def _calc_mean(self, data=None):
if data is None:
data = self._data
if self._min_cov_det:
lg.details("Use MCD for expectation value estimation")
mcd = MCD(support_fraction=self._mcd_supp_frac).fit(
self._data.transpose())
ydata = mcd.location_
else:
ydata = np.mean(data, axis=1)
return ydata
def _calc_cov(self, data=None):
if data is None:
data = self._data
if self._min_cov_det:
lg.details("Use MCD for covariance estimation")
mcd = MCD(support_fraction=self._mcd_supp_frac).fit(
self._data.transpose())
cov = mcd.covariance_
else:
cov = calc_cov(data)
if not self._sample_data:
cov /= self._nconfs # For fit we have to normalize like an error
return cov
def _calc_cov_and_mean(self, data=None):
if data is None:
data = self._data
if self._min_cov_det:
ind = self._xdata < self.xmax()
mcd = MCD(support_fraction=self._mcd_supp_frac).fit(
self._data.transpose())
ydata = mcd.location_
lg.details("Use MCD for covariance estimation")
cov = mcd.covariance_
else:
ydata = std_mean(self._data, axis=1)
cov = calc_cov(data)
if not self._sample_data:
cov /= self._nconfs # For fit we have to normalize like an error
edata = np.sqrt(np.diag(cov))
return ydata, edata, cov
return corr
if has_sklearn:
from sklearn.covariance import LedoitWolf, OAS, MCD
lw = LedoitWolf(store_precision=False)
lw.fit(rr, assume_centered=False)
cov_lw = lw.covariance_
corr_lw = cov2corr(cov_lw)
oas = OAS(store_precision=False)
oas.fit(rr, assume_centered=False)
cov_oas = oas.covariance_
corr_oas = cov2corr(cov_oas)
mcd = MCD()#.fit(rr, reweight=None)
mcd.fit(rr, assume_centered=False)
cov_mcd = mcd.covariance_
corr_mcd = cov2corr(cov_mcd)
titles = ['raw correlation', 'lw', 'oas', 'mcd']
normcolor = None
fig = plt.figure()
for i, c in enumerate([rrcorr, corr_lw, corr_oas, corr_mcd]):
#for i, c in enumerate([np.cov(rr, rowvar=0), cov_lw, cov_oas, cov_mcd]):
ax = fig.add_subplot(2,2,i+1)
plot_corr(c, xnames=None, title=titles[i],
normcolor=normcolor, ax=ax)
images = [c for ax in fig.axes for c in ax.get_children() if isinstance(c, mpl.image.AxesImage)]
fig. subplots_adjust(bottom=0.1, right=0.9, top=0.9)
if has_sklearn:
from sklearn.covariance import LedoitWolf, OAS, MCD
lw = LedoitWolf(store_precision=False)
lw.fit(rr, assume_centered=False)
cov_lw = lw.covariance_
corr_lw = cov2corr(cov_lw)
oas = OAS(store_precision=False)
oas.fit(rr, assume_centered=False)
cov_oas = oas.covariance_
corr_oas = cov2corr(cov_oas)
mcd = MCD() #.fit(rr, reweight=None)
mcd.fit(rr, assume_centered=False)
cov_mcd = mcd.covariance_
corr_mcd = cov2corr(cov_mcd)
titles = ['raw correlation', 'lw', 'oas', 'mcd']
normcolor = None
fig = plt.figure()
for i, c in enumerate([rrcorr, corr_lw, corr_oas, corr_mcd]):
#for i, c in enumerate([np.cov(rr, rowvar=0), cov_lw, cov_oas, cov_mcd]):
ax = fig.add_subplot(2, 2, i + 1)
plot_corr(c, xnames=None, title=titles[i], normcolor=normcolor, ax=ax)
images = [
c for ax in fig.axes for c in ax.get_children()
if isinstance(c, mpl.image.AxesImage)
def RobustMD_flsification(d_var, d_obs, plt_OrNot, Q_quantile):
'''
This function falsifies the prior using Robust Mahalanobis Distance RMD.
d_var: the data variable, (nXp)
d_obs: the data observation variable, (1xp)
plt_OrNot: True or False, to create the distribution plot of the calculated RMDs.
Q_quantile：the Q_quantile of the RMD distribution, 95 or 97.5 is suggested
example: MD_flsification(d_pri, d_obs, True, 95) will produce the RMD_obs, RMD_pri, RMD_Q95, and plot them.
