def __init__( self, pst, parcov=None, obscov=None, num_workers=0, use_approx_prior=True, submit_file=None, verbose=False, port=4004, worker_dir="template", ): self.logger = Logger(verbose) if verbose is not False: self.logger.echo = True self.num_workers = int(num_workers) if submit_file is not None: if not os.path.exists(submit_file): self.logger.lraise( "submit_file {0} not found".format(submit_file)) elif num_workers > 0: if not os.path.exists(worker_dir): self.logger.lraise( "template dir {0} not found".format(worker_dir)) self.worker_dir = worker_dir self.submit_file = submit_file self.port = int(port) self.paren_prefix = ".parensemble.{0:04d}.csv" self.obsen_prefix = ".obsensemble.{0:04d}.csv" if isinstance(pst, str): pst = Pst(pst) assert isinstance(pst, Pst) self.pst = pst self.sweep_in_csv = pst.pestpp_options.get("sweep_parameter_csv_file", "sweep_in.csv") self.sweep_out_csv = pst.pestpp_options.get("sweep_output_csv_file", "sweep_out.csv") if parcov is not None: assert isinstance(parcov, Cov) else: parcov = Cov.from_parameter_data(self.pst) if obscov is not None: assert isinstance(obscov, Cov) else: obscov = Cov.from_observation_data(pst) self.parcov = parcov self.obscov = obscov self._initialized = False self.iter_num = 0 self.total_runs = 0 self.raw_sweep_out = None
def __init__(self, pst, parcov=None, obscov=None, num_slaves=0, use_approx=True, restart_iter=0, submit_file=None): self.num_slaves = int(num_slaves) self.submit_file = submit_file self.use_approx = bool(use_approx) self.paren_prefix = ".parensemble.{0:04d}.csv" self.obsen_prefix = ".obsensemble.{0:04d}.csv" if isinstance(pst, str): pst = Pst(pst) assert isinstance(pst, Pst) self.pst = pst self.sweep_in_csv = pst.pestpp_options.get("sweep_parameter_csv_file", "sweep_in.csv") self.sweep_out_csv = pst.pestpp_options.get("sweep_output_csv_file", "sweep_out.csv") if parcov is not None: assert isinstance(parcov, Cov) else: parcov = Cov.from_parameter_data(self.pst) if obscov is not None: assert isinstance(obscov, Cov) else: obscov = Cov.from_observation_data(pst) self.parcov = parcov self.obscov = obscov self.restart = False if restart_iter > 0: self.restart_iter = restart_iter paren = self.pst.filename + self.paren_prefix.format(restart_iter) assert os.path.exists(paren),\ "could not find restart par ensemble {0}".format(paren) obsen0 = self.pst.filename + self.obsen_prefix.format(0) assert os.path.exists(obsen0),\ "could not find restart obs ensemble 0 {0}".format(obsen0) obsen = self.pst.filename + self.obsen_prefix.format(restart_iter) assert os.path.exists(obsen),\ "could not find restart obs ensemble {0}".format(obsen) self.restart = True self.__initialized = False self.num_reals = 0 self.half_parcov_diag = None self.half_obscov_diag = None self.delta_par_prior = None self.iter_num = 0
def update(self): if not self.__initialized: raise Exception("must call initialize() before update()") self._calc_obs() delta_obs = self._calc_delta_obs() u,s,v = delta_obs.pseudo_inv_components() #print(v) #print(s) #print(v) diff = self.obsensemble.as_pyemu_matrix() - self.obsensemble_0.as_pyemu_matrix() #print(diff) x1 = u.T * self.obscov.inv.sqrt * diff.T x1.autoalign = False #print(x1) x2 = (Cov.identity_like(s) + s**2).inv * x1 #print(x2) x3 = v * s * x2 #print(x3) upgrade_1 = (self.half_parcov_diag * self._calc_delta_par() * x3).to_dataframe() upgrade_1.index.name = "parnme" print(upgrade_1) self.parensemble += upgrade_1.T print(self.parensemble) if self.iter_num > 0: raise NotImplementedError() print(upgrade_1.shape)
def posterior_parameter(self): """get the posterior parameter covariance matrix """ if self.__posterior_parameter is not None: return self.__posterior_parameter else: self.clean() self.log("Schur's complement") try: pinv = self.parcov.inv r = self.xtqx + pinv r = r.inv except Exception as e: self.xtqx.to_binary("xtqx.err.jcb") pinv.to_ascii("parcov_inv.err.cov") self.logger.warn("error forming schur's complement: {0}". format(str(e))) self.logger.warn("problemtic xtqx saved to xtqx.err.jcb") self.logger.warn("problematic inverse parcov saved to parcov_inv.err.cov") raise Exception("error forming schur's complement: {0}". format(str(e))) assert r.row_names == r.col_names self.__posterior_parameter = Cov(r.x, row_names=r.row_names, col_names=r.col_names) self.log("Schur's complement") return self.__posterior_parameter
def initialize(self, num_reals): ''' (re)initialize the process ''' self.num_reals = int(num_reals) self.parensemble = ParameterEnsemble(self.pst) self.parensemble.draw(cov=self.parcov, num_reals=num_reals) self.obsensemble_0 = ObservationEnsemble(self.pst) self.obsensemble_0.draw(cov=self.obscov, num_reals=num_reals) self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble_0.copy() if self.parcov.isdiagonal: self.half_parcov_diag = self.parcov.inv.sqrt else: self.half_parcov_diag = Cov(x=np.diag(self.parcov.x), names=self.parcov.col_names, isdiagonal=True).inv.sqrt #if self.obscov.isdiagonal: #self.half_obscov_inv = self.obscov.inv.sqrt # else: # self.half_obscov_diag = Cov(x=np.diag(self.obscov.x), # names=self.obscov.col_names, # isdiagonal=True) self.delta_par_prior = self._calc_delta_par() self.__initialized = True
def update(self): if not self.__initialized: raise Exception("must call initialize() before update()") self._calc_obs() delta_obs = self._calc_delta_obs() u, s, v = delta_obs.pseudo_inv_components() #print(v) #print(s) #print(v) diff = self.obsensemble.as_pyemu_matrix( ) - self.obsensemble_0.as_pyemu_matrix() #print(diff) x1 = u.T * self.obscov.inv.sqrt * diff.T x1.autoalign = False #print(x1) x2 = (Cov.identity_like(s) + s**2).inv * x1 #print(x2) x3 = v * s * x2 #print(x3) upgrade_1 = (self.half_parcov_diag * self._calc_delta_par() * x3).to_dataframe() upgrade_1.index.name = "parnme" print(upgrade_1) self.parensemble += upgrade_1.T print(self.parensemble) if self.iter_num > 0: raise NotImplementedError() print(upgrade_1.shape)
def __init__(self,pst,parcov=None,obscov=None): assert isinstance(pst,Pst) self.pst = pst if parcov is not None: assert isinstance(parcov,Cov) else: parcov = Cov.from_parameter_data(self.pst) if obscov is not None: assert isinstance(obscov,Cov) else: obscov = Cov.from_observation_data(pst) self.parcov = parcov self.obscov = obscov self.__initialized = False self.num_reals = 0 self.half_parcov_diag = None self.half_obscov_diag = None self.delta_par_prior = None self.iter_num = 0
def __init__(self, pst, parcov=None, obscov=None): assert isinstance(pst, Pst) self.pst = pst if parcov is not None: assert isinstance(parcov, Cov) else: parcov = Cov.from_parameter_data(self.pst) if obscov is not None: assert isinstance(obscov, Cov) else: obscov = Cov.from_observation_data(pst) self.parcov = parcov self.obscov = obscov self.__initialized = False self.num_reals = 0 self.half_parcov_diag = None self.half_obscov_diag = None self.delta_par_prior = None self.iter_num = 0
def posterior_parameter(self): """get the posterior parameter covariance matrix. If Schur.__posterior_parameter is None, the posterior parameter covariance matrix is calculated via Schur compliment before returning Returns ------- posterior_parameter : pyemu.Cov the posterior parameter covariance matrix Note ---- returns a reference Example ------- ``>>>import pyemu`` ``>>>sc = pyemu.Schur(jco="pest.jcb")`` ``>>>post_cov = sc.posterior_parameter`` ``>>>post_cov.to_ascii("post.cov")`` """ if self.__posterior_parameter is not None: return self.__posterior_parameter else: self.clean() self.log("Schur's complement") try: pinv = self.parcov.inv r = self.xtqx + pinv r = r.inv except Exception as e: self.xtqx.to_binary("xtqx.err.jcb") pinv.to_ascii("parcov_inv.err.cov") self.logger.warn( "error forming schur's complement: {0}".format(str(e))) self.logger.warn("problemtic xtqx saved to xtqx.err.jcb") self.logger.warn( "problematic inverse parcov saved to parcov_inv.err.cov") raise Exception("error forming schur's complement: {0}".format( str(e))) assert r.row_names == r.col_names self.__posterior_parameter = Cov(r.x, row_names=r.row_names, col_names=r.col_names) self.log("Schur's complement") return self.__posterior_parameter
