Exemplo n.º 1
0
def test_forecast():
    # Numpy
    endog = dta['infl'].iloc[:100].values

    mod = ARIMA(endog[:50], order=(1, 1, 0), trend='t')
    res = mod.filter([0.2, 0.3, 1.0])

    endog2 = endog.copy()
    endog2[50:] = np.nan
    mod2 = mod.clone(endog2)
    res2 = mod2.filter(res.params)

    assert_allclose(res.forecast(50), res2.fittedvalues[-50:])
Exemplo n.º 2
0
def test_forecast_with_exog():
    # Numpy
    endog = dta['infl'].iloc[:100].values
    exog = np.arange(len(endog))**2

    mod = ARIMA(endog[:50], order=(1, 1, 0), exog=exog[:50], trend='t')
    res = mod.filter([0.2, 0.05, 0.3, 1.0])

    endog2 = endog.copy()
    endog2[50:] = np.nan
    mod2 = mod.clone(endog2, exog=exog)
    print(mod.param_names)
    print(mod2.param_names)
    res2 = mod2.filter(res.params)

    assert_allclose(res.forecast(50, exog=exog[50:]), res2.fittedvalues[-50:])