def get_model_spec_time_varying_with_covariates(covariate_delay):
"""Return model specification with hyperparameters and covariates."""
result = model_spec_lib.ModelSpec(
hparams={
"initial_learning_rate": 0.003061242915556316,
"momentum": 0.2,
"decay_steps": 1000,
"fine_tuning_steps": 100,
"fine_tuning_decay": 1.0,
"decay_rate": 1.0,
"location_dependent_init": False,
"infected_threshold": 3,
"restart_threshold": 1000,
"time_scale_weight": 0.00006243159539906051,
"train_loss_coefs":
[0, 0.001, 0.2, 0.1, 0.01, 0.01, 0.2, 0.1, 0.01],
"valid_loss_coefs":
[0, 0.001, 0.2, 0.1, 0.01, 0.01, 0.2, 0.1, 0.01],
"sync_coef": 1.0,
"reduced_sync_undoc": 1.0,
"smooth_coef": 0.5,
"first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"average_contact_id_rate_init": -1.9131825459930378,
"average_contact_iud_rate_init": -1.071866945725303,
"reinfectable_rate_init": -5.548940468292865,
"alpha_rate_init": -2.272765554778715,
"diagnosis_rate_init": -2.095597433974376,
"recovery_id_rate_init": -1.495660223962899,
"recovery_iud_rate_init": -1.475605314236803,
"recovery_h_rate_init": -1.9032896753850963,
"hospitalization_rate_init": -1.4331763640928012,
"death_id_rate_init": -1.8060447968974489,
"death_h_rate_init": -1.4886876719378206,
"bias_penalty_coef": 0.2835406167308398,
"r_eff_penalty_coef": 2.0,
"acceleration_death_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_confirm_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_hospital_coef": 0.1,
"quantile_encoding_window": 7,
"quantile_smooth_coef": 0.9,
"quantile_training_iteration_ratio": 0.5,
"width_coef_train": 10.0,
"width_coef_valid": 5.0,
"quantile_cum_viol_coef": 500.0,
"increment_loss_weight": 0.0,
"lasso_penalty_coef": 1.0,
"covariate_training_mixing_coef": 1.0,
"train_window_range": 2.0,
"partial_mean_interval": 4,
"direction_loss_coef": 2000.0,
"train_crps_weight": 0.25,
"valid_crps_weight": 0.25
},
encoder_specs=[
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="first_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="second_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km,
income_per_capita,
aqi_mean_2018,
household,
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed, preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum, mobility_index,
mobility_samples, confirmed_per_csrp_tests
] + extra_covariates + npi_features,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km,
income_per_capita,
aqi_mean_2018,
household,
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed, preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum, mobility_index,
mobility_samples, confirmed_per_csrp_tests
] + extra_covariates + npi_features,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="reinfectable_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(encoder_name="alpha_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[],
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="diagnosis_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
confirmed_per_csrp_tests,
total_tests_per_capita,
dow_feature,
] + extra_covariates,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
] + extra_covariates,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed, preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum
] + extra_covariates,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population,
icu_beds
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
] + extra_covariates,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="hospitalization_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
confirmed_per_csrp_tests,
total_tests_per_capita,
] + extra_covariates,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population,
icu_beds
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
] + extra_covariates,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household,
household_food_stamp, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
rating_average, aqi_mean_2018, kaiser_60plus_population,
icu_beds
] + extra_static_features,
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
] + extra_covariates,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
])
return result
"bias_penalty_coef": 0.27315803186400106,
"boundary_penalty_coef": 2.600265396382176,
"lasso_penalty_coef": 1.0,
"r_eff_penalty_coef": 1.0,
"quantile_encoding_window": 7,
"quantile_smooth_coef": 0.8,
"increment_loss_weight": 0.0,
"covariate_training_mixing_coef": 1.0,
"direction_loss_coef": 2000.0
},
encoder_specs=[
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="first_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="second_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
def get_model_spec_time_varying_with_covariates(covariate_delay):
"""Return model specification with hyperparameters and covariates."""