def posterior_parameter(self): """get the posterior parameter covariance matrix """ if self.__posterior_parameter is not None: return self.__posterior_parameter else: self.clean() self.log("Schur's complement") r = (self.xtqx + self.parcov.inv).inv assert r.row_names == r.col_names self.__posterior_parameter = Cov(r.x, row_names=r.row_names, col_names=r.col_names) self.log("Schur's complement") return self.__posterior_parameter
def update(self): if not self.__initialized: raise Exception("must call initialize() before update()") self._calc_obs() self.iter_num += 1 self.obsensemble.to_csv("obsensemble.{0}.csv".format(self.iter_num)) delta_obs = self._calc_delta_obs() u,s,v = delta_obs.pseudo_inv_components() scaled_par_diff = self._calc_delta_par() scaled_obs_diff = self.obsensemble.as_pyemu_matrix() -\ self.obsensemble_0.as_pyemu_matrix() scaled_ident = (self.current_lambda*Cov.identity_like(s) + s**2).inv x1 = u.T * self.obscov.inv.sqrt * scaled_obs_diff.T x1.autoalign = False x2 = scaled_ident * x1 x3 = v * s * x2 upgrade_1 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_par_diff *\ x3).to_dataframe() upgrade_1.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_1.T.to_csv("upgrade_1.{0}.csv".format(self.iter_num)) self.parensemble += upgrade_1.T if self.iter_num > 1: par_diff = (self.parensemble - self.parensemble_0).\ as_pyemu_matrix().T x4 = self.Am.T * self.half_parcov_diag * par_diff x5 = self.Am * x4 x6 = scaled_par_diff.T * x5 x7 = v * scaled_ident * v.T * x6 upgrade_2 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_par_diff * x7).to_dataframe() upgrade_2.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_2.T.to_csv("upgrade_2.{0}.csv".format(self.iter_num)) self.parensemble += upgrade_2.T self.parensemble.to_csv("parensemble.{0}.csv".format(self.iter_num))
def mat_test(): import os import numpy as np from pyemu.mat import Jco,Cov,concat test_dir = os.path.join("mat") if not os.path.exists(test_dir): os.mkdir(test_dir) arr = np.arange(0,12) arr.resize(4,3) first = Jco(x=arr,col_names=["p1","p2","p3"],row_names=["o1","o2","o3","o4"]) first.to_binary(os.path.join(test_dir,"test.bin")) first.from_binary(os.path.join(test_dir,"test.bin")) first = Jco(x=np.ones((4,3)),col_names=["p1","p2","p3"],row_names=["o1","o2","o3","o4"]) second = Cov(x=np.ones((3,3))+1.0,names=["p1","p2","p3"],isdiagonal=False) third = Cov(x=np.ones((4,1))+2.0,names=["o1","o2","o3","o4"],isdiagonal=True) third.to_uncfile(os.path.join(test_dir,"test.unc"), covmat_file=os.path.join(test_dir,"cov.mat")) third.from_uncfile(os.path.join(test_dir,"test.unc")) si = second.identity result = second - second.identity # add and sub newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1"],col_names="p1") result = newfirst - first result = first - newfirst result = newfirst + first result = first + newfirst newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1","o2"],col_names="p1") result = newfirst - first result = first - newfirst result = newfirst + first result = first + newfirst newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1","o2"],col_names=["p1","p3"]) result = newfirst - first result = first - newfirst result = newfirst + first result = first + newfirst # mul test result = first.T * third * first result = first * second result = first.T.x * third result = 2.0 * third newfirst = first.get(col_names="p1") result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T newfirst = first.get(col_names=["p1","p2"]) result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1"]) result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1","o2"]) result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T result = newfirst.T * third * newfirst newthird = third.get(row_names=["o1"]) result = first.T * newthird * first result.to_sparse() # drop testing second.drop("p2",axis=0) assert second.shape == (2, 2) third.drop("o1",axis=1) assert third.shape == (3, 3) first.drop("p1",axis=1) assert first.shape == (4,2) first.drop("o4",axis=0) assert first.shape == (3,2) try: concat([first,third]) except: pass else: raise Exception()
def update(self, lambda_mults=[1.0], localizer=None, run_subset=None, use_approx=True, calc_only=False): """update the iES one GLM cycle Parameters ---------- lambda_mults : list a list of lambda multipliers to test. Each lambda mult value will require evaluating (a subset of) the parameter ensemble. localizer : pyemu.Matrix a jacobian localizing matrix run_subset : int the number of realizations to test for each lambda_mult value. For example, if run_subset = 30 and num_reals=100, the first 30 realizations will be run (in parallel) for each lambda_mult value. Then the best lambda_mult is selected and the remaining 70 realizations for that lambda_mult value are run (in parallel). use_approx : bool a flag to use the MLE or MAP upgrade solution. True indicates use MLE solution calc_only : bool a flag to calculate the upgrade matrix only (not run the ensemble). This is mostly for debugging and testing on travis. Default is False Example ------- ``>>>import pyemu`` ``>>>es = pyemu.EnsembleSmoother(pst="pest.pst")`` ``>>>es.initialize(num_reals=100)`` ``>>>es.update(lambda_mults=[0.1,1.0,10.0],run_subset=30)`` """ if run_subset is not None: if run_subset >= self.obsensemble.shape[0]: self.logger.warn("run_subset ({0}) >= num of active reals ({1})...ignoring ".\ format(run_subset,self.obsensemble.shape[0])) run_subset = None self.iter_num += 1 self.logger.log("iteration {0}".format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.statement("{0} active realizations".format( self.obsensemble.shape[0])) if self.obsensemble.shape[0] < 2: self.logger.lraise( "at least active 2 realizations (really like 300) are needed to update" ) if not self.__initialized: #raise Exception("must call initialize() before update()") self.logger.lraise("must call initialize() before update()") self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta obs") scaled_delta_obs = self._calc_delta_obs(self.obsensemble) self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta obs") self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta par") scaled_delta_par = self._calc_delta_par(self.parensemble) self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta par") self.logger.log("calculate pseudo inv comps") u, s, v = scaled_delta_obs.pseudo_inv_components() self.logger.log("calculate pseudo inv comps") self.logger.log("calculate obs diff matrix") obs_diff = self.obscov_inv_sqrt * self._get_residual_matrix( self.obsensemble).T self.logger.log("calculate obs diff matrix") # here is the math part...calculate upgrade matrices mean_lam, std_lam, paren_lam, obsen_lam = [], [], [], [] lam_vals = [] for ilam, cur_lam_mult in enumerate(lambda_mults): parensemble_cur_lam = self.parensemble.copy() #print(parensemble_cur_lam.isnull().values.any()) cur_lam = self.current_lambda * cur_lam_mult lam_vals.append(cur_lam) self.logger.log("calcs for lambda {0}".format(cur_lam_mult)) scaled_ident = Cov.identity_like(s) * (cur_lam + 1.0) scaled_ident += s**2 scaled_ident = scaled_ident.inv # build up this matrix as a single element so we can apply # localization self.logger.log("building upgrade_1 matrix") upgrade_1 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_delta_par) *\ v * s * scaled_ident * u.T self.logger.log("building upgrade_1 matrix") # apply localization if localizer is not None: self.logger.log("applying localization") upgrade_1.hadamard_product(localizer) self.logger.log("applying localization") # apply residual information self.logger.log("applying residuals") upgrade_1 *= obs_diff self.logger.log("applying residuals") self.logger.log("processing upgrade_1") upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.to_dataframe() upgrade_1.