예제 #1
0
    def test_price1d_control_variates(self):
        strike = 45
        asset_num = 1
        init_price_vec = 50 * np.ones(asset_num)
        vol_vec = 0.3 * np.ones(asset_num)
        ir = 0.05
        dividend_vec = np.zeros(asset_num)
        corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
        time_to_maturity = 0.25
        random_walk = GBM(time_to_maturity, 100, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec,
                          dividend_vec, corr_mat)
        analytical2 = Analytical_Sol(init_price_vec[0],
                                     strike,
                                     time_to_maturity,
                                     ir,
                                     vol_vec[0],
                                     dividend_yield=0)

        def test_payoff(*l):
            return max(np.sum(l) - strike, 0)

        opt2 = Euro(test_payoff, random_walk)

        real_call, _ = analytical2.european_option_price()
        np.random.seed(1)
        approx_call = opt2.price1d_control_variates(1000)
        np.random.seed(1)
        approx_call2 = opt2.price(1000)
        assert abs(approx_call - 6.412754547048265) < 0.00000000000001
        assert abs(approx_call - real_call) / real_call < 0.0025422
        assert abs(abs(approx_call2 - real_call) / real_call) < 0.04899
예제 #2
0
    def test_correlated_pricing(self):
        strike = 50
        asset_num = 2
        init_price_vec = np.array([110, 60])
        vol_vec = np.array([0.4, 0.2])
        ir = 0.1
        dividend_vec = 0 * np.ones(asset_num)
        corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
        corr_mat[0, 1] = 0.4
        corr_mat[1, 0] = 0.4
        random_walk = GBM(182 / 365, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec,
                          dividend_vec, corr_mat)

        def test_payoff(l):
            return max(l[0] - l[1] - strike, 0)

        opt = Euro(test_payoff, random_walk)
        np.random.seed(1)
        callV2 = opt.priceV2(1000000)
        real_call = 12.5583468
        assert abs(callV2 - 12.566682253085943) < 0.00000000000001
        assert abs(callV2 - real_call) / real_call < 0.00066374
        np.random.seed(1)
        callV3 = opt.priceV3(20000)
        assert abs(callV3 - 12.586752483453562) < 0.00000000000001
        assert abs(callV3 - real_call) / real_call < 0.0022619
예제 #3
0
 def test_get_discounted_cashflow_at_t0(self):
     random_walk = GBM(3, 3, np.ones(1), 0.03, np.ones(1), np.zeros(1), np.eye(1))
     def test_payoff(*l):
         return max(3 - np.sum(l), 0)
     opt = American(test_payoff, random_walk)
     discount = opt._get_discounted_cashflow_at_t0(np.array([[0, 0, 0, 0], [0, 0, 1, 0], [0, 2, 0, 0]]))
     assert discount == (0+np.exp(-2*0.03)+2*np.exp(-1*0.03))/3
예제 #4
0
    def test_price_importance_sampling(self):
        strike = 80
        asset_num = 1
        init_price_vec = 50 * np.ones(asset_num)
        vol_vec = 0.2 * np.ones(asset_num)
        ir = 0.03
        dividend_vec = np.zeros(asset_num)
        corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
        time_to_maturity = 1
        random_walk = GBM(time_to_maturity, 100, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec,
                          dividend_vec, corr_mat)
        analytical2 = Analytical_Sol(init_price_vec[0],
                                     strike,
                                     time_to_maturity,
                                     ir,
                                     vol_vec[0],
                                     dividend_yield=0)

        def test_payoff(*l):
            return max(np.sum(l) - strike, 0)

        test_payoff.strike = strike

        opt2 = Euro(test_payoff, random_walk)
        real_call, _ = analytical2.european_option_price()
        np.random.seed(1)
        approx_call = opt2.price_importance_sampling(10000)
        np.random.seed(1)
        weak_approx_call = opt2.priceV2(10000)
        assert abs(approx_call - 0.06082838151186516) < 0.00000000000001
        assert abs(approx_call - real_call) / real_call < 0.00297664353761824
        assert abs(weak_approx_call -
                   real_call) / real_call < 0.1362349660567213
예제 #5
0
    def setUp(self):
        strike = 100