result = model_spec_lib.ModelSpec(
hparams={
"initial_learning_rate": 0.003778327764151733,
"momentum": 0.1,
"decay_steps": 1000,
"fine_tuning_steps": 100,
"fine_tuning_decay": 1.0,
"decay_rate": 1.0,
"location_dependent_init": False,
"infected_threshold": 10,
"restart_threshold": 1000,
"time_scale_weight": 0.00006243159539906051,
"train_loss_coefs": [0, 0.001, 1.0, 0.1, 0.05, 0.05, 0.01, 0.001],
"valid_loss_coefs": [0, 0.001, 1.0, 0.1, 0.05, 0.05, 0.01, 0.001],
"sync_coef": 1.0,
"reduced_sync_undoc": 1.0,
"smooth_coef": 0.5,
"first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"average_contact_id_rate_init": -1.9131825459930378,
"average_contact_iud_rate_init": -1.071866945725303,
"reinfectable_rate_init": -5.548940468292865,
"alpha_rate_init": -2.272765554778715,
"diagnosis_rate_init": -2.095597433974376,
"recovery_id_rate_init": -1.495660223962899,
"recovery_iud_rate_init": -1.475605314236803,
"recovery_h_rate_init": -1.9032896753850963,
"recovery_i_rate_init": -1.354652366086861,
"recovery_v_rate_init": -1.2872596880548643,
"hospitalization_rate_init": -1.4331763640928012,
"icu_rate_init": -1.7697853537123167,
"ventilator_rate_init": -1.747746088542831,
"death_id_rate_init": -1.8060447968974489,
"death_h_rate_init": -1.4886876719378206,
"death_i_rate_init": -1.525990911868795,
"death_v_rate_init": -1.0072190496934017,
"bias_penalty_coef": 0.2835406167308398,
"r_eff_penalty_coef": 2.0,
"r_eff_penalty_cutoff": 5.5,
"acceleration_death_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_confirm_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_hospital_coef": 0.1,
"quantile_encoding_window": 7,
"quantile_smooth_coef": 0.9,
"quantile_training_iteration_ratio": 1.0,
"width_coef_train": 1.0,
"width_coef_valid": 1.0,
"quantile_cum_viol_coef": 1000.0,
"increment_loss_weight": 0.0,
"lasso_penalty_coef": 1.0,
"covariate_training_mixing_coef": 1.0,
"direction_loss_coef": 15000.0,
"train_window_range": 2.0,
"partial_mean_interval": 4,
"train_crps_weight": 0.5,
"valid_crps_weight": 0.5
},
encoder_specs=[
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="first_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="second_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, income_per_capita,
aqi_mean_2018, household, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed, preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum, mobility_index,
mobility_samples, average_temperature, rainfall, snowfall,
antigen_positive_ratio, antibody_negative_ratio,
confirmed_per_total_tests
] + npi_features,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, income_per_capita,
aqi_mean_2018, household, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed, preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum, mobility_index,
mobility_samples, average_temperature, rainfall, snowfall,
antigen_positive_ratio, antibody_negative_ratio,
confirmed_per_total_tests
] + npi_features,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="reinfectable_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, income_per_capita,
household_food_stamp, household,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="alpha_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[],
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="diagnosis_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, income_per_capita, household,
rating_average, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
total_tests_per_capita,
confirmed_per_total_tests,
dow_feature,
antigen_positive_ratio,
antibody_negative_ratio,
average_temperature,
rainfall,
snowfall,
] + symptoms_all,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, income_per_capita,
household_food_stamp,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
antigen_positive_ratio,
antibody_negative_ratio,
average_temperature,
rainfall,
snowfall,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, income_per_capita,
household_food_stamp,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
antigen_positive_ratio,
antibody_negative_ratio,
average_temperature,
rainfall,
snowfall,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, income_per_capita,
household_food_stamp,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_i_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, income_per_capita,
household_food_stamp,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_v_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, income_per_capita,
household_food_stamp,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="hospitalization_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km,
household,
household_food_stamp,
household,
income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services,
rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018,
icu_beds,
population_60plus_ratio,
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed, preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum, dow_feature,
total_tests_per_capita, confirmed_per_total_tests,
antigen_positive_ratio, antibody_negative_ratio,
average_temperature, rainfall, snowfall
] + symptoms_all,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="icu_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, household_food_stamp,
household, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018, icu_beds, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="ventilator_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, household_food_stamp,
household, income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018, icu_beds, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, household_food_stamp,
income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018, icu_beds, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, household_food_stamp,
income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018, icu_beds, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_i_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, household_food_stamp,
income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018, icu_beds, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_v_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[
population_density_per_sq_km, household, household_food_stamp,
income_per_capita,
patient_experience_above_the_national_average,
patient_experience_below_the_national_average,
patient_experience_same_as_the_national_average,
hospital_type_critical_access_hospitals,
hospital_type_acute_care_department_of_defense,
service_type_emergency_services_supported,
service_type_non_emergency_services, rating_average,
aqi_mean_2018, icu_beds, population_60plus_ratio
],
covariate_feature_specs=[
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
])
return result
def get_model_spec_time_varying_with_covariates(covariate_delay):
"""Return model specification with hyperparameters and covariates."""