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.T upgrade_1.index = [int(i) for i in upgrade_1.index] upgrade_1.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_1.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) if upgrade_1.isnull().values.any(): self.logger.lraise("NaNs in upgrade_1") self.logger.log("processing upgrade_1") #print(upgrade_1.isnull().values.any()) #print(parensemble_cur_lam.index) #print(upgrade_1.index) parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_1 # parameter-based upgrade portion if not use_approx and self.iter_num > 1: self.logger.log("building upgrade_2 matrix") par_diff = (self.parensemble - self.parensemble_0.loc[self.parensemble.index,:]).\ as_pyemu_matrix().T x4 = self.Am.T * self.half_parcov_diag * par_diff x5 = self.Am * x4 x6 = scaled_delta_par.T * x5 x7 = v * scaled_ident * v.T * x6 upgrade_2 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_delta_par * x7).to_dataframe() upgrade_2.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_2 = upgrade_2.T upgrade_2.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_2.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) upgrade_2.index = [int(i) for i in upgrade_2.index] if upgrade_2.isnull().values.any(): self.logger.lraise("NaNs in upgrade_2") parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_2 self.logger.log("building upgrade_2 matrix") parensemble_cur_lam.enforce(self.enforce_bounds) # this is for testing failed runs on upgrade testing # works with the 10par_xsec smoother test #parensemble_cur_lam.iloc[:,:] = -1000000.0 paren_lam.append(pd.DataFrame(parensemble_cur_lam.loc[:, :])) self.logger.log("calcs for lambda {0}".format(cur_lam_mult)) if calc_only: return # subset if needed # and combine lambda par ensembles into one par ensemble for evaluation if run_subset is not None and run_subset < self.parensemble.shape[0]: #subset_idx = ["{0:d}".format(i) for i in np.random.randint(0,self.parensemble.shape[0]-1,run_subset)] subset_idx = self.parensemble.iloc[:run_subset, :].index.values self.logger.statement("subset idxs: " + ','.join([str(s) for s in subset_idx])) paren_lam_subset = [pe.loc[subset_idx, :] for pe in paren_lam] paren_combine = pd.concat(paren_lam_subset, ignore_index=True) paren_lam_subset = None else: subset_idx = self.parensemble.index.values paren_combine = pd.concat(paren_lam, ignore_index=True) self.logger.log("evaluating ensembles for lambdas : {0}".\ format(','.join(["{0:8.3E}".format(l) for l in lam_vals]))) failed_runs, obsen_combine = self._calc_obs(paren_combine) #if failed_runs is not None: # obsen_combine.loc[failed_runs,:] = np.NaN self.logger.log("evaluating ensembles for lambdas : {0}".\ format(','.join(["{0:8.3E}".format(l) for l in lam_vals]))) paren_combine = None if failed_runs is not None and len( failed_runs) == obsen_combine.shape[0]: self.logger.lraise("all runs failed - cannot continue") # unpack lambda obs ensembles from combined obs ensemble nrun_per_lam = self.obsensemble.shape[0] if run_subset is not None: nrun_per_lam = run_subset obsen_lam = [] for i in range(len(lam_vals)): sidx = i * nrun_per_lam eidx = sidx + nrun_per_lam oe = ObservationEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=obsen_combine.iloc[sidx:eidx, :].copy(), pst=self.pst) oe.index = subset_idx # check for failed runs in this set - drop failed runs from obs ensembles if failed_runs is not None: failed_runs_this = np.array( [f for f in failed_runs if f >= sidx and f < eidx]) - sidx if len(failed_runs_this) > 0: if len(failed_runs_this) == oe.shape[0]: self.logger.warn( "all runs failed for lambda {0}".format( lam_vals[i])) else: self.logger.warn("{0} run failed for lambda {1}".\ format(len(failed_runs_this),lam_vals[i])) oe.iloc[failed_runs_this, :] = np.NaN oe = oe.dropna() # don't drop bad reals here, instead, mask bad reals in the lambda # selection and drop later # if self.drop_bad_reals is not None: # assert isinstance(drop_bad_reals, float) # drop_idx = np.argwhere(self.current_phi_vec > self.drop_bad_reals).flatten() # run_ids = self.obsensemble.index.values # drop_idx = run_ids[drop_idx] # if len(drop_idx) == self.obsensemble.shape[0]: # raise Exception("dropped all realizations as 'bad'") # if len(drop_idx) > 0: # self.logger.warn("{0} realizations dropped as 'bad' (indices :{1})". \ # format(len(drop_idx), ','.join([str(d) for d in drop_idx]))) # self.parensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN # self.parensemble = self.parensemble.dropna() # self.obsensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN # self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble.dropna() # # self.current_phi_vec = self._calc_phi_vec(self.obsensemble) obsen_lam.append(oe) obsen_combine = None # here is where we need to select out the "best" lambda par and obs # ensembles self.logger.statement("\n**************************") self.logger.statement(str(datetime.now())) self.logger.statement("total runs:{0}".format(self.total_runs)) self.logger.statement("iteration: {0}".format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.statement("current lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda, self.last_best_mean,self.last_best_std)) phi_vecs = [self._calc_phi_vec(obsen) for obsen in obsen_lam] if self.drop_bad_reals is not None: for i, pv in enumerate(phi_vecs): #for testing the drop_bad_reals functionality #pv[[0,3,7]] = self.drop_bad_reals + 1.0 pv[pv > self.drop_bad_reals] = np.NaN pv = pv[~np.isnan(pv)] if len(pv) == 0: raise Exception("all realization for lambda {0} dropped as 'bad'".\ format(lam_vals[i])) phi_vecs[i] = pv mean_std = [(pv.mean(), pv.std()) for pv in phi_vecs] update_pars = False update_lambda = False # accept a new best if its within 10% best_mean = self.last_best_mean * 1.1 best_std = self.last_best_std * 1.1 best_i = 0 for i, (m, s) in enumerate(mean_std): self.logger.statement(" tested lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[i],m,s)) if m < best_mean: update_pars = True best_mean = m best_i = i if s < best_std: update_lambda = True best_std = s if np.isnan(best_mean): self.logger.lraise("best mean = NaN") if np.isnan(best_std): self.logger.lraise("best std = NaN") if not update_pars: self.current_lambda *= max(lambda_mults) * 10.0 self.current_lambda = min(self.current_lambda, 100000) self.logger.statement("not accepting iteration, increased lambda:{0}".