def get_model_info(timespan,
ensemble_size=25,
model=None,
load_ensemble=False,
ignore_existing_repo=False,
repo_file=None):
"""
"""
timespan = np.array(timespan).flatten()
# print("Requesting timespan: ", timespan)
# Check the experiment repository
if repo_file is None:
file_name = 'Coupled_Lorenz_Repository.pickle'
file_name = os.path.abspath(
os.path.join(os.path.dirname(__file__), file_name))
else:
file_name = os.path.abspath(repo_file)
# Check repo if needed, and found:
if ignore_existing_repo:
ref_IC_np = ref_trajectory_np = init_ensemble_np = observations_np = None
#
elif os.path.isfile(file_name):
print("Loading model repo from : %s" % file_name)
cont = pickle.load(open(file_name, 'rb'))
tspan = cont['tspan']
# Get the initial condition anyways
ref_IC_np = cont['ref_trajectory'][:, 0].copy()
# Verify timespan, and get reference trajectory
if tspan.size < timespan.size:
ref_trajectory_np = None
t_indexes = None
save_info = True
#
elif tspan.size > timespan.size:
# Look into the reference trajectory to find matches, if existing
t_indexes = []
for i, t in enumerate(timespan):
loc = np.where(np.isclose(tspan, t, rtol=1e-12))[0]
if loc.size > 0:
loc = loc[0]
t_indexes.append(loc)
else:
t_indexes = None
break
#
if t_indexes is not None:
t_indexes.sort()
t_indexes = np.asarray(t_indexes)
ref_trajectory_np = cont['ref_trajectory'][:, t_indexes]
else:
ref_trajectory_np = None
#
else:
if np.isclose(tspan, timespan).all():
ref_trajectory_np = cont['ref_trajectory']
t_indexes = np.arange(timespan.size)
#
# Observations:
if t_indexes is None or ref_trajectory_np is None: # TODO: this is overkill!
observations_np = None
else:
observations_np = cont['observations'][:, t_indexes]
# Read the ensemble
if load_ensemble:
init_ensemble_np = cont['init_ensemble']
if np.size(init_ensemble_np, 1) <= ensemble_size:
init_ensemble_np = init_ensemble_np[:, :ensemble_size]
else:
init_ensemble_np = None
else:
init_ensemble_np = None
else:
print(
"The coupled-lorenz model repo is not found. This should be the first time to run this function/script."
)
ref_IC_np = ref_trajectory_np = init_ensemble_np = observations_np = None
# Check the integrity of the loaded data:
if ref_trajectory_np is None or (load_ensemble and init_ensemble_np is None
) or observations_np is None:
#
# Generate stuff, and save them
if model is None:
print(
"YOU MUST pass a MODEL object because the repo is not found in %s, or some information is missing!"
% file_name)
raise ValueError
else:
print("Got the model >> Creating experiemnt info...")
# Reference IC
if ref_IC_np is None:
ref_IC = model._reference_initial_condition.copy()
ref_IC_np = ref_IC.get_numpy_array()
# Reference Trajectory (Truth)
if ref_trajectory_np is None:
if ref_IC_np is not None:
ref_IC = model.state_vector(ref_IC_np.copy())
else:
ref_IC = model._reference_initial_condition.copy()
# generate observations from coupled lorenz:
ref_trajectory = model.integrate_state(ref_IC, timespan)
ref_trajectory_np = utility.ensemble_to_np_array(ref_trajectory,
state_as_col=True)
# Initial (forecast) Ensmble:
if load_ensemble and init_ensemble_np is None:
prior_noise_model = model.background_error_model
prior_noise_sample = [
prior_noise_model.generate_noise_vec()
for i in xrange(ensemble_size)
]
noise_mean = utility.ensemble_mean(prior_noise_sample)
ic = prior_noise_model.generate_noise_vec().add(ref_IC)
for i in xrange(ensemble_size):
prior_noise_sample[i].axpy(-1.0, noise_mean)
prior_noise_sample[i].add(ic, in_place=True)
init_ensemble = prior_noise_sample
init_ensemble_np = utility.ensemble_to_np_array(init_ensemble,
state_as_col=True)
if observations_np is None:
# Create observations' and assimilation checkpoints:
if ref_trajectory is None:
if ref_trajectory_np is None:
ref_trajectory = model.integrate_state(ref_IC, timespan)
else:
ref_trajectory = [
model.state_vectory(ref_trajectory_np[i, :].copy())
for i in xrange(np.size(ref_trajectory, 1))
]
observations = [
model.evaluate_theoretical_observation(x)
for x in ref_trajectory
]
# Perturb observations:
obs_noise_model = model.observation_error_model
for obs_ind in xrange(len(timespan)):
observations[obs_ind].add(obs_noise_model.generate_noise_vec(),
in_place=True)
observations_np = utility.ensemble_to_np_array(observations,
state_as_col=True)
print("Experiment repo created; saving for later use...")
