def _testKernelMaxEI(self):
# test different methods of optimizing kernel
S5 = Shekel5()
hv = 0.1
testkernels = [GaussianKernel_iso([hv]),
GaussianKernel_ard([hv, hv, hv, hv]),
MaternKernel3([hv, 1.0])]
# MaternKernel5([hv, 1.0])]
for kernel in testkernels:
# print
# print kernel.__class__
# train GPs
X = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 10, seed=0)
Y = [S5.f(x) for x in X]
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel, X, Y)
eif = EI(GP)
dopt, doptx = direct(eif.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt, coptx = cdirect(eif.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt, moptx = maximizeEI(GP, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
# print dopt, doptx
# print copt, coptx
# print mopt, moptx
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt, copt, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt, mopt, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt, mopt, 4)
self.failUnless(sum(abs(doptx-coptx)) < .01)
self.failUnless(sum(abs(moptx-coptx)) < .01)
self.failUnless(sum(abs(moptx-doptx)) < .01)
# train GP w/prior
pX = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 100, seed=101)
pY = [S5.f(x) for x in pX]
prior = RBFNMeanPrior()
prior.train(pX, pY, bounds=S5.bounds, k=10, seed=102)
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel, X, Y, prior=prior)
eif = EI(GP)
pdopt, pdoptx = direct(eif.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
pcopt, pcoptx = cdirect(eif.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
pmopt, pmoptx = maximizeEI(GP, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(pdopt, dopt, 3)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(pdopt, pcopt, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-pdopt, pmopt, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-pcopt, pmopt, 4)
self.failUnless(sum(abs(pdoptx-pcoptx)) < .01)
self.failUnless(sum(abs(pmoptx-pcoptx)) < .01)
self.failUnless(sum(abs(pmoptx-pdoptx)) < .01)
def testNoise(self):
tf = Branin()
X = lhcSample(tf.bounds, 10, seed=0)
Y = [tf.f(x) for x in X]
GP1 = GaussianProcess(MaternKernel3([1.0, 1.0]), X, Y, noise=1e-4)
self.failUnlessEqual(GP1.noise, 1e-4)
eif1 = EI(GP1)
dopt1, _ = direct(eif1.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt1, _ = cdirect(eif1.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt1, _ = maximizeEI(GP1, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt1, copt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt1, mopt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt1, mopt1, 4)
GP2 = GaussianProcess(MaternKernel3([1.0, 1.0]), X, Y, noise=0.01)
self.failUnlessEqual(GP2.noise, 0.01)
eif2 = EI(GP2)
dopt2, _ = direct(eif2.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt2, _ = cdirect(eif2.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt2, _ = maximizeEI(GP2, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt2, copt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt2, 4)
GP3 = GaussianProcess(MaternKernel3([1.0, 1.0]), X, Y, noise=0.1)
self.failUnlessEqual(GP3.noise, 0.1)
eif3 = EI(GP3)
dopt3, _ = direct(eif3.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt3, _ = cdirect(eif3.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt3, _ = maximizeEI(GP3, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt3, copt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt2, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt2, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt2, mopt3, 4)
def testNoise(self):
tf = Branin()
X = lhcSample(tf.bounds, 10, seed=0)
Y = [tf.f(x) for x in X]
GP1 = GaussianProcess(MaternKernel3([1.0, 1.0]), X, Y, noise=1e-4)
self.failUnlessEqual(GP1.noise, 1e-4)
eif1 = EI(GP1)
dopt1, _ = direct(eif1.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt1, _ = cdirect(eif1.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt1, _ = maximizeEI(GP1, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt1, copt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt1, mopt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt1, mopt1, 4)
GP2 = GaussianProcess(MaternKernel3([1.0, 1.0]), X, Y, noise=0.01)
self.failUnlessEqual(GP2.noise, 0.01)
eif2 = EI(GP2)
dopt2, _ = direct(eif2.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt2, _ = cdirect(eif2.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt2, _ = maximizeEI(GP2, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt2, copt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt2, 4)
GP3 = GaussianProcess(MaternKernel3([1.0, 1.0]), X, Y, noise=0.1)
self.failUnlessEqual(GP3.noise, 0.1)
eif3 = EI(GP3)