\ format(self.current_lambda)) else: self.parensemble = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=paren_lam[best_i], pst=self.pst) if run_subset is not None: failed_runs, self.obsensemble = self._calc_obs( self.parensemble) if failed_runs is not None: self.logger.warn("dropping failed realizations") self.parensemble.loc[failed_runs, :] = np.NaN self.parensemble = self.parensemble.dropna() self.obsensemble.loc[failed_runs, :] = np.NaN self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble.dropna() self.current_phi_vec = self._calc_phi_vec(self.obsensemble) #self._phi_report(self.current_phi_vec,self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) best_mean = self.current_phi_vec.mean() best_std = self.current_phi_vec.std() else: self.obsensemble = obsen_lam[best_i] # reindex parensemble in case failed runs self.parensemble = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=self.parensemble.loc[self.obsensemble.index], pst=self.pst) self.current_phi_vec = phi_vecs[best_i] if self.drop_bad_reals is not None: # for testing drop_bad_reals functionality # self.current_phi_vec[::2] = self.drop_bad_reals + 1.0 drop_idx = np.argwhere( self.current_phi_vec > self.drop_bad_reals).flatten() run_ids = self.obsensemble.index.values drop_idx = run_ids[drop_idx] if len(drop_idx) > self.obsensemble.shape[0] - 3: raise Exception("dropped too many realizations as 'bad'") if len(drop_idx) > 0: self.logger.warn("{0} realizations dropped as 'bad' (indices :{1})". \ format(len(drop_idx), ','.join([str(d) for d in drop_idx]))) self.parensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN self.parensemble = self.parensemble.dropna() self.obsensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble.dropna() self.current_phi_vec = self._calc_phi_vec(self.obsensemble) best_mean = self.current_phi_vec.mean() best_std = self.current_phi_vec.std() self._phi_report(self.phi_csv, self.current_phi_vec, self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) self._phi_report(self.phi_act_csv, self.obsensemble.phi_vector.values, self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) self.logger.statement(" best lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda*lambda_mults[best_i], best_mean,best_std)) self.logger.statement(" actual mean phi: {0:15.6G}".format( float(self.current_actual_phi.mean()))) self.last_best_mean = best_mean self.last_best_std = best_std if update_lambda: # be aggressive self.current_lambda *= (lambda_mults[best_i] * 0.75) # but don't let lambda get too small self.current_lambda = max(self.current_lambda, 0.00001) self.logger.statement("updating lambda: {0:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda )) self.logger.statement("**************************\n") self.parensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.paren_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num)) self.obsensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.obsen_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num)) if self.raw_sweep_out is not None: self.raw_sweep_out.to_csv(self.pst.filename+"_raw{0}".\ format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.log("iteration {0}".format(self.iter_num))
def update(self, lambda_mults=[1.0], localizer=None, run_subset=None, use_approx=True): if run_subset is not None: if run_subset >= self.obsensemble.shape[0]: self.logger.warn("run_subset ({0}) >= num of active reals ({1})...ignoring ".\ format(run_subset,self.obsensemble.shape[0])) run_subset = None self.iter_num += 1 self.logger.log("iteration {0}".format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.statement("{0} active realizations".format( self.obsensemble.shape[0])) if self.obsensemble.shape[0] < 2: self.logger.lraise( "at least active 2 realizations (really like 300) are needed to update" ) if not self.__initialized: #raise Exception("must call initialize() before update()") self.logger.lraise("must call initialize() before update()") self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta obs") scaled_delta_obs = self._calc_delta_obs(self.obsensemble) self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta obs") self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta par") scaled_delta_par = self._calc_delta_par(self.parensemble) self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta par") self.logger.log("calculate pseudo inv comps") u, s, v = scaled_delta_obs.pseudo_inv_components() self.logger.log("calculate pseudo inv comps") self.logger.log("calculate obs diff matrix") obs_diff = self.obscov_inv_sqrt * self._get_residual_matrix( self.obsensemble).T self.logger.log("calculate obs diff matrix") # here is the math part...calculate upgrade matrices mean_lam, std_lam, paren_lam, obsen_lam = [], [], [], [] lam_vals = [] for ilam, cur_lam_mult in enumerate(lambda_mults): parensemble_cur_lam = self.parensemble.copy() #print(parensemble_cur_lam.isnull().values.any()) cur_lam = self.current_lambda * cur_lam_mult lam_vals.append(cur_lam) self.logger.log("calcs for lambda {0}".format(cur_lam_mult)) scaled_ident = Cov.identity_like(s) * (cur_lam + 1.0) scaled_ident += s**2 scaled_ident = scaled_ident.inv # build up this matrix as a single element so we can apply # localization self.logger.log("building upgrade_1 matrix") upgrade_1 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_delta_par) *\ v * s * scaled_ident * u.T self.logger.log("building upgrade_1 matrix") # apply localization if localizer is not None: self.logger.log("applying localization") upgrade_1.hadamard_product(localizer) self.logger.log("applying localization") # apply residual information self.logger.log("applying residuals") upgrade_1 *= obs_diff self.logger.log("applying residuals") self.logger.log("processing upgrade_1") upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.to_dataframe() upgrade_1.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.T upgrade_1.index = [int(i) for i in upgrade_1.index] upgrade_1.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_1.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) if upgrade_1.isnull().values.any(): self.logger.lraise("NaNs in upgrade_1") self.logger.log("processing upgrade_1") #print(upgrade_1.isnull().values.any()) #print(parensemble_cur_lam.index) #print(upgrade_1.index) parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_1 # parameter-based upgrade portion if not use_approx and self.iter_num > 1: self.logger.log("building upgrade_2 matrix") par_diff = (self.parensemble - self.parensemble_0.loc[self.parensemble.index,:]).\ as_pyemu_matrix().T x4 = self.Am.T * self.half_parcov_diag * par_diff x5 = self.Am * x4 x6 = scaled_delta_par.T * x5 x7 = v * scaled_ident * v.T * x6 upgrade_2 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_delta_par * x7).to_dataframe() upgrade_2.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_2 = upgrade_2.T upgrade_2.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_2.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) upgrade_2.index = [int(i) for i in upgrade_2.index] if upgrade_2.isnull().values.any(): self.logger.lraise("NaNs in upgrade_2") parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_2 self.logger.log("building upgrade_2 matrix") parensemble_cur_lam.enforce(self.enforce_bounds) # this is for testing failed runs on upgrade testing # works with the 10par_xsec smoother test #parensemble_cur_lam.iloc[:,:] = -1000000.0 paren_lam.append(pd.DataFrame(parensemble_cur_lam.loc[:, :])) self.logger.log("calcs for lambda {0}".format(cur_lam_mult)) # subset if needed # and combine lambda par ensembles into one par ensemble for evaluation if run_subset is not None and run_subset < self.parensemble.shape[0]: #subset_idx = ["{0:d}".format(i) for i in np.random.randint(0,self.parensemble.shape[0]-1,run_subset)] subset_idx = self.parensemble.iloc[:run_subset, :].index.values self.logger.statement("subset idxs: " + ','.join([str(s) for s in subset_idx])) paren_lam_subset = [pe.loc[subset_idx, :] for pe in paren_lam] paren_combine = pd.concat(paren_lam_subset, ignore_index=True) paren_lam_subset = None else: subset_idx = self.parensemble.index.values paren_combine = pd.concat(paren_lam, ignore_index=True) self.logger.log("evaluating ensembles for lambdas : {0}".