# save results for later use
out_dict = dict(tspan=timespan,
ref_trajectory=ref_trajectory_np,
init_ensemble=init_ensemble_np,
observations=observations_np)
pickle.dump(out_dict, open(file_name, 'wb'))
print("...done...")
#
else:
print("All information properly loaded from file")
pass
return timespan, ref_IC_np, ref_trajectory_np, init_ensemble_np, observations_np
ref_initial_time=experiment_tspan[
0], # should be obtained from the model along with the ref_IC
random_seed=2345)
assim_output_configs = dict(scr_output=True,
scr_output_iter=1,
file_output=True,
file_output_dir=file_output_dir,
file_output_iter=1)
experiment = FilteringProcess(assimilation_configs,
output_configs=assim_output_configs)
# Save reference Trajectory:
trgt_dir = file_output_dir
np.save(
os.path.join(trgt_dir, 'Reference_Trajectory.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(ref_trajectory,
state_as_col=True))
np.save(
os.path.join(trgt_dir, 'Initial_Ensemble.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(init_ensemble, state_as_col=True))
np.save(
os.path.join(trgt_dir, 'Observations.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(observations, state_as_col=True))
# run the sequential filtering over the timespan created by da_checkpoints
experiment.recursive_assimilation_process(observations,
obs_checkpoints,
da_checkpoints)
if individual_plots:
cmd = "python filtering_results_reader_coupledLorenz.py -f %s" % os.path.join(
file_output_dir, 'output_dir_structure.txt')
def EnKF_update(self, forecast_ensemble, observation, inflation_factor=1.0, in_place=False):
"""
Calculate the kalman updated matrix, i.e. the update matrix of ensemble anomalies
and calculate the (moving) analysis ensemble
Args:
state:
Returns:
analysis_ensemble: a list of model.state_vector objects
X5: the state anomalies update matrix
"""
model = self.smoother_configs['model']
ensemble_size = len(forecast_ensemble)
forecast_mean = utility.ensemble_mean(forecast_ensemble)
forecast_anomalies = []
if inflation_factor is None:
inflation_factor = 1.0
#
for state in forecast_ensemble:
if inflation_factor != 1:
forecast_anomalies.append(state.axpy(-1, forecast_mean, in_place=False).scale(inflation_factor))
else:
forecast_anomalies.append(state.axpy(-1, forecast_mean, in_place=False))
A_prime = utility.ensemble_to_np_array(forecast_anomalies)
observation_perturbations = [model.evaluate_theoretical_observation(state) for state in forecast_anomalies]
S = utility.ensemble_to_np_array(observation_perturbations)
C = S.dot(S.T)
try:
C += (ensemble_size - 1) * model.observation_error_model.R[...]
