Exemplo n.º 1
0
    def __init__(self,
                 scale,
                 validate_args=False,
                 allow_nan_stats=True,
                 name="Horseshoe"):
        """Construct a Horseshoe distribution with `scale`.

    Args:
      scale: Floating point tensor; the scales of the distribution(s).
        Must contain only positive values.
      validate_args: Python `bool`, default `False`. When `True` distribution
        parameters are checked for validity despite possibly degrading runtime
        performance. When `False` invalid inputs may silently render incorrect
        outputs. Default value: `False` (i.e., do not validate args).
      allow_nan_stats: Python `bool`, default `True`. When `True`, statistics
        (e.g., mean, mode, variance) use the value "`NaN`" to indicate the
        result is undefined. When `False`, an exception is raised if one or more
        of the statistic's batch members are undefined.
        Default value: `True`.
      name: Python `str` name prefixed to Ops created by this class.
        Default value: 'Horseshoe'.
    """
        parameters = dict(locals())
        with tf.name_scope(name) as name:
            dtype = dtype_util.common_dtype([scale],
                                            preferred_dtype=tf.float32)
            scale = tf.convert_to_tensor(value=scale,
                                         name="scale",
                                         dtype=dtype)
            with tf.control_dependencies(
                [assert_util.assert_positive(scale)] if validate_args else []):
                self._scale = tf.identity(scale, name="scale")
        self._half_cauchy = HalfCauchy(loc=tf.zeros([], dtype=dtype),
                                       scale=tf.ones([], dtype=dtype),
                                       allow_nan_stats=True)
        super(Horseshoe, self).__init__(
            dtype=self._scale.dtype,
            reparameterization_type=reparameterization.FULLY_REPARAMETERIZED,
            validate_args=validate_args,
            allow_nan_stats=allow_nan_stats,
            parameters=parameters,
            graph_parents=[self._scale],
            name=name)
Exemplo n.º 2
0
class Horseshoe(distribution.Distribution):
    r"""Horseshoe distribution.

  The so-called 'horseshoe' distribution is a Cauchy-Normal scale mixture,
  proposed as a sparsity-inducing prior for Bayesian regression. [1] It is
  symmetric around zero, has heavy (Cauchy-like) tails, so that large
  coefficients face relatively little shrinkage, but an infinitely tall spike at
  0, which pushes small coefficients towards zero. It is parameterized by a
  positive scalar `scale` parameter: higher values yield a weaker
  sparsity-inducing effect.

  #### Mathematical details

  The Horseshoe distribution is centered at zero, with scale parameter
  \\(\lambda\\). It is defined by: \
  \\(
  X \sim \text {Horseshoe}(scale=\lambda) \, \equiv \, X \sim \text{Normal}
  (0, \, \lambda \cdot \sigma) \quad \text{where} \quad \sigma \sim
  \text{HalfCauchy} (0, \,1)
  \\)

  The probability density function, \
  \\(
  \pi_\lambda(x) = \int_0^\infty \, \frac{1}{\sqrt{ 2\pi \lambda^2 t^2 }} \,
  \exp \left\{ -\frac{x^2}{2\lambda^2t^2} \right\} \,
  \frac{2}{\pi\left(1+t^2\right)} \mathrm{d} t
  \\)

  can be rewritten [1] as \
  \\(
  \pi_\lambda(x) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi^3 \lambda^2}} \, \exp \left\{
  \frac{x^2}{2\lambda^2} \right\} \, E_1\left(\frac{x^2}{2\lambda^2}\right)
  \\)

  where E<sub>1</sub>(.) is the [exponential integral function][wiki1] which can
  be approximated by elementary functions. [2]

  #### Examples

  Examples of initialization of one or a batch of distributions.

  ```python
  # Define a single scalar Horseshoe distribution.
  dist = tfp.distributions.Horseshoe(scale=3.0)

  # Evaluate the log_prob at 1, returning a scalar.
  dist.log_prob(1.)

  # Define a batch of two scalar valued Horseshoes.
  # The first has scale 11.0, the second 22.0
  dist = tfp.distributions.Horseshoe(scale=[11.0, 22.0])

  # Evaluate the log_prob of the first distribution on 1.0, and the second on
  # 1.5, returning a length two tensor.
  dist.log_prob([1.0, 1.5])

  # Evaluate the log_prob of both distributions at 2.0 and 2.5, returning a
  # 2 x 2 tensor.
  dist.log_prob([[2.0], [2.5]])

  # Get 3 samples, returning a 3 x 2 tensor.
  dist.sample([3])
  ```

  #### References

  [1] Carvalho, Polson, Scott.
  [Handling Sparsity via the Horseshoe (2008)][link1].

  [2] Barry, Parlange, Li.
  [Approximation for the exponential integral (2000)][link2]. Formula from
  [Wikipedia][wiki2].

