Esempio n. 1
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    def test_simu_hawkes_multi_time_func(self):
        """...Test that hawkes multi works correctly with HawkesKernelTimeFunc
        """
        run_time = 100

        t_values1 = np.array([0, 1, 1.5], dtype=float)
        y_values1 = np.array([0, .2, 0], dtype=float)
        tf1 = TimeFunction([t_values1, y_values1],
                           inter_mode=TimeFunction.InterConstRight, dt=0.1)
        kernel1 = HawkesKernelTimeFunc(tf1)

        t_values2 = np.array([0, 2, 2.5], dtype=float)
        y_values2 = np.array([0, .6, 0], dtype=float)
        tf2 = TimeFunction([t_values2, y_values2],
                           inter_mode=TimeFunction.InterConstRight, dt=0.1)
        kernel2 = HawkesKernelTimeFunc(tf2)

        baseline = np.array([0.1, 0.3])

        hawkes = SimuHawkes(baseline=baseline, end_time=run_time,
                            verbose=False, seed=2334)

        hawkes.set_kernel(0, 0, kernel1)
        hawkes.set_kernel(0, 1, kernel1)
        hawkes.set_kernel(1, 0, kernel2)
        hawkes.set_kernel(1, 1, kernel2)

        hawkes_multi = SimuHawkesMulti(hawkes, n_simulations=5, n_threads=4)
        hawkes_multi.simulate()
Esempio n. 2
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    def test_hawkes_set_kernel(self):
        """...Test Hawkes process kernels can be set after initialization
        """
        hawkes = SimuHawkes(n_nodes=2)

        for i, j in product(range(2), range(2)):
            hawkes.set_kernel(i, j, self.kernels[i, j])

        for i, j in product(range(2), range(2)):
            self.assertEqual(hawkes.kernels[i, j], self.kernels[i, j])

        hawkes.set_kernel(1, 1, self.time_func_kernel)
        self.assertEqual(hawkes.kernels[1, 1], self.time_func_kernel)
Esempio n. 3
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    def test_hawkes_negative_intensity_fail(self):
        """...Test simulation with negative kernel without threshold_negative_intensity
        """
        run_time = 40

        hawkes = SimuHawkes(n_nodes=1,
                            end_time=run_time,
                            verbose=False,
                            seed=1398)
        kernel = HawkesKernelExp(-1.3, .8)
        hawkes.set_kernel(0, 0, kernel)
        hawkes.set_baseline(0, 0.3)

        msg = 'Simulation stopped because intensity went negative ' \
              '\(you could call ``threshold_negative_intensity`` to allow it\)'
        with self.assertRaisesRegex(RuntimeError, msg):
            hawkes.simulate()
Esempio n. 4
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    def test_simu_hawkes_no_seed(self):
        """...Test hawkes multi can be simulated even if no seed is given
        """
        T1 = np.array([0, 2, 2.5], dtype=float)
        Y1 = np.array([0, .6, 0], dtype=float)
        tf = TimeFunction([T1, Y1], inter_mode=TimeFunction.InterConstRight,
                          dt=0.1)
        kernel = HawkesKernelTimeFunc(tf)
        hawkes = SimuHawkes(baseline=[.1], end_time=100, verbose=False)
        hawkes.set_kernel(0, 0, kernel)
        multi_hawkes_1 = SimuHawkesMulti(hawkes, n_simulations=5)
        multi_hawkes_1.simulate()

        multi_hawkes_2 = SimuHawkesMulti(hawkes, n_simulations=5)
        multi_hawkes_2.simulate()