except:
C += (ensemble_size - 1) * model.observation_error_model.R.get_numpy_array()
C_eigs, Z = linalg.eigh(C)
C_eigs = 1.0 / C_eigs
obs_innov = observation.axpy(-1, model.evaluate_theoretical_observation(forecast_mean))
y = Z.T.dot(obs_innov.get_numpy_array())
y *= C_eigs
y = Z.dot(y)
y = S.T.dot(y)
# Update ensemble mean
analysis_mean = model.state_vector(A_prime.dot(y))
analysis_mean = analysis_mean.add(forecast_mean)
xa = analysis_mean.get_numpy_array()
inv_sqrt_Ceig = sparse.spdiags(np.sqrt(C_eigs), 0, C_eigs.size, C_eigs.size)
X2 = inv_sqrt_Ceig.dot(Z.T.dot(S))
_, Sig2, V2 = linalg.svd(X2, full_matrices=False)
# Calculate the square root of the matrix I-Sig2'*Sig2*theta
Sqrtmat = sparse.spdiags(np.sqrt(1.0 - np.power(Sig2,2)), 0, Sig2.size, Sig2.size)
Aa_prime = A_prime.dot(V2.T.dot(Sqrtmat.dot(V2)))
if self._verbose:
# For debugging
print(A_prime, type(A_prime))
# Update analysis ensemble:
analysis_ensemble = [model.state_vector(xa+A_prime[:, j]) for j in xrange(np.size(A_prime, 1)) ]
# Build the update kernel X5
xx = V2.T.dot(Sqrtmat.dot(V2))
for j in xrange(np.size(xx, 1)):
xx[:, j] += y[:]
IN = np.ones((ensemble_size, ensemble_size), dtype=np.float) / ensemble_size
X5 = IN + inflation_factor * np.dot( (sparse.spdiags(np.ones(ensemble_size), 0, ensemble_size, ensemble_size) - IN), xx)
return analysis_ensemble, X5
def analysis(self):
"""
Analysis step of the (Vanilla Ensemble Kalman Smoother (EnKS).
In this case, the given forecast ensemble is propagated to the observation time instances to create model
observations H(xk) that will be used in the assimilation process...
"""
model = self.model
# Timsespan info:
forecast_time = self.smoother_configs['forecast_time']
analysis_time = self.smoother_configs['analysis_time']
if self.smoother_configs['obs_checkpoints'] is None:
print("Couldn't find observation checkpoints in self.smoother_configs['obs_checkpoints']; None found!")
raise ValueError
else:
obs_checkpoints = np.asarray(self.smoother_configs['obs_checkpoints'])
if (analysis_time - obs_checkpoints[0] ) >= self._model_step_size:
print("Observations MUST follow the assimilation times in this implementation!")
raise ValueError
if (analysis_time - obs_checkpoints[0] ) >= self._model_step_size:
print("Observations MUST follow the assimilation times in this implementation!")
raise ValueError
# Get observations list:
observations_list = self.smoother_configs['observations_list']
#
assim_flags = [True] * len(obs_checkpoints)
if (forecast_time - obs_checkpoints[0]) >= self._model_step_size:
print("forecast time can't be after the first observation time instance!")
print("forecast_time", forecast_time)
print("obs_checkpoints[0]", obs_checkpoints[0])
raise AssertionError
#
elif abs(forecast_time - obs_checkpoints[0]) <= self._time_eps:
# an observation exists at the analysis time
pass
#
else:
obs_checkpoints = np.insert(obs_checkpoints, 0, forecast_time)
assim_flags.insert(0, False)
# state and observation vector dimensions
forecast_ensemble = self.smoother_configs['forecast_ensemble']
if forecast_ensemble is None:
print("Can't carry out the analysis step without a forecast ensemble; Found None!")
raise ValueError
if abs(forecast_time-analysis_time) > self._time_eps:
print("At this point, the analysis and forecast times have to be the SAME!")
print("Forecast Time=%f, Analysis time=%f" % (forecast_time, analysis_time))
raise ValueError
#
elif (analysis_time-obs_checkpoints[0]) > self._time_eps:
print("At this point, the analysis time should be equal to or less that the time of the first observation")
print("Analysis time=%f Time of the first observation=%f" %(analysis_time, obs_checkpoints[0]))
raise ValueError
else:
if len(observations_list) == 0:
print("An empty list of observations is detected! No observations to assimilate;")
print("Nothing to assimilate...")
print("Setting the analysis state to the forecast state...")
