Esempio n. 1
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def test_compare_arma():
    #this is a preliminary test to compare arma_kf, arma_cond_ls and arma_cond_mle
    #the results returned by the fit methods are incomplete
    #for now without random.seed

    #np.random.seed(9876565)
    x = fa.ArmaFft([1, -0.5], [1., 0.4], 40).generate_sample(size=200,
            burnin=1000)

# this used kalman filter through descriptive
#    d = ARMA(x)
#    d.fit((1,1), trend='nc')
#    dres = d.res

    modkf = ARMA(x)
    ##rkf = mkf.fit((1,1))
    ##rkf.params
    reskf = modkf.fit((1,1), trend='nc', disp=-1)
    dres = reskf

    modc = Arma(x)
    resls = modc.fit(order=(1,1))
    rescm = modc.fit_mle(order=(1,1), start_params=[0.4,0.4, 1.], disp=0)

    #decimal 1 corresponds to threshold of 5% difference
    #still different sign  corrcted
    #assert_almost_equal(np.abs(resls[0] / d.params), np.ones(d.params.shape), decimal=1)
    assert_almost_equal(resls[0] / dres.params, np.ones(dres.params.shape),
        decimal=1)
    #rescm also contains variance estimate as last element of params

    #assert_almost_equal(np.abs(rescm.params[:-1] / d.params), np.ones(d.params.shape), decimal=1)
    assert_almost_equal(rescm.params[:-1] / dres.params, np.ones(dres.params.shape), decimal=1)
Esempio n. 2
0
def test_compare_arma():
    #this is a preliminary test to compare arma_kf, arma_cond_ls and arma_cond_mle
    #the results returned by the fit methods are incomplete
    #for now without random.seed

    #np.random.seed(9876565)
    x = fa.ArmaFft([1, -0.5], [1., 0.4], 40).generate_sample(size=200,
                                                             burnin=1000)

    # this used kalman filter through descriptive
    #    d = ARMA(x)
    #    d.fit((1,1), trend='nc')
    #    dres = d.res

    modkf = ARMA(x)
    ##rkf = mkf.fit((1,1))
    ##rkf.params
    reskf = modkf.fit((1, 1), trend='nc', disp=-1)
    dres = reskf

    modc = Arma(x)
    resls = modc.fit(order=(1, 1))
    rescm = modc.fit_mle(order=(1, 1), start_params=[0.4, 0.4, 1.], disp=0)

    #decimal 1 corresponds to threshold of 5% difference
    #still different sign  corrcted
    #assert_almost_equal(np.abs(resls[0] / d.params), np.ones(d.params.shape), decimal=1)
    assert_almost_equal(resls[0] / dres.params,
                        np.ones(dres.params.shape),
                        decimal=1)
    #rescm also contains variance estimate as last element of params

    #assert_almost_equal(np.abs(rescm.params[:-1] / d.params), np.ones(d.params.shape), decimal=1)
    assert_almost_equal(rescm.params[:-1] / dres.params,
                        np.ones(dres.params.shape),
                        decimal=1)