result = model_spec_lib.ModelSpec(
hparams={
"initial_learning_rate": 0.003061242915556316,
"momentum": 0.2,
"decay_steps": 1000,
"fine_tuning_steps": 100,
"fine_tuning_decay": 1.0,
"decay_rate": 1.0,
"location_dependent_init": False,
"infected_threshold": 3,
"restart_threshold": 3000,
"time_scale_weight": 0.00006243159539906051,
"train_loss_coefs": [0.01, 0.01, 0.1, 0.3, 0.01, 0.01],
"valid_loss_coefs": [0.01, 0.01, 0.1, 0.3, 0.01, 0.01],
"sync_coef": 1.0,
"reduced_sync_undoc": 1.0,
"smooth_coef": 0.5,
"first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"average_contact_id_rate_init": -1.9131825459930378,
"average_contact_iud_rate_init": -1.071866945725303,
"reinfectable_rate_init": -5.548940468292865,
"alpha_rate_init": -2.272765554778715,
"diagnosis_rate_init": -2.095597433974376,
"recovery_h_rate_init": -1.9032896753850963,
"recovery_id_rate_init": -1.495660223962899,
"recovery_iud_rate_init": -1.475605314236803,
"hospitalization_rate_init": -1.4331763640928012,
"death_h_rate_init": -1.4886876719378206,
"death_id_rate_init": -1.8060447968974489,
"bias_penalty_coef": 0.2835406167308398,
"r_eff_penalty_coef": 2.0,
"r_eff_penalty_cutoff": 5.0,
"acceleration_death_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_confirm_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_hospital_coef": 0.1,
"quantile_encoding_window": 7,
"quantile_smooth_coef": 0.90,
"quantile_training_iteration_ratio": 1.0,
"width_coef_train": 1.0,
"width_coef_valid": 1.0,
"quantile_cum_viol_coef": 500.0,
"increment_loss_weight": 0.0,
"lasso_penalty_coef": 1.0,
"covariate_training_mixing_coef": 1.0,
"train_window_range": 2.0,
"partial_mean_interval": 3,
"direction_loss_coef": 2000.0,
"train_crps_weight": 0.75,
"valid_crps_weight": 0.75
},
encoder_specs=[
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="first_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="second_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed, death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum, state_of_emergency,
reproductive_number
] + survey_all + mobility_all,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed, death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum, state_of_emergency,
reproductive_number
] + survey_all + mobility_all,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(encoder_name="reinfectable_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics +
wellness,
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(encoder_name="alpha_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[],
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="diagnosis_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=healthcare,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed,
death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
total_tests,
dow_feature,
] + survey_all,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness + healthcare,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed,
death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
] + survey_all,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness + healthcare,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed,
death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
] + survey_all,
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness + healthcare,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed,
death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
discharged,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="hospitalization_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness + healthcare,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed,
death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
discharged,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness + healthcare,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed,
death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=demographics + wellness + healthcare,
covariate_feature_specs=[
confirmed_preprocessed,
death_preprocessed,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
discharged,
dow_feature,
],
covariate_feature_time_offset=covariate_delay,
covariate_feature_window=DEFAULT_WINDOW_SIZE,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": USE_FIXED_COVARIATE_MASK,
}),
])
return result
def get_model_spec(
self,
model_type,
covariate_delay=0,
**kwargs,
):
# Static feature candidates
population_density_per_sq_km = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.POPULATION_DENSITY_PER_SQKM, initializer=None)
# Time-varying feature candidates
preprocessed_confirmed = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.CONFIRMED_PREPROCESSED,
initializer=None,
forecast_method=model_spec_lib.ForecastMethod.NONE)
preprocessed_death = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.DEATH_PREPROCESSED,