self.smoother_configs['analysis_state'] = self.smoother_configs['forecast_state'].copy()
return
#
elif len(observations_list) == 1:
if abs(obs_checkpoints[0]-forecast_time)<=self._time_eps and \
abs(analysis_time-forecast_time)<=self._time_eps:
print("A single observation is detected, and the assimilation time coincides with observation time;")
print("You are advised to use EnKF!") # Todo, redirect automatically to 3D-Var
raise ValueError
elif (obs_checkpoints[0]-forecast_time)>self._time_eps or (obs_checkpoints[0]-analysis_time)>self._time_eps:
pass
else:
print("This settings instances are not acceptable:")
print("Observation time instance: %f" % obs_checkpoints[0])
print("Forecast time: %f" % forecast_time)
print("Observation time instance: %f" % analysis_time)
print("Terminating ")
raise ValueError
else:
# Good to go!
pass
#
# > --------------------------------------------||
# START the Smoothing process:
# > --------------------------------------------||
# Forward propagation:
# 1- Apply EnKF at each observation timepoint,
# 2- Save Kalman gain matrix
#
cwd = os.getcwd()
saved_kernels = []
# Copy the initial forecast ensemble,
moving_ensemble = [state.copy() for state in forecast_ensemble]
ensemble_size = len(moving_ensemble)
num_obs_points = len(observations_list)
if self._verbose:
print("Started the Analysis step of EnKS; with [num_obs_points] observation/assimilation time points;")
inflation_factor = self.smoother_configs['inflation_factor']
#
# Forward to observation time instances and update observation term
obs_ind = 0
for iter_ind, t0, t1 in zip(xrange(num_obs_points), obs_checkpoints[: -1], obs_checkpoints[1: ]):
local_ckeckpoints = np.array([t0, t1])
# For initial subwindow only, check the flag on both and final assimilation flags
if iter_ind == 0:
assim_flag = assim_flags[iter_ind]
if assim_flag:
observation = observations_list[obs_ind]
obs_ind += 1
print("TODO: Applying EnKF step at the initial time of the whole assimilation window")
moving_ensemble, X5 = self.EnKF_update(moving_ensemble, observation, inflation_factor, in_place=True)
saved_kernels = self._save_EnKF_update_kernel(X5, saved_kernels)
# Copy initial ensemble; could be saved to file instead
analysis_ensemble_np = utility.ensemble_to_np_array(moving_ensemble)
# Now, let's do forecast/analysis step for each subwindow:
for ens_ind in xrange(ensemble_size):
state = moving_ensemble[ens_ind]
tmp_trajectory = model.integrate_state(initial_state=state, checkpoints=local_ckeckpoints)
if isinstance(tmp_trajectory, list):
moving_ensemble[ens_ind] = tmp_trajectory[-1].copy()
else:
moving_ensemble[ens_ind] = tmp_trajectory.copy()
#
assim_flag = assim_flags[iter_ind+1]
if assim_flag:
observation = observations_list[obs_ind]
obs_ind += 1
moving_ensemble, X5 = self.EnKF_update(moving_ensemble, observation, inflation_factor, in_place=True)
saved_kernels = self._save_EnKF_update_kernel(X5, saved_kernels)
#
# Backward propagation:
for iter_ind in xrange(num_obs_points-2, -1, -1):
assim_flag = assim_flags[iter_ind]
try:
next_assim_ind = iter_ind + 1 + assim_flags[iter_ind+1: ].index(True)
except ValueError:
# This is the latest assimilation cycle; proceed
continue
if assim_flag:
kernel_file = saved_kernels[iter_ind]
X5 = np.load(kernel_file)
next_kernel = saved_kernels[next_assim_ind]
X6 = np.load(next_kernel)
X5 = X5.dot(X6)
del X6
# save/overwrite the updated kernel; no need to keep both versions!
np.save(kernel_file, X5)
# Update analysis ensemble at the initial time of the window:
X5 = np.load(saved_kernels[0])
analysis_ensemble_np = analysis_ensemble_np.dot(X5)
del X5
analysis_ensemble = moving_ensemble
for ens_ind in xrange(ensemble_size):
analysis_ensemble[ens_ind][:] = analysis_ensemble_np[:, ens_ind].copy() # Need to copy?!
