def test_predict_and_score(eng):
	X = randn(10, 2)
	y = fromarray(randn(10, 4).T, engine=eng)

	model = LinearRegression().fit(X, y)

	yhat = model.predict(X).toarray()
	rsq = model.score(X, y).toarray()
	truth = hstack([yhat, rsq[:, newaxis]])

	result = model.predict_and_score(X, y).toarray()

	assert allclose(truth, result)
def test_predict_and_score(eng):
    X = randn(10, 2)
    y = fromarray(randn(10, 4).T, engine=eng)

    model = LinearRegression().fit(X, y)

    yhat = model.predict(X).toarray()
    rsq = model.score(X, y).toarray()
    truth = hstack([yhat, rsq[:, newaxis]])

    result = model.predict_and_score(X, y).toarray()

    assert allclose(truth, result)
Example #3
0
def __test_cross_validation_methods():
    # A small implementation of a test case
    from regression import LinearRegression
    import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

    # Initial values
    n = 100
    N_bs = 1000
    k_splits = 4
    test_percent = 0.2
    noise = 0.3
    np.random.seed(1234)

    # Sets up random matrices
    x = np.random.rand(n, 1)

    def func_excact(_x):        return 2*_x*_x + np.exp(-2*_x) + noise * \
np.random.randn(_x.shape[0], _x.shape[1])

    y = func_excact(x)

    def design_matrix(_x):
        return np.c_[np.ones(_x.shape), _x, _x * _x]

    # Sets up design matrix
    X = design_matrix(x)

    # Performs regression
    reg = LinearRegression()
    reg.fit(X, y)
    y = y.ravel()
    y_predict = reg.predict(X).ravel()
    print("Regular linear regression")
    print("R2:    {:-20.16f}".format(reg.score(y, y_predict)))
    print("MSE:   {:-20.16f}".format(metrics.mse(y, y_predict)))
    # print (metrics.bias(y, y_predict))
    print("Bias^2:{:-20.16f}".format(metrics.bias2(y, y_predict)))

    # Small plotter
    import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
    plt.plot(x, y, "o", label="data")
    plt.plot(x,
             y_predict,
             "o",
             label=r"Pred, $R^2={:.4f}$".format(reg.score(y, y_predict)))

    print("k-fold Cross Validation")
    kfcv = kFoldCrossValidation(x, y, LinearRegression, design_matrix)
    kfcv.cross_validate(k_splits=k_fold_size, test_percent=test_percent)
    print("R2:    {:-20.16f}".format(kfcv.R2))
    print("MSE:   {:-20.16f}".format(kfcv.MSE))
    print("Bias^2:{:-20.16f}".format(kfcv.bias))
    print("Var(y):{:-20.16f}".format(kfcv.var))
    print("MSE = Bias^2 + Var(y) = ")
    print("{} = {} + {} = {}".format(kfcv.MSE, kfcv.bias, kfcv.var,
                                     kfcv.bias + kfcv.var))
    print("Diff: {}".format(abs(kfcv.bias + kfcv.var - kfcv.MSE)))

    plt.errorbar(kfcv.x_pred_test,
                 kfcv.y_pred,
                 yerr=np.sqrt(kfcv.y_pred_var),
                 fmt="o",
                 label=r"k-fold CV, $R^2={:.4f}$".format(kfcv.R2))

    print("kk Cross Validation")
    kkcv = kkFoldCrossValidation(x, y, LinearRegression, design_matrix)
    kkcv.cross_validate(k_splits=k_fold_size, test_percent=test_percent)
    print("R2:    {:-20.16f}".format(kkcv.R2))
    print("MSE:   {:-20.16f}".format(kkcv.MSE))
    print("Bias^2:{:-20.16f}".format(kkcv.bias))
    print("Var(y):{:-20.16f}".format(kkcv.var))
    print("MSE = Bias^2 + Var(y) = ")
    print("{} = {} + {} = {}".format(kkcv.MSE, kkcv.bias, kkcv.var,
                                     kkcv.bias + kkcv.var))
    print("Diff: {}".format(abs(kkcv.bias + kkcv.var - kkcv.MSE)))

