import wbml.plot
from stheno import GP, EQ, model, Obs
# Define points to predict at.
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 100)
# Construct a prior.
f1 = GP(EQ(), 3)
f2 = GP(EQ(), 3)
# Compute the approximate product.
f_prod = f1 * f2
# Sample two functions.
s1, s2 = model.sample(f1(x), f2(x))
# Predict.
mean, lower, upper = (f_prod | ((f1(x), s1), (f2(x), s2)))(x).marginals()
# Plot result.
plt.plot(x, s1, label='Sample 1', c='tab:red')
plt.plot(x, s2, label='Sample 2', c='tab:blue')
plt.plot(x, s1 * s2, label='True product', c='tab:orange')
plt.plot(x, mean, label='Approximate posterior', c='tab:green')
plt.plot(x, lower, ls='--', c='tab:green')
plt.plot(x, upper, ls='--', c='tab:green')
wbml.plot.tweak()
plt.savefig('readme_example9_product.png')
plt.show()
import numpy as np
import wbml.plot
from stheno import GP, EQ, Delta, model
# Define points to predict at.
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 100)
x_obs = np.linspace(0, 7, 20)
# Construct a prior.
f = GP(EQ().periodic(5.)) # Latent function.
e = GP(Delta()) # Noise.
y = f + .5 * e
# Sample a true, underlying function and observations.
f_true, y_obs = model.sample(f(x), y(x_obs))
# Now condition on the observations to make predictions.
mean, lower, upper = (f | (y(x_obs), y_obs))(x).marginals()
# Plot result.
plt.plot(x, f_true, label='True', c='tab:blue')
plt.scatter(x_obs, y_obs, label='Observations', c='tab:red')
plt.plot(x, mean, label='Prediction', c='tab:green')
plt.plot(x, lower, ls='--', c='tab:green')
plt.plot(x, upper, ls='--', c='tab:green')
wbml.plot.tweak()
plt.savefig('readme_example1_simple_regression.png')
plt.show()
# noise=args.noise)
model = GPARRegressor(
scale=[2., 0.5],
scale_tie=True,
linear=True,
linear_scale=10.,
input_linear=False,
nonlinear=False, # missing non linear inputs now?
markov=1,
replace=True,
noise=args.noise)
n = 3
y = model.sample(transform_x(x), p=n, latent=args.latent)
plt.figure(figsize=(20, 10))
cs = ['tab:red', 'tab:blue', 'tab:green', 'tab:pink', 'tab:cyan']
for i in range(y.shape[1]):
plt.subplot(2, 5, i + 1)
plt.title('Output {}'.format(i + 1))
for j, c in enumerate(cs):
inds = x[:, 0] == j + 1
plt.semilogx(x[inds, 1],
y[inds, i],
label='{} layers'.format(j + 1),
c=c)
# Let the observation noise consist of a bit of exponential noise.
e_indep = GP(Delta())
e_exp = GP(Exp())
e = e_indep + .3 * e_exp
# Sum the latent function and observation noise to get a model for the
# observations.
y = f + .5 * e
# Sample a true, underlying function and observations.
f_true_smooth, f_true_wiggly, f_true_periodic, f_true_linear, f_true, y_obs = \
model.sample(f_smooth(x),
f_wiggly(x),
f_periodic(x),
f_linear(x),
f(x),
y(x_obs))
# Now condition on the observations and make predictions for the latent
# function and its various components.
f_smooth, f_wiggly, f_periodic, f_linear, f = \
(f_smooth, f_wiggly, f_periodic, f_linear, f) | Obs(y(x_obs), y_obs)
pred_smooth = f_smooth(x).marginals()
pred_wiggly = f_wiggly(x).marginals()
pred_periodic = f_periodic(x).marginals()
pred_linear = f_linear(x).marginals()
pred_f = f(x).marginals()
def sample(self, x):
return model.sample(*(p(x) for p in self.ps))
# Define points to predict at.
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 200)
x_obs = np.linspace(0, 10, 10)
# Construct the model.
slope = GP(1)
intercept = GP(5)
f = slope * (lambda x: x) + intercept
e = 0.2 * GP(Delta()) # Noise model
y = f + e # Observation model
# Sample a slope, intercept, underlying function, and observations.
true_slope, true_intercept, f_true, y_obs = \
model.sample(slope(0), intercept(0), f(x), y(x_obs))
# Condition on the observations to make predictions.
slope, intercept, f = (slope, intercept, f) | Obs(y(x_obs), y_obs)
mean, lower, upper = f(x).marginals()
print('true slope', true_slope)
print('predicted slope', slope(0).mean)
print('true intercept', true_intercept)
print('predicted intercept', intercept(0).mean)
# Plot result.
plt.plot(x, f_true, label='True', c='tab:blue')
plt.scatter(x_obs, y_obs, label='Observations', c='tab:red')
plt.plot(x, mean, label='Prediction', c='tab:green')
plt.plot(x, lower, ls='--', c='tab:green')