self.smoother_configs.update({'analysis_ensemble': analysis_ensemble})
self.smoother_configs.update({'analysis_state': utility.ensemble_mean(analysis_ensemble)})
def start_filtering(results_dir=None,
overwrite=True,
create_plots=True,
background_noise_level=None,
observation_noise_level=None):
"""
"""
if background_noise_level is None:
background_noise_level = 0.08
if observation_noise_level is None:
observation_noise_level = 0.05
# Experiment Settings:
# ============================================================
# Timesetup
experiment_tspan = np.arange(0, 100.001, 0.1)
# Model settings:
num_Xs = 40
num_Ys = 32
F = 8.0
observation_size = num_Xs
# Filter settings:
ensemble_size = 25
#
# ============================================================
# Create model instance:
model, checkpoints, cpld_model_info, model_info = \
create_model_info(num_Xs=num_Xs,
num_Ys=num_Ys,
F=F,
observation_size=observation_size,
ensemble_size=ensemble_size,
observation_opertor_type='linear-coarse',
observation_noise_level=observation_noise_level,
background_noise_level=background_noise_level,
experiment_tspan=experiment_tspan
)
cpld_ref_trajectory, cpld_init_ensemble, cpld_observations = cpld_model_info
ref_trajectory, init_ensemble, observations = model_info
cpld_ref_IC = cpld_ref_trajectory[0].copy()
ref_IC = ref_trajectory[0].copy()
#
model_name = model._model_name
state_size = model.state_size()
obs_size = model.observation_size()
print(
"Lorenz model and corresponding observations created. Starting the Assimilation section"
)
#
# ======================================================================================== #
# Inititalize the filter object #
# ======================================================================================== #
# Filter Configs
# read settings from input file
settings_filename = __FILTER_CONFIGS_FILENAME
if os.path.isfile(settings_filename):
_, parser = utility.read_configs(settings_filename)
section_name = 'filter settings'
adaptive_inflation = parser.getboolean(section_name,
'adaptive_inflation')
inflation_bounds = eval(parser.get(section_name, 'inflation_bounds'))
inflation_design_penalty = parser.getfloat(section_name,
'inflation_design_penalty')
inflation_factor = parser.getfloat(section_name, 'inflation_factor')
forecast_inflation_factor = parser.getfloat(
section_name, 'forecast_inflation_factor')
#
adaptive_localization = parser.getboolean(section_name,
'adaptive_localization')
localization_function = parser.get(section_name,
'localization_function')
localization_radius = parser.getfloat(section_name,
'localization_radius')
localization_design_penalty = parser.getfloat(
section_name, 'localization_design_penalty')
localization_bounds = eval(
parser.get(section_name, 'localization_bounds'))
loc_direct_approach = parser.getint(section_name,
'loc_direct_approach')
localization_space = parser.get(section_name,
'localization_space').upper().strip()
#
regularization_norm = parser.get(
section_name, 'regularization_norm').lower().strip()
moving_average_radius = parser.getint(section_name,
'moving_average_radius')
ensemble_size = parser.getint(section_name, 'ensemble_size')
#
else:
print("Couldn't find configs file: %s" % settings_filename)
raise IOError
#
# Both are now implemented in Adaptive OED-EnKF ; we will test both
if adaptive_inflation and adaptive_localization:
forecast_inflation_factor = inflation_factor = 1.0
if results_dir is None:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_ADAPTIVE_INFL_LOC'
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir, 'InflPenalty_%f' % (inflation_design_penalty))
#
elif adaptive_inflation:
forecast_inflation_factor = inflation_factor = 1.0
if results_dir is None:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_ADAPTIVE_INFL'
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir, 'LocRad_%f_InflPenalty_%f' %
(localization_radius, inflation_design_penalty))
#
elif adaptive_localization:
if results_dir is None:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_ADAPTIVE_LOC'
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir, 'InflFac_%f_LocPenalty_%f' %
(forecast_inflation_factor, localization_design_penalty))
else:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_NonAdaptive'
inflation_factor = forecast_inflation_factor
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir,
'InflFac_%f_LocRad_%f' % (inflation_factor, localization_radius))
#
if os.path.isdir(results_dir):
if overwrite:
pass
else:
return None
#
enkf_filter_configs = dict(
model=model,
analysis_ensemble=init_ensemble,
forecast_ensemble=None,
ensemble_size=ensemble_size,
#
adaptive_inflation=adaptive_inflation,
forecast_inflation_factor=forecast_inflation_factor,
inflation_design_penalty=
inflation_design_penalty, # penalty of the regularization parameter
localization_design_penalty=
localization_design_penalty, # penalty of the regularization parameter
inflation_factor=inflation_factor,
inflation_factor_bounds=inflation_bounds,
adaptive_localization=adaptive_localization,
localize_covariances=True,
localization_radii_bounds=localization_bounds,
localization_method='covariance_filtering',
localization_radius=localization_radius,
localization_function=localization_function,
loc_direct_approach=loc_direct_approach,
localization_space=localization_space,
regularization_norm=regularization_norm,
moving_average_radius=moving_average_radius,
)
#
if adaptive_inflation and adaptive_localization:
from adaptive_EnKF import EnKF_OED_Adaptive
elif adaptive_inflation:
from adaptive_EnKF import EnKF_OED_Inflation as EnKF_OED_Adaptive
elif adaptive_localization:
from adaptive_EnKF import EnKF_OED_Localization as EnKF_OED_Adaptive
else:
from EnKF import DEnKF as EnKF_OED_Adaptive
print(
"neither adapgtive inflation nor adaptive localization are revoked!"