dopt3, _ = direct(eif3.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt3, _ = cdirect(eif3.negf, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt3, _ = maximizeEI(GP3, tf.bounds, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt3, copt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt2, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt2, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt2, mopt3, 4)
def testXi(self):
S5 = Shekel5()
GP1 = GaussianProcess(GaussianKernel_iso([.2]))
# self.failUnlessEqual(GP1.xi, 0.0)
X = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 10, seed=0)
Y = [S5.f(x) for x in X]
GP1.addData(X, Y)
eif1 = EI(GP1, xi=0.0)
dopt1, _ = direct(eif1.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt1, _ = cdirect(eif1.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt1, _ = maximizeEI(GP1, S5.bounds, xi=0.0, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt1, copt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt1, mopt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt1, mopt1, 4)
GP2 = GaussianProcess(GaussianKernel_iso([.3]), X, Y)
eif2 = EI(GP2, xi=0.01)
self.failUnlessEqual(eif2.xi, 0.01)
dopt2, _ = direct(eif2.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt2, _ = cdirect(eif2.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt2, _ = maximizeEI(GP2, S5.bounds, xi=0.01, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt2, copt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt2, 4)
GP3 = GaussianProcess(GaussianKernel_iso([.3]), X, Y)
eif3 = EI(GP3, xi=0.1)
dopt3, _ = direct(eif3.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt3, _ = cdirect(eif3.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt3, _ = maximizeEI(GP3, S5.bounds, xi=0.1, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt3, copt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt2, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt2, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt2, mopt3, 4)
def testXi(self):
S5 = Shekel5()
GP1 = GaussianProcess(GaussianKernel_iso([.2]))
# self.failUnlessEqual(GP1.xi, 0.0)
X = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 10, seed=0)
Y = [S5.f(x) for x in X]
GP1.addData(X, Y)
eif1 = EI(GP1, xi=0.0)
dopt1, _ = direct(eif1.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt1, _ = cdirect(eif1.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt1, _ = maximizeEI(GP1, S5.bounds, xi=0.0, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt1, copt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt1, mopt1, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt1, mopt1, 4)
GP2 = GaussianProcess(GaussianKernel_iso([.3]), X, Y)
eif2 = EI(GP2, xi=0.01)
self.failUnlessEqual(eif2.xi, 0.01)
dopt2, _ = direct(eif2.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt2, _ = cdirect(eif2.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt2, _ = maximizeEI(GP2, S5.bounds, xi=0.01, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt2, copt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt2, mopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt2, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt2, 4)
GP3 = GaussianProcess(GaussianKernel_iso([.3]), X, Y)
eif3 = EI(GP3, xi=0.1)
dopt3, _ = direct(eif3.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
copt3, _ = cdirect(eif3.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=10)
mopt3, _ = maximizeEI(GP3, S5.bounds, xi=0.1, maxiter=10)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(dopt3, copt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-dopt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt3, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt1, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt1, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt1, mopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(dopt2, dopt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(copt2, copt3, 4)
self.failIfAlmostEqual(mopt2, mopt3, 4)
def testPriorAndPrefs(self):
S5 = Shekel5()
pX = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 100, seed=13)
pY = [S5.f(x) for x in pX]
prior = RBFNMeanPrior()
prior.train(pX, pY, S5.bounds, k=10)
hv = .1
hyper = [hv, hv, hv, hv]
gkernel = GaussianKernel_ard(hyper)
GP = PrefGaussianProcess(gkernel, prior=prior)
X = [array([i + .5] * 4) for i in range(5)]
valX = [x.copy() for x in X]
prefs = []
for i in range(len(X)):
for j in range(i):
if S5.f(X[i]) > S5.f(X[j]):
prefs.append((X[i], X[j], 0))
else:
prefs.append((X[j], X[i], 0))
GP.addPreferences(prefs)
opt, optx = maximizeEI(GP, S5.bounds)
def test2DpyEI(self):
f = lambda x: sum(sin(x))
bounds = [[0., 5.], [0., 5.]]
