_var - nisar_vbis_var
    logging.info('Nisar\'s VBIS update had mean difference {} and var difference {}\n'
                 .format(diff_vbis_mean, diff_vbis_var))

    # Plot results
    likelihood_label = 'Likelihood of \'{}\''.format(measurement)
    fig = plt.figure()
    ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
    sm.classes[measurement].plot(ax=ax, fill_between=False, label=likelihood_label, ls='--')
    ax.plot(x_space, prior.pdf(x_space), lw=1, label='prior pdf', c='grey', ls='--')

    ax.plot(x_space, vb_posterior.pdf(x_space), lw=2, label='VB posterior', c='r')
    ax.fill_between(x_space, 0, vb_posterior.pdf(x_space), alpha=0.2, facecolor='r')
    ax.plot(x_space, vbis_posterior.pdf(x_space), lw=2, label='VBIS Posterior', c='g')
    ax.fill_between(x_space, 0, vbis_posterior.pdf(x_space), alpha=0.2, facecolor='g')

    ax.set_title('VBIS Update')
    ax.legend()
    ax.set_xlim([0, 0.4])
    ax.set_ylim([0, 7])
    plt.show()
Example #12
0
    def update(self, measurement, likelihood, prior, use_LWIS=False,
               poly=None, num_std=1):
        """VB update using Gaussian mixtures and multimodal softmax.

        This uses Variational Bayes with Importance Sampling (VBIS) for
        each mixand-softmax pair available.
        """
        # If we have a polygon, update only the mixands intersecting with it
        if poly is None:
            update_intersections_only = False
        else:
            update_intersections_only = True

        h = 0
        relevant_subclasses = likelihood.classes[measurement].subclasses
        num_relevant_subclasses = len(relevant_subclasses)

        # Use intersecting priors only
        if update_intersections_only:
            other_priors = prior.copy()
            weights = []
            means = []
            covariances = []
            mixand_ids = []
            ellipses = prior.std_ellipses(num_std)

            any_intersection = False
            for i, ellipse in enumerate(ellipses):
                try:
                    has_intersection = poly.intersects(ellipse)
                except ValueError:
                    logging.warn('Null geometry error! Defaulting to true.')
                    has_intersection = True

                if has_intersection:
                    # Get parameters for intersecting priors
                    mixand_ids.append(i)
                    weights.append(prior.weights[i])
                    means.append(prior.means[i])
                    covariances.append(prior.covariances[i])
                    any_intersection = True

            if not any_intersection:
                    logging.debug('No intersection with any ellipse.')
                    mu_hat = other_priors.means
                    var_hat = other_priors.covariances
                    beta_hat = other_priors.weights
                    return mu_hat, var_hat, beta_hat

            # Remove these from the other priors
            other_priors.weights = \
                np.delete(other_priors.weights, mixand_ids, axis=0)
            other_priors.means = \
                np.delete(other_priors.means, mixand_ids, axis=0)
            other_priors.covariances = \
                np.delete(other_priors.covariances, mixand_ids, axis=0)

            # Retain total weight of intersection weights for renormalization
            max_intersecion_weight = sum(weights)

            # Create new prior
            prior = GaussianMixture(weights, means, covariances)
            logging.debug('Using only mixands {} for VBIS fusion. Total weight {}'
                         .format(mixand_ids, max_intersecion_weight))


