"""STAGE 1: IMPORT LIBRARY""" #------------------------- import pandas as pd import systemicRiskMeasures1 as srm import matplotlib.pyplot as plt #Import Systemic Risk Measures library #---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- """STAGE 2: IMPORT DATA""" #-------------------------- US_sectors= pd.load('USsectors') US_sectors_returns= srm.logreturns(Returns=US_sectors) FmmaFrench49_from1926=(pd.load('FF49_1926').resample('M'))[607+155:] Recession_Values= pd.load('USARECM') #------------------------- #---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- """STAGE 3: IMPORT SYSTEMIC RISK MEASURES AND RUN SIGNALS""" #------------------------- Inputs=FmmaFrench49_from1926 #Input= US_sectors_returns.resample('M') #input monthly returns """Mahalanobis Distance""" #Input MD_input=Inputs #Change this value for data required #Run
import systemicRiskMeasures1 as srm import matplotlib.pyplot as plt #Import Systemic Risk Measures library #---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- """STAGE 2: IMPORT DATA""" #-------------------------- Start='19950131' Start_Recession_Values='19950201' End='20140131' #20140630 latest St Louis Recession data date Recession_Values= pd.load('USARECM') Balanced_port= srm.logreturns(Returns=pd.load('Probit_portfolio')).resample('M',how='sum').loc[Start:End] Recession_Values= Recession_Values[Start_Recession_Values:] w=5 window=w*12 window_range= window """Returns""" import numpy as np import pandas as pd import matplotlib.pyplot as plt FmmaFrench47_from1926=(pd.load('FF49_1926').resample('M',how='sum')).loc[Start:End] noa=47 length=len(FmmaFrench47_from1926)