X = lhcSample(bounds, 5, seed=24)
Y = [f(x) for x in X]
kernel = GaussianKernel_ard(array([1.0, 1.0]))
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel, X, Y)
maxei = maximizeEI(GP, bounds)
if False:
figure(1)
c0 = [(i / 50.) * (bounds[0][1] - bounds[0][0]) + bounds[0][0]
for i in range(51)]
c1 = [(i / 50.) * (bounds[1][1] - bounds[1][0]) + bounds[1][0]
for i in range(51)]
z = array([[GP.ei(array([i, j])) for i in c0] for j in c1])
ax = plt.subplot(111)
cs = ax.contour(c0, c1, z, 10, alpha=0.5, cmap=cm.Blues_r)
plot([x[0] for x in X], [x[1] for x in X], 'ro')
for i in range(len(X)):
annotate('%2f' % Y[i], X[i])
plot(maxei[1][0], maxei[1][1], 'ko')
show()
def testPriorAndPrefs(self):
S5 = Shekel5()
pX = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 100, seed=13)
pY = [S5.f(x) for x in pX]
prior = RBFNMeanPrior()
prior.train(pX, pY, S5.bounds, k=10)
hv = .1
hyper = [hv, hv, hv, hv]
gkernel = GaussianKernel_ard(hyper)
GP = PrefGaussianProcess(gkernel, prior=prior)
X = [array([i+.5]*4) for i in xrange(5)]
valX = [x.copy() for x in X]
prefs = []
for i in xrange(len(X)):
for j in xrange(i):
if S5.f(X[i]) > S5.f(X[j]):
prefs.append((X[i], X[j], 0))
else:
prefs.append((X[j], X[i], 0))
GP.addPreferences(prefs)
opt, optx = maximizeEI(GP, S5.bounds)
def test2DpyEI(self):
f = lambda x: sum(sin(x))
bounds = [[0., 5.], [0., 5.]]
X = lhcSample(bounds, 5, seed=24)
Y = [f(x) for x in X]
kernel = GaussianKernel_ard(array([1.0, 1.0]))
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel, X, Y)
maxei = maximizeEI(GP, bounds)
if False:
figure(1)
c0 = [(i/50.)*(bounds[0][1]-bounds[0][0])+bounds[0][0] for i in xrange(51)]
c1 = [(i/50.)*(bounds[1][1]-bounds[1][0])+bounds[1][0] for i in xrange(51)]
z = array([[GP.ei(array([i, j])) for i in c0] for j in c1])
ax = plt.subplot(111)
cs = ax.contour(c0, c1, z, 10, alpha=0.5, cmap=cm.Blues_r)
plot([x[0] for x in X], [x[1] for x in X], 'ro')
for i in xrange(len(X)):
annotate('%2f'%Y[i], X[i])
plot(maxei[1][0], maxei[1][1], 'ko')
show()
def maximizeEI_wrap(gp, bounds_ptr, max_x_ptr, x_size):
bounds = [[bounds_ptr[2*i], bounds_ptr[2*i+1]] for i in xrange(x_size)]
#print bounds
_, max_x = maximizeEI(gp, bounds)
assert(len(max_x) == x_size)
#print max_x
for i in xrange(x_size):
max_x_ptr[i] = max_x[i]
x_size = c_size_t(len(max_x))
return 0
def testMaxEIPrior(self):
# make sure that the prior works with the different methods of EI
# maximization
S5 = Shekel5()
pX = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 100, seed=511)
pY = [S5.f(x) for x in pX]
prior = RBFNMeanPrior()
prior.train(pX, pY, bounds=S5.bounds, k=10, seed=504)
hv = .1
hyper = [hv, hv, hv, hv]
kernel = GaussianKernel_ard(hyper)
# train GPs
X = lhcSample(S5.bounds, 10, seed=512)
Y = [S5.f(x) for x in X]
# validation
valX = list(x.copy() for x in X)
valY = copy(Y)
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel, X, Y, prior=prior)
eif = EI(GP)
copt, _ = cdirect(eif.negf, S5.bounds, maxiter=20)
mopt, _ = maximizeEI(GP, S5.bounds, maxiter=20)
