Exemple #1
0
def test_enum_subsample_smoke():
    def model(data):
        x = numpyro.sample("x", dist.Bernoulli(0.5))
        with numpyro.plate("N", data.shape[0], subsample_size=100, dim=-1):
            batch = numpyro.subsample(data, event_dim=0)
            numpyro.sample("obs", dist.Normal(x, 1), obs=batch)

    data = random.normal(random.PRNGKey(0), (10000, )) + 1
    kernel = HMCECS(NUTS(model), num_blocks=10)
    mcmc = MCMC(kernel, 10, 10)
    mcmc.run(random.PRNGKey(0), data)
Exemple #2
0
def run_hmcecs(hmcecs_key, args, data, obs, inner_kernel):
    svi_key, mcmc_key = random.split(hmcecs_key)

    # find reference parameters for second order taylor expansion to estimate likelihood (taylor_proxy)
    optimizer = numpyro.optim.Adam(step_size=1e-3)
    guide = autoguide.AutoDelta(model)
    svi = SVI(model, guide, optimizer, loss=Trace_ELBO())
    params, losses = svi.run(svi_key, args.num_svi_steps, data, obs, args.subsample_size)
    ref_params = {'theta': params['theta_auto_loc']}

    # taylor proxy estimates log likelihood (ll) by
    # taylor_expansion(ll, theta_curr) +
    #     sum_{i in subsample} ll_i(theta_curr) - taylor_expansion(ll_i, theta_curr) around ref_params
    proxy = HMCECS.taylor_proxy(ref_params)

    kernel = HMCECS(inner_kernel, num_blocks=args.num_blocks, proxy=proxy)
    mcmc = MCMC(kernel, num_warmup=args.num_warmup, num_samples=args.num_samples)

    mcmc.run(mcmc_key, data, obs, args.subsample_size)
    mcmc.print_summary()
    return losses, mcmc.get_samples()
Exemple #3
0
def test_hmcecs_multiple_plates():
    true_loc = jnp.array([0.3, 0.1, 0.9])
    num_warmup, num_samples = 2, 2
    data = true_loc + dist.Normal(jnp.zeros(3), jnp.ones(3)).sample(
        random.PRNGKey(1), (1000,)
    )

    def model(data):
        mean = numpyro.sample("mean", dist.Normal().expand((3,)).to_event(1))
        with numpyro.plate("batch", data.shape[0], dim=-2, subsample_size=10):
            sub_data = numpyro.subsample(data, 0)
            with numpyro.plate("dim", 3):
                numpyro.sample("obs", dist.Normal(mean, 1), obs=sub_data)

    ref_params = {
        "mean": true_loc + dist.Normal(true_loc, 5e-2).sample(random.PRNGKey(0))
    }
    proxy_fn = HMCECS.taylor_proxy(ref_params)

    kernel = HMCECS(NUTS(model), proxy=proxy_fn)
    mcmc = MCMC(kernel, num_warmup=num_warmup, num_samples=num_samples)
    mcmc.run(random.PRNGKey(0), data)
Exemple #4
0
def test_estimate_likelihood(kernel_cls):
    data_key, tr_key, sub_key, rng_key = random.split(random.PRNGKey(0), 4)
    ref_params = jnp.array([0.1, 0.5, -0.2])
    sigma = .1
    data = ref_params + dist.Normal(jnp.zeros(3), jnp.ones(3)).sample(
        data_key, (10_000, ))
    n, _ = data.shape
    num_warmup = 200
    num_samples = 200
    num_blocks = 20

    def model(data):
        mean = numpyro.sample(
            'mean', dist.Normal(ref_params, jnp.ones_like(ref_params)))
        with numpyro.plate('N', data.shape[0], subsample_size=100,
                           dim=-2) as idx:
            numpyro.sample('obs', dist.Normal(mean, sigma), obs=data[idx])

    proxy_fn = HMCECS.taylor_proxy({'mean': ref_params})
    kernel = HMCECS(kernel_cls(model), proxy=proxy_fn, num_blocks=num_blocks)
    mcmc = MCMC(kernel, num_warmup, num_samples)

    mcmc.run(random.PRNGKey(0),
             data,
             extra_fields=['hmc_state.potential_energy'])