        asset_num = 1
        init_price_vec = 100 * np.ones(asset_num)
        vol_vec = 0.1 * np.ones(asset_num)
        ir = 0.03
        dividend_vec = np.zeros(asset_num)
        corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
        random_walk = GBM(1, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec,
                          corr_mat)

        def test_payoff(*l):
            return max(strike - np.sum(l), 0)

        self.opt1 = Euro(test_payoff, random_walk)

        spot_price = init_price_vec[0]
        time_to_maturity = 1
        interest_rate = 0.03
        sigma = 0.1
        self.analytical1 = Analytical_Sol(spot_price,
                                          strike,
                                          time_to_maturity,
                                          interest_rate,
                                          sigma,
                                          dividend_yield=0)
예제 #6
0
    def test_get_discounted_cashflow(self):
        random_walk = GBM(3, 3, np.ones(1), 0.03, np.ones(1), np.zeros(1), np.eye(1))
        def test_payoff(*l):
            return max(3 - np.sum(l), 0)
        opt = American(test_payoff, random_walk)
        cashflow_matrix = np.array([[0, 0, 0, 3], [0, 0, 0, 0], [0, 0, 0, 2]])
        discounted = opt._get_discounted_cashflow(2, cashflow_matrix, 3)
        assert sum(abs(discounted - np.array([2.9113366, 0, 1.94089107]))) < 0.00000001