\ format(','.join(["{0:8.3E}".format(l) for l in lam_vals]))) failed_runs, obsen_combine = self._calc_obs(paren_combine) #if failed_runs is not None: # obsen_combine.loc[failed_runs,:] = np.NaN self.logger.log("evaluating ensembles for lambdas : {0}".\ format(','.join(["{0:8.3E}".format(l) for l in lam_vals]))) paren_combine = None if failed_runs is not None and len( failed_runs) == obsen_combine.shape[0]: self.logger.lraise("all runs failed - cannot continue") # unpack lambda obs ensembles from combined obs ensemble nrun_per_lam = self.obsensemble.shape[0] if run_subset is not None: nrun_per_lam = run_subset obsen_lam = [] for i in range(len(lam_vals)): sidx = i * nrun_per_lam eidx = sidx + nrun_per_lam oe = ObservationEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=obsen_combine.iloc[sidx:eidx, :].copy(), pst=self.pst) oe.index = subset_idx # check for failed runs in this set - drop failed runs from obs ensembles if failed_runs is not None: failed_runs_this = np.array( [f for f in failed_runs if f >= sidx and f < eidx]) - sidx if len(failed_runs_this) > 0: if len(failed_runs_this) == oe.shape[0]: self.logger.warn( "all runs failed for lambda {0}".format( lam_vals[i])) else: self.logger.warn("{0} run failed for lambda {1}".\ format(len(failed_runs_this),lam_vals[i])) oe.iloc[failed_runs_this, :] = np.NaN oe = oe.dropna() obsen_lam.append(oe) obsen_combine = None # here is where we need to select out the "best" lambda par and obs # ensembles self.logger.statement("\n**************************") self.logger.statement(str(datetime.now())) self.logger.statement("total runs:{0}".format(self.total_runs)) self.logger.statement("iteration: {0}".format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.statement("current lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda, self.last_best_mean,self.last_best_std)) phi_vecs = [self._calc_phi_vec(obsen) for obsen in obsen_lam] mean_std = [(pv.mean(), pv.std()) for pv in phi_vecs] update_pars = False update_lambda = False # accept a new best if its within 10% best_mean = self.last_best_mean * 1.1 best_std = self.last_best_std * 1.1 best_i = 0 for i, (m, s) in enumerate(mean_std): self.logger.statement(" tested lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[i],m,s)) if m < best_mean: update_pars = True best_mean = m best_i = i if s < best_std: update_lambda = True best_std = s if np.isnan(best_mean): self.logger.lraise("best mean = NaN") if np.isnan(best_std): self.logger.lraise("best std = NaN") if not update_pars: self.current_lambda *= max(lambda_mults) * 10.0 self.current_lambda = min(self.current_lambda, 100000) self.logger.statement("not accepting iteration, increased lambda:{0}".\ format(self.current_lambda)) else: self.parensemble = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=paren_lam[best_i], pst=self.pst) if run_subset is not None: failed_runs, self.obsensemble = self._calc_obs( self.parensemble) if failed_runs is not None: self.logger.warn("dropping failed realizations") self.parensemble = self.parensemble.drop(failed_runs) self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble.drop(failed_runs) self.current_phi_vec = self._calc_phi_vec(self.obsensemble) self._phi_report(self.current_phi_vec, self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) best_mean = self.current_phi_vec.mean() best_std = self.current_phi_vec.std() else: self.obsensemble = obsen_lam[best_i] # reindex parensemble in case failed runs self.parensemble = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=self.parensemble.loc[self.obsensemble.index], pst=self.pst) self._phi_report(phi_vecs[best_i], self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) self.current_phi_vec = phi_vecs[best_i] self.logger.statement(" best lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda*lambda_mults[best_i], best_mean,best_std)) self.last_best_mean = best_mean self.last_best_std = best_std if update_lambda: # be aggressive self.current_lambda *= (lambda_mults[best_i] * 0.75) # but don't let lambda get too small self.current_lambda = max(self.current_lambda, 0.001) self.logger.statement("updating lambda: {0:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda )) self.logger.statement("**************************\n") self.parensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.paren_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num)) self.obsensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.obsen_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num)) if self.raw_sweep_out is not None: self.raw_sweep_out.to_csv(self.pst.filename+"_raw{0}".\ format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.log("iteration {0}".format(self.iter_num))
def update(self, lambda_mults=[1.0], localizer=None, run_subset=None, use_approx=True, calc_only=False): """update the iES one GLM cycle Parameters ---------- lambda_mults : list a list of lambda multipliers to test. Each lambda mult value will require evaluating (a subset of) the parameter ensemble. localizer : pyemu.Matrix a jacobian localizing matrix run_subset : int the number of realizations to test for each lambda_mult value. For example, if run_subset = 30 and num_reals=100, the first 30 realizations will be run (in parallel) for each lambda_mult value. Then the best lambda_mult is selected and the remaining 70 realizations for that lambda_mult value are run (in parallel). use_approx : bool a flag to use the MLE or MAP upgrade solution. True indicates use MLE solution calc_only : bool a flag to calculate the upgrade matrix only (not run the ensemble). This is mostly for debugging and testing on travis. Default is False Example ------- ``>>>import pyemu`` ``>>>es = pyemu.EnsembleSmoother(pst="pest.pst")`` ``>>>es.initialize(num_reals=100)`` ``>>>es.update(lambda_mults=[0.1,1.0,10.0],run_subset=30)`` """ #if not self.parensemble.istransformed: # self.parensemble._transform(inplace=False) if run_subset is not None: if run_subset >= self.obsensemble.shape[0]: self.logger.warn("run_subset ({0}) >= num of active reals ({1})...ignoring ".\ format(run_subset,self.obsensemble.shape[0])) run_subset = None self.iter_num += 1 mat_prefix = self.pst.filename.replace('.pst', '') + ".{0}".format( self.iter_num) self.logger.log("iteration {0}".format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.statement("{0} active realizations".format( self.obsensemble.shape[0])) if self.obsensemble.shape[0] < 2: self.logger.lraise( "at least active 2 realizations (really like 300) are needed to update" ) if not self._initialized: #raise Exception("must call initialize() before update()") self.logger.lraise("must call initialize() before update()") self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta obs") scaled_delta_obs = self._calc_delta_obs(self.obsensemble) self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta obs") self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta par") scaled_delta_par = self._calc_delta_par(self.parensemble) self.logger.log("calculate scaled delta par") self.logger.log("calculate pseudo inv comps") u, s, v = scaled_delta_obs.pseudo_inv_components( eigthresh=self.pst.svd_data.eigthresh) s.col_names = s.row_names self.logger.log("calculate pseudo inv comps") self.logger.log("calculate obs diff matrix") #obs_diff = self.obscov_inv_sqrt * self._get_residual_obs_matrix(self.obsensemble).T obs_diff = self.obscov_inv_sqrt * self.phi.get_residual_obs_matrix( self.obsensemble).T self.logger.log("calculate obs diff matrix") if self.save_mats: np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".obs_diff.dat", scaled_delta_obs.