    plt.errorbar(kkcv.x_pred_test.ravel(),
                 kkcv.y_pred.ravel(),
                 yerr=np.sqrt(kkcv.y_pred_var.ravel()),
                 fmt="o",
                 label=r"kk-fold CV, $R^2={:.4f}$".format(kkcv.R2))

    print("Monte Carlo Cross Validation")
    mccv = MCCrossValidation(x, y, LinearRegression, design_matrix)
    mccv.cross_validate(N_bs, k_splits=k_fold_size, test_percent=test_percent)
    print("R2:    {:-20.16f}".format(mccv.R2))
    print("MSE:   {:-20.16f}".format(mccv.MSE))
    print("Bias^2:{:-20.16f}".format(mccv.bias))
    print("Var(y):{:-20.16f}".format(mccv.var))
    print("MSE = Bias^2 + Var(y) = ")
    print("{} = {} + {} = {}".format(mccv.MSE, mccv.bias, mccv.var,
                                     mccv.bias + mccv.var))
    print("Diff: {}".format(abs(mccv.bias + mccv.var - mccv.MSE)))

    print("\nCross Validation methods tested.")

    plt.errorbar(mccv.x_pred_test,
                 mccv.y_pred,
                 yerr=np.sqrt(mccv.y_pred_var),
                 fmt="o",
                 label=r"MC CV, $R^2={:.4f}$".format(mccv.R2))

    plt.xlabel(r"$x$")
    plt.ylabel(r"$y$")
    plt.title(r"$y=2x^2$")
    plt.legend()
    plt.show()
Example #4
0
def __test_bootstrap_fit():
        # A small implementation of a test case
    from regression import LinearRegression

    N_bs = 1000

    # Initial values
    n = 200
    noise = 0.2
    np.random.seed(1234)
    test_percent = 0.35

    # Sets up random matrices
    x = np.random.rand(n, 1)

    def func_excact(_x): return 2*_x*_x + np.exp(-2*_x) + noise * \
        np.random.randn(_x.shape[0], _x.shape[1])

    y = func_excact(x)

    def design_matrix(_x):
        return np.c_[np.ones(_x.shape), _x, _x*_x]

    # Sets up design matrix
    X = design_matrix(x)

    # Performs regression
    reg = LinearRegression()
    reg.fit(X, y)
    y = y.ravel()
    y_predict = reg.predict(X).ravel()
    print("Regular linear regression")
    print("R2:  {:-20.16f}".format(reg.score(y_predict, y)))
    print("MSE: {:-20.16f}".format(metrics.mse(y, y_predict)))
    print("Beta:      ", reg.coef_.ravel())
    print("var(Beta): ", reg.coef_var.ravel())
    print("")

    # Performs a bootstrap
    print("Bootstrapping")
    bs_reg = BootstrapRegression(x, y, LinearRegression, design_matrix)
    bs_reg.bootstrap(N_bs, test_percent=test_percent)

    print("R2:    {:-20.16f}".format(bs_reg.R2))
    print("MSE:   {:-20.16f}".format(bs_reg.MSE))
    print("Bias^2:{:-20.16f}".format(bs_reg.bias))
    print("Var(y):{:-20.16f}".format(bs_reg.var))
    print("Beta:      ", bs_reg.coef_.ravel())
    print("var(Beta): ", bs_reg.coef_var.ravel())
    print("MSE = Bias^2 + Var(y) = ")
    print("{} = {} + {} = {}".format(bs_reg.MSE, bs_reg.bias, bs_reg.var,
                                     bs_reg.bias + bs_reg.var))
    print("Diff: {}".format(abs(bs_reg.bias + bs_reg.var - bs_reg.MSE)))

    import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
    plt.plot(x.ravel(), y, "o", label="Data")
    plt.plot(x.ravel(), y_predict, "o", 
        label=r"Pred, R^2={:.4f}".format(reg.score(y_predict, y)))
    print (bs_reg.y_pred.shape, bs_reg.y_pred_var.shape)
    plt.errorbar(bs_reg.x_pred_test, bs_reg.y_pred, 
        yerr=np.sqrt(bs_reg.y_pred_var), fmt="o", 
        label=r"Bootstrap Prediction, $R^2={:.4f}$".format(bs_reg.R2))
    plt.xlabel(r"$x$")
    plt.ylabel(r"$y$")
    plt.title(r"$2x^2 + \sigma^2$")
    plt.legend()
    plt.show()