self.failUnlessAlmostEqual(-copt, mopt, 2)
for i in xrange(len(GP.X)):
self.failUnless(all(valX[i]==GP.X[i]))
self.failUnless(valY[i]==GP.Y[i])
GP.prior.mu(GP.X[0])
self.failUnless(all(valX[0]==GP.X[0]))
# print GP.X
for i in xrange(len(GP.X)):
self.failUnless(all(valX[i]==GP.X[i]))
self.failUnless(valY[i]==GP.Y[i])
GP.prior.mu(GP.X[0])
self.failUnless(all(valX[0]==GP.X[0]))
def test1DcEI(self):
f = lambda x: float(sin(x*5.))
X = lhcSample([[0., 1.]], 5, seed=22)
Y = [f(x) for x in X]
kernel = GaussianKernel_ard(array([1.0]))
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel)
GP.addData(X, Y)
# should use optimizeGP.cpp
maxei = maximizeEI(GP, [[0., 1.]])
if False:
figure(1)
plot(X, Y, 'ro')
plot([x/100 for x in xrange(100)], [GP.ei(x/100) for x in xrange(100)])
plot(maxei[1][0], maxei[0], 'ko')
show()
def demoObservations():
"""
Simple demo for a scenario where we have direct observations (ie ratings
or responses) with noise. The model has three parameters, but after
initial training, we fix one to be 1.0 and optimize the other two. At
each step, we visualize the posterior mean, variance and expected
improvement. We then find the point of maximum expected improvement and
ask the user for the scalar response value.
To see how the model adapts to inputs, try rating the first few values
higher or lower than predicted and see what happens to the visualizations.
"""
# the kernel parameters control the impact of different values on the
# parameters. we are defining a model with three parameters
kernel = GaussianKernel_ard(array([.5, .5, .3]))
# we want to allow some noise in the observations -- the noise parameter
# is the variance of the additive Gaussian noise Y + N(0, noise)
noise = 0.1
# create the Gaussian Process using the kernel we've just defined
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel, noise=noise)
# add some data to the model. the data must have the same dimensionality
# as the kernel
X = [
array([1, 1.5, 0.9]),
array([.8, -.2, -0.1]),
array([2, .8, -.2]),
array([0, 0, .5])
]
Y = [1, .7, .6, -.1]
print 'adding data to model'
for x, y in zip(X, Y):
print '\tx = %s, y = %.1f' % (x, y)
GP.addData(X, Y)
# the GP.posterior(x) function returns, for x, the posterior distribution
# at x, characterized as a normal distribution with mean mu, variance
# sigma^2
testX = [array([1, 1.45, 1.0]), array([-10, .5, -10])]
for tx in testX:
mu, sig2 = GP.posterior(tx)
print 'the posterior of %s is a normal distribution N(%.3f, %.3f)' % (
tx, mu, sig2)
# now, let's find the best points to evaluate next. we fix the first
# dimension to be 1 and for the others, we search the range [-2, 2]
bound = [[1, 1], [-1.99, 1.98], [-1.99, 1.98]]
figure(1, figsize=(5, 10))
while True:
_, optx = maximizeEI(GP, bound, xi=.1)
# visualize the mean, variance and expected improvement functions on
# the free parameters
x1 = arange(bound[1][0], bound[1][1], 0.1)
x2 = arange(bound[2][0], bound[2][1], 0.1)
X1, X2 = meshgrid(x1, x2)
ei = zeros_like(X1)
m = zeros_like(X1)
v = zeros_like(X1)
for i in xrange(X1.shape[0]):