        # Parameters for all new mixands
        K = num_relevant_subclasses * prior.weights.size
        mu_hat = np.zeros((K, prior.means.shape[1]))
        var_hat = np.zeros((K, prior.covariances.shape[1],
                            prior.covariances.shape[2]))
        log_beta_hat = np.zeros(K) # Weight estimates

        for u, mixand_weight in enumerate(prior.weights):
            mix_sm_corr = 0

            # Check to see if the mixand is completely contained within
            # the softmax class (i.e. doesn't need an update)
            mixand = GaussianMixture(1, prior.means[u], prior.covariances[u])
            mixand_samples = mixand.rvs(self.num_mixand_samples)
            p_hat_ru_samples = likelihood.classes[measurement].probability(state=mixand_samples)
            mix_sm_corr = np.sum(p_hat_ru_samples) / self.num_mixand_samples

            if mix_sm_corr > self.mix_sm_corr_thresh:
                logging.debug('Mixand {}\'s correspondence with {} was {},'
                             'above the threshold of {}, so VBIS was skipped.'
                             .format(u, measurement, mix_sm_corr, self.mix_sm_corr_thresh))

                # Append the prior's parameters to the mixand parameter lists
                mu_hat[h, :] = prior.means[u]
                var_hat[h, :] = prior.covariances[u]
                log_beta_hat[h] = np.log(mixand_weight)

                h +=1
                continue

            # Otherwise complete the full VBIS update
            ordered_subclasses = iter(sorted(relevant_subclasses.iteritems()))
            for label, subclass in ordered_subclasses:

                # Compute \hat{P}_s(r|u)
                mixand_samples = mixand.rvs(self.num_mixand_samples)
                p_hat_ru_samples = subclass.probability(state=mixand_samples)
                p_hat_ru_sampled = np.sum(p_hat_ru_samples) / self.num_mixand_samples

                mu_vbis, var_vbis, log_c_hat = \
                    self.vbis_update(label, subclass.softmax_collection,
                                     mixand, use_LWIS=use_LWIS)

                # Compute log odds of r given u
                if np.isnan(log_c_hat):  # from LWIS update
                    log_p_hat_ru = np.log(p_hat_ru_sampled)
                else:
                    log_p_hat_ru = np.max((log_c_hat, np.log(p_hat_ru_sampled)))

                # Find log of P(u,r|D_k) \approxequal \hat{B}_{ur}
                log_beta_vbis = np.log(mixand_weight) + log_p_hat_ru

                # Symmetrize var_vbis
                var_vbis = 0.5 * (var_vbis.T + var_vbis)

                # Update estimate values
                log_beta_hat[h] = log_beta_vbis
                mu_hat[h,:] = mu_vbis
                var_hat[h,:] = var_vbis
                h += 1

        # Renormalize and truncate (based on weight threshold)
        log_beta_hat = log_beta_hat - np.max(log_beta_hat)
        unnormalized_beta_hats = np.exp(log_beta_hat)
        beta_hat = np.exp(log_beta_hat) / np.sum(np.exp(log_beta_hat))

        # Reattach untouched prior values
        if update_intersections_only:
            beta_hat = unnormalized_beta_hats * max_intersecion_weight
            beta_hat = np.hstack((other_priors.weights, beta_hat))
            mu_hat = np.vstack((other_priors.means, mu_hat))
            var_hat = np.concatenate((other_priors.covariances, var_hat))

            # Shrink mu, var and beta if necessary
            h += other_priors.weights.size
            beta_hat = beta_hat[:h]
            mu_hat = mu_hat[:h]
            var_hat = var_hat[:h]

            beta_hat /= beta_hat.sum()
        else:
            # Shrink mu, var and beta if necessary
            beta_hat = beta_hat[:h]
            mu_hat = mu_hat[:h]
            var_hat = var_hat[:h]

        # Threshold based on weights
        mu_hat = mu_hat[beta_hat > self.weight_threshold, :]
        var_hat = var_hat[beta_hat > self.weight_threshold, :]
        beta_hat = beta_hat[beta_hat > self.weight_threshold]

                # Check if covariances are positive semidefinite
        for i, var in enumerate(var_hat):
            try:
                assert np.all(np.linalg.det(var) > 0)
            except AssertionError, e:
                logging.warn('Following variance is not positive '
                                  'semidefinite: \n{}'.format(var))
                var_hat[i] = np.eye(var.shape[0]) * 10 ** -3