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".par_diff.dat", scaled_delta_par.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".u.dat", u.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".s.dat", s.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".v.dat", v.x, fmt="%15.6e") # here is the math part...calculate upgrade matrices mean_lam, std_lam, paren_lam, obsen_lam = [], [], [], [] lam_vals = [] for ilam, cur_lam_mult in enumerate(lambda_mults): parensemble_cur_lam = self.parensemble.copy() #print(parensemble_cur_lam.isnull().values.any()) cur_lam = self.current_lambda * cur_lam_mult lam_vals.append(cur_lam) self.logger.log("calcs for lambda {0}".format(cur_lam_mult)) scaled_ident = Cov.identity_like(s) * (cur_lam + 1.0) scaled_ident += s**2 scaled_ident = scaled_ident.inv # build up this matrix as a single element so we can apply # localization self.logger.log("building upgrade_1 matrix") upgrade_1 = -1.0 * (self.parcov_inv_sqrt * scaled_delta_par) *\ v * s * scaled_ident * u.T if self.save_mats: np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".ivec.dat".format(self.iter_num), scaled_ident.x, fmt="%15.6e") self.logger.log("building upgrade_1 matrix") # apply localization if localizer is not None: self.logger.log("applying localization") upgrade_1.hadamard_product(localizer) self.logger.log("applying localization") # apply residual information self.logger.log("applying residuals") upgrade_1 *= obs_diff self.logger.log("applying residuals") self.logger.log("processing upgrade_1") if self.save_mats: np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".upgrade_1.dat", upgrade_1.T.x, fmt="%15.6e") upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.to_dataframe() upgrade_1.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.T upgrade_1.index = [int(i) for i in upgrade_1.index] upgrade_1.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_1.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) if upgrade_1.isnull().values.any(): self.logger.lraise("NaNs in upgrade_1") self.logger.log("processing upgrade_1") #print(upgrade_1.isnull().values.any()) #print(parensemble_cur_lam.index) #print(upgrade_1.index) parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_1 # parameter-based upgrade portion if not use_approx and self.iter_num > 1: #if True: self.logger.log("building upgrade_2 matrix") par_diff = (self.parensemble - self.parensemble_0.loc[self.parensemble.index,:]).\ as_pyemu_matrix().T x4 = self.Am.T * self.parcov_inv_sqrt * par_diff x5 = self.Am * x4 x6 = scaled_delta_par.T * x5 x7 = v * scaled_ident * v.T * x6 ug2_mat = -1.0 * (self.parcov_inv_sqrt * scaled_delta_par * x7) upgrade_2 = ug2_mat.to_dataframe() upgrade_2.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_2 = upgrade_2.T upgrade_2.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_2.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) upgrade_2.index = [int(i) for i in upgrade_2.index] if self.save_mats: np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".scaled_par_resid.dat", par_diff.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".x4.dat", x4.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".x5.dat", x5.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".x6.dat", x6.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".x7.dat", x7.x, fmt="%15.6e") np.savetxt(mat_prefix + ".upgrade_2.dat", ug2_mat.T.x, fmt="%15.6e") if upgrade_2.isnull().values.any(): self.logger.lraise("NaNs in upgrade_2") parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_2 self.logger.log("building upgrade_2 matrix") self.logger.log("enforcing bounds") parensemble_cur_lam.enforce(self.enforce_bounds) self.logger.log("enforcing bounds") self.logger.log("filling fixed parameters") #fill in fixed pars with initial values fi = parensemble_cur_lam.fixed_indexer li = parensemble_cur_lam.log_indexer log_values = self.pst.parameter_data.loc[:, "parval1"].copy() log_values.loc[li] = log_values.loc[li].apply(np.log10) fixed_vals = log_values.loc[fi] for fname, fval in zip(fixed_vals.index, fixed_vals.values): # if fname not in df.columns: # continue # print(fname) parensemble_cur_lam.loc[:, fname] = fval self.logger.log("filling fixed parameters") # this is for testing failed runs on upgrade testing # works with the 10par_xsec smoother test #parensemble_cur_lam.iloc[:,:] = -1000000.0 # some hackery - we lose track of the transform flag here, but just # know it is transformed. Need to create dataframe here because # pd.concat doesn't like par ensembles later paren_lam.append(pd.DataFrame(parensemble_cur_lam.loc[:, :])) self.logger.log("calcs for lambda {0}".format(cur_lam_mult)) if calc_only: return # subset if needed # and combine lambda par ensembles into one par ensemble for evaluation if run_subset is not None and run_subset < self.parensemble.shape[0]: #subset_idx = ["{0:d}".format(i) for i in np.random.randint(0,self.parensemble.shape[0]-1,run_subset)] subset_idx = self.parensemble.iloc[:run_subset, :].index.values self.logger.statement("subset idxs: " + ','.join([str(s) for s in subset_idx])) # more tracking of transformed - just know it! Creating dataframes... paren_lam_subset = [pe.loc[subset_idx, :] for pe in paren_lam] paren_combine = pd.concat(paren_lam_subset, ignore_index=True) paren_lam_subset = None else: subset_idx = self.parensemble.index.values paren_combine = pd.concat(paren_lam, ignore_index=True) self.logger.log("evaluating ensembles for lambdas : {0}".\ format(','.join(["{0:8.3E}".format(l) for l in lam_vals]))) # back to par ensemble and know it is transformed paren_combine = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe(df=paren_combine, pst=self.pst, istransformed=True) failed_runs, obsen_combine = self._calc_obs(paren_combine) self.logger.log("evaluating ensembles for lambdas : {0}".\ format(','.join(["{0:8.3E}".format(l) for l in lam_vals]))) paren_combine = None if failed_runs is not None and len( failed_runs) == obsen_combine.shape[0]: self.logger.lraise("all runs failed - cannot continue") # unpack lambda obs ensembles from combined obs ensemble nrun_per_lam = self.obsensemble.shape[0] if run_subset is not None: nrun_per_lam = run_subset obsen_lam = [] for i in range(len(lam_vals)): sidx = i * nrun_per_lam eidx = sidx + nrun_per_lam oe = ObservationEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=obsen_combine.iloc[sidx:eidx, :].copy(), pst=self.pst) oe.index = subset_idx # check for failed runs in this set - drop failed runs from obs ensembles if failed_runs is not None: failed_runs_this = np.array( [f for f in failed_runs if f >= sidx and f < eidx]) - sidx if len(failed_runs_this) > 0: if len(failed_runs_this) == oe.shape[0]: self.logger.warn( "all runs failed for lambda {0}".format( lam_vals[i])) else: self.logger.warn("{0} run failed for lambda {1}".\ format(len(failed_runs_this),lam_vals[i])) oe.iloc[failed_runs_this, :] = np.NaN oe = oe.dropna() paren_lam[i].iloc[failed_runs_this, :] = np.NaN paren_lam[i] = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=paren_lam[i].dropna(), pst=self.pst) paren_lam[i].