for j in xrange(X1.shape[1]):
z = array([1.0, X1[i, j], X2[i, j]])
ei[i, j] = -EI(GP).negf(z)
m[i, j], v[i, j] = GP.posterior(z)
clf()
for i, (func, title) in enumerate(
([m, 'prediction (posterior mean)'
], [v, 'uncertainty (posterior variance)'],
[ei, 'utility (expected improvement)'])):
ax = subplot(3, 1, i + 1)
cs = ax.contourf(X1, X2, func, 20)
ax.plot(optx[1], optx[2], 'wo')
colorbar(cs)
ax.set_title(title)
ax.set_xlabel('x[1]')
ax.set_ylabel('x[2]')
ax.set_xticks([-2, 0, 2])
ax.set_yticks([-2, 0, 2])
show()
m, v = GP.posterior(optx)
try:
response = input(
'\nmaximum expected improvement is at parameters x = [%.3f, %.3f, %.3f], where mean is %.3f, variance is %.3f. \nwhat is the value there (non-numeric to quit)? '
% (optx[0], optx[1], optx[2], m, v))
except:
break
GP.addData(optx, response)
print 'updating model.'
def fastUCBGallery(GP, bounds, N, useBest=True, samples=300, useCDIRECT=True, xi=0, passback={}):
"""
Use UCB to generate a gallery of N instances using Monte Carlo to
approximate the optimization of the utility function.
"""
gallery = []
if len(GP.X) > 0:
if useBest:
# find best sample already seen, that lies within the bounds
bestY = -inf
bestX = None
for x, y in zip(GP.X, GP.Y):
if y > bestY:
for v, b in zip(x, bounds):
if v < b[0] or v > b[1]:
break
else:
bestY = y
bestX = x
if bestX is not None:
gallery.append(bestX)
# create a "fake" GP from the GP that was passed in (can't just copy
# b/c original could have been PrefGP)
hallucGP = GaussianProcess(deepcopy(GP.kernel), deepcopy(GP.X), deepcopy(GP.Y), prior=GP.prior)
elif GP.prior is None:
# if we have no data and no prior, start in the center
x = array([(b[0]+b[1])/2. for b in bounds])
gallery.append(x)
hallucGP = GaussianProcess(deepcopy(GP.kernel), [x], [0.0], prior=GP.prior)
else:
# optimize from prior
if DEBUG: print 'GET DATA FROM PRIOR'
bestmu = -inf
bestX = None
for m in GP.prior.means:
argmin = fmin_bfgs(GP.negmu, m, disp=False)
if DEBUG: print argmin,
for i in xrange(len(argmin)):
argmin[i] = clip(argmin[i], bounds[i][0], bounds[i][1])
# if DEBUG: print 'converted to', argmin
if GP.mu(argmin) > bestmu:
bestX = argmin
bestmu = GP.mu(argmin)
if DEBUG: print '***** bestmu =', bestmu
if DEBUG: print '***** bestX =', bestX
gallery.append(bestX)
hallucGP = GaussianProcess(deepcopy(GP.kernel), bestX, bestmu, prior=GP.prior)
while len(gallery) < N:
if DEBUG: print '\n\n\thave %d data for gallery' % len(gallery)
bestUCB = -inf
bestX = None
# ut = UCB(hallucGP, len(bounds), N)
ut = EI(hallucGP, xi=xi)
if DEBUG: print '\tget with max EI'
opt, optx = maximizeEI(hallucGP, bounds, xi=xi, useCDIRECT=useCDIRECT)
#if len(gallery)==0 or min(norm(optx-gx) for gx in gallery) > .5:
# if DEBUG: print '\tgot one'
bestUCB = opt
bestX = optx
#else:
# if DEBUG: print '\ttoo close to existing'
'''
# try some random samples
if DEBUG: print '\ttry random samples'
for x in lhcSample(bounds, samples):
u = -ut.negf(x)
if u > bestUCB and min(norm(x-gx) for gx in gallery) > .5:
'\they, this one is even better!'