)
# raise ValueError
#
filter_obj = EnKF_OED_Adaptive(filter_configs=enkf_filter_configs,
output_configs=dict(
file_output_moment_only=False,
verbose=False))
#
# ======================================================================================== #
#
#
# ======================================================================================== #
# Inititalize the sequential DA process #
# ======================================================================================== #
# Create the processing object:
# -------------------------------------
#
# create observations' and assimilation checkpoints:
obs_checkpoints = experiment_tspan
da_checkpoints = obs_checkpoints
#
# Here this is a filtering_process object;
from filtering_process import FilteringProcess
assimilation_configs = dict(
filter=filter_obj,
obs_checkpoints=obs_checkpoints,
# da_checkpoints=da_checkpoints,
forecast_first=True,
ref_initial_condition=ref_IC,
ref_initial_time=experiment_tspan[0],
random_seed=2345)
assim_output_configs = dict(scr_output=True,
scr_output_iter=1,
file_output_dir=results_dir,
file_output=True,
file_output_iter=1)
experiment = FilteringProcess(assimilation_configs=assimilation_configs,
output_configs=assim_output_configs)
# Save reference Trajectory:
results_dir = os.path.abspath(results_dir)
np.save(os.path.join(results_dir, 'Reference_Trajectory.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(ref_trajectory, state_as_col=True))
np.save(os.path.join(results_dir, 'Initial_Ensemble.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(init_ensemble, state_as_col=True))
np.save(os.path.join(results_dir, 'Observations.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(observations, state_as_col=True))
# Run the sequential filtering process:
# -------------------------------------
experiment.recursive_assimilation_process(observations, obs_checkpoints,
da_checkpoints)
#
# ======================================================================================== #
#
if create_plots:
# Try plotting results
try:
osf = os.path.join(results_dir, 'output_dir_structure.txt')
cmd = "python filtering_results_reader_coupledlorenz.py -f %s -o True -r True" % osf
print("Plotting Results:\n%s" % cmd)
os.system(cmd)
except:
print("Failed to generate plots!")