'''
mcd = MCD(random_state=0).fit(d_var)
new_obs = d_obs - mcd.location_
md_obs = np.sqrt(
new_obs.dot(np.linalg.inv(mcd.covariance_)).dot(new_obs.T))
print('Robust Mahalanobis Distance of d_obs = ',
md_obs[0, 0].round(decimals=3))
md_samples = []
for i in range(len(d_var)):
sample = d_var[i:i + 1, :] - mcd.location_
md_samp = np.sqrt(
sample.dot(np.linalg.inv(mcd.covariance_)).dot(sample.T))[0, 0]
md_samples.append(md_samp)
md_samples = np.asarray(md_samples)
print(str(Q_quantile)+'th Quantile of Robust Mahalanobis Distance is', \
stats.scoreatpercentile(md_samples, Q_quantile).round(decimals=3))
if plt_OrNot == True:
plt.figure(figsize=(6, 5))
plt.scatter(np.arange(1, (len(d_var) + 1)),
md_samples,
c=abs(md_samples),
cmap='winter_r',
s=50,
vmax=md_samples.max(),
vmin=md_samples.min(),
linewidths=1,
edgecolor='k')
plt.scatter([0],
md_obs,
c=md_obs,
cmap='winter_r',
marker='D',
s=110,
vmax=md_samples.max(),
vmin=md_samples.min(),
linewidths=3,
edgecolor='red')
plt.ylabel('Robust Mahalanobis dist', fontsize=12)
plt.xlabel('realization No.', fontsize=12)
plt.xlim(-8, 259)
plt.hlines(y=stats.scoreatpercentile(md_samples, Q_quantile),
xmin=-10,
xmax=259,
colors='red',
linewidths=2,
linestyles='--')
cbar = plt.colorbar(fraction=0.035)
cbar.ax.set_ylabel('RMD')
plt.title(
'Prior falsification using Robust Mahalanobis Distance outlier dectection',
fontsize=18,
loc='left',
style='italic')
return md_obs[0, 0].round(decimals=3), stats.scoreatpercentile(
md_samples, Q_quantile).round(decimals=3)
n_samples = 125 n_outliers = 25 n_features = 2 # generate data gen_cov = np.eye(n_features) gen_cov[0, 0] = 2. X = np.dot(np.random.randn(n_samples, n_features), gen_cov) # add some outliers outliers_cov = np.eye(n_features) outliers_cov[np.arange(1, n_features), np.arange(1, n_features)] = 7. X[-n_outliers:] = np.dot(np.random.randn(n_outliers, n_features), outliers_cov) # fit a Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) robust estimator to data robust_cov = MCD().fit(X, reweight=None) # compare estimators learnt from the full data set with true parameters emp_cov = EmpiricalCovariance().fit(X) # Display results fig = pl.figure() # variables and parameters for cosmetic offset_left = fig.subplotpars.left offset_bottom = fig.subplotpars.bottom width = fig.subplotpars.right - offset_left subfig1 = pl.subplot(3, 1, 1) subfig2 = pl.subplot(3, 1, 2) subfig3 = pl.subplot(3, 1, 3)
# computation
for i, n_outliers in enumerate(range_n_outliers):
for j in range(repeat):
# generate data
X = np.random.randn(n_samples, n_features)
# add some outliers
outliers_index = np.random.permutation(n_samples)[:n_outliers]
outliers_offset = 10. * \
(np.random.randint(2, size=(n_outliers, n_features)) - 0.5)
X[outliers_index] += outliers_offset
inliers_mask = np.ones(n_samples).astype(bool)
inliers_mask[outliers_index] = False
# fit a Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) robust estimator to data
S = MCD().fit(X, reweight=None)
# compare robust estimates with the true location and covariance
err_loc_mcd[i, j] = np.sum(S.location_ ** 2)
err_cov_mcd[i, j] = S.error_norm(np.eye(n_features))
# fit a reweighted MCD robust estimator to data
S = MCD().fit(X)
# compare robust estimates with the true location and covariance
err_loc_mcd_reweighted[i, j] = np.sum(S.location_ ** 2)
err_cov_mcd_reweighted[i, j] = S.error_norm(np.eye(n_features))
# compare estimators learnt from the full data set with true parameters
err_loc_emp_full[i, j] = np.sum(X.mean(0) ** 2)
err_cov_emp_full[i, j] = EmpiricalCovariance().fit(X).error_norm(
np.eye(n_features))
# compare with an empirical covariance learnt from a pure data set
# (i.e. "perfect" MCD)
pure_X = X[inliers_mask]