bestUCB = u
bestX = x
passback['found_random'] = 1
# now try the prior means
if hallucGP.prior is not None:
if DEBUG: print '\ttry prior means (bestUCB = %f)'%bestUCB
for x in hallucGP.prior.means:
x = array([clip(x[i], bounds[i][0], bounds[i][1]) for i in xrange(len(x))])
x = x * hallucGP.prior.width + hallucGP.prior.lowerb
u = -ut.negf(x)
# if DEBUG: print 'u = %f', u
if u > bestUCB:
if len(gallery)==0 or min(norm(x-gx) for gx in gallery) > .5:
if DEBUG: print '\tthis one is even better! prior mean %s has u = %f' % (x, u)
bestUCB = u
bestX = x
passback['found_prior'] = 1
'''
gallery.append(bestX)
if len(gallery) < N-1:
hallucGP.addData(bestX, hallucGP.mu(bestX))
# these can be optionally passed back if the caller passes in its own dict
passback['hallucGP'] = hallucGP
passback['utility'] = ut
return gallery
def demoObservations():
"""
Simple demo for a scenario where we have direct observations (ie ratings
or responses) with noise. The model has three parameters, but after
initial training, we fix one to be 1.0 and optimize the other two. At
each step, we visualize the posterior mean, variance and expected
improvement. We then find the point of maximum expected improvement and
ask the user for the scalar response value.
To see how the model adapts to inputs, try rating the first few values
higher or lower than predicted and see what happens to the visualizations.
"""
# the kernel parameters control the impact of different values on the
# parameters. we are defining a model with three parameters
kernel = GaussianKernel_ard(array([.5, .5, .3]))
# we want to allow some noise in the observations -- the noise parameter
# is the variance of the additive Gaussian noise Y + N(0, noise)
noise = 0.1
# create the Gaussian Process using the kernel we've just defined
GP = GaussianProcess(kernel, noise=noise)
# add some data to the model. the data must have the same dimensionality
# as the kernel
X = [array([1, 1.5, 0.9]),
array([.8, -.2, -0.1]),
array([2, .8, -.2]),
array([0, 0, .5])]
Y = [1, .7, .6, -.1]
print 'adding data to model'
for x, y in zip(X, Y):
print '\tx = %s, y = %.1f' % (x, y)
GP.addData(X, Y)
# the GP.posterior(x) function returns, for x, the posterior distribution
# at x, characterized as a normal distribution with mean mu, variance
# sigma^2
testX = [array([1, 1.45, 1.0]),
array([-10, .5, -10])]
for tx in testX:
mu, sig2 = GP.posterior(tx)
print 'the posterior of %s is a normal distribution N(%.3f, %.3f)' % (tx, mu, sig2)
# now, let's find the best points to evaluate next. we fix the first
# dimension to be 1 and for the others, we search the range [-2, 2]
bound = [[1, 1], [-1.99, 1.98], [-1.99, 1.98]]
figure(1, figsize=(5, 10))
while True:
_, optx = maximizeEI(GP, bound, xi=.1, useCDIRECT=False)
print "X"
# visualize the mean, variance and expected improvement functions on
# the free parameters
x1 = arange(bound[1][0], bound[1][1], 0.1)
x2 = arange(bound[2][0], bound[2][1], 0.1)
X1, X2 = meshgrid(x1, x2)
ei = zeros_like(X1)
m = zeros_like(X1)
v = zeros_like(X1)
for i in xrange(X1.shape[0]):
for j in xrange(X1.shape[1]):
z = array([1.0, X1[i,j], X2[i,j]])
ei[i,j] = -EI(GP).negf(z)
m[i,j], v[i,j] = GP.posterior(z)
clf()
for i, (func, title) in enumerate(([m, 'prediction (posterior mean)'], [v, 'uncertainty (posterior variance)'], [ei, 'utility (expected improvement)'])):
ax = subplot(3, 1, i+1)
cs = ax.contourf(X1, X2, func, 20)
ax.plot(optx[1], optx[2], 'wo')
colorbar(cs)
ax.set_title(title)
ax.set_xlabel('x[1]')
ax.set_ylabel('x[2]')
ax.set_xticks([-2,0,2])
ax.set_yticks([-2,0,2])
m, v = GP.posterior(optx)
try:
response = input('\nmaximum expected improvement is at parameters x = [%.3f, %.3f, %.3f], where mean is %.3f, variance is %.3f. \nwhat is the value there (non-numeric to quit)? ' % (optx[0], optx[1], optx[2], m, v))
except:
break
GP.addData(optx, response)
print 'updating model.'