        cashflow_matrix2 = np.array([[0, 0, 3, 0], [0, 0, 0, 0], [0, 0, 0, 2]])
        discounted2 = opt._get_discounted_cashflow(0, cashflow_matrix2, 3)
        assert sum(abs(discounted2 - np.array([2.8252936, 0, 1.82786237]))) < 0.00000001
예제 #7
0
 def setUp(self):
     strike = 1
     asset_num = 1
     init_price_vec = 0.99*np.ones(asset_num)
     vol_vec = 0.2*np.ones(asset_num)
     ir = 0.03
     dividend_vec = np.zeros(asset_num)
     corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
     random_walk = GBM(1, 300, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec, corr_mat)
     def test_payoff(*l):
         return max(strike - np.sum(l), 0)
     self.opt1 = American(test_payoff, random_walk)
예제 #8
0
 def test_amer_std(self):
     # although this is not a euro experiment...
     T = 1
     strike = 50
     asset_num = 1
     init_price_vec = 50*np.ones(asset_num)
     vol_vec = 0.5*np.ones(asset_num)
     ir = 0.05
     dividend_vec = np.zeros(asset_num)
     corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
     nTime = 365
     random_walk = GBM(T, nTime, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec, corr_mat)
     def test_payoff(*l):
         return max(strike - np.sum(l), 0)
     opt = American(test_payoff, random_walk)
     MCAmerExperimentStd(10, 16, 30, opt)
예제 #9
0
 def test_std_6d(self):
     dim = 6
     T = 1
     strike = 40
     init_price_vec = np.full(dim, 40)
     vol = 0.2
     ir = 0.06
     dividend = 0.04
     corr = 0.25
     vol_vec = np.full(dim, vol)
     dividend_vec = np.full(dim, dividend)
     corr_mat = np.full((dim, dim), corr)
     np.fill_diagonal(corr_mat, 1)
     payoff_func = lambda x: np.maximum(strike - np.mean(x, axis=1), np.zeros(len(x)))
     random_walk = GBM(T, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec, corr_mat)
     opt = Euro(payoff_func, random_walk)
     MCEuroExperimentStd(10, 19, 500, opt)
예제 #10
0
 def test_price2d(self):
     np.random.seed(555)
     strike = 100
     asset_num = 2
     init_price_vec = 100*np.ones(asset_num)
     vol_vec = 0.2*np.ones(asset_num)
     ir = 0.05
     dividend_vec = 0.1*np.ones(asset_num)
     corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
     corr_mat[0, 1] = 0.3
     corr_mat[1, 0] = 0.3
     random_walk = GBM(1, 300, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec, corr_mat)
     def test_payoff(*l):
         return max(np.max(l) - strike, 0)
     opt = American(test_payoff, random_walk)
     put = opt.price(3000)
     real_put = 9.6333
     assert abs(put - 9.557936820537265) < 0.00000000000001
     assert abs(put - real_put)/real_put < 0.00783
예제 #11
0
 def test_amer(self):
     # although this is not a euro experiment...
     T = 1
     strike = 50
     asset_num = 1
     init_price_vec = 50*np.ones(asset_num)
     vol_vec = 0.5*np.ones(asset_num)
     ir = 0.05
     dividend_vec = np.zeros(asset_num)
     corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
     nTime = 365
     random_walk = GBM(T, nTime, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec, corr_mat)
     def test_payoff(*l):
         return max(strike - np.sum(l), 0)
     opt = American(test_payoff, random_walk)
     analy = 8.723336355455928
     np.random.seed(1)
     result = MCEuroExperiment(analy, 10, 16, opt, "V1")
     hdpPickle.dump(result, 'MCAmer_1d.pickle')
     print(result)
예제 #12
0
 def test_conv_rate_6d_control_sobol(self):
     dim = 6
     T = 1
     strike = 40
     init_price_vec = np.full(dim, 40)
     vol = 0.2
     ir = 0.06
     dividend = 0.04
     corr = 0.25
     vol_vec = np.full(dim, vol)
     dividend_vec = np.full(dim, dividend)
     corr_mat = np.full((dim, dim), corr)
     np.fill_diagonal(corr_mat, 1)
     payoff_func = lambda x: np.maximum(strike - np.mean(x, axis=1), np.zeros(len(x)))
     random_walk = GBM(T, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec, corr_mat)
     opt = Euro(payoff_func, random_walk)
     analy = 1.50600
     np.random.seed(1)
     result = MCEuroExperiment(analy, 14, 21, opt, "V8")
     hdpPickle.dump(result, 'MCEuro_6d_control_sobol.pickle')
     print(result)
예제 #13
0
 def test_conv_rate_4dGA_anti_sol(self):
     from scipy.stats.mstats import gmean
     dim = 4
     T = 1
     strike = 40
     init_price_vec = np.full(dim, 40)
     vol = 0.2
     ir = 0.06
     dividend = 0.04
     corr = 0.25
     vol_vec = np.full(dim, vol)
     dividend_vec = np.full(dim, dividend)
     corr_mat = np.full((dim, dim), corr)
     np.fill_diagonal(corr_mat, 1)
     payoff_func = lambda x: np.maximum((gmean(x, axis=1) - strike), np.zeros(len(x)))
     random_walk = GBM(T, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec, corr_mat)
     opt = Euro(payoff_func, random_walk)
     analy = 2.165238512096621
     np.random.seed(1)
     result = MCEuroExperiment(analy, 20, 24, opt, "V6")
     hdpPickle.dump(result, 'MCEuro_4dGA_AntiSol.pickle')
     print(result)
예제 #14
0
파일: MCEuroTest.py 프로젝트: tshih-tw/hdp
 def test_nd_control_variates(self):
     from scipy.stats.mstats import gmean
     dim = 4
     T = 1
     strike = 40
     init_price_vec = np.full(4, 40)
     vol = 0.2
     ir = 0.06
     dividend = 0.04
     corr = 0.25
     vol_vec = np.full(dim, vol)
     dividend_vec = np.full(dim, dividend)
     corr_mat = np.full((dim, dim), corr)
     np.fill_diagonal(corr_mat, 1)
     payoff_func = lambda x: np.maximum(
         (gmean(x, axis=1) - strike), np.zeros(len(x)))
     random_walk = GBM(T, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec,
                       corr_mat)
     opt = Euro(payoff_func, random_walk)
     np.random.seed(1)
     price = opt.priceV7(100000)
     assert abs(price - 2.16043821457437) < 1e-10
예제 #15
0
파일: MCEuroTest.py 프로젝트: tshih-tw/hdp
 def test_geometric_avg_4d(self):
     from scipy.stats.mstats import gmean
     dim = 4
     T = 1
     strike = 40
     init_price_vec = np.full(4, 40)
     vol = 0.2
     ir = 0.06
     dividend = 0.04
     corr = 0.25
     vol_vec = np.full(dim, vol)
     dividend_vec = np.full(dim, dividend)
     corr_mat = np.full((dim, dim), corr)
     np.fill_diagonal(corr_mat, 1)
     payoff_func = lambda x: np.maximum(
         (gmean(x, axis=1) - strike), np.zeros(len(x)))
     random_walk = GBM(T, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec,
                       corr_mat)
     opt = Euro(payoff_func, random_walk)
     np.random.seed(1)
     price = opt.priceV2(100000)  # "real": 2.164959740690803
     assert abs(price - 2.1654452369352635) < 1e-10
     assert (price - 2.164959740690803) / 2.164959740690803 < 0.0002243
예제 #16
0
파일: MCEuroTest.py 프로젝트: tshih-tw/hdp
    def test_correlated_pricing(self):
        strike = 50
        asset_num = 2
        init_price_vec = np.array([110, 60])
        vol_vec = np.array([0.4, 0.2])
        ir = 0.1
        dividend_vec = 0 * np.ones(asset_num)
        corr_mat = np.eye(asset_num)
        corr_mat[0, 1] = 0.4
        corr_mat[1, 0] = 0.4
        random_walk = GBM(182 / 365, 400, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec,
                          dividend_vec, corr_mat)

