def get_trades(self, portfolio, t=dt.datetime.today()):
prediction = values_in_time(self.return_forecast, t)
sorted_ret = prediction.sort_values()
short_trades = sorted_ret.index[:self.num_short]
long_trades = sorted_ret.index[-self.num_long:]
u = pd.Series(0., index=prediction.index)
u[short_trades] = -1.
u[long_trades] = 1.
u /= sum(abs(u))
u = sum(portfolio) * u * self.target_turnover
# import pdb; pdb.set_trace()
#
# # ex-post cash neutrality
# old_cash = portfolio[-1]
# if old_cash > 0:
# u[short] = u[short] + old_cash/self.num_short
# else:
# u[long] = u[long] + old_cash/self.num_long
return u
def get_rounded_trades(self, portfolio, prices, t):
"""Get trades vector as number of shares, rounded to integers."""
return np.round(
self.get_trades(portfolio, t) / values_in_time(prices, t))[:-1]
def get_trades(self, portfolio, t=None):
"""
Get optimal trade vector for given portfolio at time t.
Parameters
----------
portfolio : pd.Series
Current portfolio vector.
t : pd.timestamp
Timestamp for the optimization.
"""
if t is None:
t = dt.datetime.today()
value = sum(portfolio)
w = portfolio / value
z = cvx.Variable(w.size) # TODO pass index
wplus = w.values + z
if isinstance(self.return_forecast, BaseReturnsModel):
alpha_term = self.return_forecast.weight_expr(t, wplus)
else:
alpha_term = cvx.sum(
cvx.multiply(
values_in_time(self.return_forecast, t).values, wplus))
assert (alpha_term.is_concave())
costs, constraints = [], []
for cost in self.costs:
cost_expr, const_expr = cost.weight_expr(t, wplus, z, value)
costs.append(cost_expr)
constraints += const_expr
constraints += [
item for item in (con.weight_expr(t, wplus, z, value)
for con in self.constraints)
]
for el in costs:
assert (el.is_convex())
for el in constraints:
assert (el.is_dcp())
self.prob = cvx.Problem(cvx.Maximize(alpha_term - sum(costs)),
[cvx.sum(z) == 0] + constraints)
try:
self.prob.solve(solver=self.solver, **self.solver_opts)
if self.prob.status == 'unbounded':
logging.error(
'The problem is unbounded. Defaulting to no trades')
return self._nulltrade(portfolio)
if self.prob.status == 'infeasible':
logging.error(
'The problem is infeasible. Defaulting to no trades')
return self._nulltrade(portfolio)
return pd.Series(index=portfolio.index, data=(z.value * value))
except (cvx.SolverError, TypeError):
logging.error('The solver %s failed. Defaulting to no trades' %
self.solver)
return self._nulltrade(portfolio)