    pes = mcmc.get_extra_fields()['hmc_state.potential_energy']
    samples = mcmc.get_samples()
    pes_full = vmap(lambda sample: log_density(model, (data, ), {}, {
        **sample,
        **{
            'N': jnp.arange(n)
        }
    })[0])(samples)

    assert jnp.var(jnp.exp(-pes - pes_full)) < 1.
Exemple #5
0
def benchmark_hmc(args, features, labels):
    rng_key = random.PRNGKey(1)
    start = time.time()
    # a MAP estimate at the following source
    # https://github.com/google/edward2/blob/master/examples/no_u_turn_sampler/logistic_regression.py#L117
    ref_params = {
        "coefs":
        jnp.array([
            +2.03420663e00,
            -3.53567265e-02,
            -1.49223924e-01,
            -3.07049364e-01,
            -1.00028366e-01,
            -1.46827862e-01,
            -1.64167881e-01,
            -4.20344204e-01,
            +9.47479829e-02,
            -1.12681836e-02,
            +2.64442056e-01,
            -1.22087866e-01,
            -6.00568838e-02,
            -3.79419506e-01,
            -1.06668741e-01,
            -2.97053963e-01,
            -2.05253899e-01,
            -4.69537191e-02,
            -2.78072730e-02,
            -1.43250525e-01,
            -6.77954629e-02,
            -4.34899796e-03,
            +5.90927452e-02,
            +7.23133609e-02,
            +1.38526391e-02,
            -1.24497898e-01,
            -1.50733739e-02,
            -2.68872194e-02,
            -1.80925727e-02,
            +3.47936489e-02,
            +4.03552800e-02,
            -9.98773426e-03,
            +6.20188080e-02,
            +1.15002751e-01,
            +1.32145107e-01,
            +2.69109547e-01,
            +2.45785132e-01,
            +1.19035013e-01,
            -2.59744357e-02,
            +9.94279515e-04,
            +3.39266285e-02,
            -1.44057125e-02,
            -6.95222765e-02,
            -7.52013028e-02,
            +1.21171586e-01,
            +2.29205526e-02,
            +1.47308692e-01,
            -8.34354162e-02,
            -9.34122875e-02,
            -2.97472421e-02,
            -3.03937674e-01,
            -1.70958012e-01,
            -1.59496680e-01,
            -1.88516974e-01,
            -1.20889175e00,
        ])
    }
    if args.algo == "HMC":
        step_size = jnp.sqrt(0.5 / features.shape[0])
        trajectory_length = step_size * args.num_steps
        kernel = HMC(
            model,
            step_size=step_size,
            trajectory_length=trajectory_length,
            adapt_step_size=False,
            dense_mass=args.dense_mass,
        )
        subsample_size = None
    elif args.algo == "NUTS":
        kernel = NUTS(model, dense_mass=args.dense_mass)
        subsample_size = None
    elif args.algo == "HMCECS":
        subsample_size = 1000
        inner_kernel = NUTS(
            model,
            init_strategy=init_to_value(values=ref_params),
            dense_mass=args.dense_mass,
        )
        # note: if num_blocks=100, we'll update 10 index at each MCMC step
        # so it took 50000 MCMC steps to iterative the whole dataset
        kernel = HMCECS(inner_kernel,
                        num_blocks=100,
                        proxy=HMCECS.taylor_proxy(ref_params))
    elif args.algo == "SA":
        # NB: this kernel requires large num_warmup and num_samples
        # and running on GPU is much faster than on CPU
        kernel = SA(model,
                    adapt_state_size=1000,
                    init_strategy=init_to_value(values=ref_params))
        subsample_size = None
    elif args.algo == "FlowHMCECS":
        subsample_size = 1000
        guide = AutoBNAFNormal(model, num_flows=1, hidden_factors=[8])
        svi = SVI(model, guide, numpyro.optim.Adam(0.01), Trace_ELBO())
        svi_result = svi.run(random.PRNGKey(2), 2000, features, labels)
        params, losses = svi_result.params, svi_result.losses
        plt.plot(losses)
        plt.show()