        def test_payoff(l):
            return np.maximum(l[:, 0] - l[:, 1] - strike, np.zeros(len(l)))

        opt = Euro(test_payoff, random_walk)
        np.random.seed(1)
        callV2 = opt.priceV2(1000000)
        real_call = 12.5583468
        assert abs(callV2 - 12.566682253085943) < 0.00000000000001
        assert abs(callV2 - real_call) / real_call < 0.00066374
        np.random.seed(1)
        callV3 = opt.priceV3(20000)
        assert abs(callV3 - 12.586752483453562) < 0.00000000000001
        assert abs(callV3 - real_call) / real_call < 0.0022619
        """
        Test 2: european 2d spread put
        """
        np.random.seed(1)

        def test_payoff2(l):
            return np.maximum(-l[:, 0] + l[:, 1] + strike, np.zeros(len(l)))

        opt = Euro(test_payoff2, random_walk)
        spreadput2d = opt.priceV2(500000)
        assert abs(spreadput2d - 10.108531893795202) < 1e-10
예제 #17
0
            strike / self.random_walk.init_price_vec
        ) - self.random_walk.T * self.random_walk.vol_vec**2 / 2
        scale = self.random_walk.vol_vec * sqrt(self.random_walk.T)
        density_ratio = norm.pdf(Zs, loc=norm_mean_old,
                                 scale=scale) / norm.pdf(
                                     Zs, loc=norm_mean_new, scale=scale)
        payoff = np.array(
            [self.payoff_func(Y) for Y in self.simulation_result])
        return np.mean(np.multiply(payoff, density_ratio.T)) * np.exp(
            -self.random_walk.ir * self.random_walk.T)


if __name__ == "__main__":
    import sys, os
    sys.path.append(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)) + '/../../')
    from blackscholes.utils.GBM import GBM

    init_price_vec = np.ones(5)
    vol_vec = 0.2 * np.ones(5)
    ir = 0.00
    dividend_vec = np.zeros(5)
    corr_mat = np.eye(5)
    random_walk = GBM(3, 100, init_price_vec, ir, vol_vec, dividend_vec,
                      corr_mat)

    def test_payoff(*l):
        return max(np.sum(l) - 5, 0)

    a = Euro(test_payoff, random_walk).price(10000)
    print(a)