def fastUCBGallery(GP, bounds, N, useBest=True, samples=300, useCDIRECT=True):
"""
Use UCB to generate a gallery of N instances using Monte Carlo to
approximate the optimization of the utility function.
"""
gallery = []
if len(GP.X) > 0:
if useBest:
# find best sample already seen, that lies within the bounds
bestY = -inf
bestX = None
for x, y in zip(GP.X, GP.Y):
if y > bestY:
for v, b in zip(x, bounds):
if v < b[0] or v > b[1]:
break
else:
bestY = y
bestX = x
if bestX is not None:
gallery.append(bestX)
# create a "fake" GP from the GP that was passed in (can't just copy
# b/c original could have been PrefGP)
hallucGP = GaussianProcess(deepcopy(GP.kernel),
deepcopy(GP.X),
deepcopy(GP.Y),
prior=GP.prior)
elif GP.prior is None:
# if we have no data and no prior, start in the center
x = array([(b[0] + b[1]) / 2. for b in bounds])
gallery.append(x)
hallucGP = GaussianProcess(deepcopy(GP.kernel), [x], [0.0],
prior=GP.prior)
else:
# optimize from prior
bestmu = -inf
bestX = None
for m in GP.prior.means:
argmin = fmin_bfgs(GP.negmu, m, disp=False)
if GP.mu(argmin) > bestmu:
bestX = argmin
bestmu = GP.mu(argmin)
gallery.append(bestX)
hallucGP = GaussianProcess(deepcopy(GP.kernel),
bestX,
bestmu,
prior=GP.prior)
while len(gallery) < N:
bestUCB = -inf
bestX = None
# ut = UCB(hallucGP, len(bounds), N)
ut = EI(hallucGP, xi=.4)
opt, optx = maximizeEI(hallucGP, bounds, xi=.3, useCDIRECT=useCDIRECT)
if len(gallery) == 0 or min(norm(optx - gx) for gx in gallery) > .5:
bestUCB = opt
bestX = optx
# try some random samples
for x in lhcSample(bounds, samples):
u = -ut.negf(x)
if u > bestUCB and min(norm(x - gx) for gx in gallery) > .5:
'\they, this one is even better!'
bestUCB = u
bestX = x
# now try the prior means
if hallucGP.prior is not None:
for x in hallucGP.prior.means:
x = array([
clip(x[i], bounds[i][0], bounds[i][1])
for i in xrange(len(x))
])
x = x * hallucGP.prior.width + hallucGP.prior.lowerb
u = -ut.negf(x)
if u > bestUCB:
if len(gallery) == 0 or min(
norm(x - gx) for gx in gallery) > .5:
bestUCB = u
bestX = x
gallery.append(bestX)
hallucGP.addData(bestX, hallucGP.mu(bestX))
return gallery