예제 #1
0
def makeGrowthplot(PermGroFac, DiscFac):
    # cycles=0 tells the solver to find the infinite horizon solution
    baseAgent_Inf = IndShockConsumerType(verbose=0, cycles=0, **base_params)
    baseAgent_Inf.PermGroFac = [PermGroFac]
    baseAgent_Inf.DiscFac = DiscFac
    baseAgent_Inf.updateIncomeProcess()
    baseAgent_Inf.checkConditions()
    baseAgent_Inf.solve()
    baseAgent_Inf.unpack('cFunc')
    if (baseAgent_Inf.GPFInd >= 1):
        baseAgent_Inf.checkGICInd(verbose=3)
    elif baseAgent_Inf.solution[0].mNrmSS > 3.5:
        print('Solution exists but is outside the plot range.')
    else:

        def EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t(a):
            '''
            Taking end-of-period assets a as input, return ratio of expectation 
            of next period's consumption to this period's permanent income 

            Inputs:
               a: end-of-period assets
            Returns:
               EcLev_tp1_Over_p_{t}: next period's expected c level / current p
            '''
            # Extract parameter values to make code more readable
            permShkVals = baseAgent_Inf.PermShkDstn[0].X
            tranShkVals = baseAgent_Inf.TranShkDstn[0].X
            permShkPrbs = baseAgent_Inf.PermShkDstn[0].pmf
            tranShkPrbs = baseAgent_Inf.TranShkDstn[0].pmf
            Rfree = baseAgent_Inf.Rfree
            EPermGroFac = baseAgent_Inf.PermGroFac[0]

            PermGrowFac_tp1 = EPermGroFac * permShkVals  # Nonstochastic growth times idiosyncratic permShk
            RNrmFac_tp1 = Rfree / PermGrowFac_tp1  # Growth-normalized interest factor
            # 'bank balances' b = end-of-last-period assets times normalized return factor
            b_tp1 = RNrmFac_tp1 * a
            # expand dims of b_tp1 and use broadcasted sum of a column and a row vector
            # to obtain a matrix of possible market resources next period
            # because matrix mult is much much faster than looping to calc E
            m_tp1_GivenTranAndPermShks = np.expand_dims(b_tp1,
                                                        axis=1) + tranShkVals
            # List of possible values of $\mathbf{c}_{t+1}$ (Transposed by .T)
            cRat_tp1_GivenTranAndPermShks = baseAgent_Inf.cFunc[0](
                m_tp1_GivenTranAndPermShks).T
            cLev_tp1_GivenTranAndPermShks = cRat_tp1_GivenTranAndPermShks * PermGrowFac_tp1
            # compute expectation over perm shocks by right multiplying with probs
            EOverPShks_cLev_tp1_GivenTranShkShks = np.dot(
                cLev_tp1_GivenTranAndPermShks, permShkPrbs)
            # finish expectation over trans shocks by right multiplying with probs
            EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t = np.dot(EOverPShks_cLev_tp1_GivenTranShkShks,
                                        tranShkPrbs)
            # return expected consumption
            return EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t

        # Calculate the expected consumption growth factor
        # mBelwTrg defines the plot range on the left of target m value (e.g. m <= target m)
        mNrmTrg = baseAgent_Inf.solution[0].mNrmSS
        mBelwTrg = np.linspace(1, mNrmTrg, 50)
        c_For_mBelwTrg = baseAgent_Inf.cFunc[0](mBelwTrg)
        a_For_mBelwTrg = mBelwTrg - c_For_mBelwTrg
        EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t_For_mBelwTrg = [
            EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t(i) for i in a_For_mBelwTrg
        ]

        # mAbveTrg defines the plot range on the right of target m value (e.g. m >= target m)
        mAbveTrg = np.linspace(mNrmTrg, 3.5, 50)

        # EcGro_For_mAbveTrg: E [consumption growth factor] when m_{t} is below target m
        EcGro_For_mBelwTrg = np.array(
            EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t_For_mBelwTrg) / c_For_mBelwTrg

        c_For_mAbveTrg = baseAgent_Inf.cFunc[0](mAbveTrg)
        a_For_mAbveTrg = mAbveTrg - c_For_mAbveTrg
        EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t_For_mAbveTrg = [
            EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t(i) for i in a_For_mAbveTrg
        ]

        # EcGro_For_mAbveTrg: E [consumption growth factor] when m_{t} is bigger than target m_{t}
        EcGro_For_mAbveTrg = np.array(
            EcLev_tp1_Over_p_t_For_mAbveTrg) / c_For_mAbveTrg

        Rfree = 1.0
        EPermGroFac = 1.0
        mNrmTrg = baseAgent_Inf.solution[0].mNrmSS

        # Calculate Absolute Patience Factor Phi = lower bound of consumption growth factor
        APF = (Rfree * DiscFac)**(1.0 / CRRA)

        plt.figure(figsize=(12, 8))
        # Plot the Absolute Patience Factor line
        plt.plot([0, 3.5], [APF, APF],
                 label="\u03A6 = [(\u03B2 R)^(1/ \u03C1)]/R")

        # Plot the Permanent Income Growth Factor line
        plt.plot([0, 3.5], [EPermGroFac, EPermGroFac], label="\u0393")

        # Plot the expected consumption growth factor on the left side of target m
        plt.plot(mBelwTrg, EcGro_For_mBelwTrg, color="black")

        # Plot the expected consumption growth factor on the right side of target m
        plt.plot(mAbveTrg,
                 EcGro_For_mAbveTrg,
                 color="black",
                 label="$\mathsf{E}_{t}[c_{t+1}/c_{t}]$")

        # Plot the target m
        plt.plot(
            [mNrmTrg, mNrmTrg],
            [0, 3.5],
            color="black",
            linestyle="--",
            label="",
        )
        plt.xlim(1, 3.5)
        plt.ylim(0.94, 1.10)
        plt.text(2.105, 0.930, "$m_{t}$", fontsize=26, fontweight="bold")
        plt.text(
            mNrmTrg - 0.02,
            0.930,
            "m̌",
            fontsize=26,
            fontweight="bold",
        )
        plt.tick_params(
            labelbottom=False,
            labelleft=False,
            left="off",
            right="off",
            bottom="off",
            top="off",
        )
        plt.legend(fontsize='x-large')
        plt.show()
        return None
예제 #2
0
    "aNrmInitMean": np.log(1.25) - (.5**2) / 2,  # Mean of log initial assets
    "aNrmInitStd": .5,  # Standard deviation of log initial assets
    "pLvlInitMean": 0,  # Mean of log initial permanent income
    "pLvlInitStd": 0,  # Standard deviation of log initial permanent income
    "PermGroFacAgg": 1.0,  # Aggregate permanent income growth factor
    "T_age": None,  # Age after which simulated agents are automatically killed
}

# %% [markdown]
# # Solve

# %% collapsed=true jupyter={"outputs_hidden": true, "source_hidden": true}
fast = IndShockConsumerType(**Harmenberg_Dict, verbose=1)
fast.cycles = 0
fast.Rfree = 1.2**.25
fast.PermGroFac = [1.02]
fast.tolerance = fast.tolerance / 100

fast.track_vars = ['cNrm', 'pLvl']
fast.solve(verbose=False)

# %% [markdown]
# # Calculate Patience Conditions

# %% collapsed=true jupyter={"outputs_hidden": true}
fast.check_conditions(verbose=True)

# %% jupyter={"source_hidden": true}
# Simulate a population
fast.initialize_sim()
fast.simulate()