__instransformed = True # don't drop bad reals here, instead, mask bad reals in the lambda # selection and drop later # if self.drop_bad_reals is not None: # assert isinstance(drop_bad_reals, float) # drop_idx = np.argwhere(self.current_phi_vec > self.drop_bad_reals).flatten() # run_ids = self.obsensemble.index.values # drop_idx = run_ids[drop_idx] # if len(drop_idx) == self.obsensemble.shape[0]: # raise Exception("dropped all realizations as 'bad'") # if len(drop_idx) > 0: # self.logger.warn("{0} realizations dropped as 'bad' (indices :{1})". \ # format(len(drop_idx), ','.join([str(d) for d in drop_idx]))) # self.parensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN # self.parensemble = self.parensemble.dropna() # self.obsensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN # self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble.dropna() # # self.current_phi_vec = self._calc_phi_vec(self.obsensemble) obsen_lam.append(oe) obsen_combine = None # here is where we need to select out the "best" lambda par and obs # ensembles #phi_vecs = [self._calc_phi_vec(obsen) for obsen in obsen_lam] #phi_vecs_reg = [self._calc_regul_phi_vec(paren) for paren in paren_lam] #if self.regul_factor > 0.0: # for i,(pv,prv) in enumerate(zip(phi_vecs,phi_vecs_reg)): # phi_vecs[i] = pv + (prv * self.regul_factor) self.logger.log("calc lambda phi vectors") phi_vecs = [ self.phi.get_meas_and_regul_phi(oe, pe.loc[oe.index, :]) for oe, pe in zip(obsen_lam, paren_lam) ] self.logger.log("calc lambda phi vectors") if self.drop_bad_reals is not None: for i, (meas_pv, regul_pv) in enumerate(phi_vecs): #for testing the drop_bad_reals functionality #pv[[0,3,7]] = self.drop_bad_reals + 1.0 regul_pv = regul_pv.copy() regul_pv[meas_pv > self.drop_bad_reals] = np.NaN regul_pv = regul_pv[~np.isnan(regul_pv)] meas_pv[meas_pv > self.drop_bad_reals] = np.NaN meas_pv = meas_pv[~np.isnan(meas_pv)] if len(meas_pv) == 0: #raise Exception("all realization for lambda {0} dropped as 'bad'".\ # format(lam_vals[i])) self.logger.warn( "all realizations for lambda {0} marked as 'bad'") meas_pv = np.zeros_like(obsen_lam[0].shape[0]) + 1.0e+30 regul_pv = np.zeros_like(obsen_lam[0].shape[0]) + 1.0e+30 phi_vecs[i] = (meas_pv, regul_pv) mean_std_meas = [(pv[0].mean(), pv[0].std()) for pv in phi_vecs] mean_std_regul = [(pv[1].mean(), pv[1].std()) for pv in phi_vecs] update_pars = False update_lambda = False self.logger.statement("**************************") # self.logger.statement(str(datetime.now())) self.logger.statement("lambda testing summary") self.logger.statement("total runs:{0}".format(self.total_runs)) self.logger.statement("iteration: {0}".format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.statement("current lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}". \ format(self.current_lambda, self.last_best_mean, self.last_best_std)) # accept a new best if its within 10% best_mean = self.last_best_mean * 1.1 best_std = self.last_best_std * 1.1 best_i = 0 for i, ((mm, ms), (rm, rs)) in enumerate(zip(mean_std_meas, mean_std_regul)): self.logger.statement( " tested lambda:{0:15.6G}, meas mean:{1:15.6G}, meas std:{2:15.6G}" .format(self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[i], mm, ms)) self.logger.statement("{0:30s}regul mean:{1:15.6G}, regul std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(' ',rm,rs)) m = mm + (self.regul_factor * rm) s = ms + (self.regul_factor * rs) if m < best_mean: update_pars = True best_mean = m best_i = i if s < best_std: update_lambda = True best_std = s if np.isnan(best_mean): self.logger.lraise("best mean = NaN") if np.isnan(best_std): self.logger.lraise("best std = NaN") if not update_pars: self.current_lambda *= max(lambda_mults) * 10.0 self.current_lambda = min(self.current_lambda, 100000) self.logger.statement("not accepting iteration, increased lambda:{0}".\ format(self.current_lambda)) else: #more transformation status hard coding - ugly self.parensemble = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=paren_lam[best_i], pst=self.pst, istransformed=True) if run_subset is not None: failed_runs, self.obsensemble = self._calc_obs( self.parensemble) if failed_runs is not None: self.logger.warn("dropping failed realizations") self.parensemble.loc[failed_runs, :] = np.NaN self.parensemble = self.parensemble.dropna() self.obsensemble.loc[failed_runs, :] = np.NaN self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble.dropna() self.phi.update() best_mean = self.phi.comp_phi.mean() best_std = self.phi.comp_phi.std() else: self.obsensemble = obsen_lam[best_i] # reindex parensemble in case failed runs self.parensemble = ParameterEnsemble.from_dataframe( df=self.parensemble.loc[self.obsensemble.index], pst=self.pst, istransformed=self.parensemble.istransformed) self.phi.update() if self.drop_bad_reals is not None: # for testing drop_bad_reals functionality # self.current_phi_vec[::2] = self.drop_bad_reals + 1.0 #drop_idx = np.argwhere(self.current_phi_vec > self.drop_bad_reals).flatten() drop_idx = np.argwhere( self.phi.comp_phi > self.drop_bad_reals).flatten() run_ids = self.obsensemble.index.values drop_idx = run_ids[drop_idx] if len(drop_idx) > self.obsensemble.shape[0] - 3: raise Exception("dropped too many realizations as 'bad'") if len(drop_idx) > 0: self.logger.warn("{0} realizations dropped as 'bad' (indices :{1})". \ format(len(drop_idx), ','.join([str(d) for d in drop_idx]))) self.parensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN self.parensemble = self.parensemble.dropna() self.obsensemble.loc[drop_idx, :] = np.NaN self.obsensemble = self.obsensemble.dropna() self.phi.update() best_mean = self.phi.comp_phi.mean() best_std = self.phi.comp_phi.std() self.phi.report(cur_lam=self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) self.logger.statement(" best lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda*lambda_mults[best_i], best_mean,best_std)) #self.logger.statement(" actual mean phi: {0:15.6G}".format(float(self.current_actual_phi.mean()))) self.last_best_mean = best_mean self.last_best_std = best_std if update_lambda: # be aggressive self.current_lambda *= (lambda_mults[best_i] * 0.75) # but don't let lambda get too small self.current_lambda = max(self.current_lambda, 0.00001) self.logger.statement("updating lambda: {0:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda )) self.logger.statement("**************************\n") self.parensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.paren_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num)) self.obsensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.obsen_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num)) if self.raw_sweep_out is not None: self.raw_sweep_out.to_csv(self.pst.filename+"_sweepraw{0}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) self.logger.log("iteration {0}".format(self.iter_num))
def update(self,lambda_mults=[1.0],localizer=None,run_subset=None): self.iter_num += 1 if not self.__initialized: raise Exception("must call initialize() before update()") scaled_delta_obs = self._calc_delta_obs(self.obsensemble) scaled_delta_par = self._calc_delta_par(self.parensemble) u,s,v = scaled_delta_obs.pseudo_inv_components() obs_diff = self._get_residual_matrix(self.obsensemble) if run_subset is not None: subset_idx = ["{0:d}".format(i) for i in np.random.randint(0,self.num_reals-1,run_subset)] print("subset idxs: " + ','.join(subset_idx)) mean_lam,std_lam,paren_lam,obsen_lam = [],[],[],[] for ilam,cur_lam_mult in enumerate(lambda_mults): parensemble_cur_lam = self.parensemble.copy() cur_lam = self.current_lambda * cur_lam_mult scaled_ident = Cov.identity_like(s) * (cur_lam+1.0) scaled_ident += s**2 scaled_ident = scaled_ident.inv # build up this matrix as a single element so we can apply # localization upgrade_1 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_delta_par) *\ v * s * scaled_ident * u.T # apply localization #print(cur_lam,upgrade_1) if localizer is not None: upgrade_1.hadamard_product(localizer) # apply residual information upgrade_1 *= (self.obscov_inv_sqrt * obs_diff.T) upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.to_dataframe() upgrade_1.