        neutra = NeuTraReparam(guide, params)
        neutra_model = neutra.reparam(model)
        neutra_ref_params = {"auto_shared_latent": jnp.zeros(55)}
        # no need to adapt mass matrix if the flow does a good job
        inner_kernel = NUTS(
            neutra_model,
            init_strategy=init_to_value(values=neutra_ref_params),
            adapt_mass_matrix=False,
        )
        kernel = HMCECS(inner_kernel,
                        num_blocks=100,
                        proxy=HMCECS.taylor_proxy(neutra_ref_params))
    else:
        raise ValueError(
            "Invalid algorithm, either 'HMC', 'NUTS', or 'HMCECS'.")
    mcmc = MCMC(kernel,
                num_warmup=args.num_warmup,
                num_samples=args.num_samples)
    mcmc.run(rng_key,
             features,
             labels,
             subsample_size,
             extra_fields=("accept_prob", ))
    print("Mean accept prob:",
          jnp.mean(mcmc.get_extra_fields()["accept_prob"]))
    mcmc.print_summary(exclude_deterministic=False)
    print("\nMCMC elapsed time:", time.time() - start)
Exemple #6
0
def test_taylor_proxy_norm(subsample_size):
    data_key, tr_key, rng_key = random.split(random.PRNGKey(0), 3)
    ref_params = jnp.array([0.1, 0.5, -0.2])
    sigma = 0.1

    data = ref_params + dist.Normal(jnp.zeros(3), jnp.ones(3)).sample(
        data_key, (100, ))
    n, _ = data.shape

    def model(data, subsample_size):
        mean = numpyro.sample(
            "mean", dist.Normal(ref_params, jnp.ones_like(ref_params)))
        with numpyro.plate("data",
                           data.shape[0],
                           subsample_size=subsample_size,
                           dim=-2) as idx:
            numpyro.sample("obs", dist.Normal(mean, sigma), obs=data[idx])

    def log_prob_fn(params):
        return vmap(dist.Normal(params, sigma).log_prob)(data).sum(-1)

    log_prob = log_prob_fn(ref_params)
    log_norm_jac = jacrev(log_prob_fn)(ref_params)
    log_norm_hessian = hessian(log_prob_fn)(ref_params)

    tr = numpyro.handlers.trace(numpyro.handlers.seed(model,
                                                      tr_key)).get_trace(
                                                          data, subsample_size)
    plate_sizes = {"data": (n, subsample_size)}

    proxy_constructor = HMCECS.taylor_proxy({"mean": ref_params})
    proxy_fn, gibbs_init, gibbs_update = proxy_constructor(
        tr, plate_sizes, model, (data, subsample_size), {})

    def taylor_expand_2nd_order(idx, pos):
        return (log_prob[idx] + (log_norm_jac[idx] @ pos) + 0.5 *
                (pos @ log_norm_hessian[idx]) @ pos)

    def taylor_expand_2nd_order_sum(pos):
        return (log_prob.sum() + log_norm_jac.sum(0) @ pos +
                0.5 * pos @ log_norm_hessian.sum(0) @ pos)

    for _ in range(5):
        split_key, perturbe_key, rng_key = random.split(rng_key, 3)
        perturbe_params = ref_params + dist.Normal(0.1, 0.1).sample(
            perturbe_key, ref_params.shape)
        subsample_idx = random.randint(rng_key, (subsample_size, ), 0, n)
        gibbs_site = {"data": subsample_idx}
        proxy_state = gibbs_init(None, gibbs_site)
        actual_proxy_sum, actual_proxy_sub = proxy_fn(
            {"data": perturbe_params}, ["data"], proxy_state)
        assert_allclose(
            actual_proxy_sub["data"],
            taylor_expand_2nd_order(subsample_idx,
                                    perturbe_params - ref_params),
            rtol=1e-5,
        )
        assert_allclose(
            actual_proxy_sum["data"],
            taylor_expand_2nd_order_sum(perturbe_params - ref_params),
            rtol=1e-5,
        )
Exemple #7
0
def test_pickle_hmcecs():
    mcmc = MCMC(HMCECS(NUTS(logistic_regression)), num_warmup=10, num_samples=10)
    mcmc.run(random.PRNGKey(0))
    pickled_mcmc = pickle.loads(pickle.dumps(mcmc))
    test_util.check_close(mcmc.get_samples(), pickled_mcmc.get_samples())