def test_stochastic_well_mixed(self): S, E, I, R = sympy.symbols("S E I R") N = 75000 tmax = 100 model = SymbolicEpiModel([S, E, I, R], N) model.set_processes([ (S, I, 2, E, I), (I, 1, R), (E, 1, I), ]) model.set_initial_conditions({S: N - 100, I: 100}) tt = np.linspace(0, tmax, 10) result_int = model.integrate(tt) t, result_sim = model.simulate(tmax, sampling_dt=1, return_compartments=[S, R]) for c, res in result_sim.items(): #print(c, np.abs(1-res[-1]/result_int[c][-1])) #print(c, np.abs(1-res[-1]/result_sim[c][-1])) assert (np.abs(1 - res[-1] / result_int[c][-1]) < 0.05)
def symbolic_simulation_temporally_forced(): from epipack import SymbolicEpiModel import sympy as sy from epipack.plottools import plot import numpy as np S, I, R, eta, rho, omega, t, T = \ sy.symbols("S I R eta rho omega t T") N = 1000 SIRS = SymbolicEpiModel([S,I,R],N)\ .set_processes([ (S, I, 3+sy.cos(2*sy.pi*t/T), I, I), (I, rho, R), (R, omega, S), ]) SIRS.set_parameter_values({ rho: 1, omega: 1 / 14, T: 100, }) SIRS.set_initial_conditions({S: N - 100, I: 100}) _t = np.linspace(0, 150, 1000) result = SIRS.integrate(_t) t_sim, result_sim = SIRS.simulate(max(_t)) ax = plot(_t, result) plot(t_sim, result_sim, ax=ax) ax.get_figure().savefig('symbolic_model_time_varying_rate.png', dpi=300)
def test_changing_population_size(self): A, B, C, t = sympy.symbols("A B C t") epi = SymbolicEpiModel([A, B, C], 10, correct_for_dynamical_population_size=True) epi.set_initial_conditions({A: 5, B: 5}) epi.set_processes([ (A, B, 1, C), ], allow_nonzero_column_sums=True) dydt = epi.dydt() assert (dydt[0] == -1 * A * B / (A + B + C)) _, res = epi.simulate(1e9) assert (res[C][-1] == 5) epi.set_processes([ (None, 1 + sympy.log(1 + t), A), (A, 1 + sympy.log(1 + t), B), (B, 1 + sympy.log(1 + t), None), ], allow_nonzero_column_sums=True) rates, comp_changes = epi.get_numerical_event_and_rate_functions() _, res = epi.simulate(200, sampling_dt=0.05) vals = np.concatenate([res[A][_ > 10], res[B][_ > 10]]) rv = poisson(vals.mean()) measured, bins = np.histogram(vals, bins=np.arange(10) - 0.5, density=True) theory = [ rv.pmf(i) for i in range(0, len(bins) - 1) if measured[i] > 0 ] experi = [ measured[i] for i in range(0, len(bins) - 1) if measured[i] > 0 ] # make sure the kullback-leibler divergence is below some threshold assert (entropy(theory, experi) < 2e-3) assert (np.median(res[A]) == 1)