pass
def start_filtering(results_dir=None, overwrite=True, create_plots=True):
"""
"""
# Experiment Settings:
# ============================================================
# Timesetup
experiment_tspan = np.arange(0, 100.001, 0.1)
# Model settings:
num_Xs = 40
num_Ys = 32
F = 8.0
observation_size = num_Xs
# Filter settings:
ensemble_size = 25
#
# ============================================================
# Create a model object for the truth
try:
_, cpld_ref_IC, cpld_ref_trajectory, cpld_init_ensemble, cpld_observations = get_model_info(
experiment_tspan, ensemble_size)
except ValueError:
coupled_model_configs = dict(
num_prognostic_variables=[
num_Xs, num_Ys
], # [X, Y's per each X] each of the 8 is coupled to all 32
force=F, # forcing term: F
subgrid_varibles_parameters=[1.0, 10.0, 10.0], # (h, c, b)
# create_background_errors_correlations=True,
observation_opertor_type='linear-coarse',
observation_noise_level=0.05,
background_noise_level=0.08)
coupled_model = Coupled_Lorenz(coupled_model_configs)
# Get Repo Info:
_, cpld_ref_IC, cpld_ref_trajectory, cpld_init_ensemble, cpld_observations = get_model_info(
experiment_tspan, ensemble_size, coupled_model)
del coupled_model, coupled_model_configs
#
# Create a forecast model: i.e. use the reduced version Lorenz-96 with 40 variables
model_configs = {
'create_background_errors_correlations': True,
'num_prognostic_variables': num_Xs,
'observation_error_variances': 0.05,
# 'observation_noise_level':0.05,
'observation_vector_size':
observation_size, # observe everything first
'background_noise_level': 0.08
}
model = Lorenz96(model_configs)
model_name = model._model_name
# return is in NumPy format
# convert entities to model-based formats
state_size = model.state_size()
obs_size = model.observation_size()
ref_IC = model.state_vector(cpld_ref_IC[:state_size].copy())
ref_trajectory = []
observations = []
for i in xrange(len(experiment_tspan)):
state = model.state_vector(cpld_ref_trajectory[:state_size, i])
ref_trajectory.append(state)
obs = model.state_vector(cpld_observations[:state_size, i])
observations.append(model.evaluate_theoretical_observation(obs))
# Create initial ensemble...
init_ensemble = model.create_initial_ensemble(ensemble_size=ensemble_size)
# init_ensemble = utility.inflate_ensemble(init_ensemble, 4, in_place=True)
print(
"Lorenz model and corresponding observations created. Starting the Assimilation section"
)
#
# ======================================================================================== #
# Inititalize the filter object #
# ======================================================================================== #
# Filter Configs
# read settings from input file
settings_filename = __FILTER_CONFIGS_FILENAME
default_configs = __DEF_FILTER_CONFIGS
if os.path.isfile(settings_filename):
_, parser = utility.read_configs(settings_filename)
section_name = 'filter settings'
if not parser.has_section(section_name):
# No configurations found: set defaults
print(
"Configurations file found, with nothing in it! Setting to defaults"
)
this_dir = os.path.abspath(os.path.dirname(__file__))
utility.write_dicts_to_config_file(settings_filename, this_dir,
default_configs,
'filter settings')
fetched = False
else:
adaptive_inflation = parser.getboolean(section_name,
'adaptive_inflation')
inflation_bounds = eval(
parser.get(section_name, 'inflation_bounds'))
inflation_design_penalty = parser.getfloat(
section_name, 'inflation_design_penalty')
inflation_factor = parser.getfloat(section_name,
'inflation_factor')
forecast_inflation_factor = parser.getfloat(
section_name, 'forecast_inflation_factor')
#
adaptive_localization = parser.getboolean(section_name,
'adaptive_localization')
localization_function = parser.get(section_name,
'localization_function')
localization_radius = parser.getfloat(section_name,
'localization_radius')
localization_design_penalty = parser.getfloat(
section_name, 'localization_design_penalty')
localization_bounds = eval(
parser.get(section_name, 'localization_bounds'))
loc_direct_approach = parser.getint(section_name,
'loc_direct_approach')
localization_space = parser.get(
section_name, 'localization_space').upper().strip()
#
regularization_norm = parser.get(
section_name, 'regularization_norm').lower().strip()
moving_average_radius = parser.getint(section_name,
'moving_average_radius')
ensemble_size = parser.getint(section_name, 'ensemble_size')
#
fetched = True
else:
print("Couldn't find configs file: %s" % settings_filename)
print("Added the default values to this config file for later use...")