        # If no seed are given, realizations must be different
        self.assertNotEqual(multi_hawkes_1.timestamps[0][0][0],
                            multi_hawkes_2.timestamps[0][0][0])
Esempio n. 5
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    def test_hawkes_negative_intensity(self):
        """...Test simulation with negative kernel
        """
        run_time = 40

        hawkes = SimuHawkes(n_nodes=1,
                            end_time=run_time,
                            verbose=False,
                            seed=1398)
        kernel = HawkesKernelExp(-1.3, .8)
        hawkes.set_kernel(0, 0, kernel)
        hawkes.set_baseline(0, 0.3)
        hawkes.threshold_negative_intensity()

        dt = 0.1
        hawkes.track_intensity(dt)
        hawkes.simulate()

        self.assertAlmostEqual(hawkes.tracked_intensity[0].min(), 0)
        self.assertAlmostEqual(hawkes.tracked_intensity[0].max(),
                               hawkes.baseline[0])
        self.assertGreater(hawkes.n_total_jumps, 1)
Esempio n. 6
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                   inter_mode=TimeFunction.InterConstRight,
                   dt=0.1)
kernel1 = HawkesKernelTimeFunc(tf1)

t_values2 = np.linspace(0, 4, 20)
y_values2 = np.maximum(0., np.sin(t_values2) / 4)
tf2 = TimeFunction([t_values2, y_values2])
kernel2 = HawkesKernelTimeFunc(tf2)

baseline = np.array([0.1, 0.3])

hawkes = SimuHawkes(baseline=baseline,
                    end_time=run_time,
                    verbose=False,
                    seed=2334)

hawkes.set_kernel(0, 0, kernel1)
hawkes.set_kernel(0, 1, HawkesKernelExp(.5, .7))
hawkes.set_kernel(1, 1, kernel2)

hawkes.simulate()

em = HawkesEM(4, kernel_size=16, n_threads=8, verbose=False, tol=1e-3)
em.fit(hawkes.timestamps)

fig = plot_hawkes_kernels(em, hawkes=hawkes, show=False)

for ax in fig.axes:
    ax.set_ylim([0, 1])
plt.show()
Esempio n. 7
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def g2(t):
    return np.cos(np.pi * (t / 10 + 1)) + 1.1


t_values = np.linspace(0, 20, 1000)
u_values = [(0.007061, 0.001711), (0.005445, 0.003645), (0.003645, 0.005445),
            (0.001790, 0.007390)]

hawkes = SimuHawkes(baseline=[1e-5, 1e-5], seed=1093, verbose=False)
for i, j in itertools.product(range(2), repeat=2):
    u1, u2 = u_values[2 * i + j]
    y_values = g1(t_values) * u1 + g2(t_values) * u2
    kernel = HawkesKernelTimeFunc(t_values=t_values, y_values=y_values)
    hawkes.set_kernel(i, j, kernel)

hawkes.end_time = end_time
hawkes.simulate()
ticks = hawkes.timestamps

# And then perform estimation with two basis kernels
kernel_support = 20
n_basis = 2

em = HawkesBasisKernels(kernel_support,
                        n_basis=n_basis,
                        kernel_size=kernel_size,
                        C=C,
                        n_threads=4,
                        max_iter=max_iter,
Esempio n. 8
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"""
1 dimensional Hawkes process simulation
=======================================
"""

from tick.plot import plot_point_process
from tick.simulation import SimuHawkes, HawkesKernelSumExp
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

run_time = 40

hawkes = SimuHawkes(n_nodes=1, end_time=run_time, verbose=False, seed=1398)
kernel = HawkesKernelSumExp([.1, .2, .1], [1., 3., 7.])
hawkes.set_kernel(0, 0, kernel)
hawkes.set_baseline(0, 1.)

dt = 0.01
hawkes.track_intensity(dt)
hawkes.simulate()
timestamps = hawkes.timestamps
intensity = hawkes.tracked_intensity
intensity_times = hawkes.intensity_tracked_times

_, ax = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(16, 4))
plot_point_process(hawkes, n_points=50000, t_min=2, max_jumps=10, ax=ax[0])
plot_point_process(hawkes, n_points=50000, t_min=2, t_max=20, ax=ax[1])

plt.show()