initializer=None,
forecast_method=model_spec_lib.ForecastMethod.NONE)
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.CONFIRMED_PREPROCESSED_MEAN_TO_SUM_RATIO,
initializer=None,
forecast_method=model_spec_lib.ForecastMethod.NONE)
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.DEATH_PREPROCESSED_MEAN_TO_SUM_RATIO,
initializer=None,
forecast_method=model_spec_lib.ForecastMethod.NONE)
first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.VACCINATED_RATIO_FIRST_DOSE_PER_DAY_PREPROCESSED,
initializer=None)
second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.VACCINATED_RATIO_SECOND_DOSE_PER_DAY_PREPROCESSED,
initializer=None)
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.VACCINATED_EFFECTIVENESS_FIRST_DOSE,
initializer=None)
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.VACCINATED_EFFECTIVENESS_SECOND_DOSE,
initializer=None)
mobility_index = model_spec_lib.FeatureSpec(
name=constants.MOBILITY_INDEX, initializer=None)
all_static_covariates = [population_density_per_sq_km]
base_ts_covariates = [
preprocessed_confirmed,
preprocessed_death,
preprocessed_confirmed_mean_to_sum,
preprocessed_death_mean_to_sum,
]
default_window_size = 7
use_fixed_covariate_mask = True
return model_spec_lib.ModelSpec(
hparams={
"initial_learning_rate": 0.003061242915556316,
"momentum": 0.2,
"decay_steps": 1000,
"fine_tuning_steps": 500,
"fine_tuning_decay": 1.0,
"decay_rate": 1.0,
"location_dependent_init": False,
"infected_threshold": 3,
"restart_threshold": 300,
"time_scale_weight": 0.00006243159539906051,
"train_loss_coefs": [0, 0.001, 0.2, 0.1, 0.01, 0.01],
"valid_loss_coefs": [0, 0.001, 0.2, 0.1, 0.01, 0.01],
"sync_coef": 0.3,
"reduced_sync_undoc": 2.0,
"smooth_coef": 0.5,
"first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day_init": 0.0,
"average_contact_id_rate_init": -1.9131825459930378,
"average_contact_iud_rate_init": -1.071866945725303,
"reinfectable_rate_init": -5.548940468292865,
"alpha_rate_init": -2.272765554778715,
"diagnosis_rate_init": -2.095597433974376,
"recovery_id_rate_init": -1.495660223962899,
"recovery_iud_rate_init": -1.475605314236803,
"recovery_h_rate_init": -1.9032896753850963,
"hospitalization_rate_init": -1.4331763640928012,
"death_id_rate_init": -1.8060447968974489,
"death_h_rate_init": -1.4886876719378206,
"bias_penalty_coef": 0.2835406167308398,
"r_eff_penalty_coef": 2.0,
"acceleration_death_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_confirm_coef": 0.1,
"acceleration_hospital_coef": 0.1,
"quantile_encoding_window": 7,
"quantile_smooth_coef": 0.9,
"quantile_training_iteration_ratio": 0.5,
"width_coef_train": 10.0,
"width_coef_valid": 5.0,
"quantile_cum_viol_coef": 500.0,
"increment_loss_weight": 0.0,
"lasso_penalty_coef": 1.0,
"covariate_training_mixing_coef": 1.0,
"train_window_range": 2.0,
"direction_loss_coef": 5000.0,
"train_crps_weight": 0.25,
"valid_crps_weight": 0.25
},
encoder_specs=[
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="first_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
first_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day",
encoder_type="vaccine",
vaccine_type="second_dose",
covariate_feature_specs=[
second_dose_vaccine_ratio_per_day,
first_dose_vaccine_effectiveness,
second_dose_vaccine_effectiveness
],
),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates +
[mobility_index],
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="average_contact_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates +
[mobility_index],
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="reinfectable_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(encoder_name="alpha_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=[],
covariate_feature_specs=None,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="diagnosis_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates,
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates,
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_iud_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates,
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="recovery_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates,
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="hospitalization_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates,
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_id_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates,
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
model_spec_lib.EncoderSpec(
encoder_name="death_h_rate",
encoder_type="gam",
static_feature_specs=all_static_covariates,
covariate_feature_specs=base_ts_covariates,
covariate_feature_window=default_window_size,
encoder_kwargs={
"initial_bias": 0,
"location_dependent_bias": True,
"use_fixed_covariate_mask": use_fixed_covariate_mask,
}),
])