this_dir = os.path.abspath(os.path.dirname(__file__))
utility.write_dicts_to_config_file(settings_filename, this_dir,
default_configs, 'filter settings')
fetched = False
if not fetched:
print("Gettings things from default dict")
for k in default_configs:
exec("%s = default_configs['%s']" % (k, k))
#
#
# Both are now implemented in Adaptive OED-EnKF ; we will test both
if adaptive_inflation and adaptive_localization:
forecast_inflation_factor = inflation_factor = 1.0
if results_dir is None:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_ADAPTIVE_INFL_LOC'
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir, 'InflPenalty_%f' % (inflation_design_penalty))
#
elif adaptive_inflation:
forecast_inflation_factor = inflation_factor = 1.0
if results_dir is None:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_ADAPTIVE_INFL'
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir, 'LocRad_%f_InflPenalty_%f' %
(localization_radius, inflation_design_penalty))
#
elif adaptive_localization:
if results_dir is None:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_ADAPTIVE_LOC'
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir, 'InflFac_%f_LocPenalty_%f' %
(forecast_inflation_factor, localization_design_penalty))
else:
results_dir = __BASE_RESULTS_DIR + '_NonAdaptive'
inflation_factor = forecast_inflation_factor
results_dir = os.path.join(
results_dir,
'InflFac_%f_LocRad_%f' % (inflation_factor, localization_radius))
#
if os.path.isdir(results_dir):
if overwrite:
pass
else:
return None
#
enkf_filter_configs = dict(
model=model,
analysis_ensemble=init_ensemble,
forecast_ensemble=None,
ensemble_size=ensemble_size,
#
adaptive_inflation=adaptive_inflation,
forecast_inflation_factor=forecast_inflation_factor,
inflation_design_penalty=
inflation_design_penalty, # penalty of the regularization parameter
localization_design_penalty=
localization_design_penalty, # penalty of the regularization parameter
inflation_factor=inflation_factor,
inflation_factor_bounds=inflation_bounds,
adaptive_localization=adaptive_localization,
localize_covariances=True,
localization_radii_bounds=localization_bounds,
localization_method='covariance_filtering',
localization_radius=localization_radius,
localization_function=localization_function,
loc_direct_approach=loc_direct_approach,
localization_space=localization_space,
regularization_norm=regularization_norm,
moving_average_radius=moving_average_radius,
)
#
if adaptive_inflation and adaptive_localization:
from adaptive_EnKF import EnKF_OED_Adaptive
elif adaptive_inflation:
from adaptive_EnKF import EnKF_OED_Inflation as EnKF_OED_Adaptive
elif adaptive_localization:
from adaptive_EnKF import EnKF_OED_Localization as EnKF_OED_Adaptive
else:
from EnKF import DEnKF as EnKF_OED_Adaptive
print(
"neither adapgtive inflation nor adaptive localization are revoked!"
)
# raise ValueError
#
filter_obj = EnKF_OED_Adaptive(filter_configs=enkf_filter_configs,
output_configs=dict(
file_output_moment_only=False,
verbose=False))
#
# ======================================================================================== #
#
#
# ======================================================================================== #
# Inititalize the sequential DA process #
# ======================================================================================== #
# Create the processing object:
# -------------------------------------
#
# create observations' and assimilation checkpoints:
obs_checkpoints = experiment_tspan
da_checkpoints = obs_checkpoints
#
# Here this is a filtering_process object;
from filtering_process import FilteringProcess
assimilation_configs = dict(
filter=filter_obj,
obs_checkpoints=obs_checkpoints,
# da_checkpoints=da_checkpoints,
forecast_first=True,
ref_initial_condition=ref_IC,
ref_initial_time=experiment_tspan[0],
random_seed=2345)
assim_output_configs = dict(scr_output=True,
scr_output_iter=1,
file_output_dir=results_dir,
file_output=True,
file_output_iter=1)
experiment = FilteringProcess(assimilation_configs=assimilation_configs,
output_configs=assim_output_configs)
# Save reference Trajectory:
results_dir = os.path.abspath(results_dir)
np.save(os.path.join(results_dir, 'Reference_Trajectory.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(ref_trajectory, state_as_col=True))
np.save(os.path.join(results_dir, 'Initial_Ensemble.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(init_ensemble, state_as_col=True))
np.save(os.path.join(results_dir, 'Observations.npy'),
utility.ensemble_to_np_array(observations, state_as_col=True))
# Run the sequential filtering process:
# -------------------------------------
experiment.recursive_assimilation_process(observations, obs_checkpoints,
da_checkpoints)
#
# ======================================================================================== #
#
if create_plots:
print("Creating Plots")
cmd = "python filtering_results_reader_coupledLorenz.py -f %s -r True -o True" % os.path.join(
results_dir, 'output_dir_structure.txt')
os.system(cmd)