  [link1]:
      http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/nicholas.polson/research/papers/Horse.pdf
  [link2]: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00184-5
  [wiki1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_integral
  [wiki2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_integral#cite_note-17
  """
    def __init__(self,
                 scale,
                 validate_args=False,
                 allow_nan_stats=True,
                 name="Horseshoe"):
        """Construct a Horseshoe distribution with `scale`.

    Args:
      scale: Floating point tensor; the scales of the distribution(s).
        Must contain only positive values.
      validate_args: Python `bool`, default `False`. When `True` distribution
        parameters are checked for validity despite possibly degrading runtime
        performance. When `False` invalid inputs may silently render incorrect
        outputs. Default value: `False` (i.e., do not validate args).
      allow_nan_stats: Python `bool`, default `True`. When `True`, statistics
        (e.g., mean, mode, variance) use the value "`NaN`" to indicate the
        result is undefined. When `False`, an exception is raised if one or more
        of the statistic's batch members are undefined.
        Default value: `True`.
      name: Python `str` name prefixed to Ops created by this class.
        Default value: 'Horseshoe'.
    """
        parameters = dict(locals())
        with tf.name_scope(name) as name:
            dtype = dtype_util.common_dtype([scale],
                                            preferred_dtype=tf.float32)
            scale = tf.convert_to_tensor(value=scale,
                                         name="scale",
                                         dtype=dtype)
            with tf.control_dependencies(
                [assert_util.assert_positive(scale)] if validate_args else []):
                self._scale = tf.identity(scale, name="scale")
        self._half_cauchy = HalfCauchy(loc=tf.zeros([], dtype=dtype),
                                       scale=tf.ones([], dtype=dtype),
                                       allow_nan_stats=True)
        super(Horseshoe, self).__init__(
            dtype=self._scale.dtype,
            reparameterization_type=reparameterization.FULLY_REPARAMETERIZED,
            validate_args=validate_args,
            allow_nan_stats=allow_nan_stats,
            parameters=parameters,
            graph_parents=[self._scale],
            name=name)

    @staticmethod
    def _param_shapes(sample_shape):
        return {
            "scale": tf.convert_to_tensor(value=sample_shape, dtype=tf.int32)
        }

    @classmethod
    def _params_event_ndims(cls):
        return dict(scale=0)

    @property
    def scale(self):
        """Distribution parameter for scale."""
        return self._scale

    def _batch_shape_tensor(self):
        return tf.shape(input=self.scale)

    def _batch_shape(self):
        return self.scale.shape

    def _event_shape_tensor(self):
        return tf.constant([], dtype=tf.int32)

    def _event_shape(self):
        return tf.TensorShape([])

    def _log_prob(self, x):
        # The exact HalfCauchy-Normal marginal log-density is analytically
        # intractable; we compute a (relatively accurate) numerical
        # approximation. This is a log space version of ref[2] from class docstring.
        xx = (x / self.scale)**2 / 2
        g = 0.5614594835668851  # tf.exp(-0.5772156649015328606)
        b = 1.0420764938351215  # tf.sqrt(2 * (1-g) / (g * (2-g)))
        h_inf = 1.0801359952503342  #  (1-g)*(g*g-6*g+12) / (3*g * (2-g)**2 * b)
        q = 20. / 47. * xx**1.0919284281983377
        h = 1. / (1 + xx**(1.5)) + h_inf * q / (1 + q)
        c = -.5 * np.log(2 * np.pi**3) - tf.math.log(g * self._scale)
        return -tf.math.log1p(
            (1 - g) / g * tf.exp(-xx / (1 - g))) + tf.math.log(
                tf.math.log1p(g / xx - (1 - g) / (h + b * xx)**2)) + c

    def _sample_n(self, n, seed=None):
        shape = tf.concat([[n], self._batch_shape_tensor()], axis=0)
        seed = SeedStream(seed, salt="random_horseshoe")
        local_shrinkage = self._half_cauchy.sample(shape, seed=seed())
        shrinkage = self.scale * local_shrinkage
        sampled = tf.random.normal(shape=shape,
                                   mean=0.,
                                   stddev=1.,
                                   dtype=self.scale.dtype,
                                   seed=seed())
        return sampled * shrinkage

    def _mean(self):
        return tf.zeros(self.batch_shape_tensor())

    def _mode(self):
        return self._mean()

    def _stddev(self):
        if self.allow_nan_stats:
            return tf.fill(self.batch_shape_tensor(),
                           dtype_util.as_numpy_dtype(self.dtype)(np.nan))
        raise ValueError("`stddev` is undefined for Horseshoe distribution.")

    def _variance(self):
        if self.allow_nan_stats:
            return tf.fill(self.batch_shape_tensor(),
                           dtype_util.as_numpy_dtype(self.dtype)(np.nan))
        raise ValueError("`variance` is undefined for Horseshoe distribution.")