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_1 = upgrade_1.T upgrade_1.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_1.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_1 # parameter-based upgrade portion if not self.use_approx and self.iter_num > 1: par_diff = (self.parensemble - self.parensemble_0).\ as_pyemu_matrix().T x4 = self.Am.T * self.half_parcov_diag * par_diff x5 = self.Am * x4 x6 = scaled_delta_par.T * x5 x7 = v * scaled_ident * v.T * x6 upgrade_2 = -1.0 * (self.half_parcov_diag * scaled_delta_par * x7).to_dataframe() upgrade_2.index.name = "parnme" upgrade_2.T.to_csv(self.pst.filename+".upgrade_2.{0:04d}.csv".\ format(self.iter_num)) parensemble_cur_lam += upgrade_2.T parensemble_cur_lam.enforce() paren_lam.append(parensemble_cur_lam) if run_subset is not None: #phi_series = pd.Series(data=self.current_phi_vec) #phi_series.sort_values(inplace=True,ascending=False) #subset_idx = ["{0:d}".format(i) for i in phi_series.index.values[:run_subset]] parensemble_subset = parensemble_cur_lam.loc[subset_idx,:] obsensemble_cur_lam = self._calc_obs(parensemble_subset) else: obsensemble_cur_lam = self._calc_obs(parensemble_cur_lam) #print(obsensemble_cur_lam.head()) obsen_lam.append(obsensemble_cur_lam) # here is where we need to select out the "best" lambda par and obs # ensembles print("\n**************************") print(str(datetime.now())) print("total runs:{0}".format(self.total_runs)) print("iteration: {0}".format(self.iter_num)) print("current lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda, self.last_best_mean,self.last_best_std)) phi_vecs = [self._calc_phi_vec(obsen) for obsen in obsen_lam] mean_std = [(pv.mean(),pv.std()) for pv in phi_vecs] update_pars = False update_lambda = False # accept a new best if its within 10% best_mean = self.last_best_mean * 1.1 best_std = self.last_best_std * 1.1 best_i = 0 for i,(m,s) in enumerate(mean_std): print(" tested lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[i],m,s)) if m < best_mean: update_pars = True best_mean = m best_i = i if s < best_std: update_lambda = True best_std = s if not update_pars: self.current_lambda *= max(lambda_mults) * 3.0 self.current_lambda = min(self.current_lambda,100000) print("not accepting iteration, increased lambda:{0}".\ format(self.current_lambda)) else: self.parensemble = paren_lam[best_i] if run_subset is not None: self.obsensemble = self._calc_obs(self.parensemble) self.current_phi_vec = self._calc_phi_vec(self.obsensemble) self._phi_report(self.current_phi_vec,self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) best_mean = self.current_phi_vec.mean() best_std = self.current_phi_vec.std() else: self.obsensemble = obsen_lam[best_i] self._phi_report(phi_vecs[best_i],self.current_lambda * lambda_mults[best_i]) self.current_phi_vec = phi_vecs[best_i] print("\n" + " best lambda:{0:15.6G}, mean:{1:15.6G}, std:{2:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda*lambda_mults[best_i], best_mean,best_std)) self.last_best_mean = best_mean self.last_best_std = best_std if update_lambda: # be aggressive - cut best lambda in half self.current_lambda *= (lambda_mults[best_i] * 0.75) # but don't let lambda get too small self.current_lambda = max(self.current_lambda,0.001) print("updating lambda: {0:15.6G}".\ format(self.current_lambda )) print("**************************\n") self.parensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.paren_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num)) self.obsensemble.to_csv(self.pst.filename+self.obsen_prefix.\ format(self.iter_num))
def mat_test(): import os import numpy as np from pyemu.mat import Jco, Cov test_dir = os.path.join("mat") if not os.path.exists(test_dir): os.mkdir(test_dir) arr = np.arange(0, 12) arr.resize(4, 3) first = Jco(x=arr, col_names=["p1", "p2", "p3"], row_names=["o1", "o2", "o3", "o4"]) first.to_binary(os.path.join(test_dir, "test.bin")) first.from_binary(os.path.join(test_dir, "test.bin")) first = Jco(x=np.ones((4, 3)), col_names=["p1", "p2", "p3"], row_names=["o1", "o2", "o3", "o4"]) second = Cov(x=np.ones((3, 3)) + 1.0, names=["p1", "p2", "p3"], isdiagonal=False) third = Cov(x=np.ones((4, 1)) + 2.0, names=["o1", "o2", "o3", "o4"], isdiagonal=True) third.to_uncfile(os.path.join(test_dir, "test.unc"), covmat_file=os.path.join(test_dir, "cov.mat")) third.from_uncfile(os.path.join(test_dir, "test.unc")) si = second.identity result = second - second.identity # add and sub newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1"], col_names="p1") result = newfirst - first result = first - newfirst result = newfirst + first result = first + newfirst newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1", "o2"], col_names="p1") result = newfirst - first result = first - newfirst result = newfirst + first result = first + newfirst newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1", "o2"], col_names=["p1", "p3"]) result = newfirst - first result = first - newfirst result = newfirst + first result = first + newfirst # mul test result = first.T * third * first result = first * second newfirst = first.get(col_names="p1") result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T newfirst = first.get(col_names=["p1", "p2"]) result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1"]) result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T newfirst = first.get(row_names=["o1", "o2"]) result = newfirst * second result = second * newfirst.T result = newfirst.T * third * newfirst newthird = third.get(row_names=["o1"]) result = first.T * newthird * first # drop testing second.drop("p2", axis=0) assert second.shape == (2, 2) third.drop("o1", axis=1) assert third.shape == (3, 3) first.drop("p1", axis=1) assert first.shape == (4, 2) first.drop("o4", axis=0) assert first.shape == (3, 2)
def __init__(self, pst, parcov=None, obscov=None, num_slaves=0, use_approx_prior=True, submit_file=None, verbose=False, port=4004, slave_dir="template"): self.logger = Logger(verbose) if verbose is not False: self.logger.echo = True self.num_slaves = int(num_slaves) if submit_file is not None: if not os.path.exists(submit_file): self.logger.lraise( "submit_file {0} not found".format(submit_file)) elif num_slaves > 0: if not os.path.exists(slave_dir): self.logger.lraise( "template dir {0} not found".format(slave_dir)) self.slave_dir = slave_dir self.submit_file = submit_file self.port = int(port) self.paren_prefix = ".parensemble.{0:04d}.csv" self.obsen_prefix = ".obsensemble.{0:04d}.csv" if isinstance(pst, str): pst = Pst(pst) assert isinstance(pst, Pst) self.pst = pst self.sweep_in_csv = pst.pestpp_options.get("sweep_parameter_csv_file", "sweep_in.csv") self.sweep_out_csv = pst.pestpp_options.get("sweep_output_csv_file", "sweep_out.csv") if parcov is not None: assert isinstance(parcov, Cov) else: parcov = Cov.from_parameter_data(self.pst) if obscov is not None: assert isinstance(obscov, Cov) else: obscov = Cov.from_observation_data(pst) self.parcov = parcov self.obscov = obscov # if restart_iter > 0: # self.restart_iter = restart_iter # paren = self.pst.filename+self.paren_prefix.format(restart_iter) # assert os.path.exists(paren),\ # "could not find restart par ensemble {0}".format(paren) # obsen0 = self.pst.filename+self.obsen_prefix.format(0) # assert os.path.exists(obsen0),\ # "could not find restart obs ensemble 0 {0}".format(obsen0) # obsen = self.pst.filename+self.obsen_prefix.format(restart_iter) # assert os.path.exists(obsen),\ # "could not find restart obs ensemble {0}".format(obsen) # self.restart = True self.__initialized = False self.iter_num